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Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI) AI Stock Analysis

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CVGI

Commercial Vehicle Group

(NASDAQ:CVGI)

Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▲(10.50% Upside)
Commercial Vehicle Group's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenues and negative profitability. While technical indicators show a positive short-term trend, and corporate events suggest improved financial flexibility, the negative P/E ratio and mixed earnings call sentiment highlight ongoing operational and market difficulties.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiency
Improvement in gross margin is being driven by operational efficiency improvements related to freight, labor, and plant level overhead.
Profitability
CVG delivered solid results with a sequential improvement in profitability and solid free cash generation in a particularly challenging market environment.
Negative Factors
Customer Demand
Revenue in the Global Electrical Systems segment decreased 14.1% due to decreased customer demand.
Revenue Decline
Q2/25 revenues of $172.0 million declined 11.2% versus $193.7 million in Q2/24 due to continued softness in customer demand across all segments.

Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Commercial Vehicle Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCommercial Vehicle Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, produces, and sells components and assemblies in North America, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific regions. It operates in four segments: Vehicle Solutions, Warehouse Automation, Electrical Systems, and Aftermarket & Accessories. The company offers electrical wire harness assemblies that function as current carrying devices in providing electrical interconnections for gauges, lights, control functions, power circuits, powertrain and transmission sensors, emissions systems, and other electronic applications on commercial and other vehicles; and panel assemblies. It also offers electro-mechanical assemblies, such as box builds, complex automated and robotic assemblies, and large multi-cabinet control cabinets with power distribution and cabling; vinyl or cloth-covered appliqués, armrests, map pocket compartments, and sound-reducing insulations; instrument panels; and plastics decorating and finishing products. In addition, it provides cab structures; design products, including armrests, grab handles, storage systems, floor coverings, floor mats, sleeper bunks, headliners, wall panels, and privacy curtains; and mirrors, wipers, and controls used in commercial, military and specialty recreational vehicles. Further, it offers seats and seating systems, such as mechanical and air suspension, static and military seats, and bus, as well as seats for medium-and heavy-duty trucks (MD/HD trucks); office seating products; and seats, parts, and components for the aftermarket. The company supplies its products and systems for the commercial vehicle market comprising the MD/HD truck market; and MD/HD truck, bus, construction, mining, agricultural, military, industrial, municipal, off-road recreational, and specialty vehicle markets. Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in New Albany, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyCVGI generates revenue through the sale of its products to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and aftermarket customers in the commercial vehicle sector. Key revenue streams include the production of seating systems for heavy-duty trucks and buses, which are essential for ensuring driver comfort and safety. Additionally, the company earns revenue from electrical systems and components that enhance vehicle performance and reliability. CVGI also benefits from strategic partnerships with major OEMs, which provide a stable demand for its products. The company's ability to innovate and expand its product offerings in response to industry trends, such as the shift towards electric vehicles, further contributes to its earnings potential.

