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Dht Holdings (DHT)
NYSE:DHT

DHT Holdings (DHT) AI Stock Analysis

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DHT

DHT Holdings

(NYSE:DHT)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$22.00
â–²(18.15% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/28/26
The score is driven primarily by strong earnings-call fundamentals (booking visibility, low breakevens, liquidity/low leverage, and dividend policy) and solid underlying profitability/balance-sheet health. Offsetting factors are volatile free cash flow and very overbought technical signals that raise near-term downside risk, while valuation remains supportive due to the moderate P/E and high yield.
Positive Factors
High profitability and margins
DHT's exceptionally high EBITDA and net margins in 2025 demonstrate durable operating leverage in a tightening VLCC market. Sustained margin levels materially boost cash generation capacity, supporting dividends, fleet investment and deleveraging even when revenue cycles soften, improving long-term resilience.
Strong liquidity and improving leverage
Healthy liquidity and low market-value leverage give DHT flexibility to fund newbuilds, pay dividends and weather cyclical downturns without equity raises. Net debt per vessel well below residual values supports credit resilience and preserves capital allocation optionality over the next several quarters.
Funded fleet renewal and disciplined allocation
A funded renewal program plus accretive disposals upgrades fleet quality and reduces operating costs per vessel. Executing renewals without issuing equity and continuing a 100% ordinary income payout policy signals disciplined capital allocation that preserves shareholder returns while modernizing the fleet.
Negative Factors
Volatile free cash flow
Inconsistent free cash flow reflects timing of capex, working capital and survey costs, reducing predictability of distributable cash. This volatility forces reliance on credit lines or asset sales in weaker periods and complicates sustainable dividend visibility across shipping cycles.
Higher spot exposure raises earnings volatility
A materially higher spot mix increases sensitivity to freight swings and geopolitical disruptions. While it can amplify upside, structurally it raises revenue and earnings variability, complicating forecasting, capital planning and the maintenance of a stable dividend during market downturns.
Market and policy supply uncertainties
Sanctions, demolition protocols and a large near-term order book can shift global VLCC supply dynamics, impacting secondhand values and newbuild pricing. These structural uncertainties increase execution and asset-value risk, potentially pressuring returns and collateral values over multiple quarters.

DHT Holdings (DHT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

DHT Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDHT Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates crude oil tankers primarily in Monaco, Singapore, and Norway. As of March 17, 2022, it had a fleet of 26 very large crude carriers with a capacity of 8,043,657 deadweight tons. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.
How the Company Makes MoneyDHT Holdings generates revenue primarily through the chartering of its tanker fleet to oil companies and traders under time charters and spot contracts. The company's revenue model is heavily reliant on the fluctuating spot market rates for shipping services, which can vary based on global oil demand, shipping supply, and geopolitical factors. Additionally, DHT may enter into long-term contracts that provide a more stable revenue stream. The company also benefits from operational efficiencies and cost management strategies that help to maximize profitability during favorable market conditions. Significant relationships with major oil companies enhance DHT's market presence and contribute to its revenue stability.

