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EuroDry Ltd (EDRY)
NASDAQ:EDRY

EuroDry (EDRY) AI Stock Analysis

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EuroDry

(NASDAQ:EDRY)

43Neutral
EuroDry is currently facing significant financial and market challenges. The company's financial performance is weak, with negative income and cash flow issues. Technical indicators suggest further downside risk. Valuation metrics are unattractive with negative earnings. Although strategic steps are in place, such as fleet expansion and refinancing, the outlook remains cautious due to economic and market uncertainties.
Positive Factors
Financial Management
Analysts expect Eurodry to use free cash flow to reduce debt, indicating financial management efforts.
Market Conditions
2026 estimates introduce a forecast of rising TCE rates and revenue, suggesting a potential rebound in demand and improvement in market conditions.
Revenue Growth
Eurodry expects to book a gain of approximately $2.1 million from the sale of M/V Tasos.
Negative Factors
Demand and Supply
Fluctuating seaborne import demand from China for iron ore and other dry bulk goods has caused dry bulk rates to drop more than expected.
Economic Outlook
Recent U.S. tariffs imposed on imports from China could also weigh on its economy.
Shipping Rates
Charter rates have continued to decline due, in part, to a weak outlook for the economy in China.

EuroDry (EDRY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

EuroDry Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEuroDry Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides ocean-going transportation services worldwide. The company owns and operates drybulk carriers that transport major bulks, such as iron ore, coal, and grains; and minor bulks, including bauxite, phosphate, and fertilizers. As of March 31, 2022, it operated a fleet of ten drybulk carriers comprising five Panamax drybulk carriers, two Ultramax drybulk carrier, two Kamsarmax carriers, and one Supramax drybulk carrier with a cargo capacity of 726,555 deadweight tons. EuroDry Ltd. was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Marousi, Greece.
How the Company Makes MoneyEuroDry generates revenue through the chartering of its dry bulk vessels to customers under time charters or spot market voyages. In time charters, the company leases its vessels to clients for a fixed period at a pre-determined rate, providing a stable income stream. In the spot market, vessels are chartered for single voyages at prevailing market rates, which can be more volatile but potentially more lucrative. The company's earnings are influenced by factors such as global trade volumes, shipping demand, and fluctuating charter rates. EuroDry may also engage in strategic partnerships or joint ventures to optimize its fleet utilization and expand its market presence.

EuroDry Financial Statement Overview

Summary
EuroDry faces challenges across its financial statements, with negative net income impacting profitability and return metrics. Revenue growth is inconsistent, and cash flows are strained, particularly free cash flow. Maintaining financial stability requires addressing these issues to improve liquidity and profitability going forward.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
EuroDry's income statement reflects significant volatility. The company experienced a revenue growth of 28.32% in 2024, following a decline of 32.2% in 2023. Net profit margins are negative, with a notable decrease in net income from 2022 to 2024, indicating profitability challenges. Gross profit margins are relatively stable but insufficient to offset operating expenses, as evidenced by negative EBIT in 2024.
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.08 in 2024, indicating balanced leverage relative to equity. However, the equity ratio of 45.06% suggests moderate reliance on debt financing. Return on equity has been negative due to net losses, highlighting the need for improved profitability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
EuroDry's cash flow statement reveals negative free cash flow in recent years, with a significant decline in operating cash flow from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive but diminishing, reflecting pressure on cash generation. Free cash flow remains under strain, demonstrating a need for better cash management.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
61.08M47.59M70.18M64.44M22.29M
Gross Profit
20.81M8.47M42.12M43.98M3.84M
EBIT
-3.35M1.59M34.12M38.89M-2.74M
EBITDA
13.33M14.38M48.38M41.45M3.15M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-9.66M-2.91M33.54M31.15M-8.21M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
6.71M10.80M34.04M26.85M938.28K
Total Assets
221.19M231.05M199.51M161.33M107.51M
Total Debt
107.19M103.93M81.22M78.65M51.11M
Net Debt
100.48M95.93M47.18M51.81M50.17M
Total Liabilities
112.64M111.63M85.56M82.41M56.97M
Stockholders Equity
99.69M109.66M113.94M78.92M50.54M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-3.92M-53.50M-4.80M2.31M1.71M
Operating Cash Flow
4.81M11.81M32.99M39.14M2.33M
Investing Cash Flow
-8.73M-65.30M-28.40M-36.82M-611.11K
Financing Cash Flow
1.73M30.47M3.01M22.61M-6.24M

EuroDry Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price8.76
Price Trends
50DMA
10.20
Negative
100DMA
10.88
Negative
200DMA
15.24
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.49
Negative
RSI
40.09
Neutral
STOCH
31.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EDRY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.76 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.18, below the 50-day MA of 10.20, and below the 200-day MA of 15.24, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.49 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EDRY.

