Miller Industries, Inc. (MLR)
:MLR
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Miller Industries (MLR) AI Stock Analysis

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MLR

Miller Industries

(NYSE:MLR)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$42.00
▲(2.56% Upside)
Miller Industries faces significant challenges with declining revenue and cash flow issues, impacting its financial performance. The technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, while the valuation remains reasonable. The earnings call highlighted strategic efforts to manage costs and inventory, but macroeconomic uncertainties and revenue declines weigh heavily on the outlook.
Positive Factors
Debt Reduction
A significant reduction in debt enhances financial flexibility and reduces interest expenses, strengthening the company's long-term financial health.
Gross Profit Margin Improvement
Improved gross profit margin indicates better cost management and product mix, enhancing profitability and operational efficiency over time.
Military Market Outlook
Growing demand for military vehicles presents a potential revenue stream, supporting long-term growth and diversification of market opportunities.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A significant decline in revenue impacts financial performance and may hinder the company's ability to invest in growth and innovation.
Cash Flow Challenges
Challenges in cash flow generation can limit the company's ability to fund operations and strategic initiatives, affecting long-term sustainability.
Headcount Reduction
Workforce reductions may impact operational capacity and morale, potentially affecting productivity and long-term competitive positioning.

Miller Industries (MLR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Miller Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMiller Industries, Inc. (MLR) is a leading manufacturer of towing and recovery equipment, specializing in the design, production, and distribution of a wide range of truck-mounted recovery systems, including wrecker bodies and trailers. The company operates primarily in the automotive industry, serving a diverse customer base that includes towing companies, municipalities, and emergency services. With a commitment to quality and innovation, Miller Industries also offers a variety of accessories and parts to enhance their equipment's functionality.
How the Company Makes MoneyMiller Industries generates revenue primarily through the sale of its towing and recovery equipment, which includes wrecker bodies, trailers, and related accessories. The company's revenue model is built on direct sales to customers, as well as through a network of dealers and distributors. Key revenue streams include the manufacturing and sale of specialized recovery vehicles and equipment, aftermarket parts, and service contracts. Additionally, Miller Industries benefits from partnerships with other automotive and recovery service companies, which help expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings. The company also engages in export activities, selling its products internationally, which contributes to its overall earnings.

Miller Industries Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
While the company has taken proactive steps to manage inventory, reduce debt, and maintain a strong cash position, significant challenges remain with a notable decline in revenue and net income, coupled with macroeconomic uncertainty and workforce reductions. The outlook for military vehicle demand provides a positive future opportunity, but current performance reflects substantial difficulties.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Gross Profit Margin Improvement
Gross profit for Q3 2025 was $25.3 million or 14.2% of net sales, an increase from 13.4% in the prior year period, due to a favorable product mix.
Significant Debt Reduction
Reduced debt by $10 million during Q3 2025, with an additional $10 million paid down post-quarter, bringing the debt balance to $35 million.
Strong Cash Position
Cash balance increased by $6.6 million sequentially, reaching $38.4 million at the end of Q3 2025.
Proactive Inventory Management
Strategic pre-purchase of materials to mitigate tariffs and reduction of field inventory, preparing for a more normalized inventory level by 2026.
Positive Military Market Outlook
Increased RFQ activity for military vehicles with expectations of production in 2027, offering potential future revenue growth.
Consistent Shareholder Returns
Paid dividends for 59 consecutive quarters and repurchased $1.2 million in stock, totaling $3.5 million returned to shareholders in Q3 2025.
Negative Updates
Significant Revenue Decline
Net sales for Q3 2025 were $178.7 million, representing a 43.1% year-over-year decrease due to a drop in chassis shipments.
Decrease in Net Income
Net income for Q3 2025 was $3.1 million or $0.27 per diluted share, down from $15.4 million or $1.33 per diluted share in the prior year period.
Headcount Reduction
Reduced headcount by approximately 150 positions across U.S. manufacturing facilities as part of cost reduction measures.
Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Continued macroeconomic uncertainty leading to delayed purchases in the retail channel and elevated field inventory.
Onetime Retirement Program Costs
SG&A expenses included a $900,000 one-time cost for retirement packages, with a total program cost of $2.7 million.
Company Guidance
During the Miller Industries Third Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, the company provided guidance that emphasized a strategic focus on cost management and inventory control amid challenging market conditions. The company reported net sales of $178.7 million, reflecting a significant 43.1% year-over-year decrease primarily due to a decline in chassis shipments. Despite this, the gross profit margin improved to 14.2% from 13.4% the previous year, driven by a favorable product mix. SG&A expenses were reported at $21.2 million, marking an 11.9% share of net sales, with efforts to cut costs partially offset by a $900,000 retirement-related onetime expense. Interest expense significantly dropped by 63% to $93,000 due to reduced debt levels. The company closed the quarter with a cash balance of $38.4 million and reduced its debt to $35 million after a $10 million paydown. Inventory increased to $180.7 million, mainly from pre-purchasing materials to mitigate tariff effects, while accounts payable decreased to $82.2 million. Looking ahead, Miller Industries reaffirmed its 2025 revenue guidance of $750 million to $800 million and expressed confidence in its position for 2026, underpinned by improving inventory dynamics and growing demand for its military vehicles.

