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Deutsche Lufthansa AG (DLAKY)
OTHER OTC:DLAKY

Deutsche Lufthansa AG (DLAKY) AI Stock Analysis

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

(OTC:DLAKY)

74Outperform
Lufthansa's stock is rated at 74, driven by strong revenue growth and operational performance. The company's low valuation and attractive dividend yield further enhance the score. However, profitability margins and cash flow challenges temper the outlook. Ongoing cost pressures and booking uncertainties are risks to monitor.

Deutsche Lufthansa AG (DLAKY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDeutsche Lufthansa AG, commonly referred to as Lufthansa, is a leading global airline company headquartered in Cologne, Germany. As one of the largest airlines in Europe, Lufthansa operates in several sectors including passenger airlines, logistics, maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO), and catering. The company provides air travel services across numerous international destinations and is a key member of the Star Alliance network, offering a comprehensive range of services to meet the diverse needs of both individual and corporate travelers.
How the Company Makes MoneyLufthansa generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily from its passenger airline services, which account for the majority of its income. The company earns money by selling flight tickets to both individual travelers and corporate clients, leveraging its extensive route network and membership in the Star Alliance to provide competitive and comprehensive travel options. Additionally, Lufthansa's logistics division, Lufthansa Cargo, contributes to revenue by offering air freight and logistics services. The company's MRO segment provides maintenance, repair, and overhaul services to other airlines, creating another stream of income. Moreover, Lufthansa's catering arm, LSG Sky Chefs, supplies in-flight catering services to various airlines, further diversifying its revenue sources. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other airlines and service providers enhance its market reach and operational efficiency, contributing to its overall earnings.

Deutsche Lufthansa AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Deutsche Lufthansa AG has demonstrated strong revenue recovery post-pandemic and improved leverage management. However, it faces challenges with profitability margins and cash flow generation, which need addressing to ensure financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Deutsche Lufthansa AG has shown a strong recovery in revenue growth, especially post-pandemic, with a 5.9% increase from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin improved significantly from negative in 2020 to positive in 2024. However, the net profit margin decreased from 4.7% in 2023 to 3.7% in 2024, indicating some efficiency challenges. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased slightly, suggesting room for improvement in operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio remains high, though it has improved from 11.4 in 2020 to 1.23 in 2024, indicating better leverage management. The equity ratio has improved over recent years, reaching 24.5% in 2024, reflecting a more stable financial position. However, the high level of debt still poses potential risks. ROE increased to 11.9% in 2024, showing better returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Free cash flow has been volatile, with significant negative values in 2020 and 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is relatively strong at 2.82, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating challenges in generating free cash flow. The company needs to focus on improving its cash flow generation to support long-term growth.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
37.58B35.48B32.77B16.81B13.59B
Gross Profit
4.83B7.43B4.62B-3.00M-2.98B
EBIT
1.54B2.46B1.23B-2.32B-7.09B
EBITDA
4.66B5.30B3.73B92.00M-3.66B
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.38B1.67B791.00M-2.19B-6.77B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
8.49B8.27B8.30B7.60B5.38B
Total Assets
47.05B45.32B43.34B42.54B39.48B
Total Debt
14.23B13.95B15.17B16.69B15.38B
Net Debt
12.44B12.36B13.38B14.45B13.66B
Total Liabilities
35.46B35.61B34.86B38.05B38.10B
Stockholders Equity
11.54B9.66B8.40B4.45B1.35B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-6.00M895.00M2.66B-700.00M-3.58B
Operating Cash Flow
3.89B4.95B5.17B618.00M-2.33B
Investing Cash Flow
-2.33B-2.98B-3.44B-3.02B-2.34B
Financing Cash Flow
-1.45B-2.07B-2.27B2.87B5.08B

Deutsche Lufthansa AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.12
Price Trends
50DMA
7.22
Negative
100DMA
6.76
Positive
200DMA
6.61
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Negative
RSI
52.98
Neutral
STOCH
-13.72
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DLAKY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.91, below the 50-day MA of 7.22, and above the 200-day MA of 6.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of -13.72 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DLAKY.

