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Deutsche Telekom (DTEGY)
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Deutsche Telekom (DTEGY) AI Stock Analysis

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DTEGY

Deutsche Telekom

(OTC:DTEGY)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$38.00
â–²(10.98% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/04/26
The score is driven primarily by strong profitability and improving cash flow, which help offset elevated leverage risk. Technicals add support with a clear uptrend and positive momentum. The earnings call was a net positive due to strong 2026 guidance and operational progress, while valuation is fair rather than cheap, limiting upside from multiple expansion.
Positive Factors
Strong Free Cash Flow
Material and improving free cash flow provides durable internal funding for capex, dividends and debt service. That consistent cash generation supports the fiber rollout and AI investments without relying solely on markets, mitigating some risks from elevated leverage over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
High absolute debt raises refinancing and interest-rate sensitivity, constraining strategic optionality. Even with strong cash flow, leverage limits M&A room, increases cost of capital and heightens downside risk if cash generation dips or FX/headwinds persist.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong Free Cash Flow
Material and improving free cash flow provides durable internal funding for capex, dividends and debt service. That consistent cash generation supports the fiber rollout and AI investments without relying solely on markets, mitigating some risks from elevated leverage over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors

Deutsche Telekom (DTEGY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Deutsche Telekom Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Deutsche Telekom AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated telecommunication services. The company operates through five segments: Germany, United States, Europe, Systems Solutions, and Group Development. It offers fixed-network serv...
How the Company Makes Money
Deutsche Telekom primarily makes money by selling connectivity and communication services on recurring subscription-style contracts and usage-based plans, complemented by device and equipment sales and business IT services. A major share of revenu...

Deutsche Telekom Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a predominantly positive operational and financial picture: group-wide organic revenue, adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow all improved in 2025; the company announced a record dividend, accelerated fiber rollout, strong U.S. performance, continued AI and data investments (including a sovereign AI factory), and an upgraded 2026 EBITDA target. However, several notable headwinds persist — broadband volume losses in Germany, FX-related drags from a weaker U.S. dollar, regulatory uncertainty across Europe, energy cost pressures, and operational frictions in fiber uptake and delivery — which temper near-term visibility. On balance the highlights (broad growth, investment, commercial momentum, and strategic initiatives) outweigh the lowlights, but management acknowledges pockets of execution and macro/regulatory challenges that keep some targets exposed to risk.
Positive Updates
Record Dividend Proposal
Proposed dividend of EUR 1.00 per share — the highest in Deutsche Telekom's history — signaling strong cash generation and confidence in 2025 results.
Negative Updates
Broadband Volume Losses and Weaker Fixed Service Revenues
Germany experienced broadband customer losses in 2025 that depressed fixed service revenues; retail broadband revenue growth slowed to 1.6% in the last quarter and overall fixed service trends remain weaker-than-expected, weighing on segment results.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Dividend Proposal
Proposed dividend of EUR 1.00 per share — the highest in Deutsche Telekom's history — signaling strong cash generation and confidence in 2025 results.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided for 2026 that adjusted EBITDA should grow ~6% to €47.4bn (guidance set at constant FX, USD/EUR 1.13), free cash flow should rise ~3% to €19.8bn and adjusted EPS should increase ~10% to ~€2.20; this follows a strong 2025 where group organic net revenue was up 4.2% to €119.1bn, service revenue +3.8% to €99.4bn, adjusted EBITDA +4.7% to €44.2bn, free cash flow +2% to €19.5bn and adjusted net profit +3.7%, with nearly €17bn invested in 2025 (Germany €5.9bn). Key operational metrics cited: Germany added 2.5m new fiber lines in 2025 (12.6m homes passed, ~600k net fiber customers, Q4 fiber adds 164k) and is on track for ~17.5m homes passed by 2027 and a 1m/year fiber run‑rate target; Europe added 1.1m FTTH homes (11.3m homes, 36% utilization, Q4 organic revenue +3.5%, FY service revenue +3.9% and EBITDA AL ~€4.8bn outlook), T‑Systems is scaling AI/cloud (targeting T‑Cloud public >€200m, selected verticals aiming for strong y/y growth), and the U.S. business reported service revenue +10.5% to $18.7bn, adjusted core EBITDA +6.8% to $8.4bn, with 2.4m Q4 postpaid net adds (churn ~1.02%).

Deutsche Telekom Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and cash generation are the core strengths (strong, improving free cash flow and solid operating earnings), helping support investment needs. The main offset is a leveraged balance sheet (debt large vs. equity), and revenue growth is steady but limited with some year-to-year variability.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue114.38B118.43B114.73B117.07B110.47B
Gross Profit28.14B52.95B49.77B45.95B43.28B
EBITDA48.75B40.62B38.22B34.23B34.41B
Net Income9.23B11.21B17.79B8.00B4.18B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets310.70B304.93B290.31B298.59B281.63B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.82B8.37B7.28B5.62B6.01B
Total Debt141.12B145.15B138.75B147.75B142.07B
Total Liabilities218.50B206.29B199.07B211.27B200.16B
Stockholders Equity62.14B63.30B56.92B48.56B42.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow27.20B20.70B19.43B11.71B5.81B
Operating Cash Flow39.02B39.87B37.30B35.82B32.17B
Investing Cash Flow-30.75B-18.90B-10.21B-22.31B-27.40B
Financing Cash Flow-7.75B-20.28B-25.53B-15.44B-10.78B

Deutsche Telekom Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price34.24
Price Trends
50DMA
36.32
Negative
100DMA
33.81
Positive
200DMA
33.71
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.45
Positive
RSI
44.31
Neutral
STOCH
18.39
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DTEGY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 34.24 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.47, below the 50-day MA of 36.32, and above the 200-day MA of 33.71, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.45 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.39 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DTEGY.

Deutsche Telekom Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$155.57B14.6315.62%3.06%5.54%104.78%
72
Outperform
$199.16B10.0216.62%6.60%2.42%102.17%
71
Outperform
$213.84B20.8418.18%1.75%7.30%17.67%
64
Neutral
$185.83B12.0719.37%4.56%1.98%150.68%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
60
Neutral
$36.12B7.35-8.37%3.77%19.67%-278.51%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DTEGY
Deutsche Telekom
31.99
-4.31
-11.87%
T
AT&T
26.61
0.23
0.87%
VZ
Verizon
47.22
7.11
17.73%
VOD
Vodafone
15.62
6.72
75.41%
TMUS
T Mobile US
194.07
-63.70
-24.71%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 04, 2026