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Miller Industries (MLR)
NYSE:MLR

Miller Industries (MLR) AI Stock Analysis

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MLR

Miller Industries

(NYSE:MLR)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$52.00
▲(6.56% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/09/26
Overall score reflects strong financial stability and improving cash generation, plus constructive technical momentum. These positives are tempered by a high P/E valuation and evidence of 2025 profitability/revenue weakness, partially offset by management’s guided 2026 recovery and continued balance-sheet strengthening.
Positive Factors
Low leverage / strong balance sheet
Very low leverage and a steadily growing equity base provide a durable capital cushion. This reduces refinancing and liquidity risk, supports the dividend and buybacks, and gives flexibility to fund organic expansion or absorb demand cyclicality without needing heavy external financing.
Negative Factors
Sharp recent revenue decline
A large year-over-year revenue drop reflects distributor destocking and intentional production cuts; recovery depends on sustained retail order improvement and execution of production ramps. Such steep declines increase uncertainty about topline normalization timing and durability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low leverage / strong balance sheet
Very low leverage and a steadily growing equity base provide a durable capital cushion. This reduces refinancing and liquidity risk, supports the dividend and buybacks, and gives flexibility to fund organic expansion or absorb demand cyclicality without needing heavy external financing.
Read all positive factors

Miller Industries (MLR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Miller Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Miller Industries, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells towing and recovery equipment. The company offers wreckers that are used to recover and tow disabled vehicles and other equipment; and car carriers, which are speciali...
How the Company Makes Money
Miller Industries primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling towing and recovery equipment. Revenue is generated from the sale of completed units (e.g., wreckers/rotators, car carriers/flatbeds, and related towing/recovery bodies and trail...

Miller Industries Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call balanced acknowledgement of a difficult 2025 (notably a 37.2% full-year revenue decline) with clear signs of recovery and strategic progress: normalized distributor inventories, improving retail orders, immediate production ramps, accretive European M&A (OMARS), a large secured military RFQ pipeline (> $150M) and disciplined capital allocation (debt down to $20M, dividend uptick, share repurchases). Near-term headwinds include one-time SG&A and integration costs and the lag before military revenues materialize, but the guidance for 2026 revenue growth ($850M–$900M), planned capacity investments and operational initiatives suggest a constructive outlook.
Positive Updates
Quarterly and Margin Results
Q4 2025 revenue of $171,200,000 (down 22.9% YoY) with gross profit of $26,500,000 representing a 15.5% gross margin and diluted EPS of $0.29.
Negative Updates
Significant Year-over-Year Revenue Decline
Full year revenue declined 37.2% vs. 2024 and Q4 revenue declined 22.9% YoY, primarily due to intentionally reduced production to allow elevated distributor inventories to normalize.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Quarterly and Margin Results
Q4 2025 revenue of $171,200,000 (down 22.9% YoY) with gross profit of $26,500,000 representing a 15.5% gross margin and diluted EPS of $0.29.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided 2026 revenue of $850–900 million with manufacturing ramping through Q1–Q2 and performance accelerating into the back half of the year (targeting ~ $250 million of revenue per quarter as the year progresses) and full‑year gross margins normalizing to the mid‑13% range as product mix returns to historical manufactured‑product plus chassis levels. They said OMARS should be accretive in year one, noted a military pipeline of more than $150 million (production starting in 2027 with the majority of revenue in 2028–29), and outlined major capacity investments including a 200,000+ sq ft Oodawa addition (~$100 million, production ready late‑2027) and a €8.0 million Zuzain expansion (doubling heavy‑duty capacity by mid‑2027). Capital allocation priorities remain a consistent quarterly dividend (board raised the dividend 5% to $0.21/share), debt reduction (down to $20 million in Jan 2026), share repurchases ($2.2 million in 2025), selective M&A, and ongoing automation/people investments, with management expecting to fund the majority of expansion organically from operating cash flow.

Miller Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong balance sheet with very low leverage (debt-to-equity improved to ~0.08) and a solid equity base, supported by a sharp 2025 rebound in operating/free cash flow. Offsetting this, 2025 showed a meaningful revenue decline and weaker earnings conversion (net margin down to ~2.9% and ROE down to ~5.5%), raising questions about profitability durability.
Income Statement
63
Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue790.27M1.26B1.15B848.46M717.48M
Gross Profit120.39M170.81M151.85M82.42M69.85M
EBITDA46.09M98.13M93.00M40.87M34.16M
Net Income23.01M63.49M58.29M20.35M16.25M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets589.67M667.01M647.21M501.43M437.64M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments44.68M24.34M29.91M40.15M54.33M
Total Debt33.58M65.55M60.83M45.91M1.25M
Total Liabilities169.10M265.99M299.29M207.97M153.03M
Stockholders Equity420.57M401.03M347.92M293.46M284.62M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow85.01M1.52M-1.13M-48.09M6.12M
Operating Cash Flow98.72M16.87M10.96M-19.16M15.27M
Investing Cash Flow-30.78M-15.27M-29.07M-28.93M-9.06M
Financing Cash Flow-50.75M-6.62M6.75M36.77M-8.24M

Miller Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price48.80
Price Trends
50DMA
44.31
Positive
100DMA
41.35
Positive
200DMA
41.15
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.20
Negative
RSI
74.53
Negative
STOCH
94.78
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MLR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 48.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.51, above the 50-day MA of 44.31, and above the 200-day MA of 41.15, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.53 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.78 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MLR.

Miller Industries Risk Analysis

Miller Industries disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Miller Industries reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Miller Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$556.08M18.597.39%2.11%-36.91%-56.72%
70
Outperform
$1.07B16.0517.23%3.52%9.99%-23.93%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
53
Neutral
$829.81M10.2511.76%3.32%23.96%11.01%
53
Neutral
$529.82M-140.804.18%-0.53%
50
Neutral
$158.58M-0.52-43.54%-4.91%-331.53%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MLR
Miller Industries
48.80
8.92
22.36%
PLOW
Douglas Dynamics
46.71
24.01
105.81%
SMP
Standard Motor Products
37.74
15.69
71.17%
SRI
Stoneridge
5.71
1.92
50.66%
CPS
Cooper-Standard Holdings
30.34
17.61
138.33%

Miller Industries Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Miller Industries Updates Executive Severance Plan After Review
Positive
Apr 8, 2026
On April 7, 2026, Miller Industries, Inc. approved a Third Amended and Restated Severance Protection Plan to replace its prior change in control severance plan, reflecting a targeted adjustment to executive severance calculations. The revision rem...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Miller Industries Updates Executive Severance and Bonus Plans
Positive
Mar 6, 2026
On March 2, 2026, Miller Industries’ compensation committee approved a Second Amended and Restated Severance Protection Plan that replaces its earlier change-in-control severance framework and eliminates “single-trigger” benefits...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 09, 2026