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Aytu BioScience Inc (AYTU)
NASDAQ:AYTU
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Aytu BioScience (AYTU) AI Stock Analysis

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AYTU

Aytu BioScience

(NASDAQ:AYTU)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▲(14.94% Upside)
Aytu BioScience's overall score reflects significant financial challenges and valuation concerns, offset by strategic initiatives and positive earnings call sentiment. The upcoming ExuA launch and positive EBITDA are promising, but financial and technical weaknesses weigh heavily.
Positive Factors
ExuA Launch
The launch of ExuA, targeting a $22 billion U.S. market, could significantly enhance Aytu's market position, addressing unmet needs in MDD treatment.
Positive Adjusted EBITDA
Consistent positive adjusted EBITDA indicates operational efficiency and financial health, supporting sustainable business growth.
Pediatric Portfolio Growth
Growth in the pediatric portfolio demonstrates successful execution of the company's return to growth plan, enhancing revenue diversification.
Negative Factors
Decline in Gross Margin
A decline in gross margin reflects increased production costs, potentially impacting profitability and requiring cost management strategies.
ADHD Portfolio Stability Concerns
Flat revenue and potential generic competition in the ADHD portfolio could threaten market share and revenue stability.
Impairment Expense Impact
The impairment expense indicates a strategic shift and potential financial strain, impacting short-term financial results and resource allocation.

Aytu BioScience (AYTU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Aytu BioScience Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAytu BioScience, Inc. is a specialty pharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing innovative products in the field of urology, pediatrics, and other therapeutic areas. The company primarily aims to address unmet medical needs through its proprietary products and partnerships, offering solutions that improve patient care and outcomes. Aytu's core products include various prescription medications and diagnostic tools designed to enhance the treatment of conditions such as testosterone deficiency and other urological disorders.
How the Company Makes MoneyAytu BioScience generates revenue through the sale of its pharmaceutical products and diagnostic tests. The company has a diversified revenue model that includes direct sales of its proprietary products, as well as partnerships with other pharmaceutical companies for co-promotion and distribution. Key revenue streams are derived from product sales in the urology and pediatric markets, where Aytu has established a presence. Additionally, the company may benefit from licensing agreements, collaborations, and research grants that contribute to its financial performance. Strategic partnerships with healthcare providers and institutions also play a crucial role in expanding its market reach and enhancing sales.

Aytu BioScience Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 23, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 17, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call highlighted significant enthusiasm around the upcoming launch of ExuA and positive financial metrics like the third consecutive year of positive adjusted EBITDA. However, challenges such as a decline in gross margin and potential competition in the ADHD portfolio present concerns.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
ExuA Launch Plans
Aytu BioPharma has announced the upcoming launch of ExuA, a novel first-in-class treatment for major depressive disorder (MDD), expected to significantly transform the company.
Positive Adjusted EBITDA
The company reported a positive adjusted EBITDA for the third consecutive year, reaching $9.2 million for fiscal 2025.
Pediatric Portfolio Growth
The pediatric portfolio showed growth, with net revenue increasing from $7.3 million to $8.8 million, reflecting the positive effect of the company's return to growth plan.
Successful Financing
Aytu BioPharma completed a successful at-the-market public offering, raising $16.6 million gross and just under $15 million net, led by healthcare-focused institutional investors.
Negative Updates
Decline in Gross Margin
Gross margin decreased from 75% to 69% due to increased cost of sales in the ADHD inventory, related to overhead costs from the closed manufacturing facility.
ADHD Portfolio Stability Concerns
ADHD portfolio net revenue remained relatively flat at $57.6 million compared to $57.8 million, with concerns about the impact of potential generic competition.
Impairment Expense Impact
An $8.3 million impairment expense was recorded on the pediatric portfolio due to a shifted focus to ExuA and the ADHD portfolio.
Company Guidance
During the Aytu BioPharma, Inc. fiscal 2025 call, guidance was provided highlighting key financial metrics and strategic initiatives. For fiscal year 2025, the company reported net revenue of $66.4 million, a slight increase compared to the previous year, and achieved its third consecutive year of positive adjusted EBITDA at $9.2 million. The company emphasized the upcoming launch of ExuA, an FDA-approved novel treatment for major depressive disorder, expected to significantly impact Aytu’s market position within the $22 billion U.S. market. ExuA, distinct due to its 5-HT1A receptor agonist mechanism, is anticipated to address unmet needs in the MDD market by minimizing sexual dysfunction and weight gain side effects common to SSRIs and SNRIs. Aytu's strategic focus includes leveraging its Aytu RxConnect platform for efficient market penetration and is preparing for ExuA’s commercial launch by the end of 2025. The company also highlighted its plans to optimize gross margins, particularly through improved ADHD product packaging and cost structures. Additionally, Aytu plans to invest approximately $10 million in launching ExuA in fiscal 2026, with expectations to ramp up commercial operations significantly in the subsequent quarters.

