DHL Group (DHLGY) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $51.67B
• Dividend Yield: 4.65%
• Average Volume (3M): 68.97K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 14.5
• Beta (1Y): 0.75
• Revenue Growth: 3.47%
• EPS Growth: -2.88%
• Country: US
• Employees: 580,580
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 91
• Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics
• EPS (TTM): 0.77
• Shares Outstanding: 1,200,000,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 87,218
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 68,965
• PEG Ratio: 7.55
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.88
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 10.73
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: $52.00
• Price Target Upside: 14.92% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

• Rating: 76 Outperform
• Price Target: $52.00 ▲(14.92%Upside)

DHL Group's strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives significantly contribute to its stock score. While technical indicators show potential overbought conditions, the company's stable valuation and positive earnings outlook provide a balanced perspective, positioning DHLGY favorably for continued growth.

DHL Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Deutsche Post AG operates as a mail and logistics company in Germany, rest of Europe, the Americas, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa. The company operates through five segments: Express; Global Forwarding, Freight; Supply Chain; eCommerce; and Post & Parcel Germany. The Express segment offers time-definite courier and express services to business and private customers. The Global Forwarding, Freight segment provides air, ocean, and overland freight forwarding services; and offers multimodal and sector-specific solutions. The Supply Chain segment delivers customized logistics services and supply chain solutions to its customers based on modular components, including warehousing and transport services, as well as value-added services, such as e-fulfilment, omnichannel solutions and returns management, lead logistics partner, real estate solutions, service logistics, and packaging solutions for various industrial sectors. The eCommerce segment provides parcel delivery and non-time definite international cross-border services. The Post & Parcel Germany segment transports, sorts, and delivers mail communication, physical and hybrid letters, and goods; and offers additional services, such as registered mail, cash on delivery, and insured items. Deutsche Post AG is headquartered in Bonn, Germany.

How the Company Makes Money

DHL Group generates revenue through various streams primarily within the logistics and supply chain management sectors. The company's key revenue sources include express parcel delivery services, which cater to both individual and business customers requiring time-sensitive deliveries across the globe. Freight transportation services, including air, ocean, and road freight, also contribute significantly to its earnings, serving industries that require bulk shipment solutions. Additionally, DHL provides comprehensive supply chain management services, offering warehousing, inventory management, and distribution services that help businesses optimize their logistics operations. Partnerships with major e-commerce platforms and retailers further enhance DHL's revenue, as the company provides tailored logistics solutions for the e-commerce sector. Other contributing factors to DHL's revenue include its investments in technology and infrastructure, which improve operational efficiency and expand service offerings.

DHL Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary

DHL Group demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and efficient operations. While the Net Profit Margin and ROE have slightly decreased, the company maintains a stable balance sheet with moderate leverage. Cash flows are healthy, supporting operational needs and potential future growth, reflecting a well-managed company with a positive growth trajectory.

Income Statement

DHL Group has shown robust revenue growth over the years, with Total Revenue increasing from €63.34 billion in 2019 to €84.77 billion in 2024. The Gross Profit Margin has been stable, with a slight decrease from 17.10% in 2023 to 16.44% in 2024. The Net Profit Margin decreased from 4.50% in 2023 to 3.93% in 2024, indicating some pressure on profitability. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins remain strong, highlighting operational efficiency. Revenue growth is positive, suggesting a healthy expansion trajectory.

Balance Sheet

The Debt-to-Equity Ratio increased slightly from 0.93 in 2023 to 1.02 in 2024, reflecting a moderate level of leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) decreased from 16.36% in 2023 to 14.00% in 2024, indicating a slight decline in shareholder returns. The Equity Ratio stands at 34.04%, showing a solid equity base compared to total assets. Overall, the balance sheet is stable with manageable debt levels.

Cash Flow

Operating Cash Flow remains strong at €8.72 billion in 2024, though slightly down from €9.26 billion in 2023. Free Cash Flow showed a minor decline from €5.88 billion in 2023 to €5.79 billion in 2024, but it remains robust. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is favorable, indicating efficient cash generation from operations. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is also solid, supporting operational sustainability.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	85.33B	84.77B	81.76B	94.44B	81.75B	66.81B
Gross Profit	10.65B	13.93B	14.21B	16.55B	15.44B	11.77B
EBITDA	9.78B	7.57B	10.81B	12.73B	11.69B	8.54B
Net Income	3.38B	3.33B	3.68B	5.36B	5.05B	2.98B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	71.63B	69.88B	66.81B	68.28B	63.59B	55.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	7.25B	4.24B	2.08B	3.19B	4.71B	5.80B
Total Debt	0.00	24.21B	20.83B	20.22B	19.02B	18.35B
Total Liabilities	47.44B	45.66B	43.92B	44.58B	44.09B	41.23B
Stockholders Equity	23.75B	23.79B	22.48B	23.24B	19.04B	13.78B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	5.87B	5.79B	5.88B	7.05B	6.26B	4.78B
Operating Cash Flow	8.73B	8.72B	9.26B	10.96B	9.99B	7.70B
Investing Cash Flow	-2.46B	-2.39B	-2.18B	-3.18B	-4.82B	-3.64B
Financing Cash Flow	-4.52B	-6.35B	-6.90B	-7.41B	-6.22B	-2.25B

DHL Group Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 45.25
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DHLGY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 45.25 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.97, below the 50-day MA of 45.29, and above the 200-day MA of 39.90, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DHLGY.

DHL Group Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ZTO	79 Outperform	$14.29B	11.67	15.68%	3.82%	13.41%	10.00%
DHLGY	76 Outperform	$51.67B	14.52	14.13%	4.65%	3.47%	-2.88%
FDX	75 Outperform	$54.81B	13.56	14.69%	2.54%	0.27%	―
EXPD	74 Outperform	$15.29B	18.54	37.70%	1.35%	24.07%	27.40%
UPS	74 Outperform	$84.37B	14.51	35.96%	6.58%	1.30%	-0.76%
CHRW	70 Neutral	$11.63B	23.54	32.11%	2.53%	-0.22%	65.52%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$10.94B	15.63	5.27%	1.90%	3.14%	-27.13%