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Commercial Vehicle (CVGI)
NASDAQ:CVGI
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Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI) AI Stock Analysis

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CVGI

Commercial Vehicle Group

(NASDAQ:CVGI)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▼(-2.60% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/04/26
CVGI scores below average primarily due to weak and volatile financial performance: ongoing losses, compressed margins versus 2023, and reduced/near-breakeven free cash flow despite improved leverage. Technicals are broadly neutral but not supportive near term (below 20/50-day averages with negative MACD). The main offset is the earnings-call outlook, where management reaffirmed improving 2026 guidance, positive free cash flow expectations, and continued deleveraging plans.
Positive Factors
Improving Leverage
Material debt reduction has meaningfully improved balance-sheet flexibility, reducing refinancing risk and giving management room to prioritize strategic investments or opportunistic deleveraging. Over 2–6 months this supports sturdier liquidity and optionality to fund ramps or absorb downturns without immediate capital raises.
Negative Factors
Persisting Losses
Ongoing negative net margins indicate the company has not yet returned to structural profitability. Without consistent, sustained margin expansion and volume recovery, losses will erode equity and limit reinvestment capacity, forcing reliance on external capital or asset sales to bridge deficits.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improving Leverage
Material debt reduction has meaningfully improved balance-sheet flexibility, reducing refinancing risk and giving management room to prioritize strategic investments or opportunistic deleveraging. Over 2–6 months this supports sturdier liquidity and optionality to fund ramps or absorb downturns without immediate capital raises.
Read all positive factors

Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Commercial Vehicle Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides systems, assemblies, and components to the vehicle market and electric vehicle markets in North America, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific. The company operates in three segments:...
How the Company Makes Money
CVGI makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling engineered components and assembled systems to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and other customers, with revenue largely recognized from product sales under customer supply agreements...

Commercial Vehicle Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed improving operational momentum: solid segment-level growth (notably Global Electrical Systems +13.9%), meaningful gross-margin expansion (+140 bps YoY; +250 bps sequential), positive free cash flow and a tangible deleveraging step (net leverage improved to 3.8x). Management reaffirmed 2026 guidance and highlighted the strategic ramp of Zoox and other new business as growth drivers. Counterbalancing these positives are weakened adjusted EBITDA and adjusted net loss, a sharp decline in the Trim segment (-13.9%) tied to a 27% YoY Class 8 industry decline, higher interest expense following refinancing, and persistent macro volatility. Overall, highlights around margin improvement, cash generation and electrical segment growth outweigh the near-term profitability and demand headwinds, positioning the sentiment as constructive but cautious.
Positive Updates
Modest Consolidated Revenue Growth
Consolidated Q1 2026 revenue of $171.5M versus $169.8M prior year, an increase of approximately 1.0% driven by higher sales in Global Electrical Systems and Global Seating.
Negative Updates
Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Net Loss Performance
Adjusted EBITDA declined to $4.8M in Q1 2026 from $5.8M prior year (down ~$1.0M, ≈-17%). Adjusted net loss widened to $3.4M (loss of $0.10 per diluted share) versus adjusted net loss of $2.6M prior year (loss of $0.08). Adjusted EBITDA margin was 2.8%, down 60 basis points from 3.4% in Q1 2025.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Modest Consolidated Revenue Growth
Consolidated Q1 2026 revenue of $171.5M versus $169.8M prior year, an increase of approximately 1.0% driven by higher sales in Global Electrical Systems and Global Seating.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reaffirmed 2026 guidance calling for net sales of $660–$700 million (about +5% vs. 2025 at the midpoint) and adjusted EBITDA of $24–$30 million (≈+50% vs. 2025 at the midpoint), and expects positive free cash flow for the year with priority on debt paydown to reach a 2.0x net leverage target (current net leverage 3.8x, down from 4.1x). They expect Global Electrical Systems sales to rise more than 10% in 2026 as Zoox and other ramps drive utilization, and cited industry data projecting Class 8 production up ~9% in 2026 (Q1 production 54,000). Supporting metrics from Q1 include revenue of $171.5M, adjusted gross margin of 12.2% (+140 bps YoY, +250 bps sequential), adjusted EBITDA $4.8M (margin 2.8%), and free cash flow of $11.7M; management also noted a $16M gross ($14.6M net) sale‑leaseback that prepaid $12.8M of debt and established a 20‑year lease with ~$1.4M initial annual rent.

