Direct Digital Holdings (DRCT) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $11.25M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 436.32K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.63
• Revenue Growth: -74.79%
• EPS Growth: -690.57%
• Country: US
• Employees: 79
• Sector: Communication Services
• Sector Strength: 79
• Industry: Advertising Agencies
• EPS (TTM): -0.23
• Shares Outstanding: 8,113,480
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,003,839
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 436,324
• PEG Ratio: >-0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): -1.20
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.10
• P/FCF Ratio: -0.69
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 2.58
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.60
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 1.96
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: -3.73
• 1Y Price Target: $6.00
• Price Target Upside: 900.00% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 2

• Rating: 42 Neutral
• Price Target: $0.50 ▼(-16.67% Downside)

Direct Digital Holdings faces significant financial and operational challenges, with declining revenues, negative profitability, and high leverage. The technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the valuation is unattractive due to negative earnings. The earnings call provided some positive insights, but these were overshadowed by significant declines in revenue and increased net losses. The Nasdaq non-compliance notice further adds to the risk profile.

Positive Factors

Cost Management

Management continues to evaluate costs judiciously, finding a healthy baseline with potential for further reductions.

Guidance Reiteration

Reiteration of guidance despite macro uncertainty provides incremental confidence in Direct Digital's outlook.

Negative Factors

Revenue Performance

4Q24 revenue of $9.1 million was a bit worse than anticipated, as macro trends caught up with Direct, creating an incredibly challenging environment.

Scale Event Uncertainty

There is a little bit of extra worry as the scale event is expected in the second half, where visibility is unclear.

Direct Digital Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Direct Digital Holdings (DRCT) is a digital advertising company that operates within the advertising technology sector. The company specializes in providing programmatic advertising solutions and digital marketing services to a diverse range of clients. Its core products and services include a proprietary technology platform that facilitates efficient digital advertising transactions, as well as data-driven marketing strategies to enhance client campaigns.

How the Company Makes Money

Direct Digital Holdings generates revenue primarily through its programmatic advertising platform, which allows advertisers to purchase digital ad space in an automated, real-time bidding process. The company earns money by charging fees or taking a percentage of the advertising spend that flows through its platform. Additionally, Direct Digital Holdings offers managed services and consulting for digital marketing, which contributes to its revenue streams. Significant partnerships with various digital publishers and advertising networks enhance its market reach and provide additional opportunities for monetization.

Direct Digital Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Direct Digital Holdings faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues, negative profitability margins, high leverage, and inconsistent cash flows. The negative stockholders' equity and operational inefficiencies highlight the need for strategic improvements.

Income Statement

Direct Digital Holdings has shown a volatile revenue trajectory with a significant decline in revenue from 2023 to 2024. Gross profit margins have decreased, and both EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, highlighting operational inefficiencies. The company has also experienced consistent net losses over the years, with a particularly large net loss in 2024.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals high leverage, with a negative stockholders' equity in recent years, indicating potential solvency issues. The debt-to-equity ratio is concerning, as the company has been operating with negative equity. The equity ratio has also turned negative, reflecting high financial risk.

Cash Flow

Cash flow from operations has been inconsistent, with a negative free cash flow in 2024, reflecting cash management challenges. However, the company had a positive operating cash flow in 2023, indicating some ability to generate cash from core operations. Free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, aligning with the net losses.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	48.17M	62.29M	157.11M	88.04M	38.14M	12.48M
Gross Profit	14.79M	17.39M	37.57M	28.00M	18.43M	5.17M
EBITDA	-7.77M	-5.98M	473.00K	9.85M	6.34M	457.44K
Net Income	-7.82M	-6.24M	-2.19M	2.92M	-1.51M	-908.19K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	23.82M	26.01M	70.67M	56.81M	36.00M	30.70M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.79M	1.45M	5.12M	4.05M	4.68M	1.61M
Total Debt	5.10M	36.27M	30.95M	24.56M	20.82M	13.37M
Total Liabilities	47.13M	45.74M	74.35M	53.01M	36.37M	28.33M
Stockholders Equity	-23.32M	-4.99M	543.00K	3.79M	-374.86K	2.37M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-5.62M	-8.66M	2.38M	1.44M	3.75M	-574.53K
Operating Cash Flow	-5.65M	-8.65M	2.56M	2.13M	3.75M	-574.53K
Investing Cash Flow	-32.00K	-17.00K	-178.00K	-687.96K	0.00	-10.99M
Financing Cash Flow	4.14M	4.99M	-1.31M	-2.08M	-678.72K	12.29M

