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AlphaTON Capital (ATON)
NASDAQ:ATON
US Market

AlphaTON Capital (ATON) AI Stock Analysis

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ATON

AlphaTON Capital

(NASDAQ:ATON)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$0.72
▲(17.54% Upside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (no revenue, ongoing losses, negative cash flow, and equity erosion). Technicals also remain bearish with price well below major moving averages and negative MACD, while valuation provides limited support due to a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Low leverage
Minimal debt gives AlphaTON structural financial flexibility despite operating losses. Low leverage reduces default and interest burden risks, making external financing easier and preserving options for strategic investments or asset accumulation over the next several months.
Material balance sheet expansion via digital assets
Significant increase in digital-asset holdings materially strengthened reported assets and equity, improving liquidity and capital headroom. This is a durable structural change to the company’s funding and collateral profile that can support digital-asset financing initiatives going forward.
Strategic acquisitions and partnerships
Acquisitions and alliances expand AlphaTON’s operating footprint beyond treasury holdings into platform and service adjacencies. These moves can diversify future revenue opportunities, build operational capabilities, and strengthen institutional relationships over the medium term.
Negative Factors
No revenue base
A complete absence of recurring revenue leaves AlphaTON dependent on asset mark-to-market moves and financings to cover operating losses. Without a proven revenue model, profitability and self-sustaining cash generation remain uncertain for months ahead, increasing long-term execution risk.
Persistent negative cash flow
Consistent operating and free cash outflows indicate the business consumes capital to operate rather than generates it. Even with improvement, continued negative cash flow implies ongoing reliance on external funding and potential dilution, constraining sustainable growth and strategic flexibility.
Contingent repurchase obligations and elevated liabilities
Put rights, repurchase obligations and settlements have produced sudden cash or asset outflows and increased current liabilities. These contingent commitments add structural liquidity and balance-sheet risk, complicating capital planning and increasing the likelihood of future funding needs.

AlphaTON Capital (ATON) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AlphaTON Capital Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlphaTON Capital Corp. is the rebranded entity formerly known as Portage Biotech Inc., a clinical-stage immuno-oncology company transitioning into a digital asset treasury model focused on accumulating and staking Toncoin (TON). AlphaTON intends to invest significantly in TON tokens, targeting a Long-Term TON treasury of approximately US $100 million.
How the Company Makes MoneyPortage Biotech Inc. generates revenue primarily through the development and commercialization of its proprietary cancer immunotherapy products. The company's revenue streams include licensing agreements, strategic partnerships, and collaborations with pharmaceutical companies. These partnerships often involve milestone payments, royalties on sales, and joint development efforts that leverage Portage's innovative technologies. Additionally, the company may receive funding from grants and research collaborations that support the advancement of its therapeutic pipeline. Portage's focus on cutting-edge oncology solutions positions it to capitalize on the growing demand for effective cancer treatments, contributing to its financial performance.

AlphaTON Capital Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are very weak: revenue is consistently zero, profitability remains negative (EBIT and net income losses), and operating/free cash flow are negative across all periods. Low debt is a partial offset, but equity has collapsed and turned slightly negative in the latest year, reducing financial flexibility despite some improvement in loss and cash burn.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
The income statement is very weak: reported revenue is consistently zero across the annual periods provided, while operating losses remain sizable (EBIT negative every year). Losses persist despite some improvement in the most recent year (net loss narrowed materially versus 2023 and 2024), but profitability remains firmly negative with no visible revenue base to support a sustainable turnaround.
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Leverage is low overall (debt is minimal or zero in most years), which is a clear positive. However, the balance sheet has deteriorated sharply: stockholders’ equity fell from $121.2M (2022) to $76.0M (2023) to $4.0M (2024) and turned negative in 2025 ($-0.1M), signaling significant cumulative losses and reduced financial flexibility despite limited debt.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Cash generation is poor: operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative in every year shown, indicating the business is consuming cash to operate. The cash burn improved meaningfully in 2025 versus 2024, but free cash flow growth remains negative and the company still lacks internally generated cash to fund operations without external support.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit0.00-35.00K-54.00K-1.00K0.000.00
EBITDA-16.37M-6.74M-18.20M-122.25M-14.77M-14.71M
Net Income-19.69M-6.77M-75.34M-104.61M-16.87M-15.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets30.59M2.23M7.78M99.13M194.66M174.86M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments183.00K1.67M5.03M10.54M23.35M2.77M
Total Debt0.000.0047.00K0.000.00150.00K
Total Liabilities21.70M3.05M4.45M23.73M29.23M27.26M
Stockholders Equity9.59M-123.00K4.02M76.05M121.20M101.45M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.65M-5.46M-14.30M-12.08M-6.76M-3.28M
Operating Cash Flow-3.65M-5.46M-14.30M-12.07M-6.76M-4.28M
Investing Cash Flow-50.00K0.002.81M-617.00K0.00-860.00K
Financing Cash Flow2.12M2.10M5.97M-117.00K27.35M4.76M