DHT Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a strongly positive operational and financial picture: robust quarterly and annual profitability, a well-funded fleet renewal program, solid liquidity and low leverage, high shareholder returns via dividends, and healthy booking and breakeven metrics. The company is intentionally increasing spot exposure to capitalize on favorable market dynamics and benefits from timely newbuilding deliveries. Offsetting this optimism are elevated capital deployment, scheduled special surveys and non-recurring costs, increased earnings volatility from higher spot exposure, and unresolved external uncertainties (sanctioned fleet outcomes, demolition protocols, and policy risks) that could affect supply dynamics and asset values. Overall, the highlights materially outweigh the lowlights.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q4 and Full-Year Profitability
Q4 2025 TCE revenues of $118.0M, adjusted EBITDA of $95.0M and net income of $66.0M ($0.41/share). FY 2025 TCE revenues of $369.0M, adjusted EBITDA of $278.0M and net income of $211.0M ($1.31/share). Adjusted FY net income (ex-sale gains) $158.0M ($0.99/share). FY adjusted EBITDA margin ~75.3% (278/369) and net income margin ~57.2% (211/369), underscoring very strong profitability for the year.
Robust Fleet Earnings and Spot Premium
Average Q4 spot earnings of $69,500/day versus time-charter earnings of $49,400/day; combined fleet TCE of $60,300/day. Spot rates were approximately 40.8% higher than time-charter rates ((69,500-49,400)/49,400 ≈ 40.8%), highlighting the attractive spot market realized in the quarter.
Solid Balance Sheet and Liquidity
Total liquidity at quarter end $189.0M (cash $79.0M + $110.5M available RCF). Following January transactions, current RCF availability stands at $171.9M. Financial leverage on a market value basis was 17.6%, and net debt was under $16M per vessel—well below estimated residual values.
Active, Funded Fleet Renewal and Accretive Disposals
Delivered newbuilding DHT Antelope (Jan 2) and secondhand DHT Nokota (2018). Agreed sales of older vessels: DHT China + DHT Europe for $101.6M (expected combined gain ≈ $60M, cash proceeds ≈ $95M) and sale of DHT Bauhinia for $51.5M (expected gain ≈ $34.2M). Four newbuilds funded and scheduled to deliver in H1 2026; renewal executed without issuing new shares.
Shareholder Returns and Capital Allocation Discipline
Board approved Q4 dividend $0.41/share (100% ordinary net income policy), marking 64 consecutive quarterly cash dividends. Q4 dividend distribution $28.9M. Accumulated dividends since Q3 2022 equal $3.34/share.
Booking Visibility and Low Cash Breakeven
Q1 2026 bookings: 797 time-charter days at an average of $43,300/day; 1,195 spot days of which 76% are already booked at an average of $78,900/day. Spot P&L breakeven for Q1 estimated at $18,300/day; 2026 spot cash breakeven estimated at $17,500/day. Company expects spot exposure to reach ~75% of capacity in Q2 2026, and estimates a P&L vs cash breakeven delta of $6,700/day (~$56M for the year) to be retained for corporate purposes.
Negative Updates
Heavy Capital Deployment and Cash Uses
Q4 cash flow activity included $97.6M deployed toward vessels, $107.8M invested in newbuild program and issuance of $169.4M in long-term debt associated with recent deliveries. Cash balance ended Q4 at $79.0M (started the quarter $81M) after dividend payments of $28.9M and significant capex — showing substantial cash deployment despite strong operating cash generation.
Scheduled Special Surveys and Non-Recurring Costs
2026 planning includes seven special surveys which are reflected in the company’s cash breakeven. Q4 G&A included approximately $0.6M of nonrecurring project costs. Special surveys and nonrecurring expenses elevate near-term cash requirements and breakeven considerations.
Increased Spot Exposure Increases Market Volatility Risk
Management is increasing spot exposure (target ~75% in Q2) to capture spot upside. While this is positioned as an opportunity, it also increases earnings volatility exposure to short-term freight market swings and geopolitical disruptions versus more stable time-charter revenues.
Market and Policy Uncertainties Affecting Supply Dynamics
Uncertainties remain around sanctioned fleet outcomes (151 sanctioned VLCCs) and protocols for demolition or re-entry, U.S.-China trade/policy issues affecting Chinese yards, and potential order book additions (confirmed 171 ships next 3 years). These unresolved issues could affect secondhand values, newbuild pricing and timing—introducing execution and market risk despite the company’s constructive view.
Company Guidance
The company guided that 2026 spot cash breakeven is $17,500/day (P&L vs. cash breakeven delta $6,700/day, ~ $56M of discretionary cash to be retained), and Q1 2026 bookings currently cover 797 time‑charter days at an average $43,300/day plus 1,195 spot days (76% already fixed) at an average $78,900/day, with a Q1 spot P&L breakeven of $18,300/day; management expects spot exposure to reach roughly 3/4 of capacity in Q2. They reiterated a 100% ordinary net income cash payout policy and approved a Q4 dividend of $0.41/share (64th consecutive quarterly dividend). Operational and balance‑sheet items tied to the guidance include one newbuilding delivered Jan 2 (Antelope), the remaining three newbuilds due 2 in March and 1 in June (fully funded, no shares issued), expected combined gains of ~ $60M on the DHT China/Europe sales (cash proceeds ~ $95M), an agreed $51.5M sale of DHT Bauhinia (expected gain $34.2M), Q4 liquidity of $189M (cash $79M + RCF availability $110.5M, current RCF availability $171.9M), financial leverage ~17.6% on market values, and net debt just under $16M per vessel.

DHT Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement profitability is strong (2025 margins and earnings improved), and the balance sheet shows improving leverage and healthy ROE. The main drag is cash-flow consistency: free cash flow swung sharply negative in 2025 after being strongly positive in 2024, underscoring cyclicality and reinvestment/working-capital volatility.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Profitability is strong in the most recent year (2025), with high gross and net margins and improved earnings versus 2024. However, revenue declined in 2025 after a stronger 2022–2024 period, highlighting the cyclical nature of results. Longer-term performance is solid but volatile, including a loss in 2021 followed by a sharp recovery in 2022–2025.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Leverage looks reasonable and improving, with debt-to-equity trending down from 2021 to 2025 and equity building over time. Returns on equity are healthy in 2023–2025, indicating effective use of capital. The main risk is still industry cyclicality—earnings swings can pressure coverage and asset values even with moderate leverage.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
Operating cash generation remains solid across most years, supporting the business through cycles. The key weakness is consistency in cash available after investment: free cash flow swung from strongly positive in 2024 to negative in 2025, and was also negative in 2021. This volatility suggests higher reinvestment needs and/or working-capital timing effects that can pressure shareholder returns in weaker periods.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue497.20M571.77M560.56M454.14M295.85M
Gross Profit189.75M313.56M210.56M71.58M-3.00M
EBITDA331.91M324.35M304.01M212.02M143.22M
Net Income211.09M181.38M161.35M61.52M-11.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.60B1.49B1.49B1.51B1.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments79.03M78.14M74.74M125.95M60.37M
Total Debt428.74M413.58M430.14M396.69M525.58M
Total Liabilities469.69M443.89M460.56M434.99M562.00M
Stockholders Equity1.13B1.04B1.03B1.07B1.05B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-33.29M201.62M123.18M117.76M-114.04M
Operating Cash Flow276.65M298.65M251.41M127.91M60.56M
Investing Cash Flow-172.55M-97.03M-124.98M110.52M-86.51M
Financing Cash Flow-103.36M-197.91M-177.76M-173.34M17.97M

