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Ecarx Holdings Inc. (ECX)
NASDAQ:ECX
US Market

ECARX Holdings (ECX) AI Stock Analysis

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ECX

ECARX Holdings

(NASDAQ:ECX)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▲(8.11% Upside)
ECARX Holdings' overall score is primarily influenced by its financial performance challenges, including negative equity and high leverage. The positive earnings call, highlighting profitability and growth, provides a counterbalance, but valuation concerns and neutral technical indicators limit the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained top-line growth and rising gross margin indicate improving product-market fit and better supply-chain execution. Persistent revenue expansion supports scale economics, enabling reinvestment in R&D and manufacturing capacity that can drive durable competitive positioning over multiple quarters.
First-time Profitability
Reaching EBITDA breakeven and a modest net profit demonstrates operational leverage and tighter cost control. If maintained, this structural inflection reduces reliance on financing, improves cash conversion potential, and validates the unit economics of ECARX's computing and cockpit platforms.
Contracted Backlog & Partnerships
A multi-billion contracted revenue pipeline and large OEM program awards provide multi-year revenue visibility and justify continued R&D and scale investments. Strong OEM partnerships (Europe, VW, others) underpin geographic expansion and reduce go-to-market friction for future platform deployments.
Negative Factors
Negative Equity / High Leverage
Persistent negative equity and elevated leverage signal structural solvency and refinancing risks. This restricts financial flexibility for capital expenditures or strategic M&A, increases cost of capital, and may necessitate dilutive financings or asset sales to sustain multi-quarter international expansion plans.
Weak Cash Generation
Chronic negative operating and free cash flow undermines the company’s ability to self-fund R&D, production ramp and global rollout. Over the medium term this forces reliance on external funding, raising dilution or covenant risks and complicating efforts to convert accounting profits into sustainable cash returns.
Collapse in Software License Revenue
A near-elimination of software license revenue weakens margin sustainability and the shift toward recurring, high-margin income. This suggests monetization challenges for ECARX's software stack, leaving the company more dependent on lower-margin hardware and one-time engineering services for long-term profitability.

ECARX Holdings (ECX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ECARX Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionECARX Holdings, Inc. engages in the design, development, and delivery of vehicle technology. Its products include infotainment head units, digital cockpits, vehicle chip-set, operating system and software stack. The company was founded in 2017 and is based in Shanghai, China with an additional office in Europe.
How the Company Makes MoneyECARX generates revenue through multiple streams, including the sale of its hardware and software solutions to automotive manufacturers and suppliers. The company's primary revenue model is based on licensing its technology for use in vehicles, which includes infotainment systems and advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS). Additionally, ECARX earns revenue through partnerships with automotive OEMs (original equipment manufacturers), where it provides integrated solutions tailored to specific vehicle models. The company also explores revenue opportunities in data analytics and subscription services related to its connected vehicle offerings, further enhancing its earnings potential.

ECARX Holdings Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Profit by Segment
Gross Profit by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

ECARX Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call conveyed a strong sense of growth and achievement, with significant milestones reached in profitability and global expansion. Despite a notable decline in software license revenue, the overall performance and future outlook remain positive.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Achieving Profitability
ECARX achieved EBITDA breakeven with USD 8.3 million and became net profitable for the first time with a net profit of USD 0.9 million.
Strong Revenue Growth
Revenue grew by 11% year-over-year and 41% quarter-over-quarter to USD 219.9 million. Gross profit increased by 39% year-over-year, lifting gross margin to 22%.
Significant Partnerships and Pipeline Expansion
ECARX secured a second project with a leading European automaker, adding USD 400 million in lifetime revenue, bringing total contracted lifetime revenue to over USD 2.5 billion.
Record Shipments
Shipments reached approximately 667,000 units, up 51% year-over-year, with Antora series reaching a record high of 196,000 units.
Global Expansion
ECARX continues to expand globally, with a strong project pipeline in Europe and the Americas, representing more than USD 2.5 billion in total lifetime revenue.
Negative Updates
Decline in Software License Revenue
Software license revenue decreased by 92% year-over-year to USD 0.9 million due to reduced per vehicle software license revenue and lower intellectual property license revenue.
Concerns on Industry Weakness in 2026
There are concerns about a weaker overall industry due to reduced government policy support and potential demand pull forward into Q4.
Company Guidance
During the ECARX Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported significant financial and operational achievements, highlighting a strong trajectory for future growth. Key metrics included achieving EBITDA breakeven with an EBITDA of USD 8.3 million and a net profit of USD 0.9 million, marking the first time the company became net profitable. Revenue increased by 11% year-over-year and 41% quarter-over-quarter, reaching USD 219.9 million, with a gross profit of USD 47.6 million and a gross margin of 22%. Shipments totaled approximately 667,000 units, a 51% year-over-year increase, with the Antora series reaching a record high of 196,000 units. The company also secured USD 400 million in lifetime revenue from a European automaker, contributing to a total contracted lifetime revenue from global automakers of over USD 2.5 billion. ECARX's strategic focus on technological leadership and expanding global partnerships was emphasized, alongside the successful mass production of the Pikes computing platform, which significantly contributed to the quarter's performance. The company is poised to maintain profitability in Q4 and achieve double-digit revenue growth in 2025 and beyond.

