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Castellum (CTM)
:CTM
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Castellum (CTM) AI Stock Analysis

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CTM

Castellum

(NYSE MKT:CTM)

Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-2.91% Downside)
Castellum's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance challenges, including negative profitability and cash flow issues. While technical analysis and valuation also reflect concerns, recent corporate events provide some positive outlook by strengthening market position and financial stability.
Positive Factors
Analyst Recommendation
The analyst initiates coverage with a Buy rating and a $3.00 price target, supported by a large total addressable market, contract wins, and competitive advantages.
Contract Wins
CTM was awarded a 5½-year, $103.3M contract, the largest win in Castellum’s history, which is expected to drive double-digit revenue growth without a significant ramp in expenses.
Financial Performance
Castellum reported 2Q25 results that topped estimates, with revenue of $14.0M, up 22% year over year.
Negative Factors
Debt Levels
CTM ended 2024 with $12.0M in cash and $10.4M in debt, and a recent capital raise and debt paydown suggest sufficient capital to fund operations.
Valuation Concerns
CTM trades at an EV/2026E revenue multiple lower than a peer group average, with a premium valuation warranted due to operating leverage, growth targets, and prime contractor status.

Castellum (CTM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Castellum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCastellum, Inc. provides services in the areas of cybersecurity, information technology, electronic warfare, information warfare, and information operations. The company offers intelligence analysis, software development, software engineering, program management, strategic and mission planning, information assurance, cybersecurity and policy support, and data analytics services. It serves customers in the Federal government, financial services, healthcare, and other data application sectors. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Bethesda, Maryland.
How the Company Makes MoneyCastellum generates revenue primarily through rental income from its extensive portfolio of commercial properties. The company leases space to a diverse range of tenants, including businesses in various sectors such as technology, retail, and logistics, which provides a stable and recurring revenue stream. Additionally, Castellum may engage in property development projects, which can contribute to earnings through the sale or leasing of newly constructed properties. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations with local governments and other real estate entities, enhancing its market position and facilitating growth opportunities. Furthermore, Castellum invests in sustainability initiatives that can attract tenants seeking environmentally friendly spaces, potentially increasing occupancy rates and rental income.

Castellum Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite revenue growth, Castellum faces significant financial challenges with negative net profit margins and cash flow issues. The company's balance sheet shows improved leverage management, but consistent net losses and negative cash flow highlight operational inefficiencies.
Income Statement
35
Negative
The company has been experiencing consistent revenue growth with a 6.88% increase from 2020 to 2021 and a significant jump in 2022. However, profitability remains a challenge as reflected by negative net profit margins across the periods, reaching -15.61% in the TTM. Gross profit margins are moderately stable, but negative EBIT and EBITDA margins highlight operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows a moderate level of equity, with a debt-to-equity ratio decreasing from 4.50 in 2020 to 0.35 in the TTM, indicating improved leverage management. However, the equity ratio is below ideal levels, and consistent net losses erode equity value, affecting return on equity.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
The company faces challenges in generating positive operating cash flow, with negative free cash flow in the TTM. Despite some improvements in cash flow from financing activities, reliance on external funding could pose risks if not managed carefully.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue47.60M44.77M45.24M42.19M25.07M13.34M
Gross Profit18.69M18.27M18.68M17.60M11.07M6.18M
EBITDA-3.91M-6.53M-13.28M-8.06M-5.80M362.29K
Net Income-5.51M-9.98M-17.80M-14.91M-7.55M-2.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets43.45M37.84M30.11M33.04M30.76M10.61M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.73M12.01M1.83M4.64M2.02M2.41M
Total Debt5.38M11.49M11.96M10.11M11.73M5.87M
Total Liabilities11.67M17.41M17.16M15.51M15.43M8.01M
Stockholders Equity31.77M20.43M12.95M17.53M15.32M2.61M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.04M1.12M-2.28M900.88K-1.36M1.00M
Operating Cash Flow-1.94M1.12M-2.26M990.16K-1.35M1.01M
Investing Cash Flow183.10K221.36K-440.99K-339.28K808.83K-5.45K
Financing Cash Flow14.08M9.08M-104.62K1.97M146.84K109.00K

Castellum Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.03
Price Trends
50DMA
1.18
Negative
100DMA
1.09
Negative
200DMA
0.95
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Positive
RSI
39.02
Neutral
STOCH
20.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CTM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.03 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.16, below the 50-day MA of 1.18, and above the 200-day MA of 0.95, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CTM.

Castellum Risk Analysis

Castellum disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Castellum reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Castellum Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$68.67M1.0915.52%41.74%-75.97%
59
Neutral
€6.21B12.872.05%2.02%2.92%-48.52%
50
Neutral
$42.41M-144.42%148.07%98.91%
49
Neutral
$94.86M-25.15%4.17%73.67%
43
Neutral
$80.36M14.84-45.39%-15.39%-50.66%
$29.50M-460.94%
46
Neutral
$68.38M-36.39%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CTM
Castellum
1.03
0.86
505.88%
DVLT
Datavault AI
0.42
-1.25
-74.85%
NOTE
FiscalNote Holdings
0.51
-0.92
-64.34%
VEEA
Veea
0.61
-10.49
-94.50%
SAIH
SAIHEAT Limited
7.30
-5.46
-42.79%
GMM
Global Mofy Metaverse Ltd.
2.34
-11.61
-83.23%

Castellum Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Castellum Announces Reseller Agreement with Tradewinds Networks
Positive
Aug 19, 2025

On August 19, 2025, Castellum, Inc. and Tradewinds Networks, Inc. announced a reseller agreement where Castellum’s new subsidiary will resell Tradewinds’ GuardTower AI cybersecurity products. This partnership aims to enhance Castellum’s offerings in AI-driven cybersecurity solutions, providing advanced protection for national security, military, and commercial systems, thereby strengthening their market position in cybersecurity.

