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Cathay Pacific Airways (CPCAY)
OTHER OTC:CPCAY

Cathay Pacific Airways (CPCAY) AI Stock Analysis

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Cathay Pacific Airways

(OTC:CPCAY)

67Neutral
Cathay Pacific Airways exhibits a solid recovery in financial performance with strong profitability and cash flow, despite moderate leverage. While the valuation is compelling due to a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield, technical analysis suggests a cautious outlook with bearish indicators. The overall score reflects these strengths and the need to monitor technical signals closely.

Cathay Pacific Airways (CPCAY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Cathay Pacific Airways Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCathay Pacific Airways Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a carrier of international passengers and air cargo. The company conducts airline operations principally to and from Hong Kong. It also provides property investment, travel reward program, travel tour operator, financial, aircraft leasing and acquisition facilitation, airline catering, information processing, aircraft ramp handling, laundry and dry cleaning, ground handling, aircraft engineering, cargo carriage, airport ground engineering support and equipment maintenance, and inventory technical management services. In addition, the company operates a computer network for interchange of air cargo related information; and offers repair and maintenance services for transportation companies. It operates in the Americas, Europe, Southeast Asia, Southwest Pacific, North Asia, South Asia, the Middle East, and Africa. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 234 aircraft directly connecting Hong Kong to 119 destinations in 35 countries worldwide, including 26 destinations in China. Cathay Pacific Airways Limited was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Lantau Island, Hong Kong.
How the Company Makes MoneyCathay Pacific Airways generates revenue primarily through its passenger airline services, which include ticket sales and ancillary services such as baggage fees and in-flight purchases. A significant portion of its earnings also comes from cargo operations, where the airline transports a range of goods across its extensive global network. The company benefits from codeshare agreements and partnerships with other airlines, enhancing its reach and connectivity. Additionally, Cathay Pacific earns revenue from its loyalty program, Marco Polo Club, and Asia Miles, which engage frequent flyers and drive repeat business. The airline's financial performance is influenced by factors such as fuel prices, geopolitical events, and global economic conditions.

Cathay Pacific Airways Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cathay Pacific Airways displays a promising financial recovery with strong revenue and profit growth. However, moderate leverage on the balance sheet and a recent decline in free cash flow growth necessitate careful management.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Cathay Pacific Airways has demonstrated a strong recovery in revenue and profitability. The gross profit margin for the latest year is approximately 31.21%, with a notable improvement in net profit margin to 9.47% from a loss in previous years. Revenue growth rate is 10.47%, highlighting a positive trend post-pandemic recovery. Both EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved significantly, indicating operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
Cathay Pacific's balance sheet shows a Debt-to-Equity ratio of 1.30, reflecting moderate leverage. The Return on Equity (ROE) stands at 18.83%, showcasing efficient use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is 30.66%, indicating a reliance on liabilities for financing. The company appears to have a stable financial position but should monitor its leverage.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decrease in free cash flow growth, but the company maintains a solid operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.38, indicating strong cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.45 suggests good cash management. However, the drop in free cash flow compared to previous years warrants attention.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
104.37B94.48B51.04B45.59B46.93B
Gross Profit
32.58B20.70B8.06B3.17B-8.57B
EBIT
13.93B15.13B-2.97B-2.36B-12.77B
EBITDA
21.45B27.14B9.10B6.38B-5.20B
Net Income Common Stockholders
9.89B9.79B-6.55B-5.53B-21.65B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
5.44B15.53B18.28B19.28B19.34B
Total Assets
171.24B174.12B180.91B196.63B204.57B
Total Debt
68.47B68.29B77.11B89.85B93.13B
Net Debt
63.03B60.40B109.05B81.28B86.96B
Total Liabilities
118.74B114.08B117.03B124.38B131.31B
Stockholders Equity
52.50B60.03B63.88B72.24B73.26B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
14.33B19.61B14.11B6.56B-19.71B
Operating Cash Flow
23.54B26.41B17.84B8.84B-14.29B
Investing Cash Flow
-6.08B-2.67B-2.76B493.00M-11.76B
Financing Cash Flow
-19.83B-23.18B-16.24B-6.93B23.31B

Cathay Pacific Airways Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.91
Price Trends
50DMA
6.16
Negative
100DMA
6.14
Negative
200DMA
5.55
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.12
Negative
RSI
41.12
Neutral
STOCH
72.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CPCAY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.91 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.75, below the 50-day MA of 6.16, and above the 200-day MA of 5.55, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CPCAY.

Cathay Pacific Airways Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
LTLTM
77
Outperform
$9.53B8.83138.69%0.84%6.41%49.58%
UAUAL
76
Outperform
$21.53B6.9733.57%5.31%35.95%
DADAL
75
Outperform
$26.69B7.2527.52%1.32%4.91%-27.21%
74
Outperform
$22.80B13.4521.21%1.75%5.39%-15.92%
67
Neutral
$7.41B6.0217.64%7.09%10.83%6.34%
63
Neutral
$4.21B11.555.28%250.72%4.13%-9.42%
60
Neutral
$430.37M9.8414.19%-7.43%-62.49%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CPCAY
Cathay Pacific Airways
5.91
0.87
17.26%
DAL
Delta Air Lines
44.20
-6.80
-13.33%
RYAAY
Ryanair Holdings
49.88
-5.13
-9.33%
UAL
United Airlines Holdings
74.07
22.42
43.41%
VLRS
Controladora Vuela Compania de Aviacion SAB de CV
3.94
-4.48
-53.21%
LTM
LATAM Airlines Group SA Sponsored ADR
32.00
7.28
29.45%
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.