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Daqo New Energy (DQ)
NYSE:DQ

Daqo New Energy (DQ) AI Stock Analysis

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DQ

Daqo New Energy

(NYSE:DQ)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$26.00
▲(3.26% Upside)
DQ scores in the low-to-mid range primarily due to weak profitability and ongoing cash burn despite a very strong, low-debt balance sheet. Technicals remain pressured (below key moving averages with negative MACD), while the latest earnings call shows improving operating momentum via lower costs, higher volumes, and positive EBITDA, partially offsetting the financial weakness. Valuation remains constrained by losses (negative P/E) and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Near-zero debt and a large cash/assets base give the company durable financial flexibility to withstand prolonged downcycles, fund working capital or capex, and pursue consolidation or opportunistic M&A. This materially reduces refinancing and solvency risk over the medium term.
Manufacturing Cost Leadership
Sustained lower unit costs improve margin resiliency in a commodity market and create a competitive buffer during pricing downturns. If cost improvements reflect structural process or energy efficiencies, they can support higher long-term profitability and better utilization economics versus peers.
EBITDA Turnaround
A return to positive EBITDA demonstrates operating leverage and that the business can generate operating profits when volumes and prices align. Durable EBITDA recovery supports self-funding of operations and reduces structural reliance on financing if margins persist with stable demand.
Negative Factors
Negative Cash Flow
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow depletes cash reserves and limits reinvestment capacity; even with a strong balance sheet today, continued cash burn would erode liquidity, constrain capex or expansion, and force financing or asset sales over the medium term.
Persistent Net Losses
Ongoing net losses and negative margins weaken return metrics and can erode equity over time, limiting strategic options. Persistent unprofitability also makes the firm more vulnerable to prolonged commodity price weakness and reduces buffer for investment in efficiency or growth.
Industry Overcapacity Risk
Chronic overcapacity in polysilicon markets structurally pressures selling prices and utilization, making margin recovery fragile. Even with internal improvements, external capacity additions or slow consolidation can re-compress returns and prolong the cycle to sustainable profitability.

Daqo New Energy (DQ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Daqo New Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDaqo New Energy Corp., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells polysilicon to photovoltaic product manufactures in the People's Republic of China. Its products are used in ingots, wafers, cells, and modules for solar power solutions. The company was formerly known as Mega Stand International Limited and changed its name to Daqo New Energy Corp. in August 2009. Daqo New Energy Corp. was founded in 2006 and is based in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
How the Company Makes MoneyDaqo New Energy makes money primarily through the production and sale of high-purity polysilicon to solar manufacturers. The company sells its product to major solar wafer manufacturers, who then use it to produce solar cells and modules. Daqo's revenue streams are significantly influenced by polysilicon prices, production volumes, and long-term supply agreements with key clients. The company benefits from economies of scale and technological advancements that enhance production efficiency and cost-effectiveness. Additionally, strategic partnerships with industry players and a strong focus on maintaining high-quality standards contribute to Daqo's earnings and market position.

Daqo New Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Polysilicon Average Total Production Cost
Polysilicon Average Total Production Cost
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Daqo New Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 27, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive turnaround with significant revenue growth, positive EBITDA, and reduced production costs. However, concerns remain over industry overcapacity and continued net losses. The company's strong financial position and strategic measures provide optimism for future performance.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Revenues increased to $244.6 million in Q3 2025 from $75.2 million in Q2 2025, driven by higher sales volume and average selling price.
Positive EBITDA and Gross Margin
EBITDA was $45.8 million, with an EBITDA margin of 18.7%. Gross profit rose to $9.7 million with a positive gross margin of 3.9%, compared to negative margins in previous quarters.
Record Low Production Costs
Total production costs declined by 12% to $6.38 per kilogram in Q3 2025. Cash costs decreased by 11% to $4.54 per kilogram, the lowest in the company's history.
Increased Sales Volume
Sales volume increased significantly to 42,406 metric tons from 18,126 metric tons in the previous quarter, reducing inventory levels.
Strong Financial Position
The company maintained a strong balance sheet with $2.21 billion in cash and readily convertible financial assets.
Negative Updates
Continued Net Loss
Net loss attributable to shareholders was $14.9 million, although improved from $76.5 million in the previous quarter.
Industry Overcapacity Concerns
Despite market recovery, industry-wide overcapacity remains a challenge, with ongoing discussions on consolidation and regulatory measures.
Cash Flow Challenges
Net cash used in operating activities was $50 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025.
Company Guidance
During the Daqo New Energy Q3 2025 results conference call, management reported a positive EBITDA of $45.8 million and an adjusted net income of $3.7 million, reflecting a significant improvement from the previous quarter. The company capitalized on favorable market conditions, achieving a sales volume of 42,406 metric tons, up from 18,126 metric tons in Q2, with a production cost decline of 12% to $6.38 per kilogram. Daqo's financial position was robust, with a cash balance of $552 million and total assets convertible to cash at $2.21 billion. Looking forward, the company anticipates a production volume of 39,500 to 42,500 metric tons in Q1 2026 and a full-year production target of 121,000 to 124,000 metric tons. The company also discussed the impact of China's new regulations on the polysilicon sector, which are expected to drive industry consolidation and stabilize prices.

