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Darden Restaurants (DRI)
NYSE:DRI
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Darden Restaurants (DRI) AI Stock Analysis

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DRI

Darden Restaurants

(NYSE:DRI)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$237.00
▲(12.78% Upside)
Darden Restaurants receives a strong overall score driven by robust financial performance and positive earnings call insights. While technical indicators and valuation suggest caution, the company's strategic initiatives and growth outlook support a favorable investment perspective.
Positive Factors
Partnerships and Expansion
There is room for continued share gains as Olive Garden grows its delivery business with Uber Direct.
Sales and Growth
Olive Garden comps accelerated significantly against a challenged consumer spending environment, indicating strong momentum.
Strategic Direction
The strategic pivot toward sales growth is seen as a key positive that builds on recent momentum.
Negative Factors
Financial Guidance
DRI introduced below-consensus FY26 EPS guidance due to macro uncertainty and investments.
Investor Concerns
Investors may have some pause as new targets emphasize investments to drive topline.
Market Risks
There is a bit of risk in targeting higher sales and location growth at a time when things are going quite well, and that might give some pause.

Darden Restaurants (DRI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Darden Restaurants Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDarden Restaurants, Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates full-service restaurants in the United States and Canada. As of May 29, 2022, it owned and operated 1,867 restaurants, which included 884 under the Olive Garden brand, 546 under the LongHorn Steakhouse brand name, 172 under the Cheddar's Scratch Kitchen brand, 85 under the Yard House brand name, 62 under The Capital Grille brand, 45 under the Seasons 52 brand name, 42 under the Bahama Breeze brand, 28 under the Eddie V's Prime Seafood brand name, and 3 under the Capital Burger brand; and franchised 60 restaurants comprising 35 under the Olive Garden brand, 18 under the LongHorn Steakhouse brand name, 4 under the Cheddar's Scratch Kitchen brand, 2 under The Capital Grille brand name, and 1 under the Bahama Breeze brand.Darden Restaurants, Inc. was founded in 1968 and is based in Orlando, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyDarden Restaurants generates revenue primarily through the operation of its restaurant brands, which offer a variety of food and beverage options. The company earns money by selling meals and drinks directly to customers in its restaurants. Key revenue streams include dine-in service, takeout, and delivery options. Darden also benefits from its extensive supply chain and economies of scale, which help to manage costs and increase profitability. Additionally, the company engages in promotional partnerships and marketing initiatives that drive customer traffic and enhance brand visibility. Seasonal menu offerings and loyalty programs further contribute to its revenue by encouraging repeat visits and customer retention.

Darden Restaurants Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Company Owned Restaurants
Total Company Owned Restaurants
Shows the total number of restaurants owned by the company, reflecting its market presence and potential for scaling operations.
Chart InsightsDarden Restaurants has shown a robust expansion in its total company-owned restaurants, with a notable surge in 2024, partly due to the acquisition of 103 Chuy's locations. This aligns with their strategic plan to open 60 to 65 new restaurants in fiscal 2026. Despite challenges in the Fine Dining segment, the company's focus on growth through Olive Garden and LongHorn Steakhouse, coupled with strong sales performance, underscores its commitment to enhancing shareholder returns and market presence.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Darden Restaurants Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 20, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong overall performance with record sales and key achievements in major brands like Olive Garden and LongHorn Steakhouse. However, challenges remained in the Fine Dining segment and with certain underperforming restaurants, leading to strategic adjustments.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Quarterly Performance
Darden Restaurants reported a strong fiscal Q4 2025, with same-restaurant sales growth of 4.6% and total sales of $3.3 billion, representing a 10.6% increase from the prior year.
Record Sales and Earnings
For fiscal 2025, Darden achieved total sales surpassing $12 billion for the first time, with adjusted diluted net earnings per share from continuing operations increasing 7.5% to $9.55.
Olive Garden's Successful Promotions
Olive Garden's return of the 'Buy One Take One' offer and strong off-premise sales contributed to a 6.9% same-restaurant sales growth, outperforming the industry by 390 basis points.
LongHorn Steakhouse Milestone
LongHorn Steakhouse's same-restaurant sales increased by 5.1% for the fiscal year, surpassing $3 billion in total sales for the first time.
Positive Financial Outlook for Fiscal 2026
Darden expects total sales growth of 7% to 8% for fiscal 2026, including a 2% increase from an additional week, and a 7% increase in regular quarterly dividends.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Fine Dining Segment
The Fine Dining segment experienced negative same-restaurant sales for the quarter, with segment profit margin lower than the previous year due to ongoing category challenges.
Closure of Underperforming Restaurants
Darden permanently closed 15 underperforming Bahama Breeze restaurants and several others from different brands, signaling a strategic realignment.
Bahama Breeze Strategic Alternatives
Darden decided to explore strategic alternatives for Bahama Breeze, including a potential sale or conversion of restaurants, as it is no longer a strategic priority.
Company Guidance
In the recent Darden Restaurants Fiscal Year 2025 Q4 earnings call, the company reported robust performance metrics, with total sales reaching $3.3 billion, an increase of 10.6% from the previous year. Same-restaurant sales grew by 4.6%, while adjusted diluted net earnings per share from continuing operations rose 12.5% to $2.98. Olive Garden, a key brand within Darden, saw a same-restaurant sales increase of 6.9%, outpacing the industry benchmark by 390 basis points. The company's strategic initiatives, including the reintroduction of Olive Garden's "Buy One Take One" offer and the roll-out of Uber Direct delivery, contributed to these strong results. For Fiscal 2026, Darden projects total sales growth of 7% to 8%, with same-restaurant sales anticipated to increase by 2% to 3.5%. The company plans to open 60 to 65 new restaurants and expects an adjusted EBITDA between $2.16 billion and $2.19 billion. Additionally, Darden announced a 7% increase in its quarterly dividend, reflecting strong shareholder returns.

