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Aeva Technologies (AEVA)
NASDAQ:AEVA
US Market

Aeva Technologies (AEVA) AI Stock Analysis

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Aeva Technologies

(NASDAQ:AEVA)

Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$15.50
▲( 9.15% Upside)
Aeva Technologies faces significant financial challenges, with persistent losses and cash flow issues affecting its financial performance. Despite positive momentum in the stock's technical indicators and strategic progress highlighted in the earnings call, the valuation remains a concern due to negative earnings. Recent corporate events provide some optimism, but further improvements in profitability and financial stability are needed to enhance the stock's overall performance.
Positive Factors
Market Penetration
Analyst's target price increase is due to increased assumptions around market penetration in the industrial and automotive markets based on recent momentum.
Quarterly Results
Aeva reported quarterly results that were mostly above estimates and a slight guidance increase.
Strategic Collaboration
A strategic collaboration with a technology-focused affiliate of a Global Fortune 500 company will bring Aeva's next-generation 4D LiDAR to industrial and consumer markets.
Negative Factors
Revenue Comparison
Despite the recent win, Aeva has lagged some more scaled peers in the space in terms of revenue as lidar has been a slow market to inflect in the US.

Aeva Technologies (AEVA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Aeva Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAeva Technologies, Inc., through its frequency modulated continuous wave (FMCW) sensing technology, designs a 4D LiDAR-on-chip that enables the adoption of LiDAR across various applications. from automated driving to consumer electronics, consumer health, industrial automation, and security application. The company was founded in 2017 is based in Mountain View, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyAeva Technologies generates revenue primarily through the sale and licensing of its LiDAR and perception systems to automotive manufacturers and technology companies involved in the development of autonomous vehicles. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations with other firms in the automotive and technology industries to integrate its sensing solutions into a variety of applications, which contributes to its revenue streams. Additionally, Aeva may receive income from research and development contracts and government grants aimed at advancing autonomous driving technologies.

Aeva Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Aeva Technologies shows promising revenue growth but faces challenges in profitability and cash flow management. While it maintains a stable balance sheet with low leverage, the decrease in equity and cash reserves needs attention. Addressing operational inefficiencies is crucial for financial stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Aeva Technologies shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The company has experienced significant revenue growth, rising from $4.31M in 2023 to $9.07M in 2024, indicating a positive trend. However, the company is struggling with profitability as evidenced by consistent negative net income and gross profit margins. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, reflecting ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a stable financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting conservative leverage practices. However, the equity ratio has decreased from previous years, indicating a reduction in the company's reliance on equity financing. The company's cash reserves are substantial, though they have decreased over time, requiring careful cash management going forward.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Aeva Technologies faces challenges in cash flow management, with persistent negative free cash flow over the years. Operating cash flow remains negative, limiting the company's ability to generate cash from core operations. Although there is substantial investing cash flow, primarily from cash reserves, reliance on external financing for operational needs could pose a risk if not addressed.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
9.06M4.31M4.19M9.27M4.84M
Gross Profit
-3.79M-5.89M-4.25M3.43M2.10M
EBIT
-146.87M-147.79M-151.96M-104.19M-25.74M
EBITDA
-137.93M-140.08M-145.81M-101.14M-24.94M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-152.26M-149.33M-142.66M-101.51M-25.38M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
112.01M221.03M323.81M445.01M24.62M
Total Assets
147.49M257.38M356.63M479.19M32.63M
Total Debt
720.00K7.35M7.46M10.33M0.00
Net Debt
-28.14M-31.19M-59.96M-56.48M-24.62M
Total Liabilities
48.14M28.94M26.71M22.81M84.92M
Stockholders Equity
99.35M228.44M329.93M456.38M-52.29M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-112.02M-124.93M-117.35M-90.45M-22.09M
Operating Cash Flow
-106.91M-118.83M-109.91M-82.11M-21.23M
Investing Cash Flow
97.90M69.28M110.89M-388.57M-855.00K
Financing Cash Flow
-671.00K20.68M-369.00K512.86M73.00K

Aeva Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.20
Price Trends
50DMA
7.84
Positive
100DMA
5.98
Positive
200DMA
4.77
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.42
Negative
RSI
63.72
Neutral
STOCH
59.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AEVA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.99, above the 50-day MA of 7.84, and above the 200-day MA of 4.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.72 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AEVA.