Deutsche Lufthansa AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
DADAL
76
Outperform
$29.26B8.0727.52%1.21%4.91%-27.21%
UAUAL
76
Outperform
$24.01B6.7033.57%5.31%35.95%
74
Outperform
$8.80B6.5812.68%3.09%6.06%-11.01%
74
Outperform
$26.51B15.3421.21%1.65%5.39%-15.92%
64
Neutral
$4.24B11.645.23%249.83%4.07%-10.54%
LULUV
59
Neutral
$17.00B35.725.63%2.38%3.26%27.77%
AAAAL
58
Neutral
$6.88B12.04-21.27%1.92%36.07%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DLAKY
Deutsche Lufthansa AG
7.12
0.17
2.45%
DAL
Delta Air Lines
48.54
-3.50
-6.73%
RYAAY
Ryanair Holdings
50.78
0.07
0.14%
LUV
Southwest Airlines
31.18
4.46
16.69%
UAL
United Airlines Holdings
77.27
24.55
46.57%
AAL
American Airlines
11.11
-3.29
-22.85%

Deutsche Lufthansa AG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.11%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a strong operational performance and revenue growth with significant investments in staff and fleet renewal. However, notable challenges included cost pressures and uncertainties in third-quarter bookings.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Sales and Revenue Growth
Lufthansa achieved record sales for the first time, exceeding EUR 8 billion with a 10% growth in the first quarter.
Operational Excellence and Staff Investment
Lufthansa Airlines achieved its highest operational performance levels in the last 10 years in regularity and punctuality. The company invested in recruiting, training, and qualifying additional operational staff.
Strong Demand and Capacity Increase
The airlines increased capacity by 5% compared to the same quarter last year, and passenger load factors improved. North Atlantic passenger numbers increased by over 7%.
Lufthansa Technik and Cargo Performance
Lufthansa Technik's revenue grew by 14% to EUR 2 billion, and Lufthansa Cargo achieved an adjusted EBIT of EUR 62 million, benefiting from high volume growth and increased yields.
Positive Cash Flow and Liquidity
Adjusted free cash flow amounted to EUR 835 million, significantly above last year's level, and total liquidity increased by approximately EUR 350 million.
Negative Updates
Impact of Cost Increases
The company's material costs, excluding fuel, rose by almost 16%, with fees and charges increasing by 14%. Personnel expenses grew by 5%, increasing financial pressure.
Third Quarter Booking Uncertainty
Early signs of booking softness were observed in the third quarter, particularly for U.S. destinations, mainly in the lower fare classes.
Adjusted EBIT Loss and Tax Impact
The adjusted EBIT was negative at EUR 722 million, and net income was below last year's level due to a temporary tax accounting effect.
Strikes and Inflation Effects
Strikes at German airports resulted in approximately EUR 30 million of extra costs, and general cost inflation amounted to about EUR 280 million of additional costs.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Lufthansa Group reported record sales exceeding EUR 8 billion, marking a 10% growth compared to the previous year. The company emphasized its focus on operational excellence, which has resulted in Lufthansa Airlines achieving the highest levels of regularity and punctuality in the last decade. Despite a challenging global political environment, the Group increased capacity by 5% and improved yields and load factors. Pre-booking levels for the second quarter are in line with or above previous year's figures, although some softness in lower fare class bookings to U.S. destinations is noted. The Group is prepared to adjust growth if necessary, having already reduced winter growth from 6% to 3%. The first quarter saw an adjusted EBIT improvement, with a reduction in irregularity events and financial impacts by 40%. Lufthansa Technik and Cargo contributed significantly to the group's revenue increase, with Lufthansa Cargo achieving an adjusted EBIT of EUR 62 million due to volume and yield improvements. The Group expects a positive trend through the first half of the year, with a focus on strategic initiatives to enhance resilience and operational performance.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.