AUTO1 Group SE (AG1) AI Stock Analysis

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AUTO1 Group SE

(XETRA:AG1)

Rating:58Neutral

Price Target:

€27.00

▲(7.57%Upside)

AUTO1 Group SE's overall stock score is driven primarily by its financial challenges, with revenue growth being offset by poor profitability and cash flow management. Technical indicators show strong momentum, boosting the score, but a high P/E ratio and lack of dividends weigh negatively on valuation.

AUTO1 Group SE (AG1) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Market Cap

$5.65B

Dividend YieldN/A

Average Volume (3M)461.56K

Price to Earnings (P/E)102.2

Beta (1Y)1.77

Revenue Growth24.93%

EPS GrowthN/A

CountryDE

Employees5,549

SectorConsumer Cyclical

Sector Strength68

IndustryAuto - Dealerships

Share Statistics

EPS (TTM)0.14

Shares Outstanding219,518,500

10 Day Avg. Volume366,706

30 Day Avg. Volume461,564

Financial Highlights & Ratios

PEG Ratio0.88

Price to Book (P/B)7.03

Price to Sales (P/S)0.00

P/FCF Ratio0.00

Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A

Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A

Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A

Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A

Forecast

1Y Price Target

$25.42

Price Target Upside1.29% Upside

Rating ConsensusModerate Buy

Number of Analyst Covering11

AUTO1 Group SE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAUTO1 Group SE operates an online marketplace for used vehicle sales to dealers and individual customers in Europe. It operates AUTO1.com for the sale of used cars to commercial car dealers; Autohero.com for sale of used cars to private customers; and wirkaufendeinauto.de, an online platform to sell their used cars to the company. The company was founded in 2012 and is based in Berlin, Germany.

How the Company Makes MoneyAUTO1 Group SE generates revenue primarily through its online platforms that facilitate the buying and selling of used cars. The company operates a B2C platform, Autohero, which sells cars directly to consumers, and a B2B marketplace, AUTO1.com, which connects professional car dealers with a wide inventory of used vehicles. Revenue is earned from the margin on the sale of vehicles, as well as service fees charged to dealers for using the platform. Additionally, the company may engage in strategic partnerships with financial institutions and automotive service providers to enhance its offerings and generate additional income streams through financing and ancillary services.

AUTO1 Group SE Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025

(Q3-2024)

% Change Since: 10.96%|

Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025

Earnings Call Sentiment Positive

The earnings call presented a strong performance across multiple segments with record-breaking growth and financial achievements. However, there are challenges in achieving full profitability in the Autohero segment and the anticipated seasonal downturn in Q4. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment remains optimistic about future growth and market share gains.

Q3-2024 Updates

Positive Updates

Record-Breaking Results

Achieved record-breaking results and double-digit growth across all metrics and business units with 177,000 units sold, representing 26% year-on-year growth.

Highest Group Gross Profit

Delivered the highest group gross profit in company history with EUR 187 million, a year-over-year increase of 39%.

Record Adjusted EBITDA

Achieved highest ever adjusted EBITDA of EUR 34 million, an improvement of EUR 33.5 million year-on-year.

Merchant Segment Growth

Sold 158,000 units to partner dealers, a 25% year-on-year increase, with merchant GPU increasing to EUR 914, a 9% year-on-year rise.

Autohero Performance

Autohero delivered 19,100 units, a 28% year-over-year increase, with GPU growing to EUR 2,263, an 18% increase year-on-year.

Merchant Financing Expansion

Merchant financing portfolio grew by EUR 44 million quarter-over-quarter, with EUR 220 million of merchant sales financed, a 20% increase quarter-over-quarter.

Negative Updates

Autohero Profitability Challenge

Autohero profitability before headquarter cost is still negative at around EUR 200 to EUR 300 per car, though improved from last year.

Seasonal Weakness in Q4

Q4 is expected to be seasonally the weakest quarter with fewer workdays and cautious dealer behavior, potentially impacting merchant GPU.

