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Cathay Pacific Airways (CPCAY)
OTHER OTC:CPCAY

Cathay Pacific Airways (CPCAY) AI Stock Analysis

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CPCAY

Cathay Pacific Airways

(OTC:CPCAY)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$8.50
▲(12.58% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/02/26
The score is driven primarily by strong recent financial recovery and cash generation, supported by attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). These positives are tempered by balance-sheet leverage and only neutral-to-weak technical momentum.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow generation
Consistent positive operating and free cash flow in 2023–2025, with FCF covering ~60–74% of earnings, supports reinvestment, operational stability and the ability to reduce debt or maintain distributions. This improves resilience through typical airline cycles over 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Relatively high leverage
A debt-to-equity around 1.0 means elevated leverage for an airline, constraining financial flexibility. Higher debt raises interest and refinancing risk, limits capacity for discretionary investment or fleet upgrades, and increases vulnerability to demand shocks over a 2–6 month horizon.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free cash flow generation
Consistent positive operating and free cash flow in 2023–2025, with FCF covering ~60–74% of earnings, supports reinvestment, operational stability and the ability to reduce debt or maintain distributions. This improves resilience through typical airline cycles over 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors

Cathay Pacific Airways (CPCAY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cathay Pacific Airways Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Cathay Pacific Airways (CPCAY) is a Hong Kong-based international airline that operates scheduled passenger and cargo services to over 190 destinations worldwide. Founded in 1946, the airline is a member of the Oneworld alliance and is known for i...
How the Company Makes Money
Cathay Pacific primarily makes money by selling air transportation and related services across several revenue streams: 1) Passenger revenue (core stream) - Ticket sales: The company earns revenue from selling seats on its flights across differen...

Cathay Pacific Airways Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong post-pandemic earnings recovery with healthy 2024–2025 profitability and solid 2023–2025 free cash flow. The main constraints are cyclical/volatile margins and a relatively debt-heavy capital structure that can reduce flexibility in downturns.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
73
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue116.57B104.37B94.48B51.04B45.59B
Gross Profit20.46B32.58B20.70B20.41B3.17B
EBITDA26.13B21.45B27.14B10.24B6.38B
Net Income10.81B9.89B9.79B-6.62B-5.53B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets177.03B171.24B174.12B180.91B196.63B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.29B10.53B15.53B18.28B19.28B
Total Debt59.10B68.47B68.29B77.11B89.85B
Total Liabilities116.92B118.74B114.08B117.03B124.38B
Stockholders Equity60.10B52.50B60.03B63.88B72.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.90B14.33B19.61B14.11B6.56B
Operating Cash Flow25.71B23.54B26.41B17.84B8.84B
Investing Cash Flow-7.81B-6.08B-2.67B-2.76B493.00M
Financing Cash Flow-15.43B-19.83B-23.18B-16.24B-6.93B

Cathay Pacific Airways Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price7.55
Price Trends
50DMA
7.65
Negative
100DMA
7.53
Negative
200DMA
7.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.14
Positive
RSI
45.74
Neutral
STOCH
3.15
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CPCAY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 7.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.48, below the 50-day MA of 7.65, and above the 200-day MA of 7.05, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.74 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.15 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CPCAY.

Cathay Pacific Airways Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$13.49B10.91135.39%3.50%6.81%58.22%
73
Outperform
$29.39B269.9627.85%1.37%14.75%71.73%
71
Outperform
$8.85B7.4719.38%5.05%8.95%17.01%
71
Outperform
$29.82B10.9124.13%4.24%20.29%
69
Neutral
$43.60B8.9927.63%0.96%4.33%-1.58%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
46
Neutral
$7.16B25.57-2.76%1.27%118.64%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CPCAY
Cathay Pacific Airways
7.28
2.03
38.78%
DAL
Delta Air Lines
66.76
29.92
81.23%
RYAAY
Ryanair Holdings
58.74
19.96
51.49%
UAL
United Airlines Holdings
92.21
33.44
56.90%
AAL
American Airlines
10.84
1.13
11.64%
LTM
LATAM Airlines Group SA Sponsored ADR
49.19
22.91
87.18%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 02, 2026