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Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI)
NASDAQ:CVGI
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Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI) AI Stock Analysis

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CVGI

Commercial Vehicle Group

(NASDAQ:CVGI)

Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▲(8.70% Upside)
The overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenues and profitability issues. While technical indicators and valuation are weak, recent earnings call insights and corporate events provide some positive outlook through operational improvements and enhanced financial flexibility.
Positive Factors
Debt Management
The completion of a debt refinancing extended maturities through 2030.
Financial Performance
CVGI delivered solid Q2/25 results with a sequential improvement in profitability and solid free cash generation in a particularly challenging market environment.
Operational Efficiency
Improvement in gross margin is being driven by operational efficiency improvements related to freight, labor, and plant level overhead.
Negative Factors
Operational Inefficiencies
Adjusted operating loss totaled $4.3 million driven primarily by lower sales volumes and operational inefficiencies.
Revenue Decline
Q2/25 revenues of $172.0 million declined 11.2% versus $193.7 million in Q2/24 due to continued softness in customer demand across all segments.
Segment Performance
Revenue in the Global Electrical Systems segment decreased 14.1% due to decreased customer demand.

Commercial Vehicle Group (CVGI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Commercial Vehicle Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCommercial Vehicle Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, produces, and sells components and assemblies in North America, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific regions. It operates in four segments: Vehicle Solutions, Warehouse Automation, Electrical Systems, and Aftermarket & Accessories. The company offers electrical wire harness assemblies that function as current carrying devices in providing electrical interconnections for gauges, lights, control functions, power circuits, powertrain and transmission sensors, emissions systems, and other electronic applications on commercial and other vehicles; and panel assemblies. It also offers electro-mechanical assemblies, such as box builds, complex automated and robotic assemblies, and large multi-cabinet control cabinets with power distribution and cabling; vinyl or cloth-covered appliqués, armrests, map pocket compartments, and sound-reducing insulations; instrument panels; and plastics decorating and finishing products. In addition, it provides cab structures; design products, including armrests, grab handles, storage systems, floor coverings, floor mats, sleeper bunks, headliners, wall panels, and privacy curtains; and mirrors, wipers, and controls used in commercial, military and specialty recreational vehicles. Further, it offers seats and seating systems, such as mechanical and air suspension, static and military seats, and bus, as well as seats for medium-and heavy-duty trucks (MD/HD trucks); office seating products; and seats, parts, and components for the aftermarket. The company supplies its products and systems for the commercial vehicle market comprising the MD/HD truck market; and MD/HD truck, bus, construction, mining, agricultural, military, industrial, municipal, off-road recreational, and specialty vehicle markets. Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in New Albany, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyCVGI generates revenue through the sale of its products to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and aftermarket customers in the commercial vehicle sector. Key revenue streams include the production of seating systems for heavy-duty trucks and buses, which are essential for ensuring driver comfort and safety. Additionally, the company earns revenue from electrical systems and components that enhance vehicle performance and reliability. CVGI also benefits from strategic partnerships with major OEMs, which provide a stable demand for its products. The company's ability to innovate and expand its product offerings in response to industry trends, such as the shift towards electric vehicles, further contributes to its earnings potential.

Commercial Vehicle Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a challenging environment with significant revenue and EBITDA declines, increased net loss, and downward revisions of guidance, despite positive steps in cost management, cash flow improvements, and debt refinancing. The sentiment is balanced with operational improvements and strategic financial flexibility gains.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Gross Margin and Free Cash Flow
CVG delivered an adjusted gross margin of 12%, up 120 basis points sequentially and 70 basis points year-over-year. Free cash flow improved to $17.3 million, an increase of $16.5 million compared to last year.
Debt Refinancing Provides Financial Flexibility
Completed debt refinancing during the second quarter, providing significantly more financial flexibility for operational initiatives, including cost reductions and margin improvements.
Global Electrical Systems Segment Performance
Revenues in the Global Electrical Systems segment remained flat compared to the prior year, with an improvement in adjusted operating income by $0.4 million due to lower salary expenses.
Raised Free Cash Flow Guidance
Free cash flow guidance for the year was raised to at least $30 million, reflecting robust performance year-to-date.
Negative Updates
Revenue and EBITDA Decline
Consolidated second quarter 2025 revenue was $172 million, down from $193.7 million in the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA was $5.2 million, down from $8.2 million in the prior year, driven by lower volumes.
Net Loss Increase
Net loss for the quarter was $4.1 million, compared to a net loss of $1.3 million in the prior year. Adjusted net loss was $2.9 million, compared to adjusted net income of $1.5 million in the prior year.
Trim Systems and Components Revenue Decrease
Revenues in the Trim Systems and Components segment decreased 24% to $43.9 million due to lower sales volume from decreased customer demand.
Downward Revision of Revenue and EBITDA Guidance
Full year 2025 revenue guidance was revised down to $650 million to $670 million from $660 million to $690 million, and adjusted EBITDA guidance was lowered to $21 million to $25 million from $22 million to $27 million.
Company Guidance
During CVG's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance indicating a solid performance despite challenging market conditions. The company reported an adjusted gross margin of 12%, which increased by 120 basis points sequentially and 70 basis points year-over-year, driven by operational efficiency initiatives. Free cash flow generation was highlighted, with $17.3 million achieved in the quarter, marking an improvement of $16.5 million compared to the previous year. CVG's Global Electrical Systems segment saw revenue stabilization with flat revenues year-over-year but a $0.4 million improvement in adjusted operating income due to lower salary expenses. The company completed a debt refinancing to enhance financial flexibility for further operational initiatives. While CVG revised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $650 million-$670 million, down from $660 million-$690 million, it raised its free cash flow outlook to at least $30 million for the year, underscoring a focus on cash generation and debt reduction.