Direct Digital Holdings Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 0.60
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DRCT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.55, above the 50-day MA of 0.55, and below the 200-day MA of 1.09, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DRCT.

Direct Digital Holdings Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
MCHX	61 Neutral	$84.51M	―	-16.55%	―	-2.67%	21.65%
SWAG	57 Neutral	$26.50M	―	-12.15%	―	17.04%	-2188.42%
Sector *	56 Neutral	AU$3.55B	20.03	2.60%	4.20%	4.06%	-16.40%
FLNT	44 Neutral	$46.20M	―	-123.16%	―	-15.07%	33.40%
DRCT	42 Neutral	$11.25M	―	-320.07%	―	-74.79%	-690.57%
CNET	38 Underperform	$2.95M	―	-80.78%	―	-49.52%	-86.35%
BAOS	―	$4.35M	―		―	―	―

Direct Digital Holdings Corporate Events

Direct Digital Holdings Amends Certificate of Incorporation

On June 10, 2025, Direct Digital Holdings, Inc. filed a Certificate of Amendment to its Certificate of Incorporation following stockholder approval at its 2025 Annual Meeting. This amendment provides for officer exculpation and removes the waiver of Section 203 of the Delaware General Corporation Law. At the meeting held on June 9, 2025, stockholders approved five proposals, including the election of directors, ratification of an accounting firm, an increase in shares for the Omnibus Incentive Plan, and amendments to the Certificate of Incorporation, indicating strong support for the company’s strategic initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (DRCT) stock is a Buy with a $7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Direct Digital Holdings stock, see the DRCT Stock Forecast page.

Direct Digital Holdings Updates Executive Employment Agreements

On May 27, 2025, Direct Digital Holdings amended and restated employment agreements for its CEO, President, and CFO. The agreements maintain current salaries but enhance severance benefits, particularly in the event of a change in control, where executives will receive increased severance payments and extended non-competition covenants.

The most recent analyst rating on (DRCT) stock is a Buy with a $7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Direct Digital Holdings stock, see the DRCT Stock Forecast page.

Direct Digital Holdings Faces Nasdaq Non-Compliance Notice

On May 12, 2025, Direct Digital Holdings, Inc. received a notice from Nasdaq indicating non-compliance with the minimum bid price requirement, as its Class A common stock was below $1.00 per share for 30 consecutive business days. The company has until November 10, 2025, to regain compliance, potentially through a reverse stock split, or face delisting. Additionally, between May 13 and May 16, 2025, the company sold 1,100,000 shares of Class A Common Stock for $570,924, exceeding five percent of the total shares issued and outstanding, in transactions with New Circle Principal Investments LLC.

The most recent analyst rating on (DRCT) stock is a Buy with a $7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Direct Digital Holdings stock, see the DRCT Stock Forecast page.

Direct Digital Holdings Sells 2.3 Million Shares

Between April 8, 2025, and May 13, 2025, Direct Digital Holdings sold 2,300,000 shares of its Class A Common Stock for a total of $1,387,015 after discounts. This sale exceeded five percent of the total shares outstanding as of April 8, 2025, and was conducted with New Circle Principal Investments LLC under a Share Purchase Agreement, relying on exemptions from registration requirements under the Securities Act.

The most recent analyst rating on (DRCT) stock is a Buy with a $7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Direct Digital Holdings stock, see the DRCT Stock Forecast page.