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Cosmos Holdings Inc (COSM)
NASDAQ:COSM

Cosmos Holdings (COSM) AI Stock Analysis

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COSM

Cosmos Holdings

(NASDAQ:COSM)

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Underperform 40 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:
$0.48
▼(-7.69% Downside)
The score is driven primarily by weak financial performance (losses and negative cash flow) and bearish technicals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is constrained by unprofitability (negative P/E), and the Nasdaq non-compliance notice adds additional downside risk.
Positive Factors
Robust supply chain & distribution network
A global, well-established distribution network and supply chain provide durable competitive advantage by enabling broad market coverage, lower logistics disruption risk, and scalable wholesale/retail distribution. This supports steady revenue access across channels over months.
Partnerships with international manufacturers
Strategic partnerships expand product assortment and market access without proportionate fixed-cost increases. Long-term, such alliances enhance product pipeline breadth, marketing reach, and margin leverage by enabling access to new markets and branded/generic supply sources.
Modest recurring revenue growth (TTM +8.53%)
Sustained revenue growth indicates demand traction for its distribution and retail channels. Over a 2-6 month horizon, consistent top-line expansion supports capacity utilization, bargaining power with suppliers, and the potential to progressively improve gross margins if cost control persists.
Negative Factors
Persistent unprofitability & weak margins
Negative net and EBIT margins show the company is not yet converting sales into sustainable profits. Over time this pressures retained earnings, limits reinvestment capacity, and forces reliance on external financing or corrective restructuring to achieve durable profitability.
Negative operating cash flow and cash-generation issues
Operating cash flow that is negative indicates core business cannot self-fund operations and growth. This structural cash-generation shortfall elevates refinancing risk, constrains capex and R&D, and may compel asset sales or dilutive funding over the medium term.
Nasdaq non-compliance notice & potential reverse split
A Nasdaq minimum bid-price notice risks listing status and may force a reverse split, which can dilute shareholders, reduce liquidity, and signal weakness to counterparties. This is a structural governance and capital-structure risk affecting investor access and long-term credibility.

Cosmos Holdings (COSM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cosmos Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCosmos Health Inc. operates as a vertically integrated pharmaceutical company. It offers a proprietary line of branded and generic pharmaceuticals, nutraceuticals, over-the-counter medications, health care and baby products, medical devices, and other products through its distribution channels and an ecommerce marketplace. The company identifies, acquires, develops, and commercializes products that enhance patients' lives and outcomes, as well as has distribution centers in Greece and the United Kingdom; and operates a warehousing facility. It serves wholesale pharmaceutical distributors and independent retail pharmacies. Cosmos Health Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyCosmos Holdings generates revenue through multiple streams, including the wholesale distribution of pharmaceuticals, which involves sourcing products from manufacturers and selling them to pharmacies, hospitals, and clinics. The company also profits from its retail operations, which include direct sales of over-the-counter medications and dietary supplements to consumers. Additionally, Cosmos Holdings engages in partnerships with international manufacturers, allowing it to expand its product offerings and leverage marketing opportunities. These partnerships enhance its revenue potential by providing access to a broader range of products and markets, thus contributing to its overall earnings.

Cosmos Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak fundamentals overall: modest revenue growth, but persistent losses and negative margins, negative operating/free cash flow, and negative ROE. Leverage appears manageable, but equity strength and cash generation are key risks.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Cosmos Holdings has shown some improvement in revenue growth with an 8.53% increase in the TTM period. However, profitability remains a concern with negative net profit margins and EBIT margins, indicating ongoing operational challenges. The gross profit margin has slightly improved but remains low, reflecting pressure on cost management.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company's balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.58, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is also low, highlighting potential risks in financial stability.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cosmos Holdings' cash flow situation is concerning, with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow. Although there is a positive free cash flow growth rate, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some efficiency in converting earnings to cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue59.79M54.43M53.38M50.35M56.24M55.41M
Gross Profit6.82M4.31M4.35M5.96M8.33M8.06M
EBITDA-14.92M-13.92M-17.06M-8.90M-3.82M4.39M
Net Income-18.54M-16.18M-18.54M-13.83M-7.96M820.79K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets69.49M54.31M66.01M68.04M49.43M43.84M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments922.62K336.25K3.85M20.76M297.95K851.19K
Total Debt21.07M11.82M12.42M12.03M27.12M32.04M
Total Liabilities46.36M29.78M29.97M28.38M45.05M48.01M
Stockholders Equity23.13M24.53M36.04M39.66M4.38M-4.16M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-10.27M-8.14M-24.80M-15.25M-7.99M-11.62M
Operating Cash Flow-9.20M-7.72M-15.64M-14.87M-7.10M-11.50M
Investing Cash Flow-1.95M-798.27K-13.76M-21.50K-826.82K-117.74K
Financing Cash Flow12.49M5.05M12.69M35.05M7.27M12.46M

Cosmos Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.52
Price Trends
50DMA
0.51
Negative
100DMA
0.72
Negative
200DMA
0.65
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
43.11
Neutral
STOCH
25.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For COSM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.52 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.50, above the 50-day MA of 0.51, and below the 200-day MA of 0.65, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for COSM.

Cosmos Holdings Risk Analysis

Cosmos Holdings disclosed 10 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cosmos Holdings reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cosmos Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
52
Neutral
$26.04M83.910.27%75.19%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
45
Neutral
$30.42M-1.29-53.29%-65.77%38.61%
45
Neutral
$25.22M-0.60-50.23%-15.61%-68.96%
42
Neutral
$1.28M>-0.01
42
Neutral
$40.59M-6.27-16.67%-23.60%-179.33%
40
Underperform
$17.52M-0.62-63.82%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
COSM
Cosmos Holdings
0.44
-0.28
-39.20%
PRPH
Prophase Labs
0.14
-2.46
-94.81%
RMTI
Rockwell Med
1.03
-0.95
-47.98%
TXMD
TherapeuticsMD
2.25
1.24
122.77%
SCYX
SCYNEXIS
0.72
-0.44
-37.59%
AYTU
Aytu BioScience
2.35
0.69
41.57%

Cosmos Holdings Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and ComplianceStock Split
Cosmos Health Receives Nasdaq Non-Compliance Bid Price Notice
Negative
Dec 18, 2025

On December 11, 2025, Cosmos Health Inc. disclosed that it had received a notice from Nasdaq indicating non-compliance with the exchange’s minimum bid price requirement, as the company’s shares had traded below $1.00 for 30 consecutive business days. The company has 180 calendar days from that date to restore compliance by maintaining a closing bid price of at least $1.00 for at least 10 consecutive sessions, and has indicated it intends to pursue a reverse stock split if needed, a step that could affect shareholder dilution and signal efforts to preserve its Nasdaq listing and market visibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (COSM) stock is a Sell with a $0.43 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cosmos Holdings stock, see the COSM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 14, 2026