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Darden Restaurants (DRI)
NYSE:DRI

Darden Restaurants (DRI) AI Stock Analysis

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DRI

Darden Restaurants

(NYSE:DRI)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$218.00
▲(15.19% Upside)
Darden Restaurants' strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the most significant factors driving the score. The company's strategic expansion and robust cash flow generation support its growth prospects. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to potential overbought conditions, and the high debt-to-equity ratio remains a risk factor.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Darden's revenue growth exceeding expectations indicates strong market demand and effective operational strategies, supporting long-term expansion.
Expansion and New Openings
Strategic expansion through new restaurant openings enhances market presence and revenue potential, driving sustainable growth.
Cash Generation
Strong cash flow generation supports reinvestment opportunities and shareholder returns, enhancing financial stability and growth prospects.
Negative Factors
High Debt Levels
Significant leverage may limit financial flexibility and increase vulnerability to interest rate hikes, impacting long-term financial health.
Commodity Cost Pressures
Persistent commodity cost pressures, especially in beef, could erode profit margins, affecting overall profitability and competitiveness.
Labor Cost Challenges
Rising labor costs may pressure margins and require operational adjustments, potentially impacting long-term profitability and cost management.

Darden Restaurants (DRI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Darden Restaurants Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDarden Restaurants, Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates full-service restaurants in the United States and Canada. As of May 29, 2022, it owned and operated 1,867 restaurants, which included 884 under the Olive Garden brand, 546 under the LongHorn Steakhouse brand name, 172 under the Cheddar's Scratch Kitchen brand, 85 under the Yard House brand name, 62 under The Capital Grille brand, 45 under the Seasons 52 brand name, 42 under the Bahama Breeze brand, 28 under the Eddie V's Prime Seafood brand name, and 3 under the Capital Burger brand; and franchised 60 restaurants comprising 35 under the Olive Garden brand, 18 under the LongHorn Steakhouse brand name, 4 under the Cheddar's Scratch Kitchen brand, 2 under The Capital Grille brand name, and 1 under the Bahama Breeze brand.Darden Restaurants, Inc. was founded in 1968 and is based in Orlando, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyDarden Restaurants generates revenue primarily through the operation of its restaurants, where it earns income from food and beverage sales. Each of its brands has a distinct market positioning that caters to different customer demographics, allowing for a broad customer base. Additionally, the company benefits from economies of scale in purchasing and supply chain management, which helps to control costs and maximize profit margins. Darden also engages in strategic partnerships with food suppliers and distributors, enhancing its ability to provide quality ingredients while managing expenses. Seasonal promotions, loyalty programs, and effective marketing strategies further drive customer traffic and sales, contributing significantly to the company's overall earnings.

Darden Restaurants Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Company Owned Restaurants
Total Company Owned Restaurants
Shows the total number of restaurants owned by the company, reflecting its market presence and potential for scaling operations.
Chart InsightsDarden Restaurants is aggressively expanding, with a notable increase in company-owned locations, reflecting strategic growth initiatives. The recent earnings call highlights a robust development pipeline, including plans to open approximately 65 new restaurants. This expansion aligns with strong same-restaurant sales growth, particularly at Olive Garden and LongHorn Steakhouse. Despite challenges in the Fine Dining segment and rising commodity costs, Darden's focus on strategic initiatives and first-party delivery is driving momentum, positioning the company for continued growth in fiscal 2026.
Data provided by:The Fly

Darden Restaurants Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 18, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong performance with notable growth in same restaurant sales, successful promotions, and expansion efforts. However, challenges with commodity and labor costs impacted margins, particularly in the fine dining segment. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment remains positive due to strong sales growth and operational execution.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Same Restaurant Sales Growth
Each segment delivered positive same restaurant sales, with Olive Garden at 4.7%, LongHorn Steakhouse at 5.9%, and other segments also showing growth. Industry outperformance was noted, with same restaurant sales exceeding the industry benchmark by 300 basis points.
Expansion and New Openings
Darden opened 17 new restaurants during the quarter, contributing an additional 40 operating weeks versus the plan. The company is on pace to exceed planned openings for the fiscal year.
Olive Garden Promotions Success
The Never Ending Pasta Bowl promotion was successful, driving positive same restaurant sales. Olive Garden also saw a double-digit increase in affordability perceptions from guests ordering from the lighter portions menu.
Record Guest Satisfaction Scores
Darden achieved record or near-record guest satisfaction scores across all brands, attributed to strong operational execution.
Financial Performance
Darden generated $3.1 billion in total sales, a 7% increase year-over-year. Adjusted earnings per share grew 2.5% compared to last year, and $396 million was returned to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.
Negative Updates
Commodity Cost Pressures
Elevated beef costs were a significant headwind, impacting margins across segments except for Olive Garden. Commodity costs remained historically high, affecting profitability.
Labor Cost Challenges
Despite productivity improvements, labor costs presented challenges, with restaurant labor expenses 10 basis points higher than the previous year.
Fine Dining Segment Underperformance
Fine dining segment sales grew by only 0.8%, with high beef costs impacting profitability. Segment profit margin was 14.8%, 280 basis points lower than last year.
Company Guidance
On the Darden Restaurants Q2 Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported strong financial performance with total sales reaching $3.1 billion, a 7% increase from the previous year, driven by same-restaurant sales growth of 4.3% and the opening of 17 new restaurants. Olive Garden achieved a 4.7% increase in same-restaurant sales, buoyed by the Never Ending Pasta Bowl promotion and first-party delivery partnerships. LongHorn Steakhouse and the fine dining segment also saw positive growth, with same-restaurant sales rising by 5.9% and 0.8% respectively. Despite facing commodity headwinds, particularly with beef prices, Darden maintained its pricing strategy by setting prices 130 basis points below inflation. The company updated its fiscal 2026 guidance, projecting total sales growth of 8.5% to 9.3%, same-restaurant sales growth of 3.5% to 4.3%, and the opening of 65 to 70 new restaurants. Adjusted diluted net earnings per share are expected to be between $10.60 and $10.70.

