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Dingdong (DDL)
NYSE:DDL
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Dingdong
(NYSE:DDL)
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Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▲(14.16% Upside)
Dingdong's strong financial performance and reasonable valuation are the primary drivers of its score. The company's improved profitability and cash flow metrics, along with a positive technical outlook, position it favorably. However, high debt levels and the absence of dividend yield slightly temper the overall assessment.
Dingdong (DDL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$474.73M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)584.73K
Price to Earnings (P/E)10.6
Beta (1Y)0.90
Revenue Growth15.34%
EPS Growth389.40%
CountryUS
Employees3,120
SectorConsumer Defensive
Sector Strength42
IndustryGrocery Stores
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.04
Shares Outstanding180,407,230
10 Day Avg. Volume668,032
30 Day Avg. Volume584,729
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG RatioN/A
Price to Book (P/B)N/A
Price to Sales (P/S)N/A
P/FCF RatioN/A
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.57
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit0.04
Enterprise Value/Ebitda1.07
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$1.60Price Target Upside-26.94% Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Sell
Number of Analyst Covering1
Dingdong Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company DescriptionDingdong (Cayman) Limited operates an e-commerce company in China. The company offers fresh produce, meat, seafood, prepared food, and other food products, such as dairy and bakery products, snacks, oil, seasonings, and beverages. It operates as a self-operated online retail business primarily through Dingdong Fresh. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.
How the Company Makes MoneyDingdong (DDL) generates revenue primarily through the sale of fresh groceries and food products directly to consumers via its digital platforms. The company earns money by marking up the price of the goods it sells, which includes fresh produce, meat, seafood, and other daily essentials. Additionally, Dingdong may engage in partnerships with suppliers and farms to secure better pricing and exclusive deals, which can enhance its profit margins. The company also utilizes data analytics to optimize inventory management and supply chain efficiency, reducing costs and improving profitability. While specific revenue figures and partnerships are not disclosed, the company's core business model revolves around leveraging its e-commerce platform to facilitate the direct sale of groceries to end-users.
Dingdong Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 21, 2025
(Q3-2024)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, with significant revenue and profit growth, expansion in user base, and strategic geographical market penetration. Although there were minor challenges in profit margins and certain regional markets, the overall sentiment was positive given the consistent profitability and strategic growth initiatives.Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Consistent Profitability Achieved
Dingdong achieved non-GAAP profitability for the eighth consecutive quarter and GAAP profitability for the third consecutive quarter.
Revenue and GMV Growth
Revenue increased by 27.2% year-over-year to CNY 6.54 billion and GMV grew by 28.3% to CNY 7.27 billion.
User Base Expansion
Average number of active transacting users rose to approximately 8.22 million, a 24.5% year-over-year increase.
Geographical Growth in Key Markets
Shanghai's GMV increased by 24.5% year-over-year, while Jiangsu and Zhejiang saw approximately 40% growth each.
Improved Cash Flow and Financial Position
Operating net cash inflow in Q3 reached CNY 400 million, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of net cash inflow from operating activities.
Strong Performance in Lower-Tier Cities
Excluding top cities, other cities across Jiangsu and Zhejiang regions increased GMV by over 40% year-over-year.
Expansion of Product Categories
Introduced an array of new products, contributing to the frequency of purchases and number of items per order.
Negative Updates
Decreased Gross Profit Margin
Gross profit margin decreased by 0.6 percentage points year-over-year due to strategic decisions to pass supply chain benefits to consumers.
Challenges in Beijing and Guangzhou-Shenzhen Regions
Despite improvements, the GMV growth in Beijing and Guangzhou-Shenzhen regions were relatively modest at 14.6% and 2.9%, respectively.