Miller Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Miller Industries shows stability in profitability and a strong balance sheet with low leverage. However, declining revenue and cash flow challenges highlight areas that need attention. The company should focus on reversing the revenue decline and improving cash flow generation to enhance its financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Miller Industries shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM data reveals a decline in revenue growth rate by 13.9%, indicating potential challenges in sales. However, the company maintains a stable gross profit margin of 14.8% and a net profit margin of 4.4%, which are respectable for the industry. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate, reflecting operational efficiency but also suggesting room for improvement.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet of Miller Industries is relatively strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.13, indicating conservative leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is 10.5%, showing decent profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a solid capital structure. However, the slight decrease in stockholders' equity over time could be a point of concern.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals some challenges, with a negative free cash flow growth rate of 17.3% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.33, indicating that cash generation from operations is not fully covering net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.70, suggesting that while the company is generating cash, it may not be sufficient to support all its financial obligations and growth initiatives.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue840.26M1.26B1.15B848.46M717.48M651.29M
Gross Profit127.32M170.81M151.85M82.42M69.85M78.36M
EBITDA54.37M98.55M93.00M41.35M34.66M48.24M
Net Income30.14M63.49M58.29M20.35M16.25M29.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets604.34M667.01M647.21M501.43M437.64M398.41M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments38.40M24.34M29.91M40.15M54.33M57.52M
Total Debt45.36M65.55M60.83M45.91M1.25M1.51M
Total Liabilities183.69M265.99M299.29M207.97M153.03M115.96M
Stockholders Equity420.65M401.03M347.92M293.46M284.62M282.45M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow28.27M1.52M-1.13M-48.09M6.12M43.21M
Operating Cash Flow38.14M16.87M10.96M-19.16M15.27M60.71M
Investing Cash Flow-8.61M-15.27M-29.07M-28.93M-9.06M-17.22M
Financing Cash Flow-32.80M-6.62M6.75M36.77M-8.24M-13.63M

Miller Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price40.95
Price Trends
50DMA
40.02
Negative
100DMA
41.49
Negative
200DMA
44.64
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.50
Positive
RSI
40.98
Neutral
STOCH
12.98
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MLR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 40.95 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.95, above the 50-day MA of 40.02, and below the 200-day MA of 44.64, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.50 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.98 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MLR.

Miller Industries Risk Analysis

Miller Industries disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Miller Industries reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Miller Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$718.65M17.7915.29%3.76%9.99%-23.93%
66
Neutral
$770.34M19.286.01%-6.02%42.35%
65
Neutral
$836.63M12.3810.49%3.29%23.96%11.01%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
$440.34M14.837.39%1.96%-36.91%-56.72%
56
Neutral
$509.00M15.97-0.53%
54
Neutral
$169.78M-12.26%-4.91%-331.53%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MLR
Miller Industries
38.30
-29.23
-43.28%
AXL
American Axle
6.49
-0.02
-0.31%
PLOW
Douglas Dynamics
31.35
7.06
29.07%
SMP
Standard Motor Products
38.94
6.36
19.52%
SRI
Stoneridge
6.06
-1.00
-14.16%
CPS
Cooper-Standard Holdings
31.48
14.67
87.27%

Miller Industries Corporate Events

Miller Industries Reports Q3 2025 Earnings Decline
Nov 7, 2025

Miller Industries, Inc., headquartered in Chattanooga, Tennessee, is the world’s largest manufacturer of towing and recovery equipment, marketing its products under well-known brands such as Century, Vulcan, and Holmes.

Miller Industries’ Earnings Call: Challenges and Resilience
Aug 12, 2025

Miller Industries’ recent earnings call painted a picture of both challenges and resilience. The company faced significant hurdles in the second quarter of 2025, with a sharp decline in net sales and net income, largely due to lower consumer confidence and a drop in chassis volumes. Despite these setbacks, Miller Industries managed to improve its gross margin, reduce debt, and increase its cash balance. Positive developments in military contracts and RFQ activity offer a glimmer of hope, though uncertainties remain due to the suspension of earnings guidance and ongoing CARB regulation issues. Overall, the earnings call presented a balanced view of the company’s current state.

Miller Industries Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Aug 8, 2025

Miller Industries, Inc., a leading manufacturer of towing and recovery equipment, has reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, highlighting significant challenges and strategic adjustments. The company experienced a notable decline in net sales, dropping by 42.4% to $214 million compared to the same period last year, primarily due to a decrease in product shipments, particularly chassis. Despite the sales drop, the gross profit margin improved to 16.2%, attributed to a shift in sales mix towards higher-margin products.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025