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CSL Limited (CSLLY)
OTHER OTC:CSLLY
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CSL (CSLLY) AI Stock Analysis

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CSLLY

CSL

(OTC:CSLLY)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$99.00
▲(42.10% Upside)
CSL's strong financial performance and positive earnings guidance are key strengths, supporting a solid stock score. Technical indicators suggest caution due to overbought conditions, while valuation remains a concern with a high P/E ratio. Overall, the company's growth prospects and financial stability are well-regarded, though attention to competitive pressures and leverage is advised.

CSL (CSLLY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CSL Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCSL Limited (CSLLY) is a global biotechnology company that specializes in the development and manufacture of innovative biotherapies and influenza vaccines. It operates through two main segments: CSL Behring and Seqirus. CSL Behring focuses on providing life-saving treatments for people with rare and serious diseases through its plasma-derived therapies, recombinant therapies, and related products. Seqirus, on the other hand, is one of the largest influenza vaccine companies in the world, supplying vaccines to both public and private sectors globally.
How the Company Makes MoneyCSL Limited generates revenue primarily through the sale of its biotherapeutic and vaccine products. Its major revenue streams include plasma-derived therapies such as immunoglobulins, albumin, and coagulation factors that treat conditions like hemophilia and immune deficiencies. Additionally, its Seqirus segment contributes significantly to revenue through the production and distribution of influenza vaccines. The company benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations that enhance its research and development capabilities, allowing it to innovate and expand its product offerings. CSL's earnings are also influenced by its extensive global distribution network and its ability to leverage economies of scale in manufacturing.

CSL Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 18, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
CSL demonstrated solid revenue and profit growth, introduced transformative corporate strategies including a demerger and share buyback, and achieved operational efficiencies. However, challenges in Seqirus revenue growth, impacts from U.S. healthcare reforms, and the need for significant cost reductions in R&D and plasma centers indicate some operational pressures.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Overall Revenue and Profit Growth
CSL Group revenue grew by 5% on a constant currency basis. NPATA increased by 14% and NPAT grew by 17%.
Dividend Increase
Final dividend increased by 12% to USD 1.62 per share.
Free Cash Flow Improvement
Free cash flow increased by 58%.
Plasma Yield Improvements
Yield improvements are ahead of plan, leading to increased efficiency in plasma collection.
Demerger of CSL Seqirus
Announced intent to demerge CSL Seqirus as an independent ASX-listed entity by fiscal year 2026.
Share Buyback Program
Introduction of a multiyear share buyback program starting with AUD 750 million in FY '26.
Strong Market Leadership in Hemophilia
CSL's hemophilia franchise demonstrated market leadership with growth of 13% at constant currency.
Negative Updates
Seqirus Revenue Growth Challenges
Revenue for CSL Seqirus was up only 2%, with challenges due to declining vaccination rates and competitive pressures.
Impact of U.S. Part D Reform
Impact from the U.S. Medicare Part D reform affected revenue growth for Ig products.
Pressure on Gross Margins
CSL Behring's gross margin target timeframe removed due to FX headwinds, product mix challenges, and fixed cost absorption issues.
R&D Output Concerns
R&D output has not met expectations, leading to strategic changes and cost reductions.
Underperforming Plasma Centers
Closure of 22 underperforming plasma centers due to inefficiencies and cost challenges.
Company Guidance
In the CSL Limited Full Year Financial Results call for Fiscal Year 2025, the company reported several key financial metrics and provided guidance for Fiscal Year 2026. The CSL Group achieved a 5% revenue growth on a constant currency basis, with NPATA increasing by 14% and NPAT by 17%. Leverage improved to 1.8x net debt-to-EBITDA, and free cash flow rose by 58%. The final dividend was increased by 12% to USD 1.62 per share. CSL announced major transformational changes expected to yield over USD 0.5 billion in savings by the end of Fiscal Year 2028, with plans to reinvest these savings in high-priority opportunities. Additionally, the company intends to demerge CSL Seqirus as an independent ASX-listed entity in Fiscal Year 2026. For Fiscal Year 2026, CSL anticipates revenue growth of approximately 4% to 5% and NPATA growth of 7% to 10% at constant currency, excluding restructuring costs.

CSL Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CSL showcases strong financial health with significant revenue growth and stable profitability. The balance sheet is sound with a robust equity base, though leverage remains a concern. Cash flow generation is healthy, supporting future investments. Overall, CSL's financial stability and growth trajectory are solid.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
CSL has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a remarkable increase from $5.95B in 2019 to $14.69B in 2024. The gross profit margin has consistently been healthy, maintaining above 50% over the years, while the net profit margin has shown resilience, peaking at 18% in the most recent year. EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate solid operational efficiency. The company's ability to grow revenues and maintain stable margins underscores its competitive positioning in the biotechnology industry.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a robust equity base with stockholders' equity increasing considerably to $17.33B. The debt-to-equity ratio is manageable, though leverage has increased, which may pose some financial risks if earnings do not continue to grow. The equity ratio has shown stability, supporting the company's capacity to leverage its assets effectively. Overall, CSL's balance sheet is strong but could benefit from reduced leverage.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
CSL's cash flow statement reveals a healthy operating cash flow, consistently growing over the years. The free cash flow has also increased, indicating effective capital expenditure management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests that cash generation is well-aligned with reported earnings, improving financial stability. The company is in a solid cash position to support its growth initiatives.
BreakdownJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.69B13.17B10.49B10.33B9.41B
Gross Profit7.56B9.47B5.66B5.74B5.28B
EBITDA4.73B3.90B3.46B2.72B2.18B
Net Income2.64B2.19B3.11B2.39B2.17B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets38.02B54.43B41.22B18.16B15.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.66B2.33B15.18B1.81B1.19B
Total Debt12.18B18.37B14.04B5.81B5.99B
Total Liabilities18.62B27.65B20.02B9.74B8.94B
Stockholders Equity17.33B23.72B21.20B8.38B6.53B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.51B1.35B1.90B1.97B1.16B
Operating Cash Flow2.76B3.87B3.62B3.65B2.57B
Investing Cash Flow-1.26B-17.61B-2.26B-1.68B-1.41B
Financing Cash Flow-1.28B677.92M10.58B-1.41B-664.30M

CSL Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price69.67
Price Trends
50DMA
80.96
Negative
100DMA
79.50
Negative
200DMA
82.10
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.04
Positive
RSI
26.94
Positive
STOCH
2.76
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CSLLY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 69.67 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 79.56, below the 50-day MA of 80.96, and below the 200-day MA of 82.10, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.94 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 2.76 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CSLLY.

CSL Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$67.42B22.5016.36%1.92%5.08%13.41%
75
Outperform
$100.25B27.9522.77%10.38%
74
Outperform
$43.19B33.4624.75%89.58%
72
Outperform
$61.55B14.6315.34%0.45%5.38%3.58%
60
Neutral
$58.53B-257.82%5.01%-330.09%
51
Neutral
$7.85B-0.21-41.41%2.22%22.81%-2.01%
49
Neutral
$24.04B-1.81%7.51%30.53%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CSLLY
CSL
69.67
-31.63
-31.22%
ALNY
Alnylam Pharma
446.51
192.73
75.94%
REGN
Regeneron
580.70
-583.12
-50.10%
VRTX
Vertex Pharmaceuticals
391.02
-84.68
-17.80%
ARGX
Argenx Se
712.20
197.97
38.50%
BNTX
BioNTech SE
100.00
12.00
13.64%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 24, 2025