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Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI)
NASDAQ:CVGI
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Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI) AI Stock Analysis

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CVGI

Commercial Vehicle Group

(NASDAQ:CVGI)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▼(-12.79% Downside)
The overall stock score is primarily influenced by the challenging financial performance, with declining revenues and profitability issues. Technical analysis shows a neutral trend, while valuation metrics are unattractive due to negative earnings. The earnings call highlighted some operational improvements but also significant challenges, which were not factored into the score due to the redistribution of weights.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiency
Improved operational efficiency, as evidenced by increased gross margins, suggests better cost management and potential for sustained profitability.
Global Electrical Systems Growth
Growth in the Global Electrical Systems segment highlights successful diversification and adaptation to market demands, supporting long-term revenue stability.
Free Cash Flow Improvement
Improved free cash flow indicates better cash management and operational efficiency, enhancing the company's ability to invest in growth and reduce debt.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
The decline in revenue reflects challenges in demand, which could impact long-term growth prospects and necessitates strategic adjustments.
Increased Net Loss
Rising net losses indicate financial strain, potentially affecting future investments and necessitating cost control measures to restore profitability.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative cash flow from operations highlights liquidity issues, which could limit the company's ability to fund operations and growth initiatives.

Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Commercial Vehicle Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCommercial Vehicle Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, produces, and sells components and assemblies in North America, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific regions. It operates in four segments: Vehicle Solutions, Warehouse Automation, Electrical Systems, and Aftermarket & Accessories. The company offers electrical wire harness assemblies that function as current carrying devices in providing electrical interconnections for gauges, lights, control functions, power circuits, powertrain and transmission sensors, emissions systems, and other electronic applications on commercial and other vehicles; and panel assemblies. It also offers electro-mechanical assemblies, such as box builds, complex automated and robotic assemblies, and large multi-cabinet control cabinets with power distribution and cabling; vinyl or cloth-covered appliqués, armrests, map pocket compartments, and sound-reducing insulations; instrument panels; and plastics decorating and finishing products. In addition, it provides cab structures; design products, including armrests, grab handles, storage systems, floor coverings, floor mats, sleeper bunks, headliners, wall panels, and privacy curtains; and mirrors, wipers, and controls used in commercial, military and specialty recreational vehicles. Further, it offers seats and seating systems, such as mechanical and air suspension, static and military seats, and bus, as well as seats for medium-and heavy-duty trucks (MD/HD trucks); office seating products; and seats, parts, and components for the aftermarket. The company supplies its products and systems for the commercial vehicle market comprising the MD/HD truck market; and MD/HD truck, bus, construction, mining, agricultural, military, industrial, municipal, off-road recreational, and specialty vehicle markets. Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in New Albany, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyCVGI generates revenue primarily through the sale of its products to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and the aftermarket sector. Key revenue streams include the supply of seating systems, mirrors, and electrical components to truck and bus manufacturers, as well as replacement parts and accessories sold directly to end-users. The company also benefits from long-term contracts with major OEMs, which provide a stable income stream. Additionally, strategic partnerships with industry leaders and investments in research and development help CVGI to innovate and meet the evolving needs of the commercial vehicle market, further contributing to its financial performance.

Commercial Vehicle Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of operational efficiency improvements and strategic growth in certain segments, particularly in Global Electrical Systems, against a backdrop of significant revenue declines and increased net losses. While there are positive signs of operational improvements and new program ramp-ups, the ongoing challenges in revenue and net loss signal a cautious outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improvement in Gross Margin
Adjusted gross margin for Q3 2025 was 12.1%, up 10 basis points sequentially and 50 basis points year-over-year, driven by operational efficiency improvements.
Global Electrical Systems Revenue Increase
The Global Electrical Systems segment saw a 6% revenue increase compared to the prior year, driven by new programs with an autonomous vehicle manufacturer in North America and a major automotive manufacturer in Europe.
Year-to-Date Free Cash Flow Improvement
CVG generated $25 million in free cash flow for the first nine months of 2025, up $14 million from the previous year due to improved working capital performance and lower capital expenditures.
Adjusted Operating Income in Global Seating Segment
Despite a 10% revenue decrease, adjusted operating income rose by $3.7 million compared to the third quarter of 2024 due to operational efficiency improvements and lower SG&A expenses.
Negative Updates
Significant Revenue Decline
Consolidated Q3 2025 revenue was $152.5 million, down from $171.8 million in the prior year period, primarily due to softening customer demand in North America.
Increased Net Loss
The net loss for Q3 2025 was $6.8 million, compared to a net loss of $0.9 million in the prior year, impacted by softened demand, higher interest rates, and taxes.
Free Cash Flow from Operations Decline
Free cash flow from continuing operations was negative $3.4 million in Q3 2025 compared to positive $17.1 million in the prior year, attributed to softer demand and a facility move in China.
Trim Systems and Components Revenue Drop
Revenues in the Trim Systems and Components segment decreased by 29% to $34.3 million compared to the prior year due to lower sales volume from decreased customer demand.
Increased Interest Expense
Interest expense for Q3 2025 was $4.1 million, up from $2.4 million in the prior year, driven by higher interest rates following debt refinancing.
Company Guidance
During the call, CVG provided guidance for 2025, highlighting expectations of generating at least $30 million in free cash flow for the year, which will be used to pay down debt. The company revised its full-year revenue guidance to a range of $640 million to $650 million, down from the previous $650 million to $670 million. Adjusted EBITDA guidance was also revised to a range of $17 million to $19 million, from the prior $21 million to $25 million. The guidance reflects ongoing challenges, including a forecasted 28% decline in North American Class 8 production volumes for 2025, with an expected further 14% decline in 2026 before rebounding in 2027. Despite these challenges, CVG remains focused on operational efficiency improvements and cost-saving initiatives, including $15 million to $20 million in expected cost savings for the year. The Global Electrical Systems segment is projected to achieve high single-digit to low double-digit growth in 2026, driven by new business wins and ongoing structural improvements.

