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Deutsche Lufthansa AG (DLAKY)
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Deutsche Lufthansa AG (DLAKY) AI Stock Analysis

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DLAKY

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

(OTC:DLAKY)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$9.50
▲(14.87% Upside)
Deutsche Lufthansa AG's stock score is driven by strong valuation metrics and positive earnings call highlights, such as capacity growth and fleet modernization. Financial performance shows recovery but is tempered by profitability and cash flow challenges. Technical analysis indicates a neutral trend.

Deutsche Lufthansa AG (DLAKY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDeutsche Lufthansa AG (DLAKY) is a leading global airline and aviation group headquartered in Germany. It operates in several sectors, including passenger and cargo airline services, aircraft maintenance, and travel services. The company is known for its extensive flight network, covering numerous domestic and international destinations through its flagship airline Lufthansa and subsidiaries such as SWISS, Austrian Airlines, and Eurowings, as well as its cargo division, Lufthansa Cargo. In addition to air transport, Lufthansa provides various ancillary services like catering, ground handling, and logistics.
How the Company Makes MoneyDeutsche Lufthansa AG generates revenue primarily through the sale of passenger and cargo tickets. Its core revenue streams include passenger transportation, which accounts for a significant portion of its earnings, and freight services provided by Lufthansa Cargo. The company also earns income from ancillary services such as baggage fees, onboard sales, and premium services. Additionally, Lufthansa benefits from partnerships and alliances, notably as a member of the Star Alliance, which enhances its network and customer base. The airline's loyalty program, Miles & More, also contributes to revenue through partnerships with hotels, car rental companies, and retail brands. Overall, Lufthansa's financial performance is influenced by factors such as ticket pricing, fuel costs, operational efficiency, and economic conditions affecting travel demand.

Deutsche Lufthansa AG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with significant operational and financial achievements, including capacity growth and fleet modernization. However, these were offset by challenges such as yield pressures, external costs, and tariff impacts in MRO.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Capacity and Revenue Growth
Global capacity grew by 3.2% compared to the previous year, with total revenue increasing by EUR 500 million to EUR 11.2 billion. This was driven by a moderate capacity growth and robust demand, particularly in the North Atlantic region.
Operational Stability and Customer Satisfaction
Flight operations stabilized with a regularity rate of 99% and an improvement in departure punctuality by more than 10 percentage points. Customer satisfaction increased by 8 percentage points compared to the previous year.
Cargo and MRO Divisions
Lufthansa Cargo's adjusted EBIT reached EUR 49 million, a EUR 11 million increase from the previous year. Lufthansa Technik reported a 10% revenue growth, driven by a 28% increase in third-party business.
Fleet Modernization
Lufthansa plans to take delivery of over 50 next-generation aircraft by the end of next year, enhancing its premium product offerings and operational efficiency.
Negative Updates
Yield Softness and Currency Impact
The Passenger Airline business experienced a 2.2% decline in unit revenues due to yield softness in competitive markets and a weak U.S. dollar. Adjusted for currency effects, unit revenues were stable.
External Cost Pressures
Rising costs affected the industry, with fees and charges increasing by 9% and ATC costs rising by 17%. These pressures offset the benefits of lower fuel costs.
Tariff Challenges in MRO
Lufthansa Technik's adjusted EBIT declined by EUR 31 million due to tariffs, supply chain disruptions, and currency effects, impacting the division's profitability.
Company Guidance
During the Lufthansa Group Q3 2025 Results Conference Call, the company provided a positive outlook for the remaining months of the year, with key performance indicators (KPIs) showing improvements. The airline's regularity reached 99% and departure punctuality improved by over 10 percentage points compared to the previous year. Total revenue for Q3 increased by EUR 500 million to EUR 11.2 billion, with an adjusted EBIT of EUR 1.3 billion, stable compared to last year. Year-to-date, there has been a EUR 300 million improvement compared to 2024. Lufthansa's passenger airlines reported a 3.2% capacity growth globally, with significant increases on North Atlantic routes. Despite some yield softness, excluding currency effects, Revenue per Available Seat Kilometer (RASK) remained stable. Looking forward, Lufthansa plans continued growth on the North Atlantic and cautious growth in Asia, with promising demand from Japan, South Korea, and India. The company is optimistic about its future, supported by ongoing high demand, fleet renewal, and operational stability.

