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Campbell Soup Company (CPB)
NASDAQ:CPB

Campbell Soup (CPB) AI Stock Analysis

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CPB

Campbell Soup

(NASDAQ:CPB)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$23.50
▲(8.90% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/12/26
CPB scores mid-range driven by pressured fundamentals (profitability downshift and high leverage) despite resilient cash generation. Technicals are weak with the stock in a clear downtrend, while valuation is supportive thanks to a moderate P/E and high dividend yield. The latest earnings call adds a mixed outlook: strong RAO’S/Meals & Beverages and cost actions, but Snacks weakness and a back-half-weighted recovery plan.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Steady operating cash flow and improved trailing‑twelve‑month free cash flow provide recurring internal funding to cover working capital, dividends and capex. Over the next 2–6 months this reduces liquidity stress, helps service debt, and supports execution of deleveraging and cost plans.
RAO'S Brand Momentum
Strong, sustained consumption growth for RAO’S indicates durable brand strength within Meals & Beverages. As a higher‑growth, higher‑margin franchise, RAO’S can materially offset weakness elsewhere, improve mix and support margin recovery and revenue resilience across the medium term.
Product Innovation Momentum
Consecutive quarter growth from product innovation (Milano, Chessmen) signals effective R&D and successful SKU rollouts that drive distribution gains. Sustained innovation diversifies revenue, supports premium pricing and margin leverage, and reduces dependence on challenged subcategories over coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
Elevated debt‑to‑equity and a TTM debt spike materially constrain financial flexibility, increase refinancing and interest rate risk, and limit the ability to invest or respond to shocks. Over 2–6 months this raises the priority of deleveraging and constrains strategic and capital allocation choices.
Snacks Profitability Pressure
A sharp margin compression in Snacks and a notable sales decline signal structural earnings pressure in a core category. Lower margins increase fixed‑cost deleverage from prior investments and necessitate prolonged promotional, pricing or cost actions—recovery is likely multi‑quarter and dampens company earnings power.
Capital Allocation Constraints
Management’s pause on buybacks, trimmed capex and a near‑term ~$140–$150M acquisition payment preserve liquidity but limit returns and reinvestment. These choices support deleveraging but constrain growth initiatives and shareholder optionality over the medium term while balance‑sheet repairs occur.

Campbell Soup (CPB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Campbell Soup Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCampbell Soup Company, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets food and beverage products the United States and internationally. The company operates through Meals & Beverages and Snacks segments. The Meals & Beverages segment engages in the retail and foodservice businesses in the United States and Canada. This segment provides Campbell's condensed and ready-to-serve soups; Swanson broth and stocks; Pacific Foods broth, soups, and non-dairy beverages; Prego pasta sauces; Pace Mexican sauces; Campbell's gravies, pasta, beans, and dinner sauces; Swanson canned poultry; Plum baby food and snacks; V8 juices and beverages; and Campbell's tomato juice. The Snacks segment retails Pepperidge Farm cookies, crackers, fresh bakery, and frozen products; Milano cookies and Goldfish crackers; and Snyder's of Hanover pretzels, Lance sandwich crackers, Cape Cod and Kettle Brand potato chips, Late July snacks, Snack Factory Pretzel Crisps, Pop Secret popcorn, Emerald nuts, and other snacking products. This segment is also involved in the retail business in Latin America. It sells its products through retail food chains, mass discounters and merchandisers, club stores, convenience stores, drug stores, and dollar stores, as well as e-commerce and other retail, commercial, and non-commercial establishments, and independent contractor distributors. The company was founded in 1869 and is headquartered in Camden, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyCampbell’s makes money primarily by selling branded packaged foods and beverages to retailers and, to a lesser extent, to foodservice and other commercial customers. Revenue is generated when the company ships finished goods (e.g., soups and simple meals; crackers, cookies, and other snacks; and beverages) to customers such as grocery chains, mass merchandisers, club stores, convenience retailers, and distributors, typically under customer purchase orders and longer-term commercial relationships. A significant portion of sales is driven by established consumer brands, which support repeat purchasing and allow the company to compete on both volume and pricing/mix. Key revenue streams include (1) Meals & Beverages (anchored by the Campbell’s soup and meals franchise and V8 beverages) and (2) Snacks (including brands such as Goldfish, Pepperidge Farm, Snyder’s of Hanover, Lance, and Kettle Brand). Earnings are influenced by factors such as consumer demand, innovation/new product introductions, promotional spending and trade terms with retailers, pricing actions and product mix, input-cost and supply-chain dynamics, and the strength of brand equity and distribution. Specific significant partnerships: null.

