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Mensch und Maschine Software SE (DE:MUM)
XETRA:MUM

Mensch und Maschine Software SE (MUM) AI Stock Analysis

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DE:MUM

Mensch und Maschine Software SE

(XETRA:MUM)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
€37.00
▼(-15.91% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/20/26
The score is primarily held back by 2025 financial red flags (revenue/gross margin pressure, weaker cash conversion, and higher leverage). Technicals also reflect a clear downtrend with weak momentum. These negatives are partially offset by historically solid profitability/ROE and a supportive dividend yield.
Positive Factors
High return on equity and sustained profitability
Multi-year high ROE (~25%–40%) and historically solid profitability show efficient capital allocation and strong margins. This durable profitability indicates the business can generate shareholder returns and absorb cyclical shocks, supporting investment and dividend capacity over months.
Dual software-distribution and services business model
A two-pronged model (software distribution and services) creates diversified revenue streams and cross-sell opportunities. Recurring license/maintenance and project-based services increase customer stickiness and provide multiple durable levers for revenue and margin stability over a multi-month horizon.
Historically strong cash generation and FCF conversion
Consistent pre-2025 free cash flow conversion (~83%–87% of net income) demonstrates the firm's ability to turn earnings into cash. This track record supports funding of operations, capex, and distributions and offers a durable buffer to weather near-term operational setbacks.
Negative Factors
Sharp 2025 revenue and gross-margin decline
A large year-over-year revenue collapse and halving of gross margin materially change the company's economics. Such structural mix or pricing shifts reduce long-term earnings quality and create uncertainty about sustainable margins and recurring revenue, impairing planning and investment decisions.
Weaker cash conversion and operating cash flow deterioration
A sharp drop in OCF and FCF indicates worsening cash conversion despite reported earnings. This undermines the company's ability to self-fund operations and dividends, increases reliance on external financing, and signals potential working-capital or revenue-collection risks that persist for months.
Higher leverage and reduced equity in 2025
Meaningfully higher debt and lower equity in 2025 weaken the balance sheet and financial flexibility. Elevated leverage raises refinancing and interest risks, limits strategy execution (M&A, R&D spend, dividends), and amplifies downside if revenue weakness persists over the medium term.

Mensch und Maschine Software SE (MUM) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Mensch und Maschine Software SE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMensch und Maschine Software SE provides computer aided design, manufacturing, and engineering (CAD/CAM/CAE), product data management, and building information modeling/management solutions in Germany and internationally. It operates in two segments, VAR Business and M+M Software. The VAR Business segment sells CAD software to end users, as well as provides associated services. The M+M Software segments develops CAD/CAM/CAE software. The company offers software solutions that are used for the process control of milling, drilling, and turning in various industries, such as mechanical engineering; tool, mold, and die making; automotive and aerospace industry; process control; medical technology; and toy industry, as well as watch, clock, and jewelry manufacturing. Mensch und Maschine Software SE was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Starnberg, Germany.
How the Company Makes MoneyMuM generates revenue mainly through two business models that correspond to its reporting segments. (1) MuM Software: The company earns money by distributing and selling software (notably Autodesk software) and by selling its own software products and add-ons that extend CAD/BIM workflows. Revenue in this segment typically comes from software license/subscription sales, renewals/maintenance where applicable, and associated sales-related services (e.g., packaging, deployment tooling, and customer enablement tied to software distribution). As an Autodesk partner/reseller, MuM’s earnings are influenced by Autodesk’s partner program economics (e.g., discounts/margins and incentives) and by the volume and renewal behavior of the installed customer base; specific contractual terms are not publicly detailed here (null). (2) MuM Services: The company earns service revenue by providing consulting, implementation, customization/development, integration, training, and support around CAD/BIM and related digitalization solutions. This segment is primarily project- and time-based, with revenue driven by billable hours, fixed-price project fees, and ongoing support arrangements. Across both segments, key drivers of earnings include the size and retention of the subscription customer base, demand for engineering digitization (CAD/BIM/PLM-adjacent workflows), cross-selling of services into the software customer base, and the strength of partner relationships—especially with Autodesk—supporting product access, go-to-market, and recurring renewal activity.