ECARX Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ECARX Holdings shows growth in revenue but faces substantial profitability and cash flow challenges. The negative equity and high leverage raise concerns about the company's financial stability. Continued focus on improving operational efficiency and cash flow management is crucial to enhance its financial health.
Income Statement
35
Negative
ECARX Holdings has exhibited a steady revenue growth over the years, increasing from $2.24 billion in 2020 to $5.56 billion in 2024. However, the company has been consistently unprofitable with negative net incomes throughout the period, culminating in a net loss of $932.3 million in 2024. The gross profit margin has shown some stability, but the EBIT and EBITDA margins are concerningly negative, indicating ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
25
Negative
The balance sheet presents a worrying picture with consistent negative stockholders' equity, which worsened to -$1.76 billion in 2024. The high debt-to-equity ratio reflects significant leverage, increasing financial risk. Total liabilities exceed total assets, highlighting a negative equity ratio, which is a critical concern for financial stability.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
ECARX Holdings has struggled with cash flow management, as seen by negative free cash flow figures in recent years, reflecting inadequate cash generation to cover capital expenditures. The operating cash flow has also been negative, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient cash from its core operations to cover its expenses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.68B5.56B4.70B3.56B2.78B2.24B
Gross Profit358.82M158.11M179.54M144.06M128.18M551.39M
EBITDA-107.47M-321.69M
Net Income-187.64M-439.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.61B3.77B4.27B4.73B622.32M2.58B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments497.64M454.56M699.02M860.47M137.74M729.94M
Total Debt2.64B1.99B1.81B1.41B166.19M1.10B
Total Liabilities5.70B5.52B5.10B4.77B1.26B4.41B
Stockholders Equity-2.08B-1.76B-921.41M-196.40M-643.70M-1.84B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-544.93M-1.31B-618.62M-951.19M0.00
Operating Cash Flow0.00-430.28M-1.24B-461.34M-872.33M0.00
Investing Cash Flow0.00-59.91M592.08M-313.04M-1.39B0.00
Financing Cash Flow0.00261.64M296.83M657.77M2.19B0.00

ECARX Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.85
Price Trends
50DMA
1.81
Negative
100DMA
1.99
Negative
200DMA
1.80
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Positive
RSI
45.60
Neutral
STOCH
12.45
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ECX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.88, above the 50-day MA of 1.81, and above the 200-day MA of 1.80, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.45 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ECX.

ECARX Holdings Risk Analysis

ECARX Holdings disclosed 77 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ECARX Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
If we do not appropriately maintain effective internal control over financial reporting in accordance with Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002, we may be unable to accurately report our financial results and the market price of our securities may be adversely affected. Q4, 2023
2.
Industry data, projections, and estimates are inherently uncertain and subject to change. Q4, 2023
3.
We are involved from time to time in legal proceedings and commercial or contractual disputes, which could have an adverse impact on our profitability and consolidated financial position. Q4, 2023

ECARX Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$133.66M3.999.19%16.72%5.35%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
54
Neutral
$741.10M-7.37-33.69%-15.43%
52
Neutral
$642.14M-8.286.59%55.85%
50
Neutral
$767.22M-2.40-192.35%89.90%5.13%
48
Neutral
$200.56M-2.77-71.46%46.09%46.01%
46
Neutral
$73.89M-0.75-75.54%-19.11%73.51%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ECX
ECARX Holdings
1.80
0.19
11.80%
CAAS
China Automotive Systems
4.43
0.39
9.65%
AEVA
Aeva Technologies
12.77
8.76
218.45%
INVZ
Innoviz Technologies
0.96
-0.50
-34.18%
LIDR
AEye Inc
1.64
0.74
82.22%
SES
SES AI Corporation Class A
2.03
0.87
75.00%

ECARX Holdings Corporate Events

ECARX Secures US$45.6 Million Strategic Investment from Geely Holding to Drive Global Expansion
Jan 12, 2026

On January 8, 2026, ECARX Holdings Inc. entered into a subscription agreement under which Geely Investment Holding Ltd. will make a strategic US$45.6 million private placement into the company by purchasing 27,297,002 newly issued Class A ordinary shares at US$1.67 per share, a price based on the 20-day volume-weighted average on Nasdaq, with the shares subject to a six-month lock-up and closing contingent on customary conditions. ECARX plans to deploy the proceeds to accelerate development and global rollout of its vehicle hardware and software platforms, including strengthening its German R&D hub and infrastructure in South America and Southeast Asia; executives from both Geely and ECARX framed the investment, announced in London on January 12, 2026, as a vote of confidence in ECARX’s technology, its recent project wins with Volkswagen Group and partnership with Lotus Tech, and its broader strategy to cement its role in the global smart, connected vehicle ecosystem despite what management characterizes as a share price that lags the firm’s long-term prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (ECX) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ECARX Holdings stock, see the ECX Stock Forecast page.