Commercial Vehicle Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.16%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook with significant improvements in cash flow and profitability, alongside challenges such as reduced revenue, increased net loss, and lowered guidance. While operational efficiencies and debt refinancing offer a positive trajectory, the overall financial performance reflects current market difficulties.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Profitability and Free Cash Flow
CVG delivered an adjusted gross margin of 12%, up 120 basis points sequentially and 70 basis points year-over-year. Free cash flow for the quarter was $17.3 million, an improvement of $16.5 million compared to last year.
Debt Refinancing
CVG completed debt refinancing during the second quarter, providing more financial flexibility to advance operational initiatives, including cost reductions and margin improvement.
Stabilization in Global Electrical Systems Segment
Despite flat revenue, the Global Electrical Systems segment showed an adjusted operating income improvement of $0.4 million, driven by lower salary expenses and new low-cost facilities.
Inventory and Cash Flow Improvements
CVG improved inventory by $12 million versus the end of 2024 and increased year-to-date free cash generation to $28.5 million.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Consolidated second quarter 2025 revenue was $172 million, a decrease from $193.7 million in the prior year due to softening customer demand across several segments.
Decreased Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA was $5.2 million for the second quarter, down from $8.2 million in the prior year, with adjusted EBITDA margins down 120 basis points.
Net Loss Increase
Net loss for the quarter was $4.1 million, compared to a net loss of $1.3 million in the prior year, impacted by softened customer demand.
Trim Systems and Components Revenue Drop
Revenues in the Trim Systems and Components segment decreased 24% to $43.9 million due to lower sales volume, with adjusted operating income down $3.7 million compared to the prior year.
Lowered Revenue and EBITDA Guidance
CVG revised its full year 2025 revenue guidance down to $650 million to $670 million and adjusted EBITDA to $21 million to $25 million, reflecting current economic trends and market softness.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, CVG reported several key financial metrics demonstrating both challenges and improvements in their operations. The company achieved an adjusted gross margin of 12%, marking a 120 basis point increase sequentially and a 70 basis point rise year-over-year. Free cash flow generation was a highlight, with $17.3 million generated during the quarter, a significant improvement of $16.5 million compared to the previous year. However, the company experienced a decrease in consolidated revenue to $172 million, down from $193.7 million in the same period last year, primarily due to softening customer demand. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $5.2 million, with a margin of 3.0%, down 120 basis points from the prior year. Despite these challenges, CVG improved its net leverage ratio to 4.8x from 5.0x at the end of the first quarter and raised its free cash flow outlook for the year to at least $30 million.

Commercial Vehicle Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Commercial Vehicle Group is facing financial difficulties, with declining revenues, negative profitability, and cash flow challenges. The income statement shows a decline in revenue by 7.89% and negative net profit margins at -5.66%. The balance sheet reveals a moderate financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.86, but negative return on equity. Cash flow analysis indicates significant challenges, with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a challenging period for Commercial Vehicle Group. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue by 7.89% and negative net profit margins at -5.66%. Gross profit margins have decreased compared to previous years, and EBIT margins are negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies. The company needs to address declining revenues and improve cost management to return to profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.86 in TTM, showing improvement from previous years. However, the return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholders' investments. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure, but the company needs to enhance profitability to improve ROE.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates significant challenges, with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow in the TTM period. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 2.30, suggesting cash flow issues relative to earnings. The company must focus on improving cash generation from operations to stabilize its financial health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue676.82M723.36M994.68M981.55M971.58M717.70M
Gross Profit66.82M73.12M135.02M86.50M118.99M74.08M
EBITDA9.76M20.57M64.50M33.79M68.53M-6.43M
Net Income-38.28M-27.87M49.41M-21.97M23.73M-37.05M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets429.79M424.57M483.21M470.27M507.69M454.37M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments45.29M26.63M37.85M31.82M34.96M50.50M
Total Debt130.38M166.33M173.65M179.28M222.52M179.74M
Total Liabilities287.16M288.98M310.28M350.23M381.04M359.00M
Stockholders Equity142.63M135.59M172.93M120.04M126.65M95.37M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-22.17M-51.97M18.58M49.24M-47.48M27.23M
Operating Cash Flow-9.64M-33.45M38.28M68.95M-29.83M34.37M
Investing Cash Flow33.69M30.90M-19.70M-19.71M-17.57M-6.42M
Financing Cash Flow-19.70M-7.12M-12.73M-50.09M31.01M-19.26M

Commercial Vehicle Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.81
Price Trends
50DMA
1.70
Positive
100DMA
1.43
Positive
200DMA
1.83
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Positive
RSI
50.81
Neutral
STOCH
65.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CVGI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.81 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.83, above the 50-day MA of 1.70, and below the 200-day MA of 1.83, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CVGI.

