tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Miller Industries (MLR)
NYSE:MLR
Advertisement

Miller Industries (MLR) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
198 Followers

Top Page

MLR

Miller Industries

(NYSE:MLR)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$45.00
▲(7.71% Upside)
Miller Industries faces significant challenges, particularly in revenue growth and cash flow generation, which are reflected in the financial performance and earnings call scores. While the company has a strong balance sheet and reasonable valuation, technical indicators suggest limited momentum. The overall sentiment leans towards caution due to market uncertainties and operational challenges.
Positive Factors
Demand Trends
Underlying demand trends remain strong for the tow truck market, and earnings power is expected to move higher as near-term headwinds are overcome.
Financial Management
MLR has a fantastic capital-allocation track record, avoiding heavy debt, growing dividends, and having a share repurchase program with targeted additional capacity.
Market Leadership
MLR is the category leader in tow trucks and related equipment, which is an essential, less-cyclical part of the Machinery & Truck Equipment landscape.
Negative Factors
Earnings Miss
The stock declined ~15% after the significant earnings miss out of left field, as well as challenging 2025 guidance.
Inventory Challenges
Challenging 2025 guidance was the result of mix headwinds – their dealers had excessive chassis inventory, resulting in an overhang that needs to be worked down.
Investor Attention
A lack of buy-side and sell-side attention has weighed on the stock for quite some time, despite being a less-cyclical company with a 14% revenue CAGR since 1991.

Miller Industries (MLR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Miller Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMiller Industries, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells towing and recovery equipment. The company offers wreckers that are used to recover and tow disabled vehicles and other equipment; and car carriers, which are specialized flatbed vehicles with hydraulic tilt mechanisms, which are used to transport new or disabled vehicles and other equipment. It also provides transport trailers for moving various vehicles for auto auctions, car dealerships, leasing companies, and other related applications. The company markets its products under the Century, Challenger, Holmes, Champion, Eagle, Titan, Jige, Boniface, Vulcan, and Chevron brands. Miller Industries, Inc. sells its products through independent distributors in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Europe, the Pacific Rim, the Middle East, South America, and Africa; and through prime contractors to governmental entities. The company was incorporated in 1990 and is based in Ooltewah, Tennessee.
How the Company Makes MoneyMiller Industries generates revenue primarily through the sale of its towing and recovery equipment, which includes wrecker bodies, trailers, and related accessories. The company's revenue model is built on direct sales to customers, as well as through a network of dealers and distributors. Key revenue streams include the manufacturing and sale of specialized recovery vehicles and equipment, aftermarket parts, and service contracts. Additionally, Miller Industries benefits from partnerships with other automotive and recovery service companies, which help expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings. The company also engages in export activities, selling its products internationally, which contributes to its overall earnings.

Miller Industries Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call reflected significant challenges faced by Miller Industries, including a sharp decline in revenue and net income, as well as ongoing demand headwinds and elevated inventory levels. However, there were positive aspects, such as improved gross margins, debt reduction, and a secured military contract. The company remains committed to shareholder returns and is taking proactive steps to address current challenges, but the overall sentiment leans more towards caution and uncertainty.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Gross Profit Margin
Gross profit margin improved to 16.2% in Q2 2025 from 13.8% in Q2 2024, driven by a higher percentage of body deliveries compared to chassis volumes.
Debt Reduction
The company reduced its debt by $20 million, bringing the balance down to $55 million, with a further reduction to $50 million post-quarter.
Increased Cash Balance
Cash balance increased by $4.4 million sequentially to $31.8 million, marking a $7.5 million increase since the end of last year.
Successful Military Contract
The contract with the Canadian military was fully secured, indicating future business potential.
Continued Shareholder Returns
The company continues to prioritize returning capital to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, with $20 million remaining on the current buyback plan.
Negative Updates
Significant Revenue Decrease
Net sales for Q2 2025 were $214 million, a 42.4% decrease from $371.5 million in Q2 2024, primarily due to a drop in chassis volumes.
Net Income Decline
Net income for Q2 2025 was $8.5 million, a significant decrease from $20.5 million in the prior year period.
Decreased Retail Sales Activity
Retail sales activity was down 20% quarter-over-quarter, resulting in a 30% decrease in order intake from distributors.
Challenges in Demand Rebound
The company faced ongoing demand headwinds and revised its revenue guidance to $750 million to $800 million for fiscal 2025, suspending earnings per share guidance due to uncertainty.
Increased SG&A Expenses
SG&A expenses increased to $23.4 million in Q2 2025, with SG&A as a percentage of net sales rising 480 basis points year-over-year.
Continued Inventory Challenges
Elevated inventory levels in distribution channels persisted, impacting demand recovery despite production adjustments.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, Miller Industries faced significant market challenges, with retail sales activity declining by 20% quarter-over-quarter and order intake from distributors decreasing by 30%. Additionally, net sales dropped 42.4% year-over-year to $214 million, attributed mainly to reduced chassis volumes. Despite these challenges, the company achieved a gross profit of $34.6 million, representing 16.2% of net sales, an improvement from the prior year due to a favorable product mix. The company also reported a decline in interest expenses by 85.6% and reduced its debt by $20 million, bringing it down to $50 million by the end of the quarter. Looking ahead, Miller Industries revised its revenue guidance for the fiscal year 2025 to a range of $750 million to $800 million and suspended earnings per share guidance due to potential operational adjustments and ongoing market uncertainties. The company is focusing on operational efficiency, cost reduction, and strategic positioning to navigate the current market challenges and prepare for future growth.

