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CaliberCos, Inc. Class A (CWD)
NASDAQ:CWD
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CaliberCos, Inc. Class A (CWD) AI Stock Analysis

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CWD

CaliberCos, Inc. Class A

(NASDAQ:CWD)

Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▲(87.17% Upside)
CaliberCos, Inc. faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and high leverage being the most critical issues. While recent corporate events and strategic initiatives show promise, the company's financial instability and negative valuation metrics weigh heavily on the overall score. Technical analysis also indicates bearish momentum, further impacting the stock's attractiveness.

CaliberCos, Inc. Class A (CWD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CaliberCos, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCaliberCos Inc. is a real estate investment, and an asset management firm specializes in middle-market assets. It serves its investor clients by creating, managing, and servicing proprietary products, including middle-market investment funds, private syndications, and direct investments, which are managed by the firm's in-house asset services group. It invests primarily in commercial real estate, qualified opportunity zones (QOZ), private equity, and debt facilities. It delivers a full suite of alternative investments to high net worth, accredited and qualified investors, as well as family offices and smaller institutions. CaliberCos Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona.
How the Company Makes MoneyCaliberCos, Inc. generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company earns income from asset management fees, which are charged to investors based on the total assets under management (AUM). Additionally, the company makes money through property management fees, acquisition fees, and development fees associated with the properties within its portfolio. CaliberCos may also generate returns from the appreciation of its real estate investments and any realized gains from property sales. Significant partnerships with financial institutions and real estate developers can further enhance its revenue potential by providing additional capital and investment opportunities.

CaliberCos, Inc. Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -27.24%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Caliber has made significant strides in strategic repositioning, cost savings, and new development agreements, showing promise for future growth. However, challenges remain in revenue decline, fundraising, and note refinancing. The sentiment is balanced with potential for improvement in the second half of the year.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Repositioning and Cost Savings Initiatives
Caliber has successfully executed cost savings initiatives, aiming for an annual EBITDA margin of 25% or greater. Full impact expected to materialize starting in Q3 2025.
Improved Financing Environment
The financing environment for commercial real estate has begun to improve, positively impacting Caliber's strategies to increase AUM.
Hyatt Studios Development Agreement
Caliber entered into a development rights agreement with Hyatt Hotels Corporation to develop 15 new Hyatt Studios hotels, representing an estimated $400 million in projects.
Series AA Preferred Stock Offering
Caliber's Series AA cumulative redeemable preferred stock offering, qualified by the SEC, is seeking to raise up to $20 million, with significant progress reported.
Asset Management Revenue Growth
Managed capital increased by 9.1% year-over-year, and asset management and administrative fees increased by 7%.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Total Q1 Platform Revenue
Total Q1 platform revenue of $3.5 million, a 25% decrease compared to the prior period, primarily due to a decrease in active development projects.
Challenging Fundraising Environment
Fundraising remained challenging, with muted fundraising over the past two years compared to expectations.
Unsecured Notes Maturity and Refinancing
Approximately $26.1 million in unsecured notes have matured or will mature within the next 12 months, requiring refinancing or repayment.
Delayed Hotel Contributions Impact AUM
The previously expected LTD hotel contributions did not move forward due to declining performance, affecting AUM trajectory for Caliber Hospitality Trust.
Company Guidance
During the Caliber Q1 2025 earnings call, management provided guidance highlighting several key metrics and strategic shifts. The company aims to achieve an annual EBITDA margin of 25% or greater by focusing on three core verticals—hospitality, multifamily, and multi-tenant industrial investing. Caliber is reducing its exposure to long-term development activities to a maximum of 30% of its portfolio, seeking to generate cash for new investments and increase asset management fees. As of March 31, 2025, Caliber's estimated performance allocations totaled $87.7 million. The company also launched a Series AA cumulative redeemable preferred stock offering, targeting to raise $20 million, and introduced a 1031 exchange program. Despite challenges, Caliber reported a 9.1% increase in managed capital, reaching $495.2 million, and a decrease in platform-adjusted EBITDA loss from $1.7 million in Q1 2024 to $1.4 million in Q1 2025. The company is optimistic about achieving profitability in the second half of 2025, supported by cost-saving initiatives and an improving financing environment.

CaliberCos, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CaliberCos, Inc. faces significant financial challenges, including declining revenues, persistent losses, and high leverage. The negative equity position and substantial debt levels raise concerns about the company's financial stability. While there is a slight improvement in operating cash flow, overall cash flow remains constrained, limiting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Income Statement
35
Negative
CaliberCos, Inc. has experienced a significant decline in revenue from $90.94 million in 2023 to $51.12 million in 2024, indicating a revenue contraction of approximately 43.8%. The company also reported negative net income and EBIT margins, with a net loss of $19.78 million and an EBIT of -$13.31 million in 2024. These figures highlight challenges in achieving profitability and managing operational costs.
Balance Sheet
25
Negative
The balance sheet shows financial instability, with a negative stockholders' equity of -$12.59 million in 2024, indicating potential solvency issues. The debt-to-equity ratio is not calculable due to negative equity, but the high total debt of $81.76 million suggests significant leverage. This poses a risk to financial health, especially in a volatile market.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
CaliberCos, Inc. generated a positive operating cash flow of $0.55 million in 2024, an improvement from negative cash flows in previous years. However, the free cash flow remains low at $0.55 million, indicating limited cash available for growth and investment. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some efficiency in cash generation relative to net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue35.43M51.12M90.94M83.96M56.03M37.88M
Gross Profit26.06M24.62M-20.24M-591.00K-15.27M-22.47M
EBITDA-7.80M-7.14M-19.03M657.00K-11.62M-18.28M
Net Income-20.38M-19.78M-12.70M2.02M-698.00K-5.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets103.64M105.53M299.43M278.83M245.65M227.34M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.57M2.31M3.81M7.66M8.38M6.53M
Total Debt83.24M81.76M209.61M170.33M160.29M148.77M
Total Liabilities96.28M94.28M233.41M201.65M195.96M178.90M
Stockholders Equity-15.81M-12.59M2.62M-3.21M-9.09M-16.34M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow344.00K555.00K-18.72M-8.11M-20.02M-16.56M
Operating Cash Flow344.00K555.00K-18.72M-7.43M-15.02M-15.77M
Investing Cash Flow6.69M-19.63M10.69M-31.75M-14.31M-9.67M
Financing Cash Flow-8.01M6.33M9.74M38.58M35.05M19.56M