AlphaTON Capital Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.61
Price Trends
50DMA
1.80
Negative
100DMA
3.92
Negative
200DMA
5.65
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.24
Negative
RSI
37.35
Neutral
STOCH
5.67
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ATON, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.61 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.80, below the 50-day MA of 1.80, and below the 200-day MA of 5.65, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.67 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ATON.

AlphaTON Capital Risk Analysis

AlphaTON Capital disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. AlphaTON Capital reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
We rely on information technology and security systems and any damage, interruption or compromise of our information technology and security systems or data could disrupt and harm our business. Q1, 2023
2.
Any actual or perceived failure by us to comply with government or other obligations related to privacy or data protection could adversely affect our business. Q1, 2023

AlphaTON Capital Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
53
Neutral
$15.22M-0.34-145.42%79.31%
48
Neutral
$12.21M-0.29-81.97%-46.88%34.83%
46
Neutral
$12.27M-0.51-107.58%83.95%
46
Neutral
$7.18M-0.21-168.18%71.57%
41
Neutral
$9.99M-0.01
41
Neutral
$5.69M
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ATON
AlphaTON Capital
0.75
-3.36
-81.75%
CANF
Can-Fite BioPharma
4.00
-27.00
-87.10%
PHIO
Phio Pharmaceuticals
1.14
-1.34
-54.03%
CLRB
Cellectar Biosciences
3.59
-3.87
-51.88%
MTVA
MetaVia
3.11
-18.45
-85.58%
BOLT
Bolt Biotherapeutics
6.36
-4.22
-39.89%

AlphaTON Capital Corporate Events

AlphaTON Capital Raises $15 Million in Registered Direct Offering to Scale Cocoon AI
Jan 15, 2026

On January 13, 2026, AlphaTON Capital Corp entered into a securities purchase agreement for a registered direct offering of 15 million ordinary shares or pre-funded warrants at $1.00 per security, with closing completed on January 14, 2026, generating approximately $13.6 million in net proceeds after fees. The capital raise, arranged with H.C. Wainwright & Co. as exclusive placement agent and accompanied by placement agent warrants, is intended to fund the scaling of GPU deployments for AlphaTON’s Cocoon AI platform as well as working capital and general corporate purposes, while customary issuance restrictions and a one-year prohibition on variable rate financings underscore efforts to manage dilution and financing risk as the company deepens its position in the TON and Telegram-related technology ecosystem.

The most recent analyst rating on (ATON) stock is a Sell with a $0.86 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AlphaTON Capital stock, see the ATON Stock Forecast page.

AlphaTON Capital Files Q2 2025 Interim Results, Revealing Major Digital Asset-Driven Balance Sheet Expansion
Jan 13, 2026

On January 12, 2026, AlphaTON Capital Corp filed a Form 6-K for January 2026, furnishing unaudited condensed consolidated interim financial statements and management’s discussion and analysis for the three and six months ended September 30, 2025. The filing shows a substantial expansion of the balance sheet over the period, with total assets rising to $30.6 million from $2.2 million as of March 31, 2025, driven largely by the addition of stablecoins, TON and Bitcoin holdings, and digital asset receivables, while current liabilities increased to $21.5 million, primarily reflecting a sizable put right liability. Shareholders’ equity improved from a deficit of $0.8 million at March 31, 2025 to positive equity of $8.9 million at September 30, 2025, indicating a material strengthening of the company’s capital position even as accumulated deficits remain significant, a shift that could meaningfully affect its financial flexibility and risk profile for investors in the evolving digital-asset financing space.

The most recent analyst rating on (ATON) stock is a Sell with a $0.88 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AlphaTON Capital stock, see the ATON Stock Forecast page.

AlphaTON Capital Ends At-The-Market Share Offering Agreement With Chardan
Jan 9, 2026

On November 25, 2025, AlphaTON Capital Corp. filed a prospectus supplement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to offer and sell up to approximately $15.3 million of its ordinary shares under an at-the-market (ATM) offering agreement with Chardan Capital Markets LLC. However, that ATM Agreement, originally dated July 31, 2025, was subsequently terminated effective immediately on December 24, 2025, signaling a halt to this specific equity-raising program and potentially indicating a shift in AlphaTON Capital’s funding strategy or market approach going into 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (ATON) stock is a Sell with a $0.58 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AlphaTON Capital stock, see the ATON Stock Forecast page.

