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AUTO1 Group SE (DE:AG1)
XETRA:AG1
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AUTO1 Group SE
(XETRA:AG1)
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Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
€25.00
▼(-3.33% Downside)
AUTO1 Group SE's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance, which shows strong revenue growth but is offset by profitability and cash flow challenges. The technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, and the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation. These factors collectively contribute to a cautious outlook on the stock.
AUTO1 Group SE (AG1) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)
Market Cap
$6.43B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)289.93K
Price to Earnings (P/E)93.8
Beta (1Y)1.57
Revenue Growth31.25%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryDE
Employees5,549
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryAuto - Dealerships
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.13
Shares Outstanding220,337,920
10 Day Avg. Volume292,964
30 Day Avg. Volume289,934
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-1.37
Price to Book (P/B)5.50
Price to Sales (P/S)0.54
P/FCF Ratio-14.05
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.05
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.94
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit7.90
Enterprise Value/Ebitda44.29
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$34.09Price Target Upside31.83% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering6
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
AUTO1 Group SE Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company DescriptionAUTO1 Group SE (AG1) is a leading European online platform for buying and selling used cars. Headquartered in Berlin, Germany, the company operates through its innovative digital marketplace, providing efficient solutions for consumers and dealers to buy and sell vehicles. AUTO1 Group's core brands include Autohero, focusing on retail customers, and Auto1.com, which serves professional car dealers.
How the Company Makes MoneyAUTO1 Group SE generates revenue primarily through the buying and selling of used cars on its platform. The company purchases vehicles from consumers and other sources and resells them to both end customers and professional dealers. Key revenue streams include the margin between buying and selling prices, as well as fees from auxiliary services such as financing and insurance products. AUTO1 leverages its extensive vehicle data and proprietary technology to optimize pricing and inventory management, enhancing its profitability. Additionally, strategic partnerships with financial institutions and other automotive service providers help expand its service offerings and drive additional revenue.
AUTO1 Group SE Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2024)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance across multiple segments with record-breaking growth and financial achievements. However, there are challenges in achieving full profitability in the Autohero segment and the anticipated seasonal downturn in Q4. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment remains optimistic about future growth and market share gains.Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Results
Achieved record-breaking results and double-digit growth across all metrics and business units with 177,000 units sold, representing 26% year-on-year growth.
Highest Group Gross Profit
Delivered the highest group gross profit in company history with EUR 187 million, a year-over-year increase of 39%.
Record Adjusted EBITDA
Achieved highest ever adjusted EBITDA of EUR 34 million, an improvement of EUR 33.5 million year-on-year.
Merchant Segment Growth
Sold 158,000 units to partner dealers, a 25% year-on-year increase, with merchant GPU increasing to EUR 914, a 9% year-on-year rise.
Autohero Performance
Autohero delivered 19,100 units, a 28% year-over-year increase, with GPU growing to EUR 2,263, an 18% increase year-on-year.
Merchant Financing Expansion
Merchant financing portfolio grew by EUR 44 million quarter-over-quarter, with EUR 220 million of merchant sales financed, a 20% increase quarter-over-quarter.
Negative Updates
Autohero Profitability Challenge
Autohero profitability before headquarter cost is still negative at around EUR 200 to EUR 300 per car, though improved from last year.
Seasonal Weakness in Q4
Q4 is expected to be seasonally the weakest quarter with fewer workdays and cautious dealer behavior, potentially impacting merchant GPU.
