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Centerspace (CSR)
NYSE:CSR

Centerspace (CSR) AI Stock Analysis

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Centerspace

(NYSE:CSR)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$66.00
▲( 7.91% Upside)
Centerspace's score is driven primarily by stable financial performance with significant leverage risks, balanced by strong occupancy and revenue growth. Technical indicators and market sentiment provide additional support, though valuation concerns persist due to profitability issues.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
CSR is in a good position from a liquidity standpoint with $11.9 million of cash along with $211.3 million available on the line of credit for total liquidity of $223.2 million.
Occupancy Rates
Weighted average occupancy was 95.8% which was up 120 basis points year-over-year and up 20 basis points from the previous quarter, highlighting the company's focus on maintaining strong occupancy.
Valuation
CSR shares trade at a significant discount to NAV and large-cap multifamily sector averages, presenting a potential investment opportunity.
Negative Factors
Market Performance
Denver continues to drag, with NOI decreasing 4.2% year-over-year.
Retention Rates
Retention rate decelerated significantly to 49.2%.
Supply Analysis
CSR scored worse than expected in our proprietary supply analysis despite a positive outlook in markets outside of Denver.

Centerspace (CSR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Centerspace Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCenterspace (CSR) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that specializes in the ownership, management, acquisition, and redevelopment of apartment communities. The company operates primarily in the residential real estate sector, focusing on providing quality living spaces across various markets in the upper Midwest region of the United States. Centerspace is committed to enhancing the living experience of its residents through customer service excellence and community engagement.
How the Company Makes MoneyCenterspace generates revenue primarily through the rental income of its multifamily residential properties. The company earns money by leasing apartments to individuals and families, collecting monthly rent payments as its main source of income. Additional revenue streams may include fees for services such as pet fees, parking, and other tenant-related charges. Centerspace's earnings are also influenced by its strategic acquisitions and redevelopment projects, which aim to improve property value and increase rental income. The company's performance is further supported by its property management operations, which help to maintain high occupancy rates and customer satisfaction. Significant partnerships with local businesses and service providers can also contribute to its revenue by enhancing the overall living experience for residents, thus attracting and retaining tenants.

Centerspace Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Centerspace presents a mixed financial picture with stable revenue growth but persistent profitability challenges. The high leverage poses a risk, though the company maintains a solid equity base. Cash flows remain robust, providing some cushion against operational hurdles. Overall, the financial health is stable but requires attention to debt levels and profitability improvement.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Centerspace shows moderate revenue growth over the periods, with a slight increase in TTM revenue. However, consistent net losses indicate profitability challenges. The gross profit margin remains strong, yet declining EBIT and EBITDA margins reflect operational cost pressures. Revenue growth is positive but slowing, suggesting stability with caution needed on profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a stable equity position relative to total assets, indicating a solid foundation. However, the debt-to-equity ratio is high, suggesting significant leverage risk. The return on equity has fluctuated, with recent periods showing negative returns due to net losses, highlighting profit generation issues.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Centerspace has shown positive operating cash flow throughout the periods, with recent improvements in free cash flow. However, the free cash flow growth rate is inconsistent. The operating cash flow covers net income, showcasing strong cash generation capability despite profitability issues. Financing activities show a decrease, indicating reduced external funding reliance.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
263.57M260.98M261.31M256.72M201.71M177.99M
Gross Profit
123.72M148.61M146.14M138.18M111.10M99.03M
EBIT
21.66M20.48M84.45M13.86M2.72M8.34M
EBITDA
133.10M130.23M188.83M121.62M122.06M85.59M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-6.98M-10.69M41.97M-15.02M-31.38M-24.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
11.92M12.03M8.63M10.46M31.27M392.00K
Total Assets
1.89B1.91B1.93B2.03B1.94B1.46B
Total Debt
955.45M955.38M916.02M1.01B856.05M719.19M
Net Debt
943.54M943.36M907.39M997.17M824.78M718.80M
Total Liabilities
1.01B1.01B978.78M1.07B918.45M774.80M
Stockholders Equity
653.36M670.46M726.39M746.10M797.36M634.77M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
121.08M98.25M89.52M35.30M48.15M30.91M
Operating Cash Flow
99.27M98.25M89.52M91.99M84.03M61.23M
Investing Cash Flow
-46.57M-50.72M120.21M-160.09M-267.23M-164.97M
Financing Cash Flow
-48.39M-43.67M-212.35M41.37M214.51M64.93M

Centerspace Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price61.16
Price Trends
50DMA
61.07
Positive
100DMA
61.61
Negative
200DMA
65.66
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.48
Negative
RSI
49.39
Neutral
STOCH
48.34
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CSR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 61.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 61.33, above the 50-day MA of 61.07, and below the 200-day MA of 65.66, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.48 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.34 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CSR.

