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Campbell Soup (CPB)
NASDAQ:CPB

Campbell Soup (CPB) AI Stock Analysis

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Campbell Soup

(NASDAQ:CPB)

66Neutral
Campbell Soup's overall score reflects a mix of financial strengths and challenges. While the company benefits from strong revenue growth and cash flow management, high leverage and low net profitability are concerns. Technical indicators suggest neutral momentum, and valuation appears high, though a solid dividend yield is a positive. Earnings guidance is cautious, reflecting challenges in key divisions.
Positive Factors
Market Potential
There is potential for the CPB shares to outperform their peers if the snacking category improves.
Portfolio Transformation
CPB's transformed portfolio enhances visibility to an improved long-term growth outlook driven by its leading snacks portfolio and momentum in the recently acquired Rao's brand.
Negative Factors
Earnings Challenges
CPB’s 2Q earnings faced several issues: organic sales & gross margin miss, a full year sales/profit/adj EPS cut and a revised outlook that is not fully de-risked given a 4Q weighting.
Snacks Segment Challenges
The snacks sales and margins largely drove changes in the outlook due to lower than anticipated recovery and operational headwinds.
Tariff Risks
Risk related to produce tariffs and metal cans for center store food categories remains high.

Campbell Soup (CPB) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Campbell Soup Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCampbell Soup Company, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets food and beverage products the United States and internationally. The company operates through Meals & Beverages and Snacks segments. The Meals & Beverages segment engages in the retail and foodservice businesses in the United States and Canada. This segment provides Campbell's condensed and ready-to-serve soups; Swanson broth and stocks; Pacific Foods broth, soups, and non-dairy beverages; Prego pasta sauces; Pace Mexican sauces; Campbell's gravies, pasta, beans, and dinner sauces; Swanson canned poultry; Plum baby food and snacks; V8 juices and beverages; and Campbell's tomato juice. The Snacks segment retails Pepperidge Farm cookies, crackers, fresh bakery, and frozen products; Milano cookies and Goldfish crackers; and Snyder's of Hanover pretzels, Lance sandwich crackers, Cape Cod and Kettle Brand potato chips, Late July snacks, Snack Factory Pretzel Crisps, Pop Secret popcorn, Emerald nuts, and other snacking products. This segment is also involved in the retail business in Latin America. It sells its products through retail food chains, mass discounters and merchandisers, club stores, convenience stores, drug stores, and dollar stores, as well as e-commerce and other retail, commercial, and non-commercial establishments, and independent contractor distributors. The company was founded in 1869 and is headquartered in Camden, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyCampbell Soup Company generates revenue primarily through the sale of its branded food products across various retail channels, including supermarkets, mass merchandisers, and convenience stores. The Meals & Beverages segment contributes significantly to its revenue through the sale of canned soups, broths, and sauces. Meanwhile, the Snacks segment drives revenue through a broad portfolio of snack brands like Pepperidge Farm, Snyder's of Hanover, and Goldfish. In addition to traditional retail sales, Campbell's also leverages e-commerce platforms and partnerships with foodservice providers to reach consumers. The company's earnings are bolstered by its strong brand recognition, strategic product innovation, and efficient supply chain management.

Campbell Soup Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Campbell Soup shows solid revenue growth and robust cash flow management, indicating financial resilience. However, high leverage and a low net profit margin pose risks. Improving profitability and reducing financial risk will enhance long-term growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Campbell Soup's TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue shows a healthy growth trend with a 5.04% increase compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin stands at 30.28%, indicating strong product pricing and cost control. However, the net profit margin of 3.44% is relatively low, suggesting challenges in controlling non-operating expenses or taxes. The EBIT margin is solid at 10.35%, but there's room for improvement in operational efficiency. Overall, the income statement reflects steady revenue growth and stable operational margins, but with a need to improve net profitability.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is high at 1.96, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks in volatile markets. The equity ratio is 24.57%, suggesting that a quarter of the assets are funded by shareholders' equity, reflecting moderate financial stability. Return on equity (ROE) is relatively low at 8.91%, highlighting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. While the balance sheet shows stability, the high leverage is a concern that needs to be addressed to enhance financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Campbell Soup demonstrates strong cash flow management, with a 47.31% growth in free cash flow from the previous period, signaling robust operational performance. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high at 3.55, indicating efficient cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 2.82 suggests strong cash retention, supporting future investments and debt servicing. Overall, the cash flow statement reflects a strong cash generation capability, contributing to the company's financial resilience.
Breakdown
TTMSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
10.12B9.64B9.36B8.56B8.48B8.69B
Gross Profit
3.09B2.97B2.92B2.63B2.81B3.00B
EBIT
1.02B1.00B1.31B1.16B1.54B1.11B
EBITDA
1.46B1.41B1.70B1.50B1.86B1.44B
Net Income Common Stockholders
521.00M567.00M858.00M757.00M1.00B1.63B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
291.00M108.00M189.00M109.00M69.00M859.00M
Total Assets
6.82B15.23B12.06B11.89B11.73B12.37B
Total Debt
3.08B7.54B4.97B5.05B5.29B6.45B
Net Debt
2.79B7.43B4.78B4.94B5.22B5.59B
Total Liabilities
5.71B11.44B8.39B8.56B8.58B9.80B
Stockholders Equity
1.10B3.79B3.66B3.33B3.15B2.56B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
984.00M668.00M773.00M939.00M760.00M1.10B
Operating Cash Flow
1.24B1.19B1.14B1.18B1.03B1.40B
Investing Cash Flow
-3.05B-3.13B-340.00M-230.00M-158.00M2.27B
Financing Cash Flow
2.47B1.86B-723.00M-910.00M-1.67B-2.99B