Campbell Soup Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue across various business segments, revealing which products or services are performing well and contributing most to Campbell Soup's top line.
Chart InsightsCampbell Soup's Meals and Beverages segment has shown robust growth, particularly in late 2024, while the Snacks segment faces challenges with declining sales in key products. The earnings call highlights cost pressures and tariff impacts, which have strained margins despite strategic acquisitions like La Regina to bolster the Rao's brand. This acquisition aims to stabilize earnings, but the company must navigate ongoing cost headwinds to maintain profitability. Investors should watch how Campbell manages these pressures and leverages its acquisitions for future growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Campbell Soup Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 11, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call conveyed a mixed picture: clear strengths in Meals & Beverages (notably RAO’S and broth/condensed cooking SKUs), product innovation (cookies, Late July), and decisive cash preservation actions, but material near-term challenges in Snacks—a 6% sales decline, a 390 bps margin hit to a 7% segment margin, Fresh Bakery execution problems, and competitive pressure in chips. Management provided a recovery roadmap (stabilization in Q3, better margin mix and tariff lapses in Q4) but acknowledged significant work remains to restore volume and margins.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong RAO’S Performance
RAO’S in-market consumption grew 14.5% in Q2; management expects high-single-digit growth for RAO’S for the full year, and the brand is a key growth driver in Meals & Beverages.
Broth and Condensed Cooking Strength
Broth portfolio showing growth (Pacific grew double digits); over half of condensed soups sales in Q2 came from the growing cooking/ingredient-focused portion of the portfolio; new Campbell’s condensed sauces launching in June expected to be incremental.
Product Innovation and Cookie Momentum
Cookies have grown for four consecutive quarters driven by Milano innovation and recent Chessmen introductions, enabling distribution gains in that subcategory.
Goldfish Brand Momentum and Margin Leverage
Goldfish exhibited momentum in the first half and is highlighted as the highest-margin product in Snacks; management expects Goldfish activity to help Snacks margin recovery in Q4.
Financial Discipline and Cash Preservation Actions
Company reduced planned capex by $50 million, instituted a $100 million overhead cost-reduction plan over the next couple of years, prioritized debt reduction over share buybacks (no further buybacks planned), and retains the dividend while pausing increases.
Commodity Hedging and Tariff Lapse Benefits
Approximately 85% of commodities (including diesel, resins, aluminum) are hedged; management expects to lap tariff-related costs in Q4 which should modestly support margins year over year.
Negative Updates
Snacks Top-Line Decline
Snacks net sales declined 6% in the quarter; management expects Snacks to be down roughly 4% in the second half of the fiscal year (fairly balanced between Q3 and Q4).
Severe Snacks Margin Compression
Snacks segment margin fell to approximately 7% in Q2, down 390 basis points year over year; about one quarter of that decline was attributed to Fresh Bakery execution issues and the remainder to deleverage and incremental marketing/SG&A investment.
Fresh Bakery Execution and Distribution Disruption
Fresh Bakery experienced manufacturing and distribution disruptions (exacerbated by January winter storms), causing on-shelf availability issues; management expects continued headwinds in Q3 with normalization targeted in Q4.
Heightened Competitive Intensity in Chips (Salty)
Chips subcategory faces intense competition and price pressure; management is pursuing surgical promotional activity, possible selective permanent price resets, and price-pack architecture changes to regain competitiveness—recovery expected to take time.
Deleverage from Prior Capacity Investments
Investments (e.g., ~ $100M Richmond expansion for Goldfish) coupled with lower-than-expected volumes have increased fixed-cost leverage, contributing materially to margin weakness.
EPS and Back-Half Cadence Pressure
Management indicated Q3 EPS similar to Q2 with an expected improvement in Q4 to achieve $0.90 of EPS in the back half at the midpoint—signaling a muted near-term earnings cadence.
Capital Allocation Constraints and No Share Buybacks
To preserve cash and reduce leverage management will remain materially constrained: no share repurchases (including anti-dilutive), capex tightened, and the dividend will be maintained but not increased; a near-term payment of roughly $140–$150 million is expected for the La Regina acquisition.
Company Guidance
Management said Snacks posted a Q2 segment margin of about 7%, down 390 basis points quarter-over-quarter (roughly one-quarter of that drag from Fresh Bakery), with Snacks net sales down ~6% in Q2 and anticipated to be down ~4% in the second half (fairly balanced between Q3 and Q4, slightly better in Q4); they expect Q3 margins to improve modestly and a more meaningful rebound in Q4 (helped by lapping Sovos ERP-related volume, tariffs, and lower advertising), with the EPS cadence described as Q3 roughly similar to Q2 and a Q4 step to help achieve about $0.90 of EPS in the back half at the midpoint. Key cash and capital priorities: marketing spend up year-over-year but reallocated toward promotions, capex trimmed by $50M for the year, no share buybacks, dividend maintained (roughly a little over two‑thirds of EPS at guidance), a near‑term La Regina payment of ~$140–$150M (second payment option to issue equity a year out), a $100M overhead cost‑reduction target over the next couple years, and a push to reduce leverage closer to ~3x (about 85% of commodities/diesel currently hedged). Meals & Beverages expects positive net pricing in H2 but modest consumption pressure (around -1% to 0%), while RAO’S consumption grew 14.5% in Q2 with full‑year growth expected in the high single digits.

