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CaliberCos, Inc. Class A (CWD)
NASDAQ:CWD
US Market
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CaliberCos, Inc. Class A (CWD) AI Stock Analysis

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CWD

CaliberCos, Inc. Class A

(NASDAQ:CWD)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$0.90
▼(-31.74% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/19/26
The score is held down primarily by very weak financial performance (shrinking revenue, heavy losses, and ongoing cash burn) and bearish technicals (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). These are only partially offset by a more constructive earnings call featuring reaffirmed guidance, improving platform economics, and liability-management actions; valuation is constrained by the company’s loss-making profile and lack of dividend support.
Positive Factors
Platform revenue & adjusted EBITDA improvement
Sustained platform-level revenue growth coupled with a large shrinkage in adjusted EBITDA loss shows improving unit economics and operating leverage. If maintained, narrower platform losses and rising platform revenue support durable cash flow improvement and reduce reliance on corporate financing to reach profitability.
Negative Factors
Persistently weak profitability and cash flow
Deep and sustained negative margins alongside recurring free‑cash‑flow burn indicate core profitability issues and ongoing funding needs. This structural cash consumption limits reinvestment, raises default or dilution risk if financing dries up, and makes achieving stable operating leverage harder without material execution gains.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Platform revenue & adjusted EBITDA improvement
Sustained platform-level revenue growth coupled with a large shrinkage in adjusted EBITDA loss shows improving unit economics and operating leverage. If maintained, narrower platform losses and rising platform revenue support durable cash flow improvement and reduce reliance on corporate financing to reach profitability.
Read all positive factors

CaliberCos, Inc. Class A (CWD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CaliberCos, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
CaliberCos Inc. is a real estate investment, and an asset management firm specializes in middle-market assets. It serves its investor clients by creating, managing, and servicing proprietary products, including middle-market investment funds, priv...
How the Company Makes Money
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CaliberCos, Inc. Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a mix of clear operational progress and improved financial discipline — revenue growth (~16% YoY), a large reduction in adjusted EBITDA loss (75.9% improvement), expense cuts (‑11%) and material project milestones (Hyatt Studios financing close, permits and HUD approvals). Management also advanced digital asset/tokenization capabilities and enacted liability conversion programs to address near‑term maturities. Offsetting these positives are timing‑related revenue delays, a sequential decline in managed capital, a sizable amount of near‑term maturing unsecured notes (~$24.5M), and continued dependence on financings to realize the full year plan. On balance, the call skewed constructive because operational improvements, cost reductions, project financing wins, and proactive liability management substantially mitigate the highlighted risks, while guidance for 2026 was reaffirmed.
Positive Updates
Platform Revenue Growth
Platform revenue for Q1 2026 was $4.1M, up from $3.5M in Q1 2025 — described by management as nearly 16% year‑over‑year growth.
Negative Updates
Construction & Development Revenue Timing Delay
Construction and development revenue declined in Q1 2026 due primarily to the timing of project financings; several financings expected to close in Q1 were pushed out, deferring revenue into later quarters.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Platform Revenue Growth
Platform revenue for Q1 2026 was $4.1M, up from $3.5M in Q1 2025 — described by management as nearly 16% year‑over‑year growth.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Caliber reaffirmed full‑year 2026 revenue guidance of $18–$22 million and expects adjusted EBITDA profitability and positive net operating income, forecasting that ~60% of 2026 revenue growth will come from project‑level financings and ~40% from capital formation/asset management; in Q1 platform revenue was $4.1M (vs. $3.5M a year ago, ~17% YoY / “nearly 16%” as described), platform adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed to <$0.5M (vs. $1.4M loss prior year, a 75.9% improvement), total platform expenses were $5.4M (down 11% YoY), fund management fees rose 3.7% YoY, average headcount fell 31% (from 74 to 51), estimated performance allocations were $99M (down from $104M last quarter, up from $88M YoY), and managed capital was $490M (vs. $517M prior quarter and $495M a year ago); corporate/treasury metrics included 507,560 LINK tokens (~$4.5M fair value) with ~55,000 LINK sold for ~$0.5M, 148 unsecured notes totaling ~$26.2M (≈$24.5M maturing within 12 months), and note conversions of ~$1.5M to Series AAA preferred and ~$1.9M to common (reducing debt ≈$3.4M this round and ~$5.3M total since October 2025).

CaliberCos, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial quality is very weak: revenue has declined across recent periods, profitability is deeply negative (TTM net margin around -158%), and free cash flow remains negative (about -$13M TTM). Balance sheet metrics have been volatile historically with periods of negative equity and very high leverage, despite a notably different (improved) TTM snapshot—overall elevating liquidity and execution risk.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
22
Negative
Cash Flow
15
Very Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Mar 2025Mar 2024Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.27M20.10M51.12M90.94M83.96M56.03M
Gross Profit1.13M-3.33M24.62M10.27M23.29M34.00K
EBITDA-14.48M-14.01M-7.14M-11.99M24.34M-9.97M
Net Income-20.98M-21.80M-19.78M-12.70M2.02M-698.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets179.59M135.40M105.53M299.43M278.83M245.65M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments543.00K2.54M2.31M3.81M7.66M8.38M
Total Debt129.19M98.23M81.76M209.61M177.63M166.31M
Total Liabilities140.88M109.17M94.28M233.41M201.65M195.96M
Stockholders Equity1.25M1.33M-12.59M2.62M-3.21M-9.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-12.96M-12.06M555.00K-18.72M-8.11M-15.02M
Operating Cash Flow-12.96M-12.06M555.00K-18.72M-7.43M-15.02M
Investing Cash Flow-23.03M-23.51M-19.63M10.69M-31.75M-14.31M
Financing Cash Flow36.24M36.69M6.33M9.74M38.58M35.05M

CaliberCos, Inc. Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.32
Price Trends
50DMA
1.10
Negative
100DMA
1.20
Negative
200DMA
2.24
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Negative
RSI
46.52
Neutral
STOCH
50.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CWD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.01, above the 50-day MA of 1.10, and below the 200-day MA of 2.24, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CWD.