Company Guidance
During Dingdong Limited's Q3 2024 earnings call, management provided robust guidance highlighting significant growth across key financial metrics. The company reported a 28.3% year-over-year increase in GMV, reaching CNY 7.27 billion, while revenue rose by 27.2% to CNY 6.54 billion. Non-GAAP net profit surged over ninefold to CNY 160 million, with a profit margin of 2.5%, and GAAP net profit soared 62-fold to CNY 133 million, achieving a 2% margin. The average number of active transacting users climbed by 24.5% to approximately 8.22 million, with user stickiness mirrored in a 6.1% rise in average orders per month. The company also expanded its frontline fulfillment stations, enhancing geographical penetration in key regions like Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Shanghai, which saw GMV growth of up to 40%. Improvements in the supply chain and operational efficiencies contributed to a gross profit margin of 29.8% and a fulfillment expense rate reduction to 21.4%. Looking ahead, Dingdong remains optimistic about continuing its trajectory of sustainable growth, raising targets for new fulfillment station openings and expecting further profitability increments in Q4 and the full year of 2024.Dingdong Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Dingdong has shown significant financial improvement in 2024 with positive revenue growth and profitability. The reduction in leverage and improved cash flow metrics are positive, but the high debt levels remain a concern.Income Statement
Dingdong has shown significant improvement in its income statement metrics over the years. The revenue growth from 2023 to 2024 is approximately 15.5%, indicating strong top-line expansion. The company has turned around from negative EBIT and net income in previous years to positive figures in 2024, with a net profit margin of 1.28% and an EBIT margin of 0.93%. This turnaround showcases effective cost management and improved profitability. However, the historical negative profits highlight past operational challenges.75
Positive
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects a reduction in leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio decreasing from 11.83 in 2023 to 3.79 in 2024, indicating improved financial stability. The equity ratio increased to 11.22%, but the company still maintains a relatively high level of debt compared to equity, suggesting potential financial risk. The increase in stockholders' equity from previous years is a positive sign of strengthened financial position.60
Neutral
Cash Flow
Dingdong's cash flow statement shows a notable improvement in free cash flow, turning positive in 2024 from negative figures in previous years. The free cash flow to net income ratio is approximately 2.81, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 3.15, reflecting strong cash flow management. However, historical negative cash flows underline past liquidity challenges.70
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 23.52B | 23.07B | 19.97B | 24.22B | 20.12B | 11.34B |
| Gross Profit | 7.05B | 6.95B | 6.12B | 7.49B | 4.04B | 2.23B |
| EBITDA | 250.23M | 265.44M | 182.10M | -528.46M | -6.12B | -3.02B |
| Net Income | 290.67M | 295.08M | -99.88M | -806.88M | -6.43B | -3.21B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 6.91B | 7.12B | 7.70B | 9.38B | 9.42B | 4.92B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 4.29B | 4.45B | 5.31B | 6.49B | 5.23B | 2.38B |
| Total Debt | 2.80B | 3.03B | 4.52B | 5.61B | 5.39B | 2.85B |
| Total Liabilities | 5.96B | 6.19B | 7.20B | 8.96B | 8.66B | 5.67B |
| Stockholders Equity | 823.53M | 798.61M | 382.53M | 310.18M | 728.07M | -744.67M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 821.31M | 830.85M | -317.93M | -19.75M | -6.12B | -2.30B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 919.49M | 929.03M | -234.61M | 107.14M | -5.67B | -2.06B |
| Investing Cash Flow | 209.19M | 475.50M | 519.33M | -66.90M | -4.07B | -1.02B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -1.04B | -1.72B | -934.42M | 1.11B | 9.04B | 3.66B |
Dingdong Technical Analysis
Neutral
2.19
Price Trends
2.19
Positive
2.20
Negative
2.75
Negative
Market Momentum
<0.01
Negative
50.43
Neutral
68.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DDL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.18, above the 50-day MA of 2.19, and below the 200-day MA of 2.75, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DDL.
Dingdong Risk Analysis
Dingdong disclosed 79 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dingdong reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
Implementation of the Law of the PRC on Safeguarding National Security in Hong Kong involves uncertainty, and the recent policy pronouncements by the PRC government regarding business activities of U.S.-listed PRC businesses may negatively impact our business. Q4, 2023
Dingdong Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
72 Outperform | 517.47M | 10.12 | 0.00% | 2.57% | 3.94% | 12.50% | |
71 Outperform | 838.51M | 19.50 | 21.56% | 1.31% | 8.51% | 40.83% | |
69 Neutral | $474.73M | 10.63 | 44.96% | ― | 15.34% | 389.40% | |
66 Neutral | 1.65B | 212.23 | 0.69% | ― | 8.47% | -85.17% | |
64 Neutral | 1.78B | 17.88 | 8.07% | 1.89% | 2.49% | 15.99% | |
52 Neutral | 1.31B | 23.66 | 3.54% | 0.94% | -7.96% | -64.67% | |
62 Neutral | $20.33B | 14.63 | -3.31% | 3.23% | 1.93% | -12.26% |
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
DDL
Dingdong
2.16
-0.58
-21.17%
IMKTA
Ingles Markets
70.20
-2.54
-3.49%
VLGEA
Village Super Market
38.88
6.55
20.26%
WMK
Weis Markets
72.11
2.07
2.96%
NGVC
Natural Grocers
36.79
7.85
27.13%
GO
Grocery Outlet Holding
16.83
0.54
3.31%
Dingdong Corporate Events
Dingdong Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results with Continued Profitability
Aug 22, 2025
Dingdong (Cayman) Limited announced its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, showing significant growth and profitability. The company reported a 4.5% increase in GMV and a 5.5% rise in the total number of orders year over year. Net income increased by 59.7% to RMB107.2 million, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of profitability. The company’s 4G strategy, focusing on good users, products, services, and mindshare, has begun to show results, contributing to steady growth. The company remains committed to its ‘narrow and deep’ value proposition, focusing on the fresh grocery vertical despite external changes.
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.