DHT Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price18.62
Price Trends
50DMA
14.60
Positive
100DMA
13.64
Positive
200DMA
12.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.41
Negative
RSI
72.26
Negative
STOCH
65.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DHT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 18.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.91, above the 50-day MA of 14.60, and above the 200-day MA of 12.46, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.26 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DHT.

DHT Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$4.11B7.2311.35%3.19%-35.37%-57.86%
81
Outperform
$2.62B5.2618.48%3.72%-20.11%-26.44%
79
Outperform
$1.38B7.758.57%1.27%2.46%33.89%
76
Outperform
$1.59B5.4911.21%13.08%-27.21%-62.22%
74
Outperform
$3.09B9.2919.44%6.12%-16.45%23.94%
69
Neutral
$3.74B7.7415.96%6.12%-23.59%-57.70%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DHT
DHT Holdings
18.62
8.52
84.32%
STNG
Scorpio Tankers
80.19
41.58
107.69%
TNK
Teekay Tankers
77.28
40.46
109.90%
NVGS
Navigator Holdings
21.15
6.89
48.35%
LPG
Dorian LPG
37.24
18.01
93.70%
INSW
International Seaways
75.44
43.14
133.59%

DHT Holdings Corporate Events

DHT Holdings Posts Strong Q4 2025, Sells Older VLCCs and Adds Newbuilds as VLCC Market Tightens
Feb 5, 2026

On February 4, 2026, DHT Holdings reported strong fourth-quarter 2025 results, with shipping revenues of $143.9 million, adjusted EBITDA of $95.3 million and net profit of $66.1 million, or $0.41 per basic share, driven by robust VLCC spot earnings of $69,500 per day and average combined time charter equivalent rates of $60,300 per day. The company continued its shareholder return policy by declaring a $0.41 per-share cash dividend for Q4 2025, marking its 64th consecutive quarterly payout, and advanced its fleet strategy by paying $106.1 million in newbuilding installments during the quarter, taking delivery of the 2018-built DHT Nokota in November 2025, and agreeing to sell three 2007-built VLCCs, including DHT Europe, DHT China and DHT Bauhinia, for total proceeds of more than $150 million and substantial expected gains. As of December 31, 2025, DHT operated a 22-VLCC fleet and has since taken delivery of the newbuild DHT Antelope on January 2, 2026, the first of four VLCC newbuildings scheduled for delivery through June 2026, while also extending the DHT Harrier on a five-year time charter with a global energy company; coupled with a $308.4 million post-delivery credit facility and strong spot bookings early in 2026, the company is increasing market exposure to capitalize on a tightening VLCC market and industry consolidation that it believes will support higher rates and reinforce its dividend-driven capital allocation model.

The most recent analyst rating on (DHT) stock is a Buy with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DHT Holdings stock, see the DHT Stock Forecast page.

DHT Holdings Posts Strong Q4 2025 VLCC Earnings and Secures New Five-Year Charter for DHT Harrier
Jan 15, 2026

In a business update released on January 14, 2026, DHT Holdings reported estimated time charter equivalent earnings of $60,300 per day for its fleet in the fourth quarter of 2025, with VLCCs in the spot market earning $69,500 per day and those on time charter earning $49,400 per day across 1,955 revenue days. The company noted that by early in the first quarter of 2026, it had already booked 45% of its available spot days at an average of $66,300 per day and 66% of its total available revenue days, spot and time charter combined, at $51,500 per day, while management highlighted a late-quarter dip followed by a rebound in the spot market and tightening market balance. Also in early January 2026, DHT extended the time charter for its 2016-built VLCC DHT Harrier with a global energy company for a new five-year term starting immediately after the current contract ends, at a daily rate of $47,500 plus two optional one-year extensions at higher rates, reinforcing longer-term earnings visibility and customer relationships amid a firming crude tanker market.

The most recent analyst rating on (DHT) stock is a Buy with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DHT Holdings stock, see the DHT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026