DHL Group (DHLGY) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $58.68B
• Dividend Yield: 4%
• Average Volume (3M): 148.89K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 15.0
• Beta (1Y): 0.67
• Revenue Growth: 2.62%
• EPS Growth: 14.95%
• Country: US
• Employees: 580,580
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics
• EPS (TTM): 0.86
• Shares Outstanding: 1,200,000,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 70,437
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 148,886
• PEG Ratio: -2.02
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.68
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.47
• P/FCF Ratio: 6.90
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.30
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.90
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 7.23
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 7.74
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 80 Outperform
• Price Target: $53.00 ▲(14.62% Upside)

DHL Group's strong financial performance and effective cost management are the most significant factors contributing to its high score. The company's strategic initiatives and robust dividend yield further enhance its attractiveness. While technical indicators suggest a neutral to positive outlook, challenges in trade policy and volume declines present some risks.

DHL Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

DHL Group (DHLGY) is a leading global logistics and transportation company, renowned for its comprehensive range of services across various sectors, including express parcel delivery, freight transportation, and supply chain management. The company operates in multiple segments, including DHL Express, DHL Parcel, DHL Global Forwarding, DHL Freight, and DHL Supply Chain, providing tailored solutions to meet the diverse needs of businesses and consumers worldwide. With a commitment to innovation and sustainability, DHL Group leverages advanced technology and an extensive network to facilitate efficient logistics operations.

How the Company Makes Money

DHL Group generates revenue through a diversified model that includes several key streams. The primary revenue sources are derived from its express delivery services, freight forwarding, and contract logistics. DHL Express, which focuses on time-sensitive international shipping, contributes significantly to revenue through premium pricing for expedited delivery. DHL Global Forwarding and DHL Freight capitalize on global trade by providing air and ocean freight services, as well as road transportation, catering to both full truckload and less-than-truckload shipments. Additionally, DHL Supply Chain offers warehousing and distribution services, creating long-term contracts that ensure stable revenue. The company has strategic partnerships with airlines, shipping lines, and technology firms that enhance its service offerings and operational efficiency. Factors such as e-commerce growth, global trade dynamics, and increased demand for logistics solutions have further bolstered DHL Group's earnings.

DHL Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary

DHL Group demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and efficient operations. While the Net Profit Margin and ROE have slightly decreased, the company maintains a stable balance sheet with moderate leverage. Cash flows are healthy, supporting operational needs and potential future growth.

Income Statement

DHL Group has shown robust revenue growth over the years, with Total Revenue increasing from €63.34 billion in 2019 to €84.77 billion in 2024. The Gross Profit Margin has been stable, with a slight decrease from 17.10% in 2023 to 16.44% in 2024. The Net Profit Margin decreased from 4.50% in 2023 to 3.93% in 2024, indicating some pressure on profitability. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins remain strong, highlighting operational efficiency. Revenue growth is positive, suggesting a healthy expansion trajectory.

Balance Sheet

The Debt-to-Equity Ratio increased slightly from 0.93 in 2023 to 1.02 in 2024, reflecting a moderate level of leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) decreased from 16.36% in 2023 to 14.00% in 2024, indicating a slight decline in shareholder returns. The Equity Ratio stands at 34.04%, showing a solid equity base compared to total assets. Overall, the balance sheet is stable with manageable debt levels.

Cash Flow

Operating Cash Flow remains strong at €8.72 billion in 2024, though slightly down from €9.26 billion in 2023. Free Cash Flow showed a minor decline from €5.88 billion in 2023 to €5.79 billion in 2024, but it remains robust. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is favorable, indicating efficient cash generation from operations. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is also solid, supporting operational sustainability.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	84.52B	84.77B	81.76B	94.44B	81.75B	66.81B
Gross Profit	10.58B	13.93B	14.21B	16.55B	15.44B	11.77B
EBITDA	9.88B	7.57B	10.81B	12.73B	11.69B	8.54B
Net Income	3.45B	3.33B	3.68B	5.36B	5.05B	2.98B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	67.38B	69.88B	66.81B	68.28B	63.59B	55.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	4.01B	2.19B	2.08B	3.19B	4.71B	5.80B
Total Debt	0.00	24.21B	20.83B	20.22B	19.02B	18.35B
Total Liabilities	46.30B	45.66B	43.92B	44.58B	44.09B	41.23B
Stockholders Equity	20.64B	23.79B	22.48B	23.24B	19.04B	13.78B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	6.14B	5.79B	5.88B	7.05B	6.26B	4.78B
Operating Cash Flow	9.00B	8.72B	9.26B	10.96B	9.99B	7.70B
Investing Cash Flow	-2.69B	-2.39B	-2.18B	-3.18B	-4.82B	-3.64B
Financing Cash Flow	-5.79B	-6.35B	-6.90B	-7.41B	-6.22B	-2.25B

DHL Group Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 46.24
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DHLGY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 46.24 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 47.21, above the 50-day MA of 45.87, and above the 200-day MA of 43.77, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.46 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.23 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 97.08 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DHLGY.

DHL Group Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
DHLGY	80 Outperform	$58.68B	14.97	15.57%	4.00%	2.62%	14.95%
FDX	75 Outperform	$63.39B	15.70	14.98%	2.11%	1.14%	4.99%
ZTO	74 Outperform	$15.07B	12.94	13.98%	3.31%	14.40%	2.41%
XPO	73 Outperform	$16.36B	49.69	19.26%	―	-0.30%	-11.02%
UPS	72 Outperform	$78.95B	14.38	33.67%	6.83%	-1.25%	-2.25%
EXPD	67 Neutral	$18.82B	22.86	36.47%	1.11%	12.54%	19.59%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%

DHL Group Corporate Events

DHL Group Reports Resilient H1 2025 Performance

DHL Group is a leading global logistics company providing international express, air and ocean freight, road and rail transportation, contract logistics, and international mail services. It operates in the logistics sector with a strong presence across various regions worldwide.

DHL Group Reports Resilient Q2 Earnings Amid Challenges

The recent earnings call for DHL Group painted a picture of resilience and strategic foresight, with a generally positive sentiment despite facing some significant challenges. The company reported strong EBIT growth, underpinned by effective cost management strategies, even as it navigated hurdles such as declining B2C volumes and potential negative impacts from changes in de minimis exemptions.