Darden Restaurants Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Darden Restaurants shows strong revenue growth and profitability with a robust gross profit margin of 45.49%. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.08 poses a risk, despite strong cash flow generation supporting financial flexibility.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Darden Restaurants has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 1.72% and consistent profitability, evidenced by a solid net profit margin of 8.92% and an EBIT margin of 8.72%. The gross profit margin is robust at 45.49%, indicating effective cost management. However, there is a slight decline in EBIT margin compared to the previous annual report, suggesting potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company exhibits a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.08, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks in a rising interest rate environment. However, the return on equity is strong at 50.89%, reflecting efficient use of equity capital. The equity ratio stands at 16.07%, suggesting a moderate reliance on equity financing.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Darden Restaurants shows a healthy free cash flow growth rate of 22.44% TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.51, highlighting efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.91 suggests that a significant portion of earnings is being converted into free cash flow, supporting potential reinvestment or shareholder returns.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.08B11.39B10.49B9.63B7.20B
Gross Profit2.64B2.43B2.11B2.00B1.49B
EBITDA1.88B1.78B1.60B1.53B992.60M
Net Income1.05B1.03B981.90M952.80M629.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.59B11.32B10.24B10.14B10.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments240.00M194.80M367.80M420.60M1.21B
Total Debt6.23B5.43B4.79B4.89B5.76B
Total Liabilities10.28B9.08B8.04B7.94B7.84B
Stockholders Equity2.31B2.24B2.20B2.20B2.81B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.04B983.60M951.80M857.00M924.90M
Operating Cash Flow1.71B1.61B1.55B1.26B1.19B
Investing Cash Flow-1.28B-1.32B-568.40M-389.00M-263.70M
Financing Cash Flow-385.80M-483.40M-1.03B-1.61B-478.90M

Darden Restaurants Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price189.26
Price Trends
50DMA
180.47
Positive
100DMA
190.06
Negative
200DMA
196.60
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
3.06
Negative
RSI
61.54
Neutral
STOCH
64.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DRI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 189.26 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 181.36, above the 50-day MA of 180.47, and below the 200-day MA of 196.60, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 3.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DRI.

Darden Restaurants Risk Analysis

Darden Restaurants disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Darden Restaurants reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Darden Restaurants Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$17.50B20.0715.44%1.98%3.29%6.72%
76
Outperform
$22.08B19.9054.10%3.06%8.61%9.39%
75
Outperform
$31.86B24.9728.08%3.53%16.82%-29.91%
72
Outperform
$11.63B26.8531.55%1.57%14.40%12.45%
70
Neutral
$6.64B15.66249.07%23.18%138.17%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
$42.69B29.941.83%11.60%-4.33%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DRI
Darden Restaurants
189.26
9.90
5.52%
EAT
Brinker International
151.05
17.96
13.49%
TXRH
Texas Roadhouse
173.69
-3.97
-2.23%
YUM
Yum! Brands
155.27
23.95
18.24%
QSR
Restaurant Brands International
70.33
5.97
9.28%
YUMC
Yum China Holdings
48.53
0.87
1.83%

Darden Restaurants Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Darden Restaurants Approves Special Equity Grant for CEO
Neutral
Sep 19, 2025

On September 17, 2025, Darden Restaurants‘ Board approved a special equity grant for CEO Ricardo Cardenas, consisting of performance stock units with a target value of $17 million, set to vest in 2030 based on the company’s shareholder return relative to the S&P 500. Additionally, during the annual shareholder meeting held on the same day, nine directors were elected, executive compensation was approved, KPMG was ratified as the auditor, and a proposal on greenhouse gas emission targets was rejected.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025