Centerspace Risk Analysis

Centerspace disclosed 51 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Centerspace reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
We may face opposition from governmental authorities or third parties alleging that our activities are anti-competitive. Q4, 2024
2.
Competition could limit our ability to acquire attractive investment opportunities and could increase the costs of those opportunities, which may adversely affect our profitability and impede our growth. Q4, 2024

Centerspace Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
CSCSR
67
Neutral
$1.08B-1.55%4.94%-1.81%-33.33%
UMUMH
65
Neutral
$1.38B147.983.45%5.22%8.01%
60
Neutral
$2.76B10.330.49%8507.90%5.95%-17.56%
55
Neutral
$845.40M866.19-7.19%5.84%-7.44%-143.64%
BRBRT
54
Neutral
$288.46M-4.28%6.55%2.39%-407.57%
VRVRE
52
Neutral
$1.36B-2.76%1.99%-3.20%76.43%
AIAIV
48
Neutral
$1.11B-48.27%9.28%34.42%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CSR
Centerspace
61.16
-2.87
-4.48%
AIV
Apartment Investment & Management
7.80
0.37
4.98%
VRE
Veris Residential
14.58
0.11
0.76%
UMH
Umh
16.47
2.09
14.53%
BRT
BRT Apartments
15.26
-0.86
-5.33%
NXRT
NexPoint Residential
33.30
-1.31
-3.79%

Centerspace Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.71%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook, highlighting improved occupancy rates, positive leasing trends, and strong revenue growth. However, there were challenges related to increased expenses and supply pressures in specific markets. Overall, the company's strategic focus and market positioning suggest optimism for the remainder of the year.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Occupancy Rates
The company's weighted average occupancy for the same-store portfolio improved by 120 basis points year-over-year, reaching an average physical occupancy of 96%.
Positive Leasing Trends
Blended leasing spreads increased by 70 basis points in the first quarter, with new lease spreads improving from negative 3.5% in Q4 2024 to 2.4% in April.
Core FFO Growth
Reported core FFO was $1.21 per diluted share for Q1, driven by a 2.1% year-over-year increase in same-store NOI.
Revenue Increase
Revenues from same-store communities increased by 3.5% compared to the same quarter in 2024, benefiting from improved occupancy.
Strong Market Demand
The Midwest and Mountain West regions benefited from a lack of new supply, with North Dakota leading the portfolio with blended leasing spreads of 5.3% year-to-date.
Negative Updates
Increase in Same-Store Expenses
Same-store expenses increased by 5.8% year-over-year, primarily driven by property taxes, creating a challenging year-over-year comparison.
Supply Challenges in Denver
The Denver market continues to face supply pressure, affecting new lease rates, although demand remains strong enough to potentially improve rates as the year progresses.
Retention Rate Concerns
Retention came down in the first quarter, with operational retention rates slightly lower than some peers, largely due to forced move-outs related to value-add projects.
Company Guidance
During the Centerspace First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company highlighted several key metrics demonstrating strong performance and reaffirmed its full-year guidance. The first quarter showed a 120 basis point year-over-year improvement in weighted average occupancy for the same-store portfolio, reaching an average physical occupancy of 96%. April renewal retention was around 57%, with blended leasing spreads up 70 basis points in the first quarter and further improvement into April. Renewal increases remained steady between 2% and mid-3%, while new lease spreads improved from a negative 3.5% in Q4 2024 to a positive 2.4% in April. The rent-to-income ratio was stable at 21.6%, and bad debt aligned with expectations at around 40 basis points. The company's core FFO for the first quarter was $1.21 per diluted share, supported by a 2.1% year-over-year increase in same-store NOI and a 3.5% increase in revenues from same-store communities. Centerspace's debt maturity profile was well managed, with a weighted average debt cost of 3.6% and a weighted average time to maturity of 5.4 years. The company maintained over $223 million in liquidity, reinforcing its position to capitalize on strategic opportunities amid market volatility.

Centerspace Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Centerspace Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
May 1, 2025

Centerspace, a company listed on the NYSE under the ticker CSR, reported its financial and operational results for the first quarter of 2025 on May 1, 2025. The company experienced a 4.0% increase in revenue compared to the first quarter of 2024, reaching $67.1 million. Despite a net loss of $0.22 per diluted share, this was an improvement from the $0.37 loss per share in the same period last year. The Core FFO per diluted share slightly decreased to $1.21, attributed to a rise in same-store property taxes. Centerspace also updated its financial outlook for 2025, maintaining its previous guidance ranges.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Centerspace Board Member Jeffrey Caira Announces Retirement
Neutral
Mar 13, 2025

On March 7, 2025, Jeffrey P. Caira, a member of Centerspace’s Board of Trustees, announced his decision to retire and not seek re-election at the upcoming Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 14, 2025. Caira’s retirement marks a significant transition for the company, as he has played a crucial role in guiding Centerspace’s strategic focus towards multifamily operations since his appointment in 2015. The company has been actively refreshing its board, adding new members in 2024, which aligns with its ongoing commitment to growth and operational excellence.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Centerspace Unveils 2024 Financial Results and 2025 Outlook
Positive
Feb 28, 2025

On February 28, 2025, Centerspace released an investor presentation detailing its financial and operational results for the year ending December 31, 2024. The company reported growth in average rents despite economic volatility and outlined its strategic focus on increasing distributable cash flow and enhancing operational efficiencies. The presentation also highlighted Centerspace’s portfolio improvements since 2017, including strategic acquisitions and dispositions to optimize its market presence. The company’s financial outlook for 2025 includes guidance on revenue, expenses, and net income, with a focus on maintaining a strong balance sheet to support growth.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.