EuroDry Risk Analysis

EuroDry disclosed 88 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. EuroDry reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

EuroDry Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$16.53M1.2417.20%-19.73%-33.68%
63
Neutral
$4.29B11.365.34%214.53%4.14%-9.10%
63
Neutral
$21.64M0.7015.48%-45.58%45.06%
PXPXS
61
Neutral
$30.93M3.7313.55%13.36%-73.08%
57
Neutral
$27.43M5.453.07%3.83%
43
Neutral
$24.36M-9.22%28.35%-238.53%
40
Underperform
$23.26M54.070.24%11.74%-91.84%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EDRY
EuroDry
8.76
-11.35
-56.44%
PSHG
Performance Shipping
1.35
-0.80
-37.21%
GLBS
Globus Maritime
1.13
-0.75
-39.89%
TOPS
Top Ships
5.89
-6.66
-53.07%
PXS
Pyxis Tankers
3.06
-1.48
-32.60%
CTRM
Castor Maritime
2.20
-0.93
-29.71%

EuroDry Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 24, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: -16.57%|
Next Earnings Date:May 14, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strategic steps taken by EuroDry Ltd., such as a share repurchase plan, successful refinancing, and new vessel orders. However, the company faced significant challenges, including a net loss, declining Panamax rates, and a decrease in adjusted EBITDA. Global economic concerns and a limited order book further complicate the outlook.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Share Repurchase Program
Since the initiation of the share repurchase plan of up to $10 million in August 2022, EuroDry Ltd. has repurchased 334,000 shares for a total of $5.3 million.
Successful Refinancing
Refinancing of two vessels to a $30 million loan increased cash reserves by about $11 million.
New Vessel Orders
Signed a contract for the construction of two eco-friendly Kamsarmax bulk carriers, scheduled for delivery in 2027.
Fleet Utilization
Achieved a 100% commercial utilization rate and 99.4% operational utilization rate for the fourth quarter of 2024.
Improvement in Spot Rates
From year-end 2024 to February 2025, one-year time charter rates for Panamax vessels increased by 12%, and spot rates increased by 14%.
Negative Updates
Net Loss Reported
Reported a net loss of $3.3 million for Q4 2024, with a basic and diluted loss per share of $1.20.
Panamax Rate Decline
Panamax rates experienced a decline, with spot rates dropping to about $7,700 per day by the end of Q4 2024.
Adjusted EBITDA Decrease
Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2024 was $4.8 million, down from $6.6 million in the same period last year.
Global Economic Concerns
The IMF projects only slight global GDP growth, with geopolitical conflicts posing risks to medium-term growth prospects.
Order Book Challenges
The order book is at just 10.5% of the fleet, indicating limited new vessel orders amid shipyard capacity constraints.
Company Guidance
In the EuroDry Ltd. conference call for the fourth quarter of 2024, the company reported total net revenues of $14.5 million and a net loss attributable to controlling shareholders of $3.3 million, or $1.20 loss per basic and diluted share. The adjusted net loss for the quarter was $0.7 million, or $0.25 per share, with an adjusted EBITDA of $4.8 million. The company incurred a $2.8 million paper loss due to an impairment on an older vessel. During this period, EuroDry refinanced two vessels with a $30 million loan, boosting cash reserves by $11 million. Their share repurchase program, extended to August 2025, has seen the repurchase of 334,000 shares for $5.3 million. The company also signed contracts for two new eco-friendly Kamsarmax bulk carriers to be delivered in 2027, each costing $36 million. EuroDry's fleet, consisting of thirteen vessels with a total cargo capacity of approximately 920,000 deadweight tons, will drop to twelve after selling the motor vessel Tassos for $5 million, with a gain of $2.1 million expected from the sale. The fleet's average age will decrease to 13.6 years post-sale. Looking ahead, the company is cautious about the dry bulk market, citing geopolitical tensions, trade policy shifts, and environmental regulations as potential challenges, while maintaining a watchful eye on fleet supply constraints and charter rate fluctuations.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.