tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Miller Industries (MLR)
NYSE:MLR
Advertisement

Miller Industries (MLR) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
198 Followers

Top Page

MLR

Miller Industries

(NYSE:MLR)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$47.00
▲(9.56% Upside)
Miller Industries' overall stock score reflects a stable financial position with strong equity and low leverage, but significant challenges in revenue growth and cash flow generation. The technical indicators suggest a lack of strong momentum, while the valuation is reasonable. The earnings call presents a mixed outlook with both positive steps and significant challenges, leading to a cautious overall assessment.
Positive Factors
Demand Trends
Underlying demand trends remain strong for the tow truck market, and earnings power is expected to move higher as near-term headwinds are overcome.
Financial Management
MLR has a fantastic capital-allocation track record, avoiding heavy debt, growing dividends, and having a share repurchase program with targeted additional capacity.
Market Leadership
MLR is the category leader in tow trucks and related equipment, which is an essential, less-cyclical part of the Machinery & Truck Equipment landscape.
Negative Factors
Earnings Miss
The stock declined ~15% after the significant earnings miss out of left field, as well as challenging 2025 guidance.
Inventory Challenges
Challenging 2025 guidance was the result of mix headwinds – their dealers had excessive chassis inventory, resulting in an overhang that needs to be worked down.
Investor Attention
A lack of buy-side and sell-side attention has weighed on the stock for quite some time, despite being a less-cyclical company with a 14% revenue CAGR since 1991.

Miller Industries (MLR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Miller Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMiller Industries, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells towing and recovery equipment. The company offers wreckers that are used to recover and tow disabled vehicles and other equipment; and car carriers, which are specialized flatbed vehicles with hydraulic tilt mechanisms, which are used to transport new or disabled vehicles and other equipment. It also provides transport trailers for moving various vehicles for auto auctions, car dealerships, leasing companies, and other related applications. The company markets its products under the Century, Challenger, Holmes, Champion, Eagle, Titan, Jige, Boniface, Vulcan, and Chevron brands. Miller Industries, Inc. sells its products through independent distributors in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Europe, the Pacific Rim, the Middle East, South America, and Africa; and through prime contractors to governmental entities. The company was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Ooltewah, Tennessee.
How the Company Makes MoneyMiller Industries generates revenue primarily through the sale of its towing and recovery equipment, which includes wrecker bodies, trailers, and related accessories. The company's revenue model is built on direct sales to customers, as well as through a network of dealers and distributors. Key revenue streams include the manufacturing and sale of specialized recovery vehicles and equipment, aftermarket parts, and service contracts. Additionally, Miller Industries benefits from partnerships with other automotive and recovery service companies, which help expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings. The company also engages in export activities, selling its products internationally, which contributes to its overall earnings.

Miller Industries Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.27%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Miller Industries faced significant challenges in the second quarter of 2025, including a sharp decline in net sales and net income, as well as lower consumer confidence affecting order intake. Despite these challenges, the company improved its gross margin, reduced debt, and increased its cash balance. While there are positive signs in military contracts and RFQ activity, the suspension of earnings guidance and ongoing CARB regulation issues present uncertainties. Overall, the highlights and lowlights are fairly balanced in this earnings call.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Gross Margin Improvement
Gross profit margin improved to 16.2% from 13.8% year-over-year due to a higher percentage of body deliveries compared to chassis volumes.
Debt Reduction
Reduced debt balance by $20 million during the second quarter, with an additional $5 million paid down since, bringing the current balance to $50 million.
Increased Cash Balance
Cash balance increased by $4.4 million sequentially and $7.5 million since the end of last year, reaching $31.8 million.
Military Contracts and RFQs
Continued activity in military contracts with a recently signed agreement with the Canadian military and ongoing RFQs, indicating potential future business growth.
Negative Updates
Significant Net Sales Decline
Net sales for the second quarter of 2025 were $214 million, down 42.4% year-over-year from $371.5 million, primarily due to a drop in chassis volumes.
Decreased Net Income
Net income fell to $8.5 million or $0.73 per diluted share from $20.5 million or $1.78 per diluted share in the prior year period.
Order Intake Drop
Experienced a 30% decrease in order intake from distributors due to lower consumer confidence and elevated cost of ownership.
Suspension of Earnings Guidance
Suspended guidance on earnings per share for the fiscal year 2025 due to potential extraordinary expenses and potential losses in the second half of the year.
Challenges with CARB Regulations
Sales into California are limited due to CARB regulations, impacting overall market potential in the state.
Company Guidance
In the recent Miller Industries second-quarter 2025 conference call, the company provided revised guidance, anticipating revenues between $750 million and $800 million for the fiscal year while suspending earnings per share guidance due to ongoing market uncertainties. Net sales for Q2 2025 were reported at $214 million, reflecting a 42.4% decrease from the previous year, primarily due to a drop in chassis volumes. Despite the decline in sales, the gross profit margin improved to 16.2% of net sales, attributed to a favorable product mix. The company also highlighted a decrease in interest expenses by 85.6% from the prior year, resulting from reduced debt levels and lower customer floor plan expenses. Miller Industries is taking proactive steps to address industry-wide demand headwinds, focusing on cost reduction initiatives and production adjustments to normalize inventory levels, with expectations of a potential commercial market recovery in the near term. The company's cash balance increased to $31.8 million, and they reduced their debt to $50 million, emphasizing their strategic positioning for future growth despite current challenges.

