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DLH Holdings Corp. (DLHC)
:DLHC

DLH Holdings (DLHC) AI Stock Analysis

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DLHC

DLH Holdings

(NASDAQ:DLHC)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$5.50
▼(-11.29% Downside)
DLH Holdings' overall stock score is primarily impacted by financial performance challenges, including declining revenue and profitability, and high leverage. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, while valuation suggests potential overvaluation. The earnings call provided some positive strategic outlooks, but current financial metrics remain a concern.
Positive Factors
Debt Reduction
Reducing debt enhances financial flexibility and reduces interest expenses, positioning DLH for more strategic investments and growth.
Pipeline Growth
A robust pipeline indicates potential future revenue streams, supporting long-term growth and market position in federal contracts.
Cybersecurity Certification
Certification enhances DLH's competitive edge, enabling access to high-value contracts in secure sectors, bolstering long-term business prospects.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Declining revenue indicates challenges in maintaining market share and could pressure profitability if not addressed through strategic initiatives.
EBITDA Decrease
A decrease in EBITDA reflects operational challenges and may affect cash flow generation, impacting long-term financial health.
Contract Transitions
Loss of contracts to small businesses can reduce revenue stability, necessitating new business development to offset declines.

DLH Holdings (DLHC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

DLH Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDLH Holdings Corp. (DLHC) is a provider of healthcare and technology-enabled solutions to government and commercial sectors. The company specializes in delivering solutions that support health and wellness, including medical logistics, health services, and technology consulting. DLH operates primarily in the federal healthcare market, serving clients such as the Department of Veterans Affairs and the Department of Defense, focusing on improving health outcomes through innovative and efficient service delivery.
How the Company Makes MoneyDLH Holdings generates revenue primarily through government contracts and service agreements. Key revenue streams include providing healthcare services, logistics support, and technology solutions tailored to the needs of federal agencies. The company often engages in long-term contracts with governmental entities, which provide a steady revenue base. Additionally, DLH may benefit from partnerships with other contractors and technology firms, enhancing its service offerings and market reach. Factors contributing to its earnings include the increasing demand for healthcare services in the federal sector, ongoing government investments in health and wellness programs, and the company's expertise in managing complex service delivery models.

DLH Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 10, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented both positive developments and challenges for DLH. Highlights included significant achievements in cybersecurity certification, debt reduction, and cash flow generation, alongside a robust pipeline for future opportunities. However, these were countered by notable revenue and EBITDA declines, as well as challenges with contract transitions and the loss of the Head Start program. The company's strategic initiatives and strong pipeline position it well for future growth, but current financial metrics reflect recent adversities.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Cybersecurity Certification Achievement
DLH achieved Cybersecurity Maturity Model Level 2 Certification, positioning the company to compete for higher-value business opportunities in the C6ISR community.
Debt Reduction Success
DLH reduced its debt by $10.7 million during the quarter, ending the fiscal year with $131.6 million of debt outstanding, achieving all mandatory term debt payments through September 30, 2026, a year ahead of schedule.
Strong Cash Flow
The company generated approximately $10.7 million in cash during the quarter due to increased collection of receivables and effective working capital management.
Pipeline Growth
DLH's pipeline is strong, valued at over $3 billion in qualified opportunities for the next 24-plus months.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Fourth quarter revenue was $81.2 million, down from $96.4 million in the prior year, due to program timing, contract unbundling, and small business set-aside conversions.
EBITDA Decrease
EBITDA was reported at $6.6 million for the fourth quarter, down from $10.7 million in the previous year, primarily due to lower revenue levels and pressure on gross margins.
Contract Transitions
Revenue contraction was impacted by small business set-aside conversions, including CMOP, resulting in approximately $11 million decrease in the quarter versus 2024.
Head Start Program Loss
The Head Start program was transitioned to small business set-aside, and DLH did not participate in the protest effort.
Company Guidance
During the DLH Holdings Corp. Fiscal 2025 Fourth Quarter Earnings Conference Call, management provided several key financial metrics and strategic updates. The company reported fourth quarter revenue of $81.2 million, a decrease from $96.4 million in the prior year, primarily due to transitions to small business set-aside contracts, impacting revenue by approximately $11 million. Despite this, DLH demonstrated strong cash flow, reducing debt by $10.7 million in the quarter, achieving a fiscal year-end debt balance of $131.6 million. For the full fiscal year 2025, DLH reported revenue of $344.5 million, EBITDA of $34 million, and free cash flow of $23 million. The company aims to return to historical gross and EBITDA margins through strategic growth initiatives, including a robust pipeline valued at over $3 billion and investment in proprietary tools like DLH Cyclone. Additionally, DLH secured a sole-source IDIQ contract to continue pharmacy and logistics services, highlighting ongoing efforts to diversify and enhance its service offerings.

