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DHL Group (DHLGY)
OTHER OTC:DHLGY

DHL Group (DHLGY) AI Stock Analysis

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DHL Group

(OTC:DHLGY)

81Outperform
DHL Group scores highly due to its robust financial performance and strategic initiatives that suggest a positive future outlook. While technical indicators show neutral momentum, the company's strong cash flows and shareholder returns support a favorable valuation. Challenges such as mail volume decline and cost pressures are noted, but the company's growth initiatives and stable dividend yield provide confidence in its long-term potential.

DHL Group (DHLGY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

DHL Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDHL Group, a division of the German logistics company Deutsche Post DHL Group, is a leading global provider of international express, freight transportation, e-commerce, and supply chain management services. Operating in over 220 countries and territories, DHL Group offers a comprehensive range of logistics solutions, including parcel and express delivery, freight forwarding by air, sea, and land, warehousing, and distribution services. The company's sectors include DHL Express, DHL Global Forwarding, DHL Freight, DHL Supply Chain, and DHL eCommerce Solutions, each catering to various customer needs in the logistics industry.
How the Company Makes MoneyDHL Group generates revenue through its diverse portfolio of logistics services, with key revenue streams coming from its express delivery services, freight transportation, and supply chain management solutions. DHL Express provides time-sensitive international shipping, which is a major revenue driver, especially with the growing demand for fast and reliable delivery in the e-commerce sector. DHL Global Forwarding and DHL Freight handle air, ocean, and overland freight transportation, offering customized solutions for large shipments, which contribute significantly to the company's earnings. DHL Supply Chain offers contract logistics, including warehousing and distribution services, tailored to specific industry needs. DHL eCommerce Solutions supports the growing online shopping market by providing domestic and international parcel delivery services. Strategic partnerships and investments in technology and infrastructure enhancements also play a crucial role in expanding DHL Group's capabilities and competitiveness, thereby contributing to its overall revenue growth.

DHL Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
DHL Group demonstrates a solid financial foundation with stable profitability metrics and a balanced capital structure. Despite facing revenue challenges, the company maintains strong operational efficiency and cash conversion capabilities. Continued focus on managing leverage and improving revenue growth could enhance future financial performance.
Income Statement
72
Positive
DHL Group's TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) performance shows a stable gross profit margin of 9.91%, slightly lower than the previous year due to decreased revenues. Net profit margin stands at 3.88%, reflecting profitability but with room for improvement. Revenue growth has been negative with a decline of 13.2% from the previous year, indicating challenges in market conditions. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy at 6.68% and 12.74%, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.05, suggesting balanced leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) is 14.46%, indicating good profitability on shareholder investments. The equity ratio is decent at 33.30%, reflecting a stable capital structure with a good portion of assets financed by equity. Overall, the balance sheet reflects stability with a potential for growth despite a slight decline in equity.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
DHL Group's cash flow analysis shows a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.37, underscoring excellent cash-generating capabilities. Free cash flow has decreased by 18.2% year-over-year, pointing to potential constraints in cash availability. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.49 further highlights efficient cash conversion, albeit with a declining trend.
Breakdown
Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
81.76B94.44B81.75B66.81B63.34B
Gross Profit
14.21B16.55B15.44B11.77B10.43B
EBIT
6.34B8.44B7.62B4.85B4.13B
EBITDA
10.84B12.73B11.69B8.54B7.77B
Net Income Common Stockholders
3.68B5.36B5.05B2.98B2.62B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.08B3.19B4.71B5.80B3.26B
Total Assets
66.81B68.28B63.59B55.31B52.17B
Total Debt
20.83B20.22B19.02B18.35B16.24B
Net Debt
18.78B18.39B17.39B13.87B13.37B
Total Liabilities
43.92B44.58B44.09B41.23B37.78B
Stockholders Equity
22.48B23.24B19.04B13.78B14.12B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
5.88B7.05B6.26B4.78B2.44B
Operating Cash Flow
9.26B10.96B9.99B7.70B6.05B
Investing Cash Flow
-2.18B-3.18B-4.82B-3.64B-2.14B
Financing Cash Flow
-6.90B-7.41B-6.22B-2.25B-4.11B

DHL Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price42.76
Price Trends
50DMA
41.94
Positive
100DMA
39.04
Positive
200DMA
40.23
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Negative
RSI
57.59
Neutral
STOCH
95.62
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DHLGY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 42.76 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.63, above the 50-day MA of 41.94, and above the 200-day MA of 40.23, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.62 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DHLGY.

DHL Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$44.82B12.7714.57%3.33%3.02%-7.62%
ZTZTO
76
Outperform
$15.13B12.8314.46%4.98%12.67%-0.32%
71
Outperform
$14.97B19.0235.12%1.34%13.98%14.29%
FDFDX
71
Outperform
$50.69B13.2814.74%2.61%0.34%-8.45%
UPUPS
70
Outperform
$82.33B14.3633.99%6.67%0.16%-13.41%
63
Neutral
$4.30B11.365.41%214.65%4.15%-9.13%
62
Neutral
$10.61B23.2629.65%2.75%0.73%41.65%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DHLGY
DHL Group
42.76
2.42
6.00%
CHRW
CH Robinson
89.08
19.17
27.42%
EXPD
Expeditors International
108.69
-3.73
-3.32%
FDX
FedEx
211.50
-48.91
-18.78%
UPS
United Parcel
97.09
-44.19
-31.28%
ZTO
ZTO Express
19.15
-1.46
-7.08%

DHL Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 06, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 1.57%|
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted strong financial performance in several divisions, particularly in Express and Supply Chain, with significant cash generation and shareholder returns. However, challenges in mail volume decline, cost pressures, and global trade volatility were noted. Overall, the positive highlights slightly outweigh the negative aspects, indicating a cautiously optimistic outlook.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Full Year EBIT
EBIT for the full year 2024 stands at €5,886 million, with a strong Q4 performance.
Record Free Cash Flow
Maintained a high level of cash conversion with roughly €3 billion in free cash flow.
Increased Shareholder Returns
Stable dividend at €1.85 per share and an increased share buyback program by €2 billion.
E-commerce Volume Growth
E-commerce volumes have grown by 61% over the last five years.
Supply Chain EBIT Exceeds €1 Billion
Supply Chain division exceeded €1 billion in EBIT for the first time.
Express Segment Margin Growth
DHL Express achieved a 16% margin in Q4 through pricing, mix, and capacity utilization.
Negative Updates
Mail Volume Decline
Structural decline in mail volumes continues to be a challenge for the Post & Parcel Germany division.
Rising Cost Pressures
Headwinds from cost inflation, particularly in Post & Parcel Germany, impacting financial performance.
Headcount Reductions
Germany faces structural improvement measures requiring reduction in headcount due to market softness.
Volatile Global Trade Environment
Trade barriers and global trade volatility are creating operational challenges.
Company Guidance
In the 2025 guidance call, DHL Group provided several key metrics illustrating their financial performance and strategic initiatives. The company reported an EBIT of €5,886 million for 2024 and a free cash flow of approximately €3 billion. They maintained a stable dividend of €1.85 per share and announced a €2 billion increase in their share buyback program. DHL introduced a new "Fit for Growth" program aiming for a run rate impact of more than €1 billion by the end of 2026, focusing on efficiency measures across aviation and airfreight. The guidance for 2025 projects an EBIT of more than €6 billion, with DHL expected to deliver over €5.5 billion and P&P around €1 billion. They anticipate maintaining cash flow at €3 billion and plan to achieve over €7 billion in the medium term, despite acknowledging the influence of the macroeconomic environment on their business.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.