tonies SE Class A (TNIE) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: €901.89M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 101.22K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 29.2
• Beta (1Y): 0.39
• Revenue Growth: 29.34%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: DE
• Employees: 561
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 78
• Industry: Leisure
• EPS (TTM): -0.01
• Shares Outstanding: 126,847,590
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 153,958
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 101,220
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: €12.00
• Price Target Upside: 69.01% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1

• Rating: 67 Neutral
• Price Target: €7.00 ▼(-1.41% Downside)

The overall stock score of 67 reflects strong financial performance driven by revenue growth and cash flow improvements. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to overbought conditions, and the high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation. The absence of a dividend yield further tempers the stock's attractiveness.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand and successful market penetration, supporting long-term business expansion and sustainability.

Cash Flow Improvement

Positive cash flow growth enhances the company's ability to invest in future opportunities and manage financial obligations effectively.

Low Leverage

Low leverage provides financial stability and flexibility, allowing the company to navigate economic uncertainties and invest in growth.

Negative Factors

Profitability Challenges

Ongoing profitability challenges at the EBIT level could hinder the company's ability to sustain growth and reinvest in its operations.

Operational Profitability

Inconsistent operational profitability may impact long-term financial health, limiting the company's ability to fund strategic initiatives.

Equity Utilization

While ROE has improved, maintaining this trajectory is crucial for long-term stability and efficient capital utilization.

tonies SE Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

tonies SE develops and markets audio systems for children. It offers Toniebox, a connected audio player for kids that plays stories, songs, and others. It also provides headphones, USB charging station, and storage bags. In addition, it offers home and deco products. The company sells its products through retailers, as well as online. It operates in Germany, the United States, the United Kingdom, Austria, Switzerland, the Republic of Ireland, France, and internationally. The company was formerly known as 468 SPAC I SE. tonies SE was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Luxembourg.

How the Company Makes Money

Tonies SE generates revenue primarily through the sale of its Toniebox audio players and the accompanying Tonies figurines. Each Tonie figurine represents a different audio story or content collection, and customers purchase these figurines to expand their audio library. This model encourages repeat purchases as users seek to collect more content. The company may also engage in licensing agreements with content creators and brands to provide exclusive stories or music, enhancing the appeal of its product range. Additionally, strategic partnerships with retailers and online platforms help in distributing their products globally, contributing to revenue growth.

tonies SE Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary

The company demonstrates strong revenue growth and improving profitability, supported by healthy cash flows and a stable balance sheet. While challenges in achieving consistent operational profitability remain, low leverage and effective cash management provide a solid foundation for future growth.

Income Statement

The company has shown strong revenue growth, with a 33% increase from 2023 to 2024, indicating robust demand within its industry. Gross Profit Margin improved significantly to 50.67%, reflecting efficient cost management. Despite these positives, the company struggles with profitability at the EBIT level, although Net Profit Margin turned positive at 2.72% in 2024. This suggests improving operational performance, though challenges remain in achieving consistent profitability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet is solid with an improved Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.06, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The Equity Ratio stands at 62.03%, showcasing a strong equity base. Return on Equity improved to 3.78% in 2024, moving into positive territory, reflecting better utilization of equity. However, maintaining this trajectory will be crucial to ensure long-term stability.

Cash Flow

The company has shown significant improvement in cash flow, with Free Cash Flow turning positive and growing substantially. Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 3.60 indicates strong cash generation relative to net income, suggesting healthy cash conversion. This robust cash flow position strengthens the company's ability to invest in growth and manage liabilities.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	394.60M	480.55M	360.95M	258.28M	187.97M	134.57M
Gross Profit	204.92M	243.51M	184.24M	32.71M	51.16M	40.50M
EBITDA	721.00K	29.60M	17.52M	-14.78M	-227.37M	-6.47M
Net Income	-29.43M	13.08M	-11.81M	-31.66M	-240.50M	-16.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	484.30M	558.50M	492.35M	481.83M	438.03M	350.17M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	27.99M	86.67M	59.29M	54.92M	75.59M	9.08M
Total Debt	25.02M	20.36M	28.60M	12.43M	1.22M	58.25M
Total Liabilities	171.91M	212.10M	167.03M	147.20M	156.74M	151.64M
Stockholders Equity	312.39M	346.39M	325.32M	334.64M	281.30M	177.24M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	12.81M	30.99M	-4.85M	-88.63M	-41.82M	-4.11M
Operating Cash Flow	16.01M	47.16M	8.14M	-75.08M	-32.88M	3.56M
Investing Cash Flow	-13.77M	-14.11M	-12.91M	-13.55M	-8.94M	-7.67M
Financing Cash Flow	8.59M	-9.11M	11.59M	67.93M	108.97M	6.28M

tonies SE Class A Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 7.10
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:TNIE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.1 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.62, above the 50-day MA of 6.16, and above the 200-day MA of 6.29, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.54 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DE:TNIE.

tonies SE Class A Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
TNIE	67 Neutral	€901.89M	29.24	8.50%	―	29.34%	―
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.08B	12.82	-2.51%	3.03%	1.45%	-15.68%
0QHC	―	€132.66M	13.85	14.63%	―	―	―
0KFL	―	€11.50M	130.08	2.86%	―	―	―
TPG	74 Outperform	€188.24M	4.18	35.60%	―	5.73%	-25.88%
WEW	57 Neutral	€232.13M	49.67	6.37%	―	-0.39%	―
YOU	45 Neutral	€1.07B	―	-47.97%	―	3.44%	5.93%