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Stoneridge (SRI)
NYSE:SRI

Stoneridge (SRI) AI Stock Analysis

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SRI

Stoneridge

(NYSE:SRI)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$8.00
▲(5.26% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (sharp revenue decline, negative margins, and negative ROE). Technicals are supportive with price above major moving averages and a positive MACD, but the RSI indicates overbought risk. Valuation remains challenging due to losses (negative P/E), while the recent divestiture is a positive step toward simplification and balance-sheet improvement.
Positive Factors
Strategic Portfolio Simplification
Divesting the Control Devices unit for $59M is a durable strategic move that sharpens focus on higher-growth Electronics and Brazil platforms. Proceeds are earmarked to repay debt and strengthen the balance sheet, reducing complexity and improving long-term capital allocation and execution.
Conservative Leverage
A very low debt-to-equity ratio provides durable financial flexibility, lowering insolvency risk and enabling the company to fund R&D, product program ramps, or weather cyclical auto demand without heavy refinancing stress, supporting sustainable strategic initiatives.
Product Wins & Program Backlog
Significant program awards and growth in the MirrorEye line reflect durable, multi-year revenue streams tied to vehicle programs. Lifetime-program revenue provides a stable backlog that supports steady production, unit economics improvement, and higher long-term topline visibility.
Negative Factors
Steep Revenue Decline and Negative Margins
A sharp 40.6% TTM revenue drop combined with negative gross and net margins indicates structural demand or execution issues. Persistently negative margins undermine reinvestment capacity and raise the bar for operational fixes needed to restore scalable profitability over the medium term.
Negative Return on Equity
Negative ROE signals the company is not generating returns on invested capital, reflecting either persistent losses or capital misallocation. This hinders trust in management’s capital deployment and limits ability to attract investment for long-term growth initiatives.
Senior Finance Leadership Transition Risk
The imminent CFO departure creates execution risk during a critical restructuring and divestiture period. Even with an internal interim, replacing a finance leader who drove prior strategic actions can disrupt capital allocation, covenant negotiations, and reporting continuity over the coming months.

Stoneridge (SRI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Stoneridge Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionStoneridge, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs and manufactures engineered electrical and electronic components, modules, and systems for the automotive, commercial, off-highway, motorcycle, and agricultural vehicle markets in North America, South America, Europe, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Control Devices, Electronics, and Stoneridge Brazil. The Control Devices segment offers sensors, switches, actuators, and connectors that monitor, measure, or activate specific functions within a vehicle. The Electronics segment designs and manufactures driver information systems, camera-based vision systems, connectivity, and compliance products. Its products collect, store, and display vehicle information, such as speed, pressure, maintenance data, trip information, operator performance, temperature, distance traveled, and driver messages related to vehicle performance. This segment's electronic control units regulate, coordinate, monitor, and direct the operation of the electrical system within a vehicle. The Stoneridge Brazil segment designs, manufactures, and sells vehicle tracking devices and monitoring services; vehicle security alarms and convenience accessories; in-vehicle audio and infotainment devices; and telematics solutions. It provides its products and systems to various original equipment manufacturers and Tier 1 customers, as well as aftermarket distributors and mass merchandisers for use in various vehicle platforms. Stoneridge, Inc. was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Novi, Michigan.
How the Company Makes MoneyStoneridge generates revenue primarily through the sale of its electronic products and systems to automotive manufacturers and commercial vehicle companies. The company's revenue model is based on direct sales of its sophisticated technologies, which are integrated into vehicles for improved functionality and safety. Key revenue streams include design contracts, manufacturing agreements, and aftermarket sales for replacement parts and upgrades. Stoneridge also benefits from partnerships with major automotive manufacturers, which provide a steady demand for its innovative solutions. Additionally, the company may receive revenue from joint ventures and collaborations that expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings.