Deutsche Lufthansa AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Deutsche Lufthansa AG has shown strong revenue growth and improved leverage post-pandemic. However, challenges remain with profitability margins and cash flow generation, indicating a need for further improvement in financial health.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Deutsche Lufthansa AG has shown a strong recovery in revenue growth, especially post-pandemic, with a 5.9% increase from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin improved significantly from negative in 2020 to positive in 2024. However, the net profit margin decreased from 4.7% in 2023 to 3.7% in 2024, indicating some efficiency challenges. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased slightly, suggesting room for improvement in operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio remains high, though it has improved from 11.4 in 2020 to 1.23 in 2024, indicating better leverage management. The equity ratio has improved over recent years, reaching 24.5% in 2024, reflecting a more stable financial position. However, the high level of debt still poses potential risks. ROE increased to 11.9% in 2024, showing better returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Free cash flow has been volatile, with significant negative values in 2020 and 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is relatively strong at 2.82, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating challenges in generating free cash flow. The company needs to focus on improving its cash flow generation to support long-term growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue38.63B37.58B35.48B32.77B16.81B13.59B
Gross Profit4.89B4.83B7.43B4.62B-3.00M-2.98B
EBITDA4.46B4.66B5.30B3.73B92.00M-3.66B
Net Income1.77B1.38B1.67B791.00M-2.19B-6.77B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets48.14B47.05B45.32B43.34B42.54B39.48B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.59B8.49B8.27B8.30B7.60B5.38B
Total Debt0.0014.23B13.95B15.17B16.69B15.38B
Total Liabilities37.80B35.46B35.61B34.86B38.05B38.10B
Stockholders Equity10.29B11.54B9.66B8.40B4.45B1.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow120.00M-6.00M895.00M2.66B-700.00M-3.58B
Operating Cash Flow3.88B3.89B4.95B5.17B618.00M-2.33B
Investing Cash Flow-2.85B-2.33B-2.98B-3.44B-3.02B-2.34B
Financing Cash Flow-947.00M-1.45B-2.07B-2.27B2.87B5.08B

Deutsche Lufthansa AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.27
Price Trends
50DMA
8.72
Positive
100DMA
8.73
Positive
200DMA
7.92
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Negative
RSI
58.16
Neutral
STOCH
72.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DLAKY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.27 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.42, below the 50-day MA of 8.72, and above the 200-day MA of 7.92, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DLAKY.

Deutsche Lufthansa AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$37.47B8.0928.52%1.18%4.33%-1.58%
$32.16B14.7827.12%1.60%10.61%37.32%
$10.57B5.2317.85%3.86%6.95%86.01%
$30.44B9.4225.59%4.24%20.29%
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
$8.67B15.791.27%118.64%
$15.56B46.724.22%2.38%0.65%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DLAKY
Deutsche Lufthansa AG
8.76
2.26
34.77%
DAL
Delta Air Lines
57.38
1.16
2.06%
RYAAY
Ryanair Holdings
62.48
19.28
44.63%
LUV
Southwest Airlines
30.30
1.06
3.63%
UAL
United Airlines Holdings
94.04
16.79
21.73%
AAL
American Airlines
13.13
0.14
1.08%

Deutsche Lufthansa AG Corporate Events

Lufthansa Group Reports Strong Financial Growth in 2025
Oct 31, 2025

Deutsche Lufthansa AG is a leading global airline group, operating in the aviation sector, known for its extensive network of passenger and cargo services. In its latest earnings report for the first nine months of 2025, Lufthansa Group showed a positive trajectory in its financial performance. The company reported a 5% increase in total revenue, reaching €29,648 million, driven by strong growth in its logistics and MRO segments, despite a slight decline in passenger yields. Operating income rose by 5%, while adjusted EBIT saw a significant 26% increase to €1,480 million, reflecting improved operational efficiency and cost management. The group’s net profit also surged by 32% to €1,093 million, supported by a robust cash flow from operating activities, which increased by 19% to €3,939 million. The company continues to focus on strategic initiatives, including fleet modernization and operational improvements, aimed at enhancing profitability and shareholder value. Looking ahead, Lufthansa Group remains committed to its strategic goals, including maximizing synergies within the group and maintaining a strong balance sheet, as it navigates the evolving aviation landscape.

Lufthansa Earnings Call: Strong Gains Amid Challenges
Aug 2, 2025

The recent earnings call for Deutsche Lufthansa AG painted a picture of strong operational improvements and financial performance across several segments, including Lufthansa Cargo, Technik, and the integration of ITA Airways. Despite these achievements, the company faces significant challenges such as high location costs, delayed aircraft deliveries, and cost pressures. The overall sentiment suggests a positive outlook, tempered with caution due to these external pressures.

Lufthansa Group Reports Strong Financial Turnaround in 2025
Aug 1, 2025

Deutsche Lufthansa AG, a leading global airline group, operates in the aviation sector, offering passenger and cargo transportation services, and is known for its extensive network and commitment to sustainability. In its latest earnings report for the first half of 2025, Lufthansa Group reported a significant improvement in financial performance, with a 6% increase in total revenue to €18,449 million and a net profit of €127 million, reversing a loss from the previous year. Key highlights include a 37% rise in adjusted EBITDA to €1,344 million and a notable improvement in adjusted EBIT to €149 million, driven by increased passenger traffic and successful cost management despite geopolitical challenges and high operational costs. The group’s logistics and MRO segments also showed strong performance, contributing to the overall positive results. Looking ahead, Lufthansa Group remains optimistic, expecting a further increase in adjusted EBIT for the full year, supported by ongoing demand for air travel and strategic initiatives such as fleet expansion and integration of ITA Airways.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025