tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
AUTO1 Group SE (DE:AG1)
XETRA:AG1

AUTO1 Group SE (AG1) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
28 Followers

Top Page

DE

AUTO1 Group SE

(XETRA:AG1)

Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
€23.50
▼(-6.30%Downside)
AUTO1 Group SE shows strong revenue growth but faces significant challenges with profitability and cash flow management. Technical indicators suggest moderate bullish momentum, but valuation remains a concern with a high P/E ratio. The absence of dividend yield further impacts the stock's attractiveness.

AUTO1 Group SE (AG1) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

AUTO1 Group SE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAUTO1 Group SE operates an online marketplace for used vehicle sales to dealers and individual customers in Europe. It operates AUTO1.com for the sale of used cars to commercial car dealers; Autohero.com for sale of used cars to private customers; and wirkaufendeinauto.de, an online platform to sell their used cars to the company. The company was founded in 2012 and is based in Berlin, Germany.
How the Company Makes MoneyAUTO1 Group SE generates revenue primarily through its online platforms that facilitate the buying and selling of used cars. The company operates a B2C platform, Autohero, which sells cars directly to consumers, and a B2B marketplace, AUTO1.com, which connects professional car dealers with a wide inventory of used vehicles. Revenue is earned from the margin on the sale of vehicles, as well as service fees charged to dealers for using the platform. Additionally, the company may engage in strategic partnerships with financial institutions and automotive service providers to enhance its offerings and generate additional income streams through financing and ancillary services.

AUTO1 Group SE Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: 10.88%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance across multiple segments with record-breaking growth and financial achievements. However, there are challenges in achieving full profitability in the Autohero segment and the anticipated seasonal downturn in Q4. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment remains optimistic about future growth and market share gains.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Results
Achieved record-breaking results and double-digit growth across all metrics and business units with 177,000 units sold, representing 26% year-on-year growth.
Highest Group Gross Profit
Delivered the highest group gross profit in company history with EUR 187 million, a year-over-year increase of 39%.
Record Adjusted EBITDA
Achieved highest ever adjusted EBITDA of EUR 34 million, an improvement of EUR 33.5 million year-on-year.
Merchant Segment Growth
Sold 158,000 units to partner dealers, a 25% year-on-year increase, with merchant GPU increasing to EUR 914, a 9% year-on-year rise.
Autohero Performance
Autohero delivered 19,100 units, a 28% year-over-year increase, with GPU growing to EUR 2,263, an 18% increase year-on-year.
Merchant Financing Expansion
Merchant financing portfolio grew by EUR 44 million quarter-over-quarter, with EUR 220 million of merchant sales financed, a 20% increase quarter-over-quarter.
Negative Updates
Autohero Profitability Challenge
Autohero profitability before headquarter cost is still negative at around EUR 200 to EUR 300 per car, though improved from last year.
Seasonal Weakness in Q4
Q4 is expected to be seasonally the weakest quarter with fewer workdays and cautious dealer behavior, potentially impacting merchant GPU.
Company Guidance
During the AUTO1 Group's Q3 2024 earnings call, the company reported impressive financial performance with record-breaking results across key metrics. The group achieved a 26% year-on-year increase in units sold, totaling 177,000, and delivered the highest gross profit in its history at EUR 187 million, up 39% compared to the previous year. Adjusted EBITDA reached a record EUR 34 million, marking an improvement of EUR 33.5 million year-on-year. The merchant segment saw significant growth, with units sold increasing by 25% year-on-year and merchant gross profit rising by 37%. AUTO1 also expanded its merchant financing portfolio to EUR 178 million, a EUR 44 million increase from Q2. The company raised its 2024 guidance, projecting full-year unit sales between 665,000 to 679,000, gross profit between EUR 682 million to EUR 700 million, and adjusted EBITDA between EUR 72 million to EUR 84 million.

AUTO1 Group SE Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AUTO1 Group SE exhibits strong revenue growth, yet struggles with profitability and cash flow management. The high leverage and negative cash flows are potential risks, but improved equity ratio indicates some financial resilience. Continued focus on cost control and efficient cash management is essential to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
AUTO1 Group SE has shown a significant revenue growth of 14.8% in the latest year, indicating recovering sales momentum. However, profitability remains a challenge with a modest net profit margin of 0.33% and an EBIT margin of 0.70%. This suggests that while revenue is growing, the company's ability to convert sales into profit is limited.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet displays a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.91, reflecting significant leverage which could pose financial risks. However, a positive development is the improvement in stockholders' equity to 27.7% of total assets, indicating a stronger equity base compared to previous years.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Operating cash flow remains negative, highlighting ongoing cash flow challenges. The free cash flow has decreased further, although there is a positive trend in financing cash flow, suggesting reliance on external financing. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating inefficiencies in cash generation from operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.90B6.27B5.46B6.53B4.77B2.83B
Gross Profit492.97M724.72M527.89M488.21M430.88M285.91M
EBITDA47.38M94.54M-56.52M-188.94M-330.13M-57.07M
Net Income-15.90M20.89M-116.47M-246.37M-374.05M-143.64M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.02B2.21B1.70B1.69B1.63B520.54M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments644.75M371.79M548.17M399.30M665.10M157.25M
Total Debt0.001.17B811.27M702.44M387.64M370.92M
Total Liabilities1.43B1.60B1.13B1.00B705.89M516.08M
Stockholders Equity592.04M612.88M577.30M682.47M921.01M4.46M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-239.97M-78.66M-439.41M-493.91M41.32M
Operating Cash Flow0.00-219.72M-55.43M-392.36M-467.25M45.49M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-17.80M-19.21M557.45M-639.81M-3.57M
Financing Cash Flow0.00302.73M80.38M270.69M1.06B57.73M

AUTO1 Group SE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price25.08
Price Trends
50DMA
23.25
Positive
100DMA
21.75
Positive
200DMA
17.23
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.30
Negative
RSI
59.02
Neutral
STOCH
78.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:AG1, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 25.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.33, above the 50-day MA of 23.25, and above the 200-day MA of 17.23, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DE:AG1.

AUTO1 Group SE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
S$880.09M33.276.05%4.29%6.06%-31.90%
DEAG1
54
Neutral
$5.50B100.288.72%24.93%
$51.20B7.557.02%5.74%
€474.93M-4.80%
€8.56B53.0611.26%1.44%
€46.47B4.935.52%6.27%
$17.32B12.2510.07%3.05%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:AG1
AUTO1 Group SE
25.08
18.99
312.16%
BAMXF
Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft
89.50
0.43
0.48%
GB:0KUR
PSI AG fuer Produkte und Systeme der Informationstechnologie
29.80
8.70
41.23%
GB:0RB8
Scout24
115.65
45.05
63.81%
GB:0P6O
Volkswagen
91.34
-7.44
-7.53%
CTTAF
Continental Aktiengesellschaft
85.31
31.85
59.58%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 20, 2025