CaliberCos, Inc. Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.87
Price Trends
50DMA
3.13
Negative
100DMA
4.83
Negative
200DMA
8.29
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.28
Positive
RSI
34.49
Neutral
STOCH
2.57
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CWD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.87 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.65, below the 50-day MA of 3.13, and below the 200-day MA of 8.29, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.28 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 2.57 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CWD.

CaliberCos, Inc. Class A Risk Analysis

CaliberCos, Inc. Class A disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CaliberCos, Inc. Class A reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CaliberCos, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$54.11M5.75-11.50%33.33%80.67%-157.99%
68
Neutral
$17.52B11.6510.45%3.85%9.69%1.92%
52
Neutral
$44.18M-8.01%38.38%71.72%
48
Neutral
$33.54M-11.08%-27.89%51.00%
47
Neutral
$2.47M-5013.15%-54.32%-35.99%
42
Neutral
$12.02M
34
Underperform
$2.71M-538.85%78.84%97.65%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CWD
CaliberCos, Inc. Class A
1.87
-10.68
-85.10%
TURN
180 Degree Capital
4.42
1.06
31.55%
RAND
Rand Capital
15.21
-1.81
-10.63%
BCG
Binah Capital Group
2.02
-1.48
-42.29%
BENF
Beneficient
0.31
-2.02
-86.70%
PWM
Prestige Wealth, Inc.
0.38
-0.38
-50.00%

CaliberCos, Inc. Class A Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CaliberCos Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Aug 14, 2025

CaliberCos Inc. reported its second quarter 2025 financial results, showing a slight decrease in platform revenue to $4.1 million compared to the previous year. The company remains focused on achieving platform adjusted EBITDA profitability in the latter half of 2025 by reducing corporate overhead and concentrating on key real estate sectors. Key developments in the quarter included the approval of the Canyon Village redevelopment project and a successful $22.5 million refinance for a hotel in Tucson, AZ, both benefiting from opportunity zone incentives. These moves are expected to enhance Caliber’s market position and drive future growth.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
CaliberCos Inc. Elects Directors at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Aug 6, 2025

CaliberCos Inc. held its 2025 annual meeting of stockholders on August 1, 2025, where key proposals were voted upon. The meeting saw the election of six directors to serve until the 2026 annual meeting, with all nominees successfully elected. Additionally, the appointment of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, was ratified by the stockholders.

Financial Disclosures
CaliberCos to Announce Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Aug 1, 2025

On July 30, 2025, CaliberCos Inc. announced it will release its second quarter 2025 financial results on August 13, 2025, after the market closes. The company will also hold a webcast/conference call on the same day to discuss the results, which reflects its ongoing commitment to transparency and investor engagement.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
CaliberCos Appoints Gregory James as New COO
Neutral
Jul 8, 2025

On July 1, 2025, CaliberCos Inc. announced the termination of Ignacio Martinez as Chief Operating Officer, effective July 7, 2025. Gregory Randolph James was appointed as the new COO, effective the same day. James, who joined Caliber in October 2024, brings extensive experience in hotel operations and asset management, previously serving as Senior Vice President at Summit Hotel Properties. His appointment aligns with Caliber’s strategic focus on enhancing its real estate operations and expanding its hospitality platform, aiming to deliver exceptional value to investors and communities.

Shareholder Meetings
CaliberCos Adjusts 2025 Annual Meeting Date
Neutral
Jun 16, 2025

CaliberCos Inc., a Delaware-based company, has announced a change in the date for its 2025 annual meeting of stockholders, moving it to August 1, 2025, to be held virtually. This adjustment, due to the need for more time to process proxy materials, impacts the deadline for stockholder nominations and proposals, which must now be submitted by June 18, 2025, to be considered for inclusion in the meeting’s proxy materials.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
CaliberCos Secures $22.5M Refinance for Tucson Hotel
Positive
May 22, 2025

On May 21, 2025, CaliberCos Inc. announced the successful refinancing of the DoubleTree by Hilton Hotel in Tucson, Arizona, with a $22.5 million cash-out refinance. The transaction, supported by Citi and advised by Arriba Capital, will strengthen the asset and support reinvestment across Caliber’s Tax-Advantaged Opportunity Zone Fund portfolio. This move highlights the property’s long-term value and Caliber’s ability to execute disciplined investments, further positioning the company for growth in the real estate market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2025