Commercial Vehicle Group Risk Analysis

Commercial Vehicle Group disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Commercial Vehicle Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Commercial Vehicle Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$5.32B11.689.51%2.98%-3.12%-8.23%
65
Neutral
$496.03M17.84112.26%-2.70%
61
Neutral
$677.57M16.916.38%-6.73%4900.00%
61
Neutral
$17.22B11.49-5.97%3.08%1.37%-15.54%
58
Neutral
$218.45M-11.20%-6.99%-1688.02%
55
Neutral
$67.02M1.82-27.62%-27.36%-218.40%
44
Neutral
$2.52M-80.07%-8.31%-56.03%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CVGI
Commercial Vehicle Group
1.81
-1.73
-48.87%
AXL
American Axle
5.82
-0.51
-8.06%
LEA
Lear
103.32
-4.83
-4.47%
SRI
Stoneridge
8.11
-5.79
-41.65%
SSUP
Superior Industries International
0.08
-3.32
-97.65%
CPS
Cooper-Standard Holdings
28.96
15.42
113.88%

Commercial Vehicle Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Commercial Vehicle Group Realigns Reportable Segments
Neutral
Aug 7, 2025

Commercial Vehicle Group announced a realignment of its reportable segments effective January 1, 2025, to better align with customer needs and market demands. The company reorganized its business into three divisions: Global Electrical Systems, Global Seating, and Trim Systems and Components, absorbing its Aftermarket & Accessories unit into these segments. This strategic change aims to enhance operational efficiency and market focus, with the new structure reflected in financial statements starting the first quarter of 2025. The reorganization does not alter previously reported consolidated financial statements but adjusts segment reporting to match the new structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (CVGI) stock is a Buy with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Commercial Vehicle Group stock, see the CVGI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Commercial Vehicle Group Director Resignation Announcement
Neutral
Aug 4, 2025

On July 29, 2025, Scott Reed, the Chief Operating Officer of Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc., announced his resignation effective August 29, 2025, to pursue consulting opportunities. Additionally, on August 1, 2025, Ruth Gratzke, a Director since 2021, resigned from the Board of Directors due to personal reasons, effective August 7, 2025. Following Ms. Gratzke’s departure, the Board plans to reduce its size to six members.

The most recent analyst rating on (CVGI) stock is a Buy with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Commercial Vehicle Group stock, see the CVGI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CVG Reports Q2 2025 Revenue Decline Amid Global Demand Drop
Negative
Aug 4, 2025

In its second quarter of 2025, CVG reported a revenue decline of 11.2% to $172 million due to reduced global demand, resulting in a net loss of $4.1 million. Despite these challenges, the company achieved strong free cash flow generation and improved gross margins through operational efficiencies and strategic initiatives, including refinancing credit facilities to enhance financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (CVGI) stock is a Buy with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Commercial Vehicle Group stock, see the CVGI Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Commercial Vehicle Group Secures $210 Million Refinancing
Positive
Jun 30, 2025

On June 27, 2025, Commercial Vehicle Group (CVG) completed a significant refinancing of its debt facilities, securing $210 million in senior secured credit facilities. This includes a $95 million term loan and a $115 million asset-based revolving credit facility, both maturing in 2030. The refinancing extends the company’s debt maturity and enhances financial flexibility, allowing CVG to focus on cost reductions, margin improvements, and operational efficiency. Additionally, the transaction involves issuing warrants to TCW Group affiliates, providing further capital structure adjustments.

The most recent analyst rating on (CVGI) stock is a Buy with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Commercial Vehicle Group stock, see the CVGI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Commercial Vehicle Group Stockholders Approve Key Proposals
Positive
May 19, 2025

At the virtual Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on May 15, 2025, Commercial Vehicle Group‘s stockholders approved several key proposals, including the election of directors for terms expiring in 2026, the amended 2020 Equity Incentive Plan, and the compensation of named executive officers. Additionally, KPMG LLP was ratified as the independent public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. These approvals are expected to impact the company’s governance and financial oversight positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (CVGI) stock is a Buy with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Commercial Vehicle Group stock, see the CVGI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 08, 2025