CaliberCos, Inc. Class A Risk Analysis

CaliberCos, Inc. Class A disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CaliberCos, Inc. Class A reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CaliberCos, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
44
Neutral
$7.19M-0.22-1438.14%-51.65%58.35%
$10.09M>-0.01-109.09%-8154.56%
$4.80B-0.02-38.57%
57
Neutral
$25.16M-92.5660.02%
47
Neutral
$6.85M-1.77-25.88%1.07%48.39%-596.86%
42
Neutral
$48.04M38.19%-25.29%54.99%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CWD
CaliberCos, Inc. Class A
0.99
-2.18
-68.77%
BTTC
Black Titan
1.10
-3.55
-76.34%
MAAS
Highest Performances Holdings
11.85
-257.09
-95.59%
BENF
Beneficient
3.40
0.76
28.79%
GRAN
Grande Group Limited Class A
1.05
-3.74
-78.08%
MLCI
Mount Logan Capital Inc
3.39
-4.52
-57.14%

CaliberCos, Inc. Class A Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
CaliberCos Shareholders Elect Directors, Ratify Auditor at Meeting
Positive
May 15, 2026
CaliberCos Inc. held its 2026 annual meeting of stockholders on May 14, 2026, with 7,053,062 shares of common stock representing 10,390,460 votes entitled to vote and 57.656% of those votes present in person or by proxy, constituting a quorum unde...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
CaliberCos Reports Q1 2026 Results and Strategic Progress
Positive
May 13, 2026
Caliber reported first-quarter 2026 platform revenue of $4.1 million, up from $3.5 million a year earlier, and a platform net loss of $4.3 million, while narrowing its platform adjusted EBITDA loss to $0.3 million and operating near break-even at ...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CaliberCos Schedules Q1 2026 Results Call and Webcast
Positive
May 5, 2026
CaliberCos Inc., a Scottsdale-based alternative asset manager focused on middle-market hospitality and multifamily real estate, has expanded into digital assets by integrating blockchain and tokenization technologies, including an investment in Ch...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
CaliberCos Advances Multi-Market Hyatt Studios Hotel Developments
Positive
Apr 23, 2026
CaliberCos Inc., a diversified real estate and digital asset management platform, is expanding its presence in the upper-midscale extended-stay hotel segment through a multi-market Hyatt Studios development strategy. The company focuses on buildin...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
CaliberCos Advances Noteholder Conversions to Reduce Corporate Debt
Positive
Apr 15, 2026
On April 14, 2026, CaliberCos Inc. reported further progress in cutting corporate leverage via the second round of its Noteholder Conversion Program, converting about $1.9 million of unsecured notes into Class A common stock and roughly $1.5 milli...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
CaliberCos Launches Note Conversion and Preferred Stock Alignment
Positive
Apr 14, 2026
In March 2026, CaliberCos Inc. launched a note conversion program allowing holders of certain unsecured promissory notes to convert their debt into Class A common stock or newly created Series AAA Convertible Preferred Stock. By April 9, 2026, not...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
CaliberCos Advances PURE Pickleball & Padel With Permits
Positive
Apr 13, 2026
CaliberCos Inc., a diversified real estate and digital asset management platform, has co-developed PURE Pickleball Padel, a roughly 196,000-square-foot indoor sports and social club in a Qualified Opportunity Zone near Scottsdale, Arizona, design...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
CaliberCos Announces Board Transition and New Independent Director
Positive
Apr 1, 2026
CaliberCos Inc., a Nasdaq-listed real estate and digital asset-focused alternative asset manager, specializes in middle-market hospitality and multifamily properties and is expanding into blockchain-enabled tokenization of real estate funds. The f...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
CaliberCos Simplifies Capital Structure with Preferred Conversion
Positive
Mar 31, 2026
On March 30, 2026, CaliberCos Inc. announced that an institutional investor had converted approximately $15.9 million of perpetual, non-dividend-paying Series B preferred equity into 63,472 shares of common stock at a conversion price of $250 per ...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
CaliberCos Outlines 2026 Outlook Amid Portfolio Realignment
Neutral
Mar 25, 2026
Caliber reported that for the fourth quarter and full year ended Dec. 31, 2025, platform revenue declined to $4.0 million and $15.2 million respectively, reflecting delays in capital markets activity and the timing of project financings, while pla...
Regulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
CaliberCos Sets 2026 Virtual Annual Meeting, Resets Deadlines
Neutral
Mar 25, 2026
On March 19, 2026, CaliberCos Inc.&#8217;s board set May 14, 2026 as the date for its 2026 annual meeting of stockholders, which will be held virtually, and designated March 20, 2026 as the record date for voting eligibility. Because the meeting d...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CaliberCos Sets Date for Q4 2025 Earnings Release
Neutral
Mar 16, 2026
CaliberCos Inc., which trades on Nasdaq as CWD, is an alternative asset manager operating a diversified real estate and digital asset management platform. The company oversees more than $2.6 billion in managed assets and has a 16-year track record...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
CaliberCos Advances Hotel Portfolio Strategy With Asset Sale
Positive
Feb 27, 2026
On Feb. 27, 2026, Caliber announced it had sold the Holiday Inn Ocotillo in the Phoenix&#8211;Chandler submarket for $13 million, an asset held within Caliber Hospitality Trust, its private Up-C hospitality vehicle. Management said the deal valida...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 19, 2026