Darden Restaurants Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Darden Restaurants demonstrates a solid financial position with consistent revenue growth, stable profitability, and effective cash flow management. The company effectively uses equity to generate high returns, maintaining a competitive edge in the restaurant industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Darden Restaurants has shown strong revenue growth with a 6.03% increase in the TTM compared to the previous year, driven by consistent EBIT and EBITDA margins of 11.28% and 15.18% respectively. The net profit margin improved slightly to 8.69%. The company maintains healthy profitability and growth, positioning itself well within the competitive restaurant industry.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio increased slightly to 2.57, indicating a moderate leverage level typical for the industry. The return on equity (ROE) is robust at 45.39%, reflecting efficient use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio remains stable at 18.36%, showing a healthy balance between debt and equity funding.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Darden Restaurants exhibited a strong free cash flow growth of 6.82% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio stands at 1.63, indicating solid operational efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.01, supporting the company's ability to generate cash beyond net income, crucial for reinvestment and debt servicing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.08B12.08B11.39B10.49B9.63B7.20B
Gross Profit2.64B2.64B2.43B2.11B2.00B1.49B
EBITDA1.88B1.88B1.78B1.60B1.53B992.60M
Net Income1.05B1.05B1.03B981.90M952.80M629.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.59B12.59B11.32B10.24B10.14B10.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments240.00M254.50M194.80M367.80M420.60M1.21B
Total Debt5.95B5.95B5.43B4.79B5.91B5.76B
Total Liabilities10.28B10.28B9.08B8.04B7.94B7.84B
Stockholders Equity2.31B2.31B2.24B2.20B2.20B2.81B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.06B1.71B983.60M951.80M857.00M924.90M
Operating Cash Flow1.71B1.71B1.61B1.55B1.26B1.19B
Investing Cash Flow-1.28B-1.28B-1.32B-568.40M-389.00M-263.70M
Financing Cash Flow-385.80M-385.80M-483.40M-1.03B-1.61B-478.90M

Darden Restaurants Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price210.14
Price Trends
50DMA
208.16
Positive
100DMA
207.82
Positive
200DMA
195.95
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.53
Negative
RSI
58.43
Neutral
STOCH
80.42
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DRI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 210.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 206.63, above the 50-day MA of 208.16, and above the 200-day MA of 195.95, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.53 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.42 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DRI.

Darden Restaurants Risk Analysis

Darden Restaurants disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Darden Restaurants reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Darden Restaurants Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$24.59B23.7046.16%2.71%6.03%4.08%
74
Outperform
$11.22B25.7532.28%1.57%14.59%18.98%
68
Neutral
$3.02B18.6641.01%1.78%4.77%38.24%
66
Neutral
$7.04B19.04186.74%21.95%146.44%
64
Neutral
$40.13B28.56-19.43%1.94%11.30%-7.82%
61
Neutral
$17.92B12.81-3.11%2.97%1.30%-14.28%
60
Neutral
$1.58B21.26-20.16%3.81%-1.46%8.10%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DRI
Darden Restaurants
210.14
58.16
38.27%
EAT
Brinker International
158.22
86.62
120.98%
PZZA
Papa John's International
48.24
2.83
6.23%
TXRH
Texas Roadhouse
168.85
9.93
6.25%
CAKE
Cheesecake Factory
60.63
24.88
69.59%
YUM
Yum! Brands
144.58
14.08
10.79%

Darden Restaurants Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Darden Restaurants Reports Strong Q4 and Dividend Increase
Positive
Jun 20, 2025

On June 13, 2025, Dan Kiernan, President of Olive Garden, announced his retirement effective August 31, 2025, with John Wilkerson set to succeed him on September 1, 2025. Darden Restaurants reported a strong fiscal fourth quarter and year-end for 2025, with a 10.6% increase in total sales driven by same-restaurant sales growth and acquisitions. The company also declared a 7.1% increase in its quarterly dividend and authorized a new $1 billion share repurchase program, reflecting its robust financial health and commitment to shareholder value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 29, 2025