Miller Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Miller Industries shows strong profitability and a robust balance sheet with low leverage, but faces challenges in revenue growth and cash flow management. The income statement and balance sheet are strong, but negative free cash flow is a concern.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Miller Industries demonstrates strong profitability with a healthy gross profit margin of 14.2% and a net profit margin of 4.8% in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). However, there is a revenue contraction of 9.9% from the previous year, signaling potential challenges in revenue growth. The EBIT margin stands at 6.4%, reflecting stable operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The company's balance sheet is robust, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19, indicating low financial leverage. The equity ratio is strong at 63.5%, showcasing the company's financial stability. Return on equity (ROE) is healthy at 13.4%, pointing to effective use of shareholder funds.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The cash flow situation reveals some concerns, as free cash flow is negative in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) with a free cash flow to net income ratio of -0.1. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.19, indicating some level of operational cash generation despite challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue975.86M1.26B1.15B848.46M717.48M651.29M
Gross Profit144.01M170.81M151.85M82.42M69.85M78.36M
EBITDA70.06M84.48M93.00M41.35M34.66M48.24M
Net Income42.48M63.49M58.29M20.35M16.25M29.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets622.93M667.01M647.21M501.43M438.85M398.41M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments31.82M24.34M29.91M40.15M54.33M57.52M
Total Debt55.45M65.55M60.83M45.91M1.25M1.51M
Total Liabilities204.34M265.99M299.29M207.97M150.31M115.96M
Stockholders Equity418.59M401.03M347.92M293.46M288.54M282.45M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow34.17M1.52M-1.13M-48.09M6.12M43.21M
Operating Cash Flow48.53M16.87M10.96M-19.16M15.27M60.71M
Investing Cash Flow-14.38M-15.27M-29.07M-28.93M-9.06M-17.22M
Financing Cash Flow-27.38M-6.62M6.75M36.77M-8.24M-13.63M

Miller Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price41.78
Price Trends
50DMA
43.11
Negative
100DMA
43.40
Negative
200DMA
51.73
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.26
Positive
RSI
45.71
Neutral
STOCH
15.54
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MLR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 41.78 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.51, below the 50-day MA of 43.11, and below the 200-day MA of 51.73, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.26 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.54 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MLR.

Miller Industries Risk Analysis

Miller Industries disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Miller Industries reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Miller Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$772.10M12.1325.41%3.53%1.47%131.61%
80
Outperform
$879.51M13.569.90%3.05%17.98%9.41%
64
Neutral
$688.58M24.17112.26%-2.70%
63
Neutral
$479.06M11.4210.64%1.87%-24.48%-40.73%
61
Neutral
$17.97B12.87-5.30%2.97%1.26%-14.45%
61
Neutral
$709.61M17.296.38%-6.73%4900.00%
55
Neutral
$233.57M-11.20%-6.99%-1688.02%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MLR
Miller Industries
41.78
-15.10
-26.55%
AXL
American Axle
5.95
0.05
0.85%
PLOW
Douglas Dynamics
33.45
7.98
31.33%
SMP
Standard Motor Products
39.99
9.82
32.55%
SRI
Stoneridge
8.06
-4.66
-36.64%
CPS
Cooper-Standard Holdings
38.40
24.73
180.91%

Miller Industries Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Miller Industries Holds Annual Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
May 28, 2025

On May 23, 2025, Miller Industries, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders in Dalton, Georgia, with 90.18% of the company’s common stock represented. During the meeting, shareholders elected seven directors to serve until the next annual meeting in 2026 and approved the 2025 Stock Incentive Plan.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 29, 2025