DLH Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
DLH Holdings faces challenges in revenue growth and profitability, with declining margins and negative growth rates. The balance sheet shows high leverage, posing potential risks. Cash flow generation has weakened, raising liquidity concerns. Overall, financial pressures need addressing to improve stability.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
DLH Holdings has experienced a decline in revenue growth, with a negative growth rate of -4.23% in the most recent year. The gross profit margin has decreased over the years, indicating pressure on profitability. The net profit margin has also declined significantly, suggesting challenges in cost management and operational efficiency. However, the company maintains a positive EBIT and EBITDA margin, reflecting some operational stability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved slightly but remains relatively high, indicating a leveraged position. Return on equity has decreased, reflecting reduced profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is stable, showing a balanced asset structure. Overall, the balance sheet reflects moderate financial health with potential risks due to leverage.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
DLH Holdings has seen a decline in free cash flow growth, with a negative rate of -7.22%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, suggesting challenges in maintaining cash flow levels. The cash flow statement indicates potential liquidity concerns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue344.50M344.50M395.94M375.87M395.17M246.09M
Gross Profit47.98M47.98M78.91M79.86M72.29M51.48M
EBITDA33.14M34.04M40.15M30.54M40.30M24.55M
Net Income1.36M1.36M7.40M1.46M23.29M10.14M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets290.66M290.66M314.38M339.84M169.01M197.17M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments125.00K125.00K342.00K215.00K228.00K24.05M
Total Debt144.97M144.97M164.81M191.71M39.11M66.27M
Total Liabilities177.71M177.71M204.25M237.40M76.95M131.56M
Stockholders Equity112.96M112.96M110.13M102.44M92.06M65.61M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow23.19M22.98M26.53M30.41M371.00K45.56M
Operating Cash Flow23.22M23.22M27.37M31.03M1.24M45.66M
Investing Cash Flow-241.00K-241.00K-836.00K-181.20M-872.00K-44.00K
Financing Cash Flow-23.19M-23.19M-26.40M150.15M-24.19M-22.93M

DLH Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.20
Price Trends
50DMA
5.87
Negative
100DMA
5.73
Negative
200DMA
5.26
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Positive
RSI
41.64
Neutral
STOCH
18.12
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DLHC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.98, above the 50-day MA of 5.87, and above the 200-day MA of 5.26, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.12 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DLHC.

DLH Holdings Risk Analysis

DLH Holdings disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. DLH Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

DLH Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
53
Neutral
$81.74M60.391.22%-12.99%-81.86%
46
Neutral
$120.95M-2.26-41.55%-249.30%
42
Neutral
$41.11M-20.66-13.00%2.52%45.76%
41
Neutral
$45.49M-0.53-99.29%-20.49%25.95%
40
Neutral
$18.68M-0.85-93.99%-35.72%-277.39%
38
Underperform
$65.10M-1.21-210.92%3.73%3.56%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DLHC
DLH Holdings
5.64
-2.04
-26.56%
OMEX
Odyssey Marine Exploration
2.17
1.82
520.00%
SGRP
Spar Group
0.78
-1.15
-59.59%
TISI
Team
14.38
-0.60
-4.01%
SST
System1
4.55
-4.85
-51.60%
PMEC
Primech Holdings Ltd.
1.07
0.38
55.07%

DLH Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
DLH Holdings Secures $90M Contract with Veteran Affairs
Neutral
Oct 30, 2025

DLH Holdings announced that its contract with the Office of Head Start, which accounted for 10.7% of its fiscal year revenue, will end on October 31, 2025, as the renewal was awarded to small businesses. The company plans to mitigate this impact by pursuing new business opportunities. Additionally, DLH has secured a sole-source IDIQ contract with the Department of Veteran Affairs for pharmacy and logistics services, valued at $90 million, effective October 28, 2025, with a performance period through April 2027.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025