Mensch und Maschine Software SE Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Multi-year profitability and strong ROE are positives, but 2025 introduces material risks: sharp revenue and gross margin decline, weaker cash conversion (OCF and FCF drop), and higher leverage, which reduce near-term quality and flexibility despite still-resilient operating/net margins.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Profitability is solid and generally improving across 2020–2024, with net margin rising from ~7.7% (2020) to ~9.4% (2024) and steady mid-teens operating profitability. Revenue growth has been modest most years (low-single-digits in 2023–2024), with a notable exception in 2022 (~20%). A key weakness is the sharp 2025 revenue drop (238.6m vs. 325.8m in 2024) and a much lower gross margin (~25% in 2025 vs. ~53% in 2024), even though operating and net margins remain comparatively resilient—this creates uncertainty around the durability of the business mix and earnings quality going forward.
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
The balance sheet looks healthy overall with strong profitability on shareholder capital (return on equity consistently high, ~25%–40%), indicating effective capital use. Leverage was conservative in 2023–2024 (debt-to-equity ~0.19–0.21), but 2025 shows a meaningful increase in debt (to ~49.4m) and higher leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.63) alongside lower equity (78.7m vs. 98.5m in 2024). This higher leverage reduces financial flexibility and raises risk if the 2025 revenue contraction persists.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash generation was strong in 2020–2024, with free cash flow closely tracking earnings (free cash flow about ~83%–87% of net income) and sizable operating cash flow. However, 2025 shows a sharp deterioration: operating cash flow fell to ~16.3m (from ~62.3m in 2024) and free cash flow dropped to ~14.0m (down ~8.5%), despite net income holding up. This divergence suggests weaker cash conversion in 2025 and increases reliance on working-capital timing or other non-cash supports to sustain earnings.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue238.59M325.84M322.31M320.48M266.16M
Gross Profit60.20M174.59M168.53M161.14M138.42M
EBITDA50.23M56.29M55.35M51.80M43.72M
Net Income31.81M30.49M28.87M26.01M21.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets201.16M211.89M187.20M187.45M160.79M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments15.76M43.00M24.87M24.37M20.00M
Total Debt49.41M19.13M19.20M37.86M23.41M
Total Liabilities116.41M106.98M87.44M101.69M67.99M
Stockholders Equity78.67M98.46M92.85M78.69M86.33M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow14.04M52.02M44.16M33.35M31.60M
Operating Cash Flow16.26M62.32M50.59M39.05M36.91M
Investing Cash Flow-11.05M-10.93M-7.21M-6.12M-8.26M
Financing Cash Flow-31.93M-33.54M-42.97M-28.41M-25.02M

Mensch und Maschine Software SE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price44.00
Price Trends
50DMA
40.03
Negative
100DMA
41.46
Negative
200DMA
45.70
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.39
Positive
RSI
30.74
Neutral
STOCH
26.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:MUM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 44 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.09, above the 50-day MA of 40.03, and below the 200-day MA of 45.70, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.39 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DE:MUM.

Mensch und Maschine Software SE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
€337.18M23.1215.91%1.34%12.50%10.93%
70
Outperform
€1.26B37.9574.27%1.88%10.61%12.46%
62
Neutral
€8.00B49.3624.82%0.59%25.17%19.52%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
58
Neutral
€582.39M23.5538.38%4.15%-33.50%-6.00%
58
Neutral
€705.34M-4.16-26.06%9.19%-37.73%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:MUM
Mensch und Maschine Software SE
34.60
-14.10
-28.95%
DE:AOF
ATOSS Software
79.10
-49.00
-38.25%
DE:IVU
IVU Traffic Technologies
19.50
2.27
13.19%
DE:NEM
Nemetschek
69.30
-43.68
-38.66%
DE:PSAN
PSI AG fuer Produkte und Systeme der Informationstechnologie
45.00
17.30
62.45%
DE:SJJ
Serviceware SE
12.90
-1.20
-8.51%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 20, 2026