Private Placements and Financing
Castellum Secures $4.5M from Warrant Exercise
Positive
Aug 15, 2025

On August 14, 2025, Castellum, Inc. announced that investors exercised an aggregate of 3,673,666 warrants from their June 12, 2025 public offering, resulting in gross proceeds of approximately $4.5 million. This capital injection is seen as a strong vote of confidence in Castellum’s business plan, enhancing its financial position and supporting its growth initiatives as it moves towards the end of 2025 and into 2026.

Business Operations and Strategy
Castellum Partners with Quarrio for Government AI Solutions
Positive
Aug 12, 2025

On August 12, 2025, Castellum, Inc. announced a teaming agreement with Quarrio Corporation to enhance government processes with Quarrio’s TrustworthyAI™. This collaboration aims to leverage Castellum’s expertise in software deployments and cybersecurity to improve decision-making and data analytics within the government sector.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Castellum Extends Note Maturity and Reduces Debt
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

On August 4, 2025, Castellum, Inc. executed an agreement to extend the maturity date of a $400,000 note to March 1, 2026, and prepaid $2 million on a note payable to Robert Eisiminger, reducing the principal balance to $2 million. This move is part of Castellum’s debt reduction strategy, which has significantly lowered its total long-term debt to less than $3 million, strengthening its balance sheet and supporting its growth strategy aimed at securing major prime contracts.

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Castellum Marks CEO’s One-Year Anniversary
Positive
Jul 14, 2025

On July 14, 2025, Castellum, Inc. released a letter to shareholders marking the one-year anniversary of CEO Glen Ives’s leadership. Over the past year, the company transitioned from a start-up phase to focusing on organic growth, raising over $16 million, reducing long-term debt, and securing a $103.3 million contract. Castellum has strengthened its leadership, established joint ventures, and improved its proposal quality, positioning itself as a competitive technology services provider committed to national security. The company’s strategic moves aim to enhance shareholder value and solidify its standing as a premier defense company.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Castellum Announces Reseller Agreement with AmpliTech
Positive
Jul 8, 2025

On July 8, 2025, Castellum, Inc. announced a reseller agreement with AmpliTech Group, Inc. through its newly formed subsidiary, Castellum Advanced Technology Products, Inc. This partnership allows Castellum to resell AmpliTech’s products, such as low noise amplifiers, to its clients, enhancing its product offerings. The collaboration aims to leverage Castellum’s C5ISR capabilities with AmpliTech’s products to penetrate the government market more effectively, potentially strengthening both companies’ positions in the next-generation communications technology sector.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Castellum Launches New Advanced Technology Subsidiary
Positive
Jun 24, 2025

On June 24, 2025, Castellum, Inc. announced the creation of a new subsidiary, Castellum Advanced Technology Products, Inc. (CATP), to focus on advanced technology products. This strategic move aims to broaden Castellum’s support for the Department of Defense by teaming with leading-edge technology companies and developing technology internally, potentially increasing revenue and operating margins while enhancing organic growth capabilities.

Private Placements and Financing
Castellum Closes $5 Million Public Offering
Positive
Jun 17, 2025

On June 16, 2025, Castellum, Inc. announced the successful closing of its $5 million public offering of common stock and warrants. The proceeds from this offering are intended for working capital and general corporate purposes, potentially impacting the company’s operational capabilities and market positioning.

Private Placements and Financing
Castellum Raises $5 Million in Public Offering
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Castellum, Inc. entered into a securities purchase agreement to sell 4,166,667 units, each consisting of one share of common stock and one warrant, in a public offering priced at $1.20 per unit, raising approximately $5 million before expenses. The offering, which closed on June 13, 2025, is expected to provide Castellum with funds for working capital and general corporate purposes, potentially impacting its operational capacity and market positioning.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Castellum Reduces Debt with Promissory Note Retirement
Positive
Jun 6, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Castellum, Inc. announced the early retirement of a promissory note with the Buckhout Charitable Remainder Trust, initially issued in November 2019 for the acquisition of Corvus Consulting, LLC. This move significantly reduces the company’s long-term debt from over $12 million in December 2023 to less than $5 million, strengthening its balance sheet and enabling a continued focus on business growth and customer service.

Business Operations and Strategy
Castellum to Participate in 2025 Virtual Tech Conference
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

On June 2, 2025, Castellum, Inc. announced its participation in the ‘2025 Virtual Tech Conference: Discover the Innovations Reshaping Tomorrow,’ which will be held from June 3rd to June 5th. The conference, presented by Maxim Group LLC, will explore the impact of emerging technologies like Quantum Computing and Artificial Intelligence across various industries, providing Castellum an opportunity to discuss its strategic positioning and technological advancements.

Shareholder Meetings
Castellum Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting on May 28
Neutral
May 28, 2025

On May 28, 2025, Castellum held its annual stockholders meeting where four proposals were presented and voted on. Stockholders elected six directors, ratified the appointment of RSM US LLP as the independent accounting firm, approved an amendment to the stock incentive plan to increase shares to 9 million, and adopted the 2025 Employee Stock Purchase Plan.

Shareholder Meetings
Castellum Announces 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 27, 2025

On May 27, 2025, Castellum, Inc. announced details regarding its 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting scheduled for May 28, 2025. The meeting will be held both in person and virtually, allowing stockholders to participate via live audio conference. Following the meeting, Castellum’s management will conduct an informal presentation and Q&A session, with presentation materials available on the company’s website. This announcement underscores Castellum’s commitment to transparency and engagement with its stakeholders, potentially impacting its operations and industry positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025