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EuroDry Ltd (EDRY)
NASDAQ:EDRY

EuroDry (EDRY) AI Stock Analysis

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EDRY

EuroDry

(NASDAQ:EDRY)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$22.50
▲(14.91% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/12/26
The score is held back primarily by weak and volatile financial performance (recent losses and uneven cash generation with moderate-to-elevated leverage). This is partially offset by strong technical momentum (price well above key moving averages with positive MACD) and a constructive earnings-call update highlighting a strong Q4 turnaround, though valuation remains constrained by negative earnings and no indicated dividend.
Positive Factors
High EBITDA margins
Sustained ~22% EBITDA margins indicate the core shipping operations generate meaningful cash earnings even when net income is negative. That margin cushion supports working capital, covers variable voyage costs and helps absorb freight volatility, improving medium-term cash resilience.
Negative Factors
Moderate-to-elevated leverage and maturities
Debt roughly in line with equity and multi-year principal repayments create refinancing and liquidity risk. In a cyclical shipping market, sizable upcoming maturities force either use of cash, asset sales or new debt at potentially higher cost, pressuring financial flexibility over the next 2–3 years.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High EBITDA margins
Sustained ~22% EBITDA margins indicate the core shipping operations generate meaningful cash earnings even when net income is negative. That margin cushion supports working capital, covers variable voyage costs and helps absorb freight volatility, improving medium-term cash resilience.
Read all positive factors

EuroDry (EDRY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

EuroDry Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
EuroDry Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides ocean-going transportation services worldwide. The company owns and operates drybulk carriers that transport major bulks, such as iron ore, coal, and grains; and minor bulks, including bauxite, phos...
How the Company Makes Money
EuroDry makes money primarily by chartering out its drybulk vessels to customers for the transportation of dry bulk cargoes. Revenue is earned through charter hire, typically under contracts such as time charters (the customer pays a daily rate fo...

EuroDry Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 19, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted a strong operational turnaround in Q4 2025 with meaningful margin expansion (Q4 adjusted EBITDA up >300%), improved quarterly revenues and profitability, full utilization, enhanced liquidity and clear fleet renewal plans. These positives are tempered by a full-year revenue decline, continued adjusted full-year losses, a sizeable debt load with upcoming repayments, higher operating costs and ongoing freight market volatility and geopolitical risk. Overall the company appears to have strengthened its near-term financial position and demonstrated quarter-over-quarter improvement, but remains exposed to market cyclicality and refinancing risk.
Positive Updates
Strong Q4 Revenue and Profitability
Q4 2025 net revenues of $17.4M, up 19.9% YoY (Q4 2024: $14.5M). Net income attributable to controlling shareholders of $3.2M (EPS $1.14); adjusted net income $2.4M (adjusted EPS $0.87).
Negative Updates
Full-Year Revenue Decline
Total net revenues for full-year 2025 were $52.3M, down 14.4% YoY from $61.1M in 2024, driven by fewer vessels operated and lower average TCE across the year.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strong Q4 Revenue and Profitability
Q4 2025 net revenues of $17.4M, up 19.9% YoY (Q4 2024: $14.5M). Net income attributable to controlling shareholders of $3.2M (EPS $1.14); adjusted net income $2.4M (adjusted EPS $0.87).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management's guidance was cautious but constructive: they see 2026 as potentially "broadly similar" to 2025 amid continued volatility, with fixed-rate coverage today at ~22% (excludes 4 index-linked vessels at 115% of the Baltic Supramax 10TC through Nov‑2026) and willingness to add longer cover as rates rise; hedges already include 180 days Supramax 10TC at $12,012/day (~2 vessels) for Q1‑2026 and 90 days Kamsarmax 5TC at $19,250 (Q2) and $17,250 (Q3) (each ~1 vessel). Key economics and balance‑sheet metrics they highlighted: cash‑flow breakeven ~$11,663/day and EBITDA breakeven ~$7,478/day; current fleet 11 vessels (avg age ~14 years, ~765,000 dwt) expanding to 13 vessels (~893,000 dwt) after two 63,500 dwt Ultramaxes due Q2/Q3‑2027; Q4 revenues $17.4M, Q4 adjusted EBITDA $7.5M, FY‑2025 adjusted EBITDA $12.55M. Financial position: cash and other assets ~$31.8M, advances for newbuildings ~$14.4M, vessels book value $166M (total assets ~$212M), debt $103.7M at ~2% margin (implied senior debt cost ~5.65% assuming 3‑month SOF ≈3.65%), scheduled repayments $12.2M (2026), $21M (2027, incl. $10.2M balloon) and $17M (2028, incl. $6.7M balloon); capital return and valuation signals included 334k shares repurchased for $5.3M under a $10M plan and an estimated NAV >$48/share versus book equity $31.8/share and recent trading around $17.

EuroDry Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials reflect a cyclical downturn: losses returned in 2023–2025 with negative net margins and negative EBIT in 2024–2025. Positives include still-healthy EBITDA margins (~22%) and a 2025 cash-flow rebound (positive free cash flow after two negative years), but leverage is moderate-to-elevated (debt roughly equal to equity) and cash generation has been volatile.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
48
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue52.26M61.08M47.59M70.18M64.44M
Gross Profit6.41M20.81M8.47M37.30M43.98M
EBITDA11.57M13.33M14.17M48.15M41.45M
Net Income-4.26M-9.66M-2.91M33.54M31.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets212.10M219.74M231.05M199.51M161.33M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments22.47M6.71M10.80M35.24M26.85M
Total Debt102.88M107.19M103.93M81.22M78.65M
Total Liabilities109.59M114.14M111.63M85.56M82.41M
Stockholders Equity93.27M96.74M109.66M113.94M78.92M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.40M-3.92M-53.50M-4.80M2.31M
Operating Cash Flow12.76M4.81M11.81M32.99M39.14M
Investing Cash Flow6.14M-8.73M-65.30M-28.40M-36.82M
Financing Cash Flow-5.13M1.73M30.47M3.01M22.61M

EuroDry Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.58
Price Trends
50DMA
17.82
Positive
100DMA
15.50
Positive
200DMA
13.37
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.34
Positive
RSI
54.08
Neutral
STOCH
77.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EDRY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.58 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.43, above the 50-day MA of 17.82, and above the 200-day MA of 13.37, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EDRY.

EuroDry Risk Analysis

EuroDry disclosed 88 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. EuroDry reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

EuroDry Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$23.75M0.5316.53%-11.07%-13.39%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
59
Neutral
$55.35M-8.29-11.12%-20.95%-77.49%
59
Neutral
$46.34M29.462.13%-23.25%-107.24%
52
Neutral
$16.91M0.26-5.54%-1.35%-118.25%
51
Neutral
$47.27M-20.72-2.65%18.49%-264.74%
50
Neutral
$14.34M4.657.94%4.77%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EDRY
EuroDry
19.58
10.46
114.69%
PSHG
Performance Shipping
1.91
0.50
35.46%
GLBS
Globus Maritime
2.19
1.10
100.92%
TOPS
Top Ships
3.10
-2.20
-41.52%
PXS
Pyxis Tankers
4.51
1.69
59.93%
CTRM
Castor Maritime
1.75
-0.39
-18.22%

EuroDry Corporate Events

EuroDry Posts Strong Q4 but Full-Year 2025 Loss as It Shifts to Longer Charters and Extends Buybacks
Feb 20, 2026
EuroDry Ltd., a Greek drybulk shipowner listed on NASDAQ, reported financial results on February 19, 2026 for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025, highlighting its role as a provider of seaborne transportation for drybulk cargoes. The com...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 12, 2026