ECARX to Invest US$23 Million in Lotus Technology to Expand Global Intelligent Vehicle Partnership
Dec 29, 2025

On December 29, 2025, ECARX Holdings announced that it had signed a subscription agreement on December 23, 2025 to make a US$23 million strategic investment in Lotus Technology Inc. via a private placement of 16,788,321 newly issued Lotus Tech ordinary shares at US$1.37 per share, subject to customary closing conditions and a six‑month lock‑up. The deal is intended to deepen the companies’ global partnership by expanding deployment of ECARX’s Pikes computing platform and Cloudpeak cross‑domain software stack with Google Automotive Services in Lotus vehicles worldwide, reinforcing ECARX’s international expansion ambitions and signaling mutual confidence in Lotus Tech’s long‑term strategy and its push into next‑generation intelligent, AI‑driven in‑vehicle experiences.

The most recent analyst rating on (ECX) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ECARX Holdings stock, see the ECX Stock Forecast page.

ECARX Holdings Enters Convertible Loan Agreement with DreamSmart
Dec 4, 2025

On December 4, 2025, ECARX Holdings Inc. announced a Convertible Loan Agreement with DREAMSMART TECHNOLOGY PTE. LTD. and its subsidiary, Hubei DreamSmart Group Co., Ltd. Under this agreement, ECARX (Hubei), a subsidiary of ECARX Holdings, will provide a loan of RMB300 million to DreamSmart Hubei, with the option to convert the loan into shares of DreamSmart Singapore. This strategic move is expected to strengthen ECARX’s financial positioning and potentially expand its influence in the automotive technology sector by aligning with DreamSmart’s operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (ECX) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ECARX Holdings stock, see the ECX Stock Forecast page.

ECARX Holdings Secures $60 Million Through Convertible Notes in November 2025
Nov 28, 2025

On November 3, 2025, ECARX Holdings Inc. entered into a convertible note purchase agreement to issue and sell up to $100 million in convertible notes. The initial investor agreed to purchase $35 million, with an additional $25 million purchased by another existing holder on November 26, 2025. The remaining $40 million is contingent on finding additional investors, indicating potential uncertainties in securing full funding.

The most recent analyst rating on (ECX) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ECARX Holdings stock, see the ECX Stock Forecast page.

ECARX Expands Digital Cockpit Partnership with Volkswagen in Latin America
Nov 13, 2025

On November 13, 2025, ECARX Holdings Inc. announced an expanded partnership with Volkswagen Group to supply advanced digital cockpit solutions for various vehicle models in Latin America. This new award, following an initial agreement in March 2025, involves the integration of ECARX’s Antora® 1000 and 500 computing platforms, alongside Google Automotive Services, to enhance user interfaces and maintain Volkswagen’s competitive edge in digital innovation. The collaboration underscores ECARX’s capability to deliver industry-leading infotainment systems and strengthens its positioning in the automotive technology sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (ECX) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ECARX Holdings stock, see the ECX Stock Forecast page.

ECARX Holdings Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results and Secures New Projects
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, ECARX Holdings announced its unaudited financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting significant milestones such as achieving EBITDA breakeven and a net profit of $0.9 million. The company’s revenue grew by 11% year-over-year to $219.9 million, driven by increased shipments and improved supply chain efficiency. ECARX’s expansion into global markets and technological advancements, including the mass production of its Pikes® computing platform, have strengthened its industry position. The company also secured new projects with European and Chinese automakers, adding substantial revenue to its pipeline. Additionally, ECARX entered into a convertible note purchase agreement to issue up to $150 million in convertible notes, providing liquidity for further international expansion and product innovation.

The most recent analyst rating on (ECX) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ECARX Holdings stock, see the ECX Stock Forecast page.

ECARX Appoints Lone Foenss Schroeder to Board Amid Leadership Change
Oct 31, 2025

On October 31, 2025, ECARX Holdings Inc. announced a change in its board of directors with the appointment of Ms. Lone Foenss Schroeder, replacing Ms. Ni Li who resigned due to personal reasons. Ms. Schroeder brings extensive experience from her leadership roles across various sectors, including automotive and technology, and her involvement in transformative projects at companies like Volvo Cars and Geely Sweden Holdings AB. This board change is expected to bolster ECARX’s strategic direction in the automotive technology industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (ECX) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ECARX Holdings stock, see the ECX Stock Forecast page.

ECARX Holdings Secures $150 Million Convertible Notes Deal
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, ECARX Holdings Inc. announced a securities purchase agreement with an institutional investor to issue and sell convertible notes worth up to $150 million. The initial note, valued at $50 million, is set to be issued on the same date, with the potential for additional closings of up to $100 million. These notes, convertible into Class A ordinary shares, will mature in 12 months and include various covenants and conditions to protect both the company and investors. This move is expected to enhance ECARX’s financial flexibility and could impact its market positioning by providing additional capital for growth initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (ECX) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ECARX Holdings stock, see the ECX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 15, 2025