Company Guidance
During the AUTO1 Group's Q3 2024 earnings call, the company reported impressive financial performance with record-breaking results across key metrics. The group achieved a 26% year-on-year increase in units sold, totaling 177,000, and delivered the highest gross profit in its history at EUR 187 million, up 39% compared to the previous year. Adjusted EBITDA reached a record EUR 34 million, marking an improvement of EUR 33.5 million year-on-year. The merchant segment saw significant growth, with units sold increasing by 25% year-on-year and merchant gross profit rising by 37%. AUTO1 also expanded its merchant financing portfolio to EUR 178 million, a EUR 44 million increase from Q2. The company raised its 2024 guidance, projecting full-year unit sales between 665,000 to 679,000, gross profit between EUR 682 million to EUR 700 million, and adjusted EBITDA between EUR 72 million to EUR 84 million.AUTO1 Group SE Financial Statement Overview
Summary
AUTO1 Group SE exhibits strong revenue growth, yet struggles with profitability and cash flow management. The high leverage and negative cash flows are potential risks, but improved equity ratio indicates some financial resilience. Continued focus on cost control and efficient cash management is essential to enhance financial stability.Income Statement
AUTO1 Group SE has shown a significant revenue growth of 14.8% in the latest year, indicating recovering sales momentum. However, profitability remains a challenge with a modest net profit margin of 0.33% and an EBIT margin of 0.70%. This suggests that while revenue is growing, the company's ability to convert sales into profit is limited.60
Neutral
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet displays a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.91, reflecting significant leverage which could pose financial risks. However, a positive development is the improvement in stockholders' equity to 27.7% of total assets, indicating a stronger equity base compared to previous years.55
Neutral
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow remains negative, highlighting ongoing cash flow challenges. The free cash flow has decreased further, although there is a positive trend in financing cash flow, suggesting reliance on external financing. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating inefficiencies in cash generation from operations.50
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 7.21B | 6.27B | 5.46B | 6.53B | 4.77B | 2.83B |
| Gross Profit | 856.01M | 724.72M | 527.89M | 488.21M | 430.88M | 285.91M |
| EBITDA | 152.62M | 94.54M | -56.52M | -188.94M | -330.13M | -57.07M |
| Net Income | 67.87M | 20.89M | -116.47M | -246.37M | -374.05M | -143.64M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 2.50B | 2.21B | 1.70B | 1.69B | 1.63B | 520.54M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 617.55M | 371.79M | 551.64M | 545.47M | 721.09M | 157.25M |
| Total Debt | 1.30B | 1.17B | 811.27M | 702.44M | 387.64M | 370.92M |
| Total Liabilities | 1.84B | 1.60B | 1.13B | 1.00B | 705.89M | 516.08M |
| Stockholders Equity | 664.36M | 612.88M | 577.30M | 682.47M | 921.01M | 4.46M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -189.51M | -239.97M | -78.66M | -439.41M | -493.91M | 41.32M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -174.21M | -219.72M | -55.43M | -392.36M | -467.25M | 45.49M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -14.44M | -17.80M | -19.21M | 557.45M | -639.81M | -3.57M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 192.81M | 302.73M | 80.38M | 270.69M | 1.06B | 57.73M |
AUTO1 Group SE Technical Analysis
Negative
25.86
Price Trends
28.55
Negative
27.75
Negative
24.62
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.61
Positive
36.25
Neutral
13.58
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:AG1, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 25.86 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.90, below the 50-day MA of 28.55, and above the 200-day MA of 24.62, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.61 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.58 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DE:AG1.
AUTO1 Group SE Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
55 Neutral | €1.08B | -5.89 | -24.37% | ― | -8.97% | -66.04% | |
54 Neutral | €2.15B | 715.32 | 0.58% | ― | 1.07% | -97.77% | |
54 Neutral | €150.61M | -15.87 | -7.57% | ― | 13.57% | 87.46% | |
47 Neutral | $6.43B | 93.77 | 11.87% | ― | 31.25% | ― | |
45 Neutral | €1.06B | -10.89 | ― | ― | 3.44% | 5.93% | |
43 Neutral | €6.20B | -10.82 | -32.53% | ― | 23.23% | 76.05% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
DE:AG1
AUTO1 Group SE
25.86
17.05
193.36%
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4.45
1.44
48.07%
DE:DHER
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17.26
-20.54
-54.34%
DE:HFG
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-45.91%
DE:BIKE
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DE:YOU
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6.67
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.