Stoneridge Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong positive outlook with record-breaking sales and significant new business awards, especially in the MirrorEye segment. However, the call also highlighted challenges including foreign currency impacts, challenges in the commercial vehicle markets, and tariff-related costs. Despite these issues, the positive developments and strategic initiatives suggest long-term growth prospects.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record MirrorEye Sales and Program Awards
Stoneridge set a record for MirrorEye sales with 21% growth relative to Q1 2025 and announced their largest ever program award in the company's history, extending a global MirrorEye program through 2033, with an estimated lifetime revenue of $535 million.
Significant New Business Awards
Stoneridge announced new program awards for next-generation tachograph, SMART2, and electronic control units, totaling approximately $775 million in lifetime revenue. Stoneridge Brazil was also awarded a significant infotainment system program estimated to generate $85 million in lifetime revenue.
Financial Improvements and Debt Reduction
The company reported a $7.6 million increase in free cash flow and reduced total debt by $38.8 million during the quarter, with a net debt reduction of almost $20 million.
Expansion in North American OEM Market
MirrorEye is now available from every North American OEM, with new large fleet orders expected, indicating future growth potential.
Negative Updates
Unfavorable Foreign Currency Impact
The second quarter adjusted EBITDA was heavily impacted by a $3.4 million unfavorable nonoperating foreign currency expense.
Challenges in Commercial Vehicle Markets
There was a decline in the European commercial vehicle end market and expected continued pressure in North America, with third-party forecasts indicating a 17.5% decline in production compared to the previous year.
Incremental Tariff-Related Costs
The company incurred $500,000 of incremental tariff-related costs due to strategic cost-sharing with key customers and expects approximately $1 million in total for the year.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Stoneridge, Inc. reported record-setting MirrorEye sales, achieving a 21% growth over the first quarter and announcing new program awards totaling approximately $775 million in lifetime revenue. The company successfully reduced net debt by almost $20 million, driven by a $44 million international cash repatriation project, and improved inventory balances leading to a $7.3 million reduction over the first quarter. Free cash flow increased by $5.9 million from the previous year, reaching $7.6 million. Despite external market challenges, the operating margin improved by 40 basis points, and adjusted EBITDA, excluding nonoperating FX impacts, improved by approximately 20 basis points. Stoneridge maintained its full-year revenue guidance of $860 million to $890 million, with an updated EBITDA guidance to reflect nonoperating FX expenses and anticipated $1 million tariff-related costs.

Stoneridge Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak profitability and a steep TTM revenue decline (down 40.6%) weigh heavily on the score, with negative gross and net margins and negative ROE. Offsetting factors include low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.04) and improved TTM free cash flow growth (+35.68%), though cash flow has been volatile historically.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Stoneridge's income statement shows significant challenges with declining revenue and negative profit margins. The TTM data indicates a sharp revenue decline of 40.6%, and both gross and net profit margins are negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies. Historical data shows fluctuating revenue growth, but profitability remains a concern with consistent net losses.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0416 in the TTM, indicating manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, suggesting the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholder investments. The equity ratio remains stable, but the negative ROE highlights profitability issues.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows improvement in free cash flow growth, with a positive growth rate of 35.68% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating some efficiency in cash generation relative to net income. However, historical volatility in free cash flow suggests potential instability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue874.36M908.29M975.82M899.92M770.46M648.01M
Gross Profit182.57M189.25M202.10M174.93M166.86M154.20M
EBITDA8.21M-381.00K45.06M31.18M52.10M28.64M
Net Income-32.04M-16.52M-5.18M-14.06M3.41M-7.95M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets632.08M621.56M679.90M652.11M665.40M621.41M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments53.99M71.83M40.84M54.80M85.55M73.92M
Total Debt180.66M208.06M203.01M179.85M184.12M159.11M
Total Liabilities380.88M376.30M392.18M371.16M369.45M324.77M
Stockholders Equity251.19M245.26M287.72M280.94M295.95M296.63M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow23.52M23.45M-33.55M-24.80M-63.28M-3.82M
Operating Cash Flow44.42M47.75M4.95M6.81M-36.25M28.64M
Investing Cash Flow-21.06M-24.47M-36.98M-28.58M28.04M-33.88M
Financing Cash Flow-27.65M11.12M17.48M-7.30M22.88M6.51M

Stoneridge Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.60
Price Trends
50DMA
6.02
Positive
100DMA
6.54
Positive
200DMA
6.52
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.33
Negative
RSI
73.44
Negative
STOCH
77.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SRI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.33, above the 50-day MA of 6.02, and above the 200-day MA of 6.52, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.33 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.44 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SRI.

