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Orsted OTC (DNNGY)
OTHER OTC:DNNGY

Orsted (DNNGY) AI Stock Analysis

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DNNGY

Orsted

(OTC:DNNGY)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$7.00
▲(3.70% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/09/26
The score is held down mainly by weak and unstable fundamentals (multi-year revenue declines, rising leverage, and persistently negative free cash flow) and a high P/E. These are partially offset by moderately positive technical momentum and an earnings call that pointed to improving financial stabilization and EBITDA growth, albeit with notable regulatory/legal and execution risks.
Positive Factors
Large-scale commissioning pipeline
A substantial multi‑GW commissioning pipeline and a committed investment program provide durable capacity growth and long‑lived asset cash flows. This underpins future generation volumes and contracted revenue potential, supporting scalable earnings as new assets reach commercial operation.
Negative Factors
Persistently negative free cash flow
Chronic negative free cash flow reflects heavy investment that operating cash has not funded, raising structural financing risk. Continued reliance on external capital or asset sales to fund growth can pressure returns and increase execution dependence on divestment timing and market access.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Large-scale commissioning pipeline
A substantial multi‑GW commissioning pipeline and a committed investment program provide durable capacity growth and long‑lived asset cash flows. This underpins future generation volumes and contracted revenue potential, supporting scalable earnings as new assets reach commercial operation.
Read all positive factors

Orsted (DNNGY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Orsted Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Ørsted A/S, together with its subsidiaries, develops, constructs, owns, and operates offshore and onshore wind farms, solar farms, energy storage facilities, and bioenergy plants. It operates through Offshore, Onshore, and Markets & Bioenergy segm...
How the Company Makes Money
Ørsted makes money primarily by developing, owning, and operating renewable energy generation assets—especially offshore wind farms—and selling the electricity they produce. A major revenue stream comes from long-term contracted sales of power (e....

Orsted Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 06, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed materially positive progress on financial stabilization and execution: rights issue completed, divestment proceeds materially exceeded targets (~DKK 46bn vs >DKK 35bn), solid full-year EBITDA (DKK 25.1bn), improved availability (93%, +5pp), strong project milestones and robust liquidity metrics (net debt down ~DKK 64bn quarter; FFO/adjusted debt ~43%). However, material near-term challenges remain, notably US lease suspensions that caused construction pauses and impairments (totaling DKK ~6.9bn disclosed across items), a Q4 net loss, restructuring costs (~DKK 750m), legal uncertainty (Elsam case DKK 4.4bn exposure) and market headwinds (lower wind speeds in 2025, expected lower market prices and subsidy step-downs). On balance the positives around balance sheet repair, delivery progress and outlook (EBITDA >DKK 28bn guidance, commissioning >2.5 GW in 2026) outweigh the negatives, though execution and legal risks require monitoring.
Positive Updates
Strengthened Capital Structure and Exceeded Divestment Target
Completed a rights issue and delivered on the partnership/divestment program, signing transactions amounting to ~DKK 46 billion (target was >DKK 35 billion), supporting a stronger balance sheet and the target of an investment-grade rating.
Negative Updates
US Lease Suspension Orders and Operational Pauses
Revolution Wind and Sunrise Wind received BOEM suspension orders causing offshore construction pauses (Revolution ~3 weeks, Sunrise ~6 weeks). Litigation ensued; preliminary injunctions were later granted (Revolution Jan 12, 2026; Sunrise Feb 2, 2026) and work resumed, but pauses increased costs and schedule risk.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Strengthened Capital Structure and Exceeded Divestment Target
Completed a rights issue and delivered on the partnership/divestment program, signing transactions amounting to ~DKK 46 billion (target was >DKK 35 billion), supporting a stronger balance sheet and the target of an investment-grade rating.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Ørsted guided 2026 EBITDA of more than DKK 28 billion, expects to commission over 2.5 GW of offshore wind across three continents, and plans gross investments of DKK 50–55 billion with committed capital of ~DKK 145 billion for 2025–27; it expects offshore, onshore and bioenergy earnings broadly in line with 2025 (2025 EBITDA excl. new partnerships/cancellation fees DKK 25.1 billion, offshore availability 93%, net profit DKK 3.2 billion) and reiterated a ROCE recovery target of ~11% for 2026–27 (rising to >13% in 2028–30) after 2025 adjusted ROCE of 8.4% (reported 5.4%). The company said it has secured ~DKK 46 billion of divestment proceeds (above its >DKK 35 billion target), finished Q4 with net debt of DKK 19 billion (down ~DKK 64 billion in the quarter) and FFO/adjusted net debt of ~43% (vs. a 30% target), and flagged DKK ~750 million of severance/provision charges in 2025 plus impairments/non‑cash impacts of DKK 4.8 billion (Hornsea 3), ~DKK 600 million (U.S. lease suspensions) and DKK 1.6 billion (European onshore goodwill).

Orsted Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement performance is volatile with three straight years of revenue decline and uneven profitability, while the balance sheet is workable but increasingly leveraged (debt-to-equity ~1.14–1.16). Operating cash flow is positive and improving, but persistently deeply negative free cash flow elevates ongoing funding/refinancing risk.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
34
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue61.16B58.83B69.08B126.09B69.14B
Gross Profit-1.65B22.87B22.45B28.93B16.03B
EBITDA15.05B16.84B-7.70B27.34B23.84B
Net Income1.66B-206.00M-20.51B15.13B10.96B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets367.89B298.79B281.14B314.14B270.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments91.76B32.94B39.18B38.13B14.83B
Total Debt136.92B96.62B88.05B71.55B58.53B
Total Liabilities239.92B205.30B203.34B218.61B185.25B
Stockholders Equity119.71B83.09B75.89B91.54B82.06B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-30.45B-24.30B-9.67B-21.08B-22.42B
Operating Cash Flow22.22B18.36B28.53B11.92B12.15B
Investing Cash Flow-65.97B-21.76B-34.73B-17.91B-12.59B
Financing Cash Flow73.64B15.84B265.00M13.79B3.39B

Orsted Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.75
Price Trends
50DMA
7.77
Positive
100DMA
7.32
Positive
200DMA
7.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.24
Negative
RSI
70.38
Negative
STOCH
99.88
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DNNGY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.75 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.77, below the 50-day MA of 7.77, and below the 200-day MA of 7.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.38 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 99.88 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DNNGY.

Orsted Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$8.36B23.425.91%5.60%2.54%124.89%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
61
Neutral
$8.36B23.425.91%5.29%2.54%124.89%
55
Neutral
$7.67B-2.94-1196.72%3.84%5.93%-39.88%
55
Neutral
$1.78B-231.4910.05%42.09%219.69%
50
Neutral
$33.54B64.032.10%19.16%-147.89%
47
Neutral
$3.11B-6.52-41.93%765.67%-202.81%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DNNGY
Orsted
8.61
0.03
0.33%
CWEN
Clearway Energy
41.07
14.51
54.64%
CWEN.A
Clearway Energy
40.95
16.25
65.80%
BEPC
Brookfield Renewable
42.56
17.26
68.21%
SMR
NuScale Power
9.21
-5.94
-39.21%
RNW
ReNew Energy Global
4.90
-1.04
-17.51%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 09, 2026