Aeva Technologies Risk Analysis

Aeva Technologies disclosed 77 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Aeva Technologies reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Aeva Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$11.56B10.24-7.04%2.94%7.46%-10.54%
58
Neutral
$193.49M-65.19%28.52%41.32%
56
Neutral
$2.57B-2.44%9.07%79.21%
SESES
54
Neutral
$348.55M-31.45%-79.83%
52
Neutral
$823.14M-113.70%95.90%10.38%
48
Neutral
$14.23M-170.89%-70.99%69.17%
43
Neutral
$206.06M146.24%-3.84%67.67%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AEVA
Aeva Technologies
14.20
10.92
332.93%
LAZR
Luminar Technologies
3.96
-18.84
-82.63%
INVZ
Innoviz Technologies
0.90
-0.18
-16.67%
LIDR
AEye Inc
0.76
-2.03
-72.76%
SES
SES AI Corporation Class A
0.94
-0.28
-22.95%
HSAI
Hesai Group Sponsored ADR
21.03
16.51
365.27%

Aeva Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.73%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant commercial progress with record product revenue, strategic partnerships, and market expansion, along with increased revenue guidance. However, the company continues to face financial challenges with operating losses and high cash usage.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Product Revenue
Aeva reported a record product revenue for Q1 2025, reflecting growth in commercial traction from automotive and industrial customers.
Strategic Collaboration with Fortune 500 Company
Aeva announced a strategic collaboration with a Fortune 500 company's technology subsidiary, which plans to invest up to $50 million in Aeva and partner to expand Aeva's end markets.
Expansion in Precision Sensing Market
Aeva launched the Eve 1 line of high precision sensors, securing orders of over 1,000 sensors and engaging multiple industry leaders as customers.
New Market Entry in Intelligent Transportation Systems
Aeva entered the ITS market by partnering with Sensys Gatso as its exclusive LiDAR supplier for mobile speed detection products.
Progress with Global Top 10 Passenger OEM
Aeva achieved the first milestone in its development program with a global top 10 passenger OEM, advancing toward a potential large-scale production program.
Increased Revenue Guidance
Aeva increased its revenue guidance for 2025 to 80%-100% growth compared to 2024, driven by strong product revenue performance.
Negative Updates
Operating Loss
Aeva reported a non-GAAP operating loss of $25.9 million for Q1 2025, although this was reduced by 19% year-over-year.
High Cash Usage
Gross cash use was $31.3 million in Q1, with operating cash use of $30.8 million, indicating significant expenditure relative to revenue.
Company Guidance
During the First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call for Aeva Technologies, the company provided guidance reflecting strong commercial momentum and strategic developments. Aeva reported record product revenue of $3.4 million and a non-GAAP operating loss of $25.9 million, a 19% year-over-year improvement. The company highlighted its progress in the automotive sector, specifically with the Daimler Truck Production Program and a Global Top 10 Passenger OEM Development Program, which has already achieved its first milestone. Aeva also unveiled the Eve 1 line of high-precision sensors aimed at the $4 billion laser displacement sensor market, securing over 1,000 sensor orders and multiple strategic customers. Additionally, Aeva announced a strategic collaboration with a Global Fortune 500 technology subsidiary, which plans to invest up to $50 million in Aeva. This collaboration aims to expand Aeva's market reach and enhance its manufacturing capabilities. As a result of these developments, Aeva increased its revenue growth guidance to 80-100% for the full year compared to 2024.

Aeva Technologies Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Aeva Technologies Secures $32.5M in Private Placement
Positive
May 14, 2025

On May 13, 2025, Aeva Technologies, Inc. announced a private placement agreement with an accredited investor to sell 3,509,719 shares of common stock at $9.26 per share, raising approximately $32.5 million. This strategic move aims to bolster the company’s financial position and potentially enhance its market presence, although the shares have not been registered under the Securities Act of 1933, relying instead on an exemption for the transaction.

The most recent analyst rating on (AEVA) stock is a Buy with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aeva Technologies stock, see the AEVA Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Aeva Technologies Appoints Daniel Gibson as Director
Positive
May 5, 2025

On May 1, 2025, Aeva Technologies appointed Daniel Gibson as a Class III director, following the resignation of Christopher Eberle. Gibson, the Founder and CIO of Sylebra Capital Management, brings extensive experience in technology investments, which is expected to bolster Aeva’s commercial momentum. His appointment reflects strong backing from Sylebra, and his expertise is anticipated to support Aeva as it approaches a critical phase in its growth trajectory.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aeva Technologies Appoints New Director Amid Leadership Changes
Neutral
Mar 27, 2025

On March 27, 2025, Aeva Technologies announced the appointment of Katherine Motlagh as a Class I director on its Board of Directors, bringing her extensive financial and telecommunications experience to the company. This strategic addition comes as Aeva is poised to scale its 4D LiDAR technology for mass production, aiming to expand its market presence across industries such as automotive, robotics, and infrastructure. Concurrently, Erin L. Polek resigned from the Board due to personal reasons, with no disagreements with the company, marking a transition in Aeva’s leadership as it continues to pursue its growth objectives.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.