Stoneridge Risk Analysis

Stoneridge disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Stoneridge reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Stoneridge Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$347.21M14.6510.85%6.83%46.38%
73
Outperform
$135.47M4.029.19%16.72%5.35%
64
Neutral
$488.07M-19.74-5.54%-3.20%-257.73%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
$256.01M113.850.94%6.72%
56
Neutral
$212.65M-6.59-12.26%-4.91%-331.53%
48
Neutral
$55.83M-0.89-31.07%-23.26%-259.03%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SRI
Stoneridge
7.60
3.03
66.30%
CAAS
China Automotive Systems
4.46
0.36
8.78%
CVGI
Commercial Vehicle Group
1.46
-0.57
-28.08%
MPAA
Motorcar Parts Of America
13.32
7.30
121.26%
STRT
Strattec Security
83.87
47.45
130.29%
HLLY
Holley
4.16
1.20
40.54%

Stoneridge Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Stoneridge Announces CFO Transition and Leadership Succession Plan
Neutral
Feb 2, 2026

On February 2, 2026, Stoneridge, Inc. announced that Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer Matt Horvath will resign effective March 31, 2026, to pursue an opportunity in a different industry sector, after nine years in which he helped drive the company’s strategic transformation, portfolio strategy, key divestitures such as the sale of the Control Devices segment, and improvements in capital allocation, margins and cash generation. The company has begun a search for a new CFO, while Chief Accounting Officer Robert Hartman, a 27-year Stoneridge veteran with extensive leadership experience in accounting, financial planning and analysis, and internal audit, will work closely with Horvath to ensure a smooth transition, underscoring the company’s intent to maintain operational continuity and its strategic focus on delivering shareholder value as a global leader in transportation electronics.

The most recent analyst rating on (SRI) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stoneridge stock, see the SRI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Stoneridge Completes Control Devices Divestiture to Refocus Strategy
Positive
Feb 2, 2026

On January 30, 2026, Stoneridge, Inc. completed the sale of its Control Devices business segment, including related subsidiaries and facilities, to Control Devices Acquisition, LLC, an affiliate of Center Rock Capital Partners, for a base purchase price of $59 million, subject to customary adjustments. In connection with the transaction, Stoneridge executed pre-closing reorganizations, agreed to five-year non-compete and other customary covenants, and entered into Mexico and China manufacturing agreements that allow continued production of certain products for both the divested Control Devices business and Stoneridge’s remaining Electronics segment, helping to smooth the operational transition. The company plans to use the net cash proceeds, after tax and transaction expenses, to repay debt and strengthen its balance sheet, and it expects to amend its credit facility following release of full-year 2025 results. Management positioned the divestiture as the conclusion of a strategic review and a “critical step” in simplifying the company and sharpening its focus on higher-growth electronics and Brazil platforms, with the aim of de-risking the business, improving capital allocation and enhancing long-term shareholder returns, while giving the Control Devices business dedicated ownership under Center Rock. As part of the deal, Control Devices President Rajaey Kased resigned his officer roles at Stoneridge on January 30, 2026 to continue in a similar capacity with the divested business, and the company scheduled investor webcasts on February 2 and March 12, 2026 to discuss the sale and its 2025 financial performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (SRI) stock is a Hold with a $6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stoneridge stock, see the SRI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Stoneridge Amends Credit Agreement for Financial Relief
Neutral
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Stoneridge announced an amendment to its credit agreement, providing covenant relief and reducing borrowing capacity as part of its strategic financial management. The company reported third-quarter 2025 results with sales of $210.3 million and a net loss of $9.4 million, while highlighting significant growth in its MirrorEye product line and new program awards totaling over $185 million in estimated lifetime revenue. Despite macroeconomic challenges, Stoneridge continues to focus on long-term growth through strategic initiatives and product innovations.

The most recent analyst rating on (SRI) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Stoneridge stock, see the SRI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 03, 2026