Commercial Vehicle Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed-to-weak. Revenue has stabilized with TTM growth of 3.6%, and leverage improved meaningfully (debt-to-equity down to ~0.67x). However, profitability remains pressured (TTM net margin -3.4% vs. +5.9% in 2023) and margins are lower (TTM gross margin ~11.2% vs. ~14.6% in 2023). Cash-flow consistency is a concern: operating cash flow is still positive (~$10.7M) but much lower than 2025, and free cash flow is slightly negative (~-$0.4M) in TTM.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Cash Flow
41
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue673.98M649.00M723.36M835.47M782.58M971.58M
Gross Profit75.61M68.39M82.32M121.89M85.03M118.99M
EBITDA15.49M12.03M26.40M58.30M42.58M68.53M
Net Income-13.71M-22.78M-27.87M49.41M-21.97M23.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets454.53M391.71M424.57M483.21M470.27M507.69M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments35.95M33.28M26.63M37.85M31.82M34.96M
Total Debt91.78M144.54M166.33M173.43M179.28M222.99M
Total Liabilities318.41M258.36M288.98M310.28M350.23M381.04M
Stockholders Equity136.12M133.36M135.59M172.93M120.04M126.65M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-390.00K33.99M-51.97M18.58M49.24M-47.48M
Operating Cash Flow10.72M44.64M-33.45M38.28M68.95M-29.83M
Investing Cash Flow4.85M-10.61M30.90M-19.70M-19.71M-17.57M
Financing Cash Flow-24.11M-29.23M-7.12M-12.73M-50.09M31.01M

Commercial Vehicle Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.62
Price Trends
50DMA
4.87
Negative
100DMA
4.48
Positive
200DMA
3.04
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Positive
RSI
47.83
Neutral
STOCH
31.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CVGI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.62 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.68, below the 50-day MA of 4.87, and above the 200-day MA of 3.04, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CVGI.

Commercial Vehicle Group Risk Analysis

Commercial Vehicle Group disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Commercial Vehicle Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Commercial Vehicle Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$136.07M3.1811.39%17.64%42.96%
72
Outperform
$367.27M14.2910.75%4.22%23.13%
69
Neutral
$573.20M36.993.70%1.60%-34.22%-71.55%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
55
Neutral
$195.11M-1.70-53.45%-9.34%-539.67%
49
Neutral
$177.22M-8.65-12.93%-11.44%50.49%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CVGI
Commercial Vehicle Group
4.59
2.74
148.11%
CAAS
China Automotive Systems
4.49
0.44
10.86%
MLR
Miller Industries
50.22
10.15
25.34%
SRI
Stoneridge
7.45
-0.38
-4.85%
STRT
Strattec Security
86.80
22.29
34.55%

Commercial Vehicle Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Commercial Vehicle Group Raises 2026 Outlook Amid Growth
Positive
Aug 3, 2026
In its second quarter ended June 30, 2026, Commercial Vehicle Group reported revenues of $195.2 million, up 13.5% year on year, driven by rising demand across all three segments and ramp-up of previously awarded programs. Gross margin improved by ...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Commercial Vehicle Group Executes ATM Equity Program
Positive
Jul 6, 2026
On June 18, 2026, Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc. entered into a Capital on Demand Sales Agreement with JonesTrading Institutional Services LLC, allowing the company to sell up to $25 million of common stock through an at-the-market equity program....
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Commercial Vehicle Group Establishes $25 Million ATM Program
Positive
Jun 18, 2026
On June 18, 2026, Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc. entered into a Capital on Demand Sales Agreement with JonesTrading Institutional Services LLC that allows the company to issue and sell up to $25 million of its common stock from time to time throug...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Commercial Vehicle Group Shareholders Back Governance and Incentive Plan
Positive
May 18, 2026
At its virtual Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on May 14, 2026, Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc. shareholders elected seven directors to serve until the 2027 annual meeting and ratified the appointment of KPMG LLP as the company’s independ...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Commercial Vehicle Group Posts Q1 2026 Profit, Deleverages
Positive
May 5, 2026
CVG reported first-quarter 2026 results on May 5, 2026, posting revenues of $171.5 million, up 1% year-on-year, driven by 14% growth in Global Electrical Systems and a modest rebound in Global Seating. Despite a small adjusted operating income of ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 04, 2026