Destiny Tech100 Inc. (DXYZ) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: N/A
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 1.24M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 19.4
• Beta (1Y): 3.90
• Revenue Growth: -1373.03%
• EPS Growth: 1414.60%
• Country: US
• Employees: N/A
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 70
• Industry: Asset Management
• EPS (TTM): 1.29
• Shares Outstanding: 14,427,988
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,350,349
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,239,490
• PEG Ratio: -0.07
• Price to Book (P/B): 9.14
• Price to Sales (P/S): -50432.45
• P/FCF Ratio: 1.84K
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 10.00T>
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 215.11
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 424.01
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 26.58
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 54 Neutral
• Price Target: $36.00 ▲(65.82% Upside)

The score is held back primarily by weak financial quality signals (extreme revenue volatility and uneven cash-flow conversion), despite a currently conservative, debt-free balance sheet. Technicals are supportive with price above key moving averages and positive MACD, and valuation is moderate with a mid-range P/E but no dividend yield.

Positive Factors

Debt-Free Balance Sheet

A debt-free balance sheet provides financial flexibility and reduces risk, allowing the company to navigate market volatility and invest in growth opportunities without the burden of interest obligations.

Improved Shareholder Returns

Improved returns to shareholders indicate effective capital management and potential for future value creation, enhancing investor confidence and supporting long-term equity value.

Profitability Recovery

The recovery in profitability suggests operational improvements and potential for sustained earnings growth, which can support reinvestment and shareholder returns over time.

Negative Factors

Revenue Volatility

Extreme revenue volatility undermines predictability and reliability of financial performance, complicating strategic planning and potentially deterring long-term investors.

Inconsistent Cash Flow

Inconsistent cash flow generation raises concerns about the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives internally, potentially leading to reliance on external financing.

Weak Revenue Quality

Weak revenue quality suggests potential issues with core business operations or reliance on non-recurring items, impacting the sustainability of future earnings and strategic execution.

Destiny Tech100 Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Destiny Tech100, Inc. operates as a non-diversified, closed-end management investment company. The company was founded on November 18, 2020 and is headquartered in Austin, TX.

How the Company Makes Money

Destiny Tech100 Inc. generates revenue through a diversified model that includes software licensing, subscription services, and consulting fees. Its primary revenue stream comes from the licensing of its proprietary AI and data analytics platforms to businesses across multiple sectors. Additionally, the company offers subscription-based access to its cloud-based solutions, providing customers with ongoing support, updates, and access to new features. Destiny Tech100 Inc. also earns significant income from consulting services, where it collaborates with clients to tailor its technology solutions to meet specific business needs. Strategic partnerships with key industry players further enhance its revenue potential by expanding market reach and driving collaborative innovation.

Destiny Tech100 Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

The balance sheet is strong (no debt and sizeable equity), but operating performance quality is weak: revenue has been extremely volatile (including negative revenue in 2024) and cash flow conversion is inconsistent, with free cash flow small relative to reported 2024 profits.

Income Statement

Results are highly volatile. Annual revenue swung from ~25.6M (2022) to ~0.36M (2023) and then turned negative in 2024, which makes margin signals difficult to rely on and points to weak revenue quality/consistency. Profitability improved sharply in 2024 with a large positive net income (~17.4M) versus losses in 2022–2023, but the extreme revenue and margin behavior suggests non-recurring items or accounting noise may be driving earnings rather than stable operating performance.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet is currently conservatively positioned with total debt at 0 in 2022–2024 and sizeable equity (~70.0M in 2024) supporting total assets (~71.4M). Returns to shareholders improved materially in 2024 (positive return on equity) after negative returns in 2022–2023. A key historical risk is that 2021 showed heavy leverage and negative equity, so while the current setup looks strong, the company’s capital structure has shifted dramatically over time.

Cash Flow

Cash generation has been inconsistent. Operating and free cash flow were deeply negative in 2022 and 2023 (with especially weak free cash flow), followed by a modest rebound to positive in 2024 (~0.35M). However, free cash flow fell sharply year over year in 2024 (large negative growth rate) and is small relative to the scale of 2024 reported profits, raising questions about how much of the earnings are translating into cash.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	-12.70K	360.46K	25.56M	0.00
Gross Profit	19.54M	-1.85M	23.29M	-2.17M
EBITDA	17.43M	-4.14M	-3.93M	-3.19M
Net Income	17.43M	-4.14M	-3.93M	-4.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	71.41M	53.46M	61.89M	98.60M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	0.00	4.83M	12.03M	46.77M
Total Debt	0.00	0.00	0.00	88.35M
Total Liabilities	1.36M	838.43K	5.12M	102.61M
Stockholders Equity	70.05M	52.62M	56.76M	-4.01M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	347.56K	-11.73M	-37.25M	389.96K
Operating Cash Flow	347.56K	-3.27M	-10.78M	389.96K
Investing Cash Flow	3.41M	-8.46M	-26.47M	-45.39M
Financing Cash Flow	-344.99K	-291.51K	2.51M	91.77M

Destiny Tech100 Inc. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 21.71
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DXYZ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.71 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.33, below the 50-day MA of 28.84, and below the 200-day MA of 31.26, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.89 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.15 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DXYZ.

Destiny Tech100 Inc. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	68 Neutral	$18.00B	11.42	9.92%	3.81%	9.73%	1.22%
MLCI	59 Neutral	$6.95M	-4.08	-25.88%	1.07%	66.65%	-1497.99%
DXYZ	54 Neutral	―	19.36	29.54%	―	-1373.03%	1414.60%
RMCO	50 Neutral	$62.38M	-176.07	-2.53%	0.20%	261.58%	-329.41%
CWD	45 Neutral	$8.42M	-0.06	-1438.14%	―	-62.09%	-99.89%
ATON	41 Neutral	$8.43M	>-0.01	―	―	―	―
BTTC	34 Underperform	$17.17M	-0.70	-109.09%	―	―	60.78%