Campbell Soup Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Stable revenue and solid cash generation (free cash flow improved in TTM) are positives, but profitability has meaningfully compressed in TTM and leverage is elevated with debt rising versus prior periods, limiting flexibility if earnings remain pressured.
Income Statement
56
Neutral
Revenue has been broadly stable over the cycle, but TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows a decline versus the prior annual period. Profitability has compressed meaningfully from earlier years: operating and net margins are lower than the 2021–2023 range, and TTM net income is sharply weaker than recent history despite still-healthy gross margins for a packaged foods business. Overall, the income statement reflects solid core profitability but a clear downshift in earnings power and growth momentum.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
Leverage is the main constraint: debt is high relative to equity (debt-to-equity consistently elevated, and total debt spikes in TTM versus prior annual periods). Equity has not grown enough to offset the higher debt load, limiting balance-sheet flexibility. Returns on equity remain respectable, but that strength is partly accompanied by higher leverage, which increases risk if earnings remain pressured.
Cash Flow
63
Positive
Cash generation is a relative bright spot. Operating cash flow is steady across years, and free cash flow improves in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) with strong growth versus the prior year. However, cash flow does not fully track earnings quality in the most recent period: free cash flow covers only a moderate share of net income in TTM, and the company’s cash generation relative to its debt load appears limited, suggesting less cushion if refinancing or interest costs rise.
BreakdownTTMJul 2025Jul 2024Jul 2023Jul 2022Jul 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.04B10.25B9.64B9.36B8.56B8.48B
Gross Profit2.94B3.12B2.97B2.92B2.63B2.81B
EBITDA1.46B1.57B1.42B1.70B1.50B1.86B
Net Income550.00M602.00M567.00M858.00M757.00M1.00B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.35B14.90B15.23B12.06B11.89B11.73B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments561.00M132.00M108.00M189.00M109.00M69.00M
Total Debt7.08B7.21B7.54B4.97B5.05B5.29B
Total Liabilities11.34B10.99B11.44B8.39B8.56B8.58B
Stockholders Equity4.00B3.90B3.79B3.66B3.33B3.15B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow919.00M705.00M668.00M773.00M939.00M760.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.13B1.13B1.19B1.14B1.18B1.03B
Investing Cash Flow-246.00M-187.00M-3.13B-340.00M-230.00M-158.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.16B-919.00M1.86B-723.00M-910.00M-1.67B

Campbell Soup Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price21.58
Price Trends
50DMA
26.48
Negative
100DMA
27.91
Negative
200DMA
29.61
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.52
Positive
RSI
23.64
Positive
STOCH
4.99
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CPB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.58 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.18, below the 50-day MA of 26.48, and below the 200-day MA of 29.61, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.52 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 23.64 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.99 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CPB.

Campbell Soup Risk Analysis

Campbell Soup disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Campbell Soup reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Campbell Soup Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$8.87B8.7330.72%1.81%24.67%
65
Neutral
$5.68B31.7222.69%3.37%2.35%9.61%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
62
Neutral
$20.67B15.3827.21%5.19%-5.65%0.41%
61
Neutral
$10.95B-3.86-21.55%4.45%-0.66%-326.55%
58
Neutral
$7.74B-3.16-1.13%7.87%-5.82%-119.70%
54
Neutral
$6.43B14.1413.98%5.64%2.71%4.90%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CPB
Campbell Soup
21.58
-15.06
-41.10%
CAG
Conagra Brands
16.19
-7.90
-32.79%
GIS
General Mills
38.74
-17.64
-31.29%
SJM
JM Smucker
102.64
-3.25
-3.07%
PPC
Pilgrim's Pride
37.33
-5.43
-12.70%
LW
Lamb Weston Holdings
40.92
-10.31
-20.12%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 12, 2026