Commercial Vehicle Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Commercial Vehicle Group is facing a tough financial environment, with declining revenues and profitability issues reflected across its financial statements. The balance sheet shows some stability in terms of debt management, but negative returns on equity and cash flow challenges highlight the need for strategic improvements.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement reveals a challenging period for Commercial Vehicle Group, with declining revenue and negative net income in the TTM. Gross profit margin has decreased slightly from the previous year, and the net profit margin is negative, indicating profitability issues. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also low, reflecting operational challenges. Revenue growth has been negative, indicating a downturn in sales.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, which has improved slightly in the TTM compared to the previous year. However, the return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating positive returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure, but the overall financial health is weakened by the negative ROE.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates significant challenges, with negative free cash flow growth and a negative operating cash flow to net income ratio in the TTM. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some ability to cover net losses, but overall cash flow management appears strained.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue657.53M723.36M835.47M782.58M971.58M717.70M
Gross Profit68.65M82.32M121.89M85.03M118.99M74.08M
EBITDA12.70M26.40M58.30M42.58M68.53M24.63M
Net Income-54.87M-27.87M49.41M-21.97M23.73M-37.05M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets400.26M424.57M483.21M470.27M507.69M454.37M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments31.33M26.63M37.85M31.82M34.96M50.50M
Total Debt112.42M166.33M173.43M179.28M222.99M180.47M
Total Liabilities263.74M288.98M310.28M350.23M381.04M359.00M
Stockholders Equity136.53M135.59M172.93M120.04M126.65M95.37M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.32M-51.97M18.58M49.24M-47.48M27.23M
Operating Cash Flow5.74M-33.45M38.28M68.95M-29.83M34.37M
Investing Cash Flow11.00M30.90M-19.70M-19.71M-17.57M-6.42M
Financing Cash Flow-16.86M-7.12M-12.73M-50.09M31.01M-19.26M

Commercial Vehicle Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.72
Price Trends
50DMA
1.62
Positive
100DMA
1.73
Negative
200DMA
1.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Negative
RSI
59.90
Neutral
STOCH
90.27
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CVGI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.54, above the 50-day MA of 1.62, and above the 200-day MA of 1.58, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.27 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CVGI.

Commercial Vehicle Group Risk Analysis

Commercial Vehicle Group disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Commercial Vehicle Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Commercial Vehicle Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$314.94M13.1410.85%6.83%46.38%
69
Neutral
$123.11M3.689.19%16.72%5.35%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
$440.91M14.857.39%1.96%-36.91%-56.72%
53
Neutral
$160.54M-12.26%-4.91%-331.53%
47
Neutral
$63.18M-31.07%-23.26%-259.03%
41
Neutral
$5.14M-121.52%-100.00%11.41%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CVGI
Commercial Vehicle Group
1.72
-0.70
-28.93%
CAAS
China Automotive Systems
4.08
-0.32
-7.27%
MLR
Miller Industries
38.57
-34.73
-47.38%
SRI
Stoneridge
5.73
-1.31
-18.61%
STRT
Strattec Security
75.25
32.68
76.77%
SBLX
StableX Technologies
3.53
-8.37
-70.34%

Commercial Vehicle Group Corporate Events

Commercial Vehicle Group Reports Q3 2025 Earnings
Nov 12, 2025

Commercial Vehicle Group (CVG) is a global provider of systems, assemblies, and components for the commercial and electric vehicle markets, known for solving complex design and manufacturing challenges.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Commercial Vehicle Group Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Negative
Nov 10, 2025

Commercial Vehicle Group reported its third quarter 2025 financial results, showing a decline in revenues by 11.2% to $152.5 million due to reduced demand in North America. Despite an operating loss of $1.1 million, the company achieved an adjusted operating income of $1.6 million, attributed to improved gross margins and reduced SG&A expenses. The Global Electrical Systems segment showed revenue growth, while the Global Seating segment expanded margins, even amid a challenging demand environment. The company remains focused on operational efficiency and cost control to improve financial performance and generate cash flow, with a goal of $30 million in free cash flow for the year.

The most recent analyst rating on (CVGI) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Commercial Vehicle Group stock, see the CVGI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 19, 2025