Aytu BioScience Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Aytu BioScience faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and persistent losses impacting profitability. While the company maintains a manageable debt level, its negative return on equity and cash flow issues highlight the need for strategic improvements to enhance financial stability and growth prospects.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Aytu BioScience's income statement reveals challenges with profitability and revenue growth. The company has experienced a decline in revenue over the past year, with a negative revenue growth rate of -4.10%. Gross profit margin remains relatively strong at 69.04%, indicating efficient production, but the net profit margin is negative at -20.43%, reflecting ongoing losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, highlighting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.10, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the return on equity is significantly negative at -71.51%, indicating poor returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 15.27%, showing a reasonable proportion of equity financing relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates a concerning decline in free cash flow growth at -62.28%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting cash flow challenges. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 1.12, suggesting that free cash flow covers net losses, albeit with limited margin.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue69.22M66.38M81.00M107.40M96.67M65.63M
Gross Profit47.48M45.83M49.37M66.63M46.44M29.20M
EBITDA3.16M-7.83M-1.01M-3.27M-98.74M-29.04M
Net Income1.64M-13.56M-15.84M-17.05M-108.78M-58.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets124.20M124.18M118.09M136.46M137.62M265.67M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.17M30.95M20.01M22.98M19.36M49.65M
Total Debt1.86M1.86M16.42M18.45M18.19M28.35M
Total Liabilities89.30M105.21M90.38M97.11M93.31M128.10M
Stockholders Equity34.90M18.97M27.72M39.36M44.31M137.57M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.74M-2.17M-1.39M-5.13M-28.82M-28.30M
Operating Cash Flow-5.53M-1.94M-1.39M-5.13M-28.82M-25.96M
Investing Cash Flow423.00K-2.56M-329.00K-117.00K-3.25M-2.78M
Financing Cash Flow3.52M15.44M-1.26M8.87M1.53M30.31M

Aytu BioScience Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.74
Price Trends
50DMA
2.34
Negative
100DMA
2.14
Negative
200DMA
1.76
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
26.02
Positive
STOCH
5.54
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AYTU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.74 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.28, below the 50-day MA of 2.34, and below the 200-day MA of 1.76, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.02 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.54 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AYTU.

Aytu BioScience Risk Analysis

Aytu BioScience disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Aytu BioScience reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Aytu BioScience Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
53
Neutral
33.49M-1.09-65.96%
50
Neutral
$20.42M-60.76%-18.05%33.87%
47
Neutral
12.38M-26.82156.93%92.75%
44
Neutral
12.28M-0.61-352.71%-24.10%38.17%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AYTU
Aytu BioScience
1.74
-0.61
-25.96%
TXMD
TherapeuticsMD
1.07
-0.59
-35.54%
COSM
Cosmos Holdings
1.08
0.20
22.73%
FLGC
Flora Growth
21.10
-38.57
-64.64%
GELS
Gelteq Limited
1.40
-0.97
-40.93%

Aytu BioScience Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsPrivate Placements and Financing
Aytu BioScience Expands Lending Agreement for EXXUA Launch
Positive
Jun 23, 2025

On June 20, 2025, Aytu BioPharma, Inc. expanded and extended its lending agreement with Eclipse Business Capital LLC to provide added working capital flexibility in anticipation of the commercial launch of EXXUA™ in late 2025. This agreement includes extending the term loan maturity to June 2029, increasing the principal balance to $13.0 million, and expanding the revolving credit facility by $1.5 million. EXXUA, a novel antidepressant, is expected to enter the over $22 billion U.S. prescription MDD market, addressing significant unmet needs due to its favorable side effect profile demonstrated in clinical trials.

The most recent analyst rating on (AYTU) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aytu BioScience stock, see the AYTU Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsPrivate Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aytu BioPharma Closes $16.6M Stock Offering for EXXUA
Positive
Jun 9, 2025

On June 9, 2025, Aytu BioPharma announced the closing of an upsized at-the-market public offering of common stock, raising gross proceeds of $16.6 million. The funds are intended to support the commercialization of EXXUA™, a novel FDA-approved treatment for major depressive disorder, which is expected to launch in the fourth quarter of 2025. This strategic move positions Aytu to enter the $22 billion U.S. prescription MDD market, with EXXUA expected to be a significant growth driver due to its unique mechanism and favorable side effect profile.

The most recent analyst rating on (AYTU) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aytu BioScience stock, see the AYTU Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aytu BioScience Signs Exclusive Agreement for EXXUA
Positive
Jun 6, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Aytu BioPharma entered an Exclusive Commercialization Agreement with Fabre-Kramer Holdings to commercialize EXXUA™ (gepirone) extended-release tablets in the United States. EXXUA, an FDA-approved treatment for major depressive disorder (MDD), is expected to launch in the fourth quarter of 2025. The agreement involves a series of financial commitments, including upfront and milestone payments, royalties, and a supply price based on net sales. EXXUA is anticipated to be a significant growth catalyst for Aytu, addressing unmet needs in the $22 billion US prescription MDD market. The product is distinguished by its novel mechanism and lack of sexual dysfunction side effects, positioning it as a transformative option for over 21 million Americans affected by MDD.

The most recent analyst rating on (AYTU) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aytu BioScience stock, see the AYTU Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aytu BioPharma Announces $12.9M Public Offering
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Aytu BioPharma announced an underwriting agreement with Lake Street Capital Markets for a public offering of common stock and prefunded warrants, aiming to raise approximately $12.9 million. The proceeds will be used for general corporate purposes and to commercialize EXXUA™ (gepirone) extended-release tablets. The offering, expected to close around June 9, 2025, is part of Aytu’s strategy to strengthen its market position in novel therapeutics for major depressive disorder.

The most recent analyst rating on (AYTU) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aytu BioScience stock, see the AYTU Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Aytu BioScience Holds 2025 Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 21, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Aytu BioScience held its 2025 Annual Meeting, where approximately 70% of the company’s common stockholders participated. During the meeting, all incumbent directors were reelected, an amendment to increase shares under the 2023 Equity Incentive Plan was approved, Grant Thornton LLP was ratified as the independent accounting firm, and executive compensation was endorsed through a non-binding advisory vote.

The most recent analyst rating on (AYTU) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aytu BioScience stock, see the AYTU Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 26, 2025