Daqo New Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Daqo New Energy is currently facing a challenging financial landscape. The income statement shows declining revenues and profitability, impacting overall financial stability. The balance sheet remains fairly strong with no debt, but declining equity is a concern. Cash flow performance has deteriorated, raising questions about the company's ability to sustain operations without positive cash flow.
Income Statement
22
Negative
Daqo New Energy's income statement reveals a challenging financial period. The company experienced a significant drop in total revenue from $4.6 billion in 2022 to $1.03 billion in 2024, reflecting a sharp revenue decline. The gross profit margin turned negative in 2024, indicating the cost of goods sold exceeded revenue. Additionally, both EBIT and net income margins are negative, demonstrating declining operational and overall profitability. While the past showed strong growth, recent performance highlights instability and potential market challenges.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Daqo's balance sheet indicates a mixed financial position. Positive aspects include zero total debt in 2024, suggesting no leverage risk and a healthy cash position with $2.1 billion in cash and equivalents. However, stockholders' equity has decreased from 2023 to 2024, and the equity ratio remains stable but not improving. The company’s ability to maintain a debt-free status is commendable, yet declining equity may pose future challenges.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
Daqo's cash flow statement reveals pressure on cash generation. Operating cash flow turned negative in 2024, indicating potential difficulties in generating cash from core operations. Free cash flow has also significantly decreased, suggesting reduced financial flexibility. While the company previously enjoyed strong free cash flow growth, recent trends indicate a challenging cash flow environment that could impact future operations and investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue639.65M1.03B2.31B4.61B1.68B675.60M
Gross Profit-218.83M-212.93M920.65M3.41B1.10B233.99M
EBITDA-124.43M-179.88M932.32M3.15B1.13B256.54M
Net Income-343.70M-345.21M429.55M1.82B748.92M129.19M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.34B6.42B7.43B7.59B3.34B1.24B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments982.90M2.10B3.04B3.51B1.00B76.60M
Total Debt0.006.82M0.0020.69M0.00243.09M
Total Liabilities497.34M560.38M978.58M989.49M679.82M440.23M
Stockholders Equity4.35B4.36B4.76B4.81B2.16B767.12M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-263.11M-794.65M429.20M1.22B130.73M91.41M
Operating Cash Flow-111.35M-435.64M1.62B2.47B638.99M209.70M
Investing Cash Flow-180.50M-1.48B-1.20B-1.00B-781.89M-118.49M
Financing Cash Flow1.11M-47.38M-795.40M1.47B736.23M-95.47M

Daqo New Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price25.18
Price Trends
50DMA
30.97
Negative
100DMA
29.20
Negative
200DMA
23.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.67
Positive
RSI
28.35
Positive
STOCH
8.57
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DQ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 25.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.03, below the 50-day MA of 30.97, and above the 200-day MA of 23.07, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.67 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.35 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.57 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DQ.

Daqo New Energy Risk Analysis

Daqo New Energy disclosed 70 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Daqo New Energy reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Daqo New Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$24.28B78.733.87%-16.13%-81.06%
69
Neutral
$41.98B37.3611.17%2.29%8.01%10.41%
69
Neutral
$23.29B18.0310.97%6.06%5.87%-20.93%
62
Neutral
$40.37B-165.41-2.85%2.79%-23.36%-131.15%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$25.17B49.283.00%1.28%-17.33%-76.71%
53
Neutral
$1.68B-4.91-7.58%-51.39%-176.97%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DQ
Daqo New Energy
25.18
6.99
38.43%
ASX
ASE Technology Holding Co
19.41
8.73
81.74%
MCHP
Microchip
74.70
18.50
32.93%
ON
ON Semiconductor
60.33
4.72
8.49%
STM
STMicroelectronics
28.03
2.57
10.09%
UMC
United Micro
9.30
3.54
61.46%

Daqo New Energy Corporate Events

Daqo New Energy Announces Annual General Meeting for December 12, 2025
Nov 18, 2025

On November 18, 2025, Daqo New Energy Corp. announced that it will hold its annual general meeting on December 12, 2025, at its Shanghai office. Shareholders of record as of November 28, 2025, are entitled to attend. This meeting is significant for stakeholders as it provides an opportunity to discuss the company’s operations and future strategies, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (DQ) stock is a Hold with a $18.30 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Daqo New Energy stock, see the DQ Stock Forecast page.

Daqo New Energy Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results Amid Market Recovery
Oct 27, 2025

Daqo New Energy announced its unaudited financial results for the third quarter of 2025, highlighting a significant recovery in the polysilicon market. The company reported a positive EBITDA of $45.8 million and an adjusted net income of $3.7 million, reflecting improved market conditions and strategic operational adjustments. The company’s sales volume surged to 42,406 MT due to favorable pricing and increased customer confidence, while production costs decreased significantly, enhancing profitability. Daqo’s strong financial position, with $2.21 billion in cash and investments, provides strategic flexibility to navigate market recovery and pursue long-term opportunities.

The most recent analyst rating on (DQ) stock is a Hold with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Daqo New Energy stock, see the DQ Stock Forecast page.

Daqo New Energy to Release Q3 2025 Financial Results on October 27
Oct 14, 2025

Daqo New Energy Corp. announced plans to release its unaudited financial results for the third quarter of 2025 on October 27, 2025. The company will hold a conference call on the same day to discuss these results, which could provide insights into its operational performance and market positioning. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it reflects the company’s ongoing transparency and commitment to keeping investors informed about its financial health and industry standing.

The most recent analyst rating on (DQ) stock is a Hold with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Daqo New Energy stock, see the DQ Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026