AlphaTON Capital Partially Unwinds September 2025 Private Placement After Investor Exercises Put Option
Dec 31, 2025

On December 8, 2025, AlphaTON Capital Corp was required to honor a previously disclosed put option granted to certain investors in connection with its September 25, 2025 private placement financing. Under a side letter agreement, one investor exercised its right to have the company repurchase 658,644 ordinary shares at the original consideration value, compelling AlphaTON to transfer back 1,230,590.71 locked TON tokens and 187,515.21 liquid TON tokens with no adjustment for market value. The transaction effectively reverses part of the September financing and underscores the potential liquidity and balance-sheet impact of these contingent repurchase obligations on the company and its token-based capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (ATON) stock is a Sell with a $0.58 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AlphaTON Capital stock, see the ATON Stock Forecast page.

AlphaTON Capital Unwinds TON Treasury Deal With DWF in $15 Million Settlement
Dec 31, 2025

On December 30, 2025, AlphaTON Capital Corp entered into a Settlement Agreement and Release with DWF MaaS Limited to resolve disputes over rights and obligations arising from an August 25, 2025 Treasury Management Agreement under which DWF had been appointed to manage a portion of AlphaTON’s TON treasury strategy. The settlement follows DWF’s September 25, 2025 subscription for 105,000 ordinary shares and pre-funded warrants to purchase up to 2,513,240 additional shares for $15 million, as well as a separate issuance of 160,000 restricted shares that were to vest over three years. Under the terms of the Settlement Agreement, AlphaTON will repurchase the previously issued shares and pre-funded warrants from DWF for $15 million (or the remaining amount in the original funding wallet), remove vesting restrictions on the 160,000 restricted shares, pay DWF $35,000, and mutually release all claims, while terminating both the Treasury Management Agreement and the Restricted Share Agreement, effectively unwinding the earlier financing and management arrangements with DWF.

The most recent analyst rating on (ATON) stock is a Sell with a $0.58 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AlphaTON Capital stock, see the ATON Stock Forecast page.

AlphaTON Capital Discloses Immediate Resignation of Director Alexander Pickett
Dec 23, 2025

On December 19, 2025, AlphaTON Capital Corp announced that board member Alexander Pickett had resigned from the company’s board of directors, effective immediately, a governance change that may prompt adjustments to the board’s composition and committee assignments. The resignation was formally reported in a Form 6-K filed on December 23, 2025, which also confirms the company’s continued use of existing SEC registration statements, underscoring that this leadership change comes as AlphaTON maintains its established capital markets framework for investors.

AlphaTON Capital Initiates $15.3M ATM Offering
Nov 26, 2025

On November 25, 2025, AlphaTON Capital Corp announced the filing of a prospectus supplement with the SEC for the sale of up to $15,307,818 of its ordinary shares under an At-The-Market Offering Agreement with Chardan Capital Markets. This move is part of a strategic effort to raise capital through flexible market transactions, potentially impacting the company’s financial operations and market presence.

AlphaTON Capital Clarifies Equity Line and Expands Strategic Initiatives
Nov 21, 2025

On November 19, 2025, AlphaTON Capital Corp issued a press release stating that ATW Partners provided an $18.5 million equity line, which was later retracted on November 20, 2025, clarifying no such agreement exists. The company emphasized its strategic initiatives, including asset accumulation and partnerships, to enhance its position in the digital asset space. AlphaTON has executed significant allocations in digital assets and strategic acquisitions, such as a 51% interest in GAMEE and an acquisition agreement for Blockchain Wire. The company is also launching initiatives like the AlphaTON World Tour to attract institutional capital and has formed strategic alliances to support its operations.

AlphaTON Capital Appoints New CFO Amid Strategic Shift
Oct 23, 2025

AlphaTON Capital Corp announced a significant management change with the departure of Andrea Park as Chief Financial Officer and the appointment of Wes Levitt to the role, effective October 24, 2025. The company has entered into an independent contractor agreement with Mr. Levitt, which includes a comprehensive compensation package with a base fee, performance bonuses, and equity grants. This change is expected to impact the company’s financial strategy and operations, potentially influencing its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

AlphaTON Capital’s October 2025 SEC Filing Update
Oct 22, 2025

AlphaTON Capital Corp, a company with 6,349,197 ordinary shares outstanding as of October 20, 2025, has filed a report on Form 6-K with the SEC. This filing, dated October 22, 2025, incorporates the report into its registration statements on Form S-8 and Form F-3, potentially impacting its market operations and investor relations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 18, 2026