Commercial Vehicle Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Commercial Vehicle Group is facing financial difficulties with declining revenues, negative profitability, and cash flow challenges. While the balance sheet shows some improvement in leverage, the company must address operational inefficiencies and enhance cash flow management to achieve financial stability and growth.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a challenging period for Commercial Vehicle Group. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue by 7.89% and negative net profit margins at -5.66%. Gross profit margins have decreased compared to previous years, and EBIT margins are negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies. The company needs to address declining revenues and improve cost management to return to profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.86 in TTM, showing improvement from previous years. However, the return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholders' investments. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure, but the company needs to enhance profitability to improve ROE.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates significant challenges, with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow in the TTM period. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 2.30, suggesting cash flow issues relative to earnings. The company must focus on improving cash generation from operations to stabilize its financial health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue676.82M723.36M994.68M981.55M971.58M717.70M
Gross Profit66.82M73.12M135.02M85.03M118.99M74.08M
EBITDA13.76M20.57M64.50M26.86M68.53M-6.43M
Net Income-38.28M-27.87M49.41M-21.97M23.73M-37.05M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets429.79M424.57M483.21M470.27M507.69M454.37M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments45.29M26.63M37.85M31.82M34.96M50.50M
Total Debt130.38M166.33M173.65M179.28M222.52M179.74M
Total Liabilities287.16M288.98M310.28M350.23M381.04M359.00M
Stockholders Equity142.63M135.59M172.93M120.04M126.65M95.37M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-22.17M-51.97M18.58M49.24M-47.48M27.23M
Operating Cash Flow-9.64M-33.45M38.28M68.95M-29.83M34.37M
Investing Cash Flow33.69M30.90M-19.70M-19.71M-17.57M-6.42M
Financing Cash Flow-19.70M-7.12M-12.73M-50.09M31.01M-19.26M

Commercial Vehicle Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.84
Price Trends
50DMA
1.81
Positive
100DMA
1.52
Positive
200DMA
1.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Positive
RSI
54.93
Neutral
STOCH
46.03
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CVGI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.84 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.78, above the 50-day MA of 1.81, and above the 200-day MA of 1.75, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.03 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CVGI.

Commercial Vehicle Group Risk Analysis

Commercial Vehicle Group disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Commercial Vehicle Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Commercial Vehicle Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$5.91B12.979.51%2.77%-3.12%-8.23%
64
Neutral
$677.12M23.77112.26%-2.70%
61
Neutral
$17.92B12.81-3.11%2.97%1.30%-14.28%
61
Neutral
$706.05M17.296.38%-6.73%4900.00%
55
Neutral
$225.73M-11.20%-6.99%-1688.02%
50
Neutral
$68.05M1.82-27.62%-27.36%-218.40%
43
Neutral
$3.24M-80.07%-8.31%-56.03%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CVGI
Commercial Vehicle Group
1.84
-1.23
-40.07%
AXL
American Axle
5.95
0.10
1.71%
LEA
Lear
111.05
4.30
4.03%
SRI
Stoneridge
8.06
-4.17
-34.10%
SSUP
Superior Industries International
0.09
-2.94
-97.03%
CPS
Cooper-Standard Holdings
38.40
25.21
191.13%

Commercial Vehicle Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Commercial Vehicle Group Realigns Reportable Segments
Neutral
Aug 7, 2025

Commercial Vehicle Group announced a realignment of its reportable segments effective January 1, 2025, to better align with customer needs and market demands. The company reorganized its business into three divisions: Global Electrical Systems, Global Seating, and Trim Systems and Components, absorbing its Aftermarket & Accessories unit into these segments. This strategic change aims to enhance operational efficiency and market focus, with the new structure reflected in financial statements starting the first quarter of 2025. The reorganization does not alter previously reported consolidated financial statements but adjusts segment reporting to match the new structure.

Executive/Board Changes
Commercial Vehicle Group Director Resignation Announcement
Neutral
Aug 4, 2025

On July 29, 2025, Scott Reed, the Chief Operating Officer of Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc., announced his resignation effective August 29, 2025, to pursue consulting opportunities. Additionally, on August 1, 2025, Ruth Gratzke, a Director since 2021, resigned from the Board of Directors due to personal reasons, effective August 7, 2025. Following Ms. Gratzke’s departure, the Board plans to reduce its size to six members.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CVG Reports Q2 2025 Revenue Decline Amid Global Demand Drop
Negative
Aug 4, 2025

In its second quarter of 2025, CVG reported a revenue decline of 11.2% to $172 million due to reduced global demand, resulting in a net loss of $4.1 million. Despite these challenges, the company achieved strong free cash flow generation and improved gross margins through operational efficiencies and strategic initiatives, including refinancing credit facilities to enhance financial flexibility.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Commercial Vehicle Group Secures $210 Million Refinancing
Positive
Jun 30, 2025

On June 27, 2025, Commercial Vehicle Group (CVG) completed a significant refinancing of its debt facilities, securing $210 million in senior secured credit facilities. This includes a $95 million term loan and a $115 million asset-based revolving credit facility, both maturing in 2030. The refinancing extends the company’s debt maturity and enhances financial flexibility, allowing CVG to focus on cost reductions, margin improvements, and operational efficiency. Additionally, the transaction involves issuing warrants to TCW Group affiliates, providing further capital structure adjustments.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2025