DHL Group (DHLGY) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $52.92B
• Dividend Yield: 3.18%
• Average Volume (3M): 59.66K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 14.8
• Beta (1Y): 0.83
• Revenue Growth: 3.47%
• EPS Growth: -2.88%
• Country: US
• Employees: 580,580
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 93
• Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics
• EPS (TTM): 0.77
• Shares Outstanding: 1,200,000,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 44,074
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 59,663
• PEG Ratio: -10.74
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.24
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 10.16
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

• Rating: 76 Outperform
• Price Target: $52.00 ▲(11.83%Upside)

DHL Group's strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives significantly contribute to its stock score. While technical indicators show potential overbought conditions, the company's stable valuation and positive earnings outlook provide a balanced perspective, positioning DHLGY favorably for continued growth.

DHL Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Deutsche Post AG operates as a mail and logistics company in Germany, rest of Europe, the Americas, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa. The company operates through five segments: Express; Global Forwarding, Freight; Supply Chain; eCommerce; and Post & Parcel Germany. The Express segment offers time-definite courier and express services to business and private customers. The Global Forwarding, Freight segment provides air, ocean, and overland freight forwarding services; and offers multimodal and sector-specific solutions. The Supply Chain segment delivers customized logistics services and supply chain solutions to its customers based on modular components, including warehousing and transport services, as well as value-added services, such as e-fulfilment, omnichannel solutions and returns management, lead logistics partner, real estate solutions, service logistics, and packaging solutions for various industrial sectors. The eCommerce segment provides parcel delivery and non-time definite international cross-border services. The Post & Parcel Germany segment transports, sorts, and delivers mail communication, physical and hybrid letters, and goods; and offers additional services, such as registered mail, cash on delivery, and insured items. Deutsche Post AG is headquartered in Bonn, Germany.

How the Company Makes Money

DHL Group generates revenue through its diverse portfolio of logistics services, with key revenue streams coming from its express delivery services, freight transportation, and supply chain management solutions. DHL Express provides time-sensitive international shipping, which is a major revenue driver, especially with the growing demand for fast and reliable delivery in the e-commerce sector. DHL Global Forwarding and DHL Freight handle air, ocean, and overland freight transportation, offering customized solutions for large shipments, which contribute significantly to the company's earnings. DHL Supply Chain offers contract logistics, including warehousing and distribution services, tailored to specific industry needs. DHL eCommerce Solutions supports the growing online shopping market by providing domestic and international parcel delivery services. Strategic partnerships and investments in technology and infrastructure enhancements also play a crucial role in expanding DHL Group's capabilities and competitiveness, thereby contributing to its overall revenue growth.

DHL Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary

DHL Group demonstrates a solid financial foundation with stable profitability metrics and a balanced capital structure. Despite facing revenue challenges, the company maintains strong operational efficiency and cash conversion capabilities. Continued focus on managing leverage and improving revenue growth could enhance future financial performance.

Income Statement

DHL Group's TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) performance shows a stable gross profit margin of 9.91%, slightly lower than the previous year due to decreased revenues. Net profit margin stands at 3.88%, reflecting profitability but with room for improvement. Revenue growth has been negative with a decline of 13.2% from the previous year, indicating challenges in market conditions. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy at 6.68% and 12.74%, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.05, suggesting balanced leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) is 14.46%, indicating good profitability on shareholder investments. The equity ratio is decent at 33.30%, reflecting a stable capital structure with a good portion of assets financed by equity. Overall, the balance sheet reflects stability with a potential for growth despite a slight decline in equity.

Cash Flow

DHL Group's cash flow analysis shows a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.37, underscoring excellent cash-generating capabilities. Free cash flow has decreased by 18.2% year-over-year, pointing to potential constraints in cash availability. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.49 further highlights efficient cash conversion, albeit with a declining trend.

Breakdown
TTM	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020	Dec 2019
Income Statement		Total Revenue
82.83B	81.76B	94.44B	81.75B	66.81B	63.34B
	Gross Profit
8.21B	14.21B	16.55B	15.44B	11.77B	10.43B
	EBIT
5.54B	6.34B	8.44B	7.62B	4.85B	4.13B
	EBITDA
10.56B	10.84B	12.73B	11.69B	8.54B	7.77B
	Net Income Common Stockholders
3.22B	3.68B	5.36B	5.05B	2.98B	2.62B
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
3.96B	2.08B	3.19B	4.71B	5.80B	3.26B
	Total Assets
50.47B	66.81B	68.28B	63.59B	55.31B	52.17B
	Total Debt
15.60B	20.83B	20.22B	19.02B	18.35B	16.24B
	Net Debt
12.58B	18.78B	18.39B	17.39B	13.87B	13.37B
	Total Liabilities
36.60B	43.92B	44.58B	44.09B	41.23B	37.78B
	Stockholders Equity
13.59B	22.48B	23.24B	19.04B	13.78B	14.12B
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
4.81B	5.88B	7.05B	6.26B	4.78B	2.44B
	Operating Cash Flow
7.64B	9.26B	10.96B	9.99B	7.70B	6.05B
	Investing Cash Flow
-2.86B	-2.18B	-3.18B	-4.82B	-3.64B	-2.14B
	Financing Cash Flow
-5.82B	-6.90B	-7.41B	-6.22B	-2.25B	-4.11B

DHL Group Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 46.50
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DHLGY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 46.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 44.32, above the 50-day MA of 41.81, and above the 200-day MA of 39.31, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.28 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.11 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DHLGY.

DHL Group Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
DHLGY	76 Outperform	$52.92B	14.75	14.13%	3.18%	3.47%	-2.88%
FDX	76 Outperform	$52.45B	13.61	14.74%	2.55%	0.34%	-8.45%
UPS	73 Outperform	$83.45B	14.13	35.96%	6.75%	1.30%	-0.76%
EXPD	73 Outperform	$15.22B	18.45	37.70%	1.31%	24.07%	27.40%
CHRW	68 Neutral	$11.34B	22.82	32.11%	2.59%	-0.22%	65.52%
ZTO	67 Neutral	$13.38B	10.85	15.68%	3.99%	13.41%	10.00%
Sector *	66 Neutral	$4.48B	12.26	5.32%	248.53%	4.10%	-12.36%