Miller Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Miller Industries shows strong profitability and a robust balance sheet with low leverage, but faces challenges in revenue growth and cash flow management. The income statement and balance sheet are strong, but negative free cash flow is a concern.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Miller Industries demonstrates strong profitability with a healthy gross profit margin of 14.2% and a net profit margin of 4.8% in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). However, there is a revenue contraction of 9.9% from the previous year, signaling potential challenges in revenue growth. The EBIT margin stands at 6.4%, reflecting stable operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The company's balance sheet is robust, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19, indicating low financial leverage. The equity ratio is strong at 63.5%, showcasing the company's financial stability. Return on equity (ROE) is healthy at 13.4%, pointing to effective use of shareholder funds.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The cash flow situation reveals some concerns, as free cash flow is negative in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) with a free cash flow to net income ratio of -0.1. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.19, indicating some level of operational cash generation despite challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue975.86M1.26B1.15B848.46M717.48M651.29M
Gross Profit144.01M170.81M151.85M82.42M69.85M78.36M
EBITDA70.06M84.48M93.00M41.35M34.66M48.24M
Net Income42.48M63.49M58.29M20.35M16.25M29.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets622.93M667.01M647.21M501.43M438.85M398.41M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments31.82M24.34M29.91M40.15M54.33M57.52M
Total Debt55.45M65.55M60.83M45.91M1.25M1.51M
Total Liabilities204.34M265.99M299.29M207.97M150.31M115.96M
Stockholders Equity418.59M401.03M347.92M293.46M288.54M282.45M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow34.17M1.52M-1.13M-48.09M6.12M43.21M
Operating Cash Flow48.53M16.87M10.96M-19.16M15.27M60.71M
Investing Cash Flow-14.38M-15.27M-29.07M-28.93M-9.06M-17.22M
Financing Cash Flow-27.38M-6.62M6.75M36.77M-8.24M-13.63M

Miller Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price42.90
Price Trends
50DMA
43.64
Negative
100DMA
43.25
Negative
200DMA
53.59
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.50
Negative
RSI
52.57
Neutral
STOCH
96.05
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MLR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 42.9 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.86, below the 50-day MA of 43.64, and below the 200-day MA of 53.59, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.50 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 96.05 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MLR.

Miller Industries Risk Analysis

Miller Industries disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Miller Industries reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Miller Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$736.85M11.5825.41%3.69%1.47%131.61%
74
Outperform
$861.26M13.289.90%3.12%17.98%9.41%
67
Neutral
¥277.37B14.706.81%2.50%5.06%-23.65%
65
Neutral
$496.03M17.84112.26%-2.70%
64
Neutral
$482.39M11.5010.64%1.79%-24.48%-40.73%
61
Neutral
$677.57M16.916.38%-6.73%4900.00%
58
Neutral
$218.45M-11.20%-6.99%-1688.02%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MLR
Miller Industries
42.90
-13.53
-23.98%
AXL
American Axle
5.82
-0.51
-8.06%
PLOW
Douglas Dynamics
31.98
5.82
22.25%
SMP
Standard Motor Products
39.17
9.75
33.14%
SRI
Stoneridge
8.11
-5.79
-41.65%
CPS
Cooper-Standard Holdings
28.96
15.42
113.88%

Miller Industries Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Miller Industries Holds Annual Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
May 28, 2025

On May 23, 2025, Miller Industries, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders in Dalton, Georgia, with 90.18% of the company’s common stock represented. During the meeting, shareholders elected seven directors to serve until the next annual meeting in 2026 and approved the 2025 Stock Incentive Plan.

The most recent analyst rating on (MLR) stock is a Buy with a $82.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Miller Industries stock, see the MLR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025