Campbell Soup Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price38.79
Price Trends
50DMA
38.79
Negative
100DMA
40.23
Negative
200DMA
43.50
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Negative
RSI
54.95
Neutral
STOCH
77.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CPB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 38.79 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 38.77, below the 50-day MA of 38.79, and below the 200-day MA of 43.50, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CPB.

Campbell Soup Risk Analysis

Campbell Soup disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Campbell Soup reported the most risks in the “Production” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Campbell Soup Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
PPPPC
76
Outperform
$11.85B10.9428.70%2.93%237.51%
CACAG
70
Outperform
$12.74B39.043.67%5.25%-3.15%-65.38%
KHKHC
67
Neutral
$35.47B13.145.56%5.39%-2.98%-2.22%
GIGIS
66
Neutral
$32.64B13.0927.37%4.01%-2.62%4.27%
CPCPB
66
Neutral
$11.57B22.3413.43%3.87%9.15%-31.94%
62
Neutral
$20.22B13.99-16.14%3.22%1.15%3.41%
SJSJM
61
Neutral
$12.25B22.22-3.55%3.73%7.07%-181.54%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CPB
Campbell Soup
38.79
-3.42
-8.10%
CAG
Conagra Brands
26.68
-3.12
-10.47%
GIS
General Mills
59.61
-7.89
-11.69%
SJM
JM Smucker
115.16
3.60
3.23%
PPC
Pilgrim's Pride
49.97
18.74
60.01%
KHC
Kraft Heinz
29.68
-5.62
-15.92%

Campbell Soup Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 5, 2025 | % Change Since: -2.85% | Next Earnings Date: Jun 4, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
While Campbell's experienced solid net sales growth and successful holiday campaigns, challenges in the Snacks division and lower earnings guidance due to unanticipated category weakness and margin pressures weigh heavily on the outlook.
Highlights
Net Sales Growth
Campbell's delivered 9% growth in net sales, reflecting the contribution from the Sovos acquisition.
Stable Volume Performance
Volumes in the second quarter remained flat, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of flat or increasing volume for the total enterprise.
Successful Holiday Campaigns
Campbell's condensed cooking products had a successful holiday season, growing both dollar and volume share as well as volume consumption.
Rao's Brand Performance
Rao's sauce delivered high-single-digit net sales growth in the second quarter and is expected to grow slightly above 10% for fiscal '25.
Cost Savings Initiatives
Campbell's delivered approximately $65 million in total savings under the $250 million cost savings program.
Strong Operating Cash Flow
Campbell's generated $737 million in operating cash flow for the second quarter year-to-date, an 8% increase from the prior year period.
Lowlights
Snacks Margin Decline
Snacks margin fell short of expectations, driven by unfavorable mix and operational headwinds in the Fresh Bakery business, leading to a 370 basis point year-over-year decline.
Snacking Category Challenges
The anticipated recovery of some snacks categories did not materialize, resulting in an organic net sales decline of 3% in the Snacks division.
Lower Organic Net Sales Guidance
Updated guidance reflects lower organic net sales expected in the range of down 2% to flat, due to weaker than anticipated recovery in snacking categories.
Adjusted EPS Decline
Adjusted EPS decreased 8% to $0.74, primarily due to higher interest expense from increased debt levels.
Private Label Headwinds in Broth
Anticipated private label recovery is expected to exert slight share pressure in the second half of the fiscal year.
Company Guidance
During the Campbell's Second Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company updated its guidance for the full fiscal year 2025, reflecting challenges in the snacking categories and the broader consumer environment. The guidance anticipates organic net sales to be in the range of down 2% to flat, with an adjusted EBIT decline of 3% to 5% and an adjusted EPS range of $2.95 to $3.05. This update incorporates slower-than-anticipated recovery in snacking categories, while emphasizing ongoing investments in brand support and cost savings initiatives. The guidance excludes potential impacts from tariffs and regulatory changes, which are being closely monitored. Despite these challenges, Campbell's remains confident in its brand portfolio and strategic initiatives to drive performance in the second half of the fiscal year.

Campbell Soup Corporate Events

M&A Transactions
Campbell Soup Completes Sale of Noosa Yoghurt
Neutral
Feb 24, 2025

On February 24, 2025, Campbell’s Company announced the completion of the sale of its noosa yoghurt business to Lakeview Farms, LLC. This divestiture, which follows the acquisition of noosa as part of Sovos Brands in March 2024, is expected to slightly reduce earnings per share in fiscal 2025 by approximately $0.01.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.