Company Guidance

During the AUTO1 Group's Q3 2024 earnings call, the company reported impressive financial performance with record-breaking results across key metrics. The group achieved a 26% year-on-year increase in units sold, totaling 177,000, and delivered the highest gross profit in its history at EUR 187 million, up 39% compared to the previous year. Adjusted EBITDA reached a record EUR 34 million, marking an improvement of EUR 33.5 million year-on-year. The merchant segment saw significant growth, with units sold increasing by 25% year-on-year and merchant gross profit rising by 37%. AUTO1 also expanded its merchant financing portfolio to EUR 178 million, a EUR 44 million increase from Q2. The company raised its 2024 guidance, projecting full-year unit sales between 665,000 to 679,000, gross profit between EUR 682 million to EUR 700 million, and adjusted EBITDA between EUR 72 million to EUR 84 million.

AUTO1 Group SE Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Cash Flow

TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Breakdown
Income Statement		Total Revenue
5.90B	6.27B	5.46B	6.53B	4.77B	2.83B
	Gross Profit
492.97M	724.72M	527.89M	488.21M	430.88M	285.91M
	EBIT
114.59M	43.60M	-110.97M	-211.77M	-348.21M	-66.38M
	EBITDA
47.38M	94.54M	-56.52M	-188.94M	-330.13M	-57.07M
	Net Income Common Stockholders
-15.90M	20.89M	-116.47M	-246.37M	-374.05M	-143.64M
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
57.60M	371.79M	548.17M	399.30M	665.10M	157.25M
	Total Assets
605.36M	2.21B	1.70B	1.69B	1.63B	520.54M
	Total Debt
222.66M	1.17B	811.27M	702.44M	387.64M	370.92M
	Net Debt
165.06M	800.93M	263.09M	303.14M	336.97M	213.67M
	Total Liabilities
452.06M	1.60B	1.13B	1.00B	705.89M	516.08M
	Stockholders Equity
153.30M	612.88M	577.30M	682.47M	921.01M	4.46M
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
0.00	-239.97M	-78.66M	-439.41M	-493.91M	41.32M
	Operating Cash Flow
0.00	-219.72M	-55.43M	-392.36M	-467.25M	45.49M
	Investing Cash Flow
0.00	-17.80M	-19.21M	557.45M	-639.81M	-3.57M
	Financing Cash Flow
0.00	302.73M	80.38M	270.69M	1.06B	57.73M

AUTO1 Group SE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment

Positive

Last Price25.10

Price Trends

50DMA

21.65

Positive

100DMA

20.72

Positive

200DMA

16.01

Positive

Market Momentum

MACD

0.93

Positive

RSI

62.25

Neutral

STOCH

79.60

Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:AG1, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 25.1 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.14, above the 50-day MA of 21.65, and above the 200-day MA of 16.01, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.93 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 62.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DE:AG1.

AUTO1 Group SE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	62 Neutral	$6.83B	11.28	2.95%	3.88%	2.70%	-24.56%
AG1	58 Neutral	$5.65B	102.21	8.72%	―	24.93%	―
BAMXF		$54.33B	7.82	7.02%	5.22%	―	―
0KUR		€470.23M	―	-4.80%	―	―	―
0RB8		€8.81B	54.66	11.26%	0.99%	―	―
0P6O		€47.17B	5.03	5.52%	6.83%	―	―
CTTAF		$17.44B	12.73	10.07%	3.01%	―	―

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

DE:AG1

AUTO1 Group SE

25.10

17.94

250.56%

BAMXF

Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft

85.99

-6.41

-6.94%

GB:0KUR

PSI AG fuer Produkte und Systeme der Informationstechnologie

30.27

9.27

44.14%

GB:0RB8

Scout24

119.65

49.40

70.32%

GB:0P6O

Volkswagen

91.64

-13.76

-13.06%

CTTAF

Continental Aktiengesellschaft

88.27

24.30

37.99%

Glossary

OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.

NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.

UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.