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Aytu BioScience (AYTU)
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Aytu BioScience (AYTU) AI Stock Analysis

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AYTU

Aytu BioScience

(NASDAQ:AYTU)

Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▲(11.11% Upside)
Aytu BioScience's overall score is driven by strong earnings call results and positive corporate events, suggesting future growth potential. However, financial performance challenges and valuation concerns limit the score. Technical analysis indicates current bullish momentum but also overbought conditions.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Aytu reported F3Q25 results with total revenue of $18.5M, exceeding the estimate of $13.7M.
Product Launch
EXXUA is already FDA-approved, avoiding the sexual dysfunction and appetite-related side effects seen in many commonly prescribed antidepressants.
Negative Factors
Market Competition
A recently launched MDD therapy, Auvelity by Axsome Therapeutics, reached approximately $400M in sales within about 2.5 years, which is a positive indicator for EXXUA’s launch potential.
Stock Valuation
The analyst has updated estimates and raised the 12-month price target to $9 for AYTU.

Aytu BioScience (AYTU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Aytu BioScience Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAytu Biopharma, Inc., a specialty pharmaceutical company, focuses on developing and commercializing novel therapeutics and consumer healthcare products the United States and internationally. The company offers Adzenys XR-ODT for the treatment of attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) in patients from 6 years and older; Cotempla XR-ODT for the treatment of ADHD in patients from 6 to 17 years old; and Adzenys ER, an oral suspension for the treatment of ADHD in patients from 6 years and older. It also provides Karbinal ER, a carbinoxamine oral suspension for the treatment of seasonal and perennial allergies; Poly-Vi-Flor and Tri-Vi-Flor prescription supplements for infants and children for the treatment of fluoride deficiency; Tuzistra XR, a prescription antitussive consisting of codeine polistirex and chlorpheniramine polistirex in an oral suspension; and ZolpiMist, an oral spray for the treatment of insomnia. The company was formerly known as Aytu BioScience, Inc. and changed its name to Aytu Biopharma, Inc. in March 2021. Aytu Biopharma, Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Englewood, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyAytu BioScience generates revenue primarily through the sale of its pharmaceutical products. The company's key revenue streams include prescription product sales, over-the-counter product sales, and potentially licensing agreements or partnerships with other pharmaceutical companies. Aytu BioScience may also engage in strategic collaborations to expand its product offerings or market reach, contributing to its earnings. This revenue model relies on strong distribution networks and effective marketing strategies to maximize product accessibility and adoption in target markets.

Aytu BioScience Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 25, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong quarter for Aytu BioPharma with significant revenue growth, operational efficiencies, and improved financial metrics. The company's strategic initiatives are yielding positive results, although there are some challenges related to gross margin and potential macroeconomic impacts. Overall, the sentiment is positive, driven by the company's financial achievements and growth trajectory.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Total revenue grew 32%, driven by a 25% increase in the ADHD portfolio and a 77% increase in the pediatric portfolio.
Positive Income from Operations
Income from operations was $2.4 million, marking the second quarter with positive income from operations in the company's history.
Record Net Income
Net income reached $4 million, compared to a $2.9 million loss in the year-ago quarter.
Improved Earnings Per Share
Basic earnings per share was $0.65, compared to a $0.52 loss in the previous year.
Increased Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA was $3.9 million, up from $0.9 million in the previous year.
Operational Efficiency
Operating expenses decreased by $1.6 million due to cost reduction initiatives.
Strong Performance of Aytu RxConnect
RxConnect continues to be a differentiator, with over 85% of scripts driven through its network.
Negative Updates
Reduced Gross Margin
Gross margin decreased to 69% from 74% due to higher cost inventory.
Ongoing Inventory Cost Issues
Higher unit cost of goods due to manufacturing transition and overhead costs.
Potential Macro Economic Challenges
Concerns about political decisions on fluoridation that could impact the pediatric fluoride-based multivitamin market.
Company Guidance
During the fiscal 2025 third quarter earnings call for Aytu BioPharma, the company reported significant positive growth across several key metrics. Total revenue increased by 32% year-over-year, driven by a 25% rise in the ADHD portfolio and a 77% surge in the pediatric portfolio. Operating income reached $2.4 million, marking the second consecutive quarter of positive income from operations, while net income was $4 million, a substantial improvement from a $2.9 million loss in the prior year. Basic earnings per share were $0.65 compared to a $0.52 loss per share a year ago. Adjusted EBITDA also saw a remarkable rise to $3.9 million from $0.9 million in the previous year. The company highlighted the success of its Aytu RxConnect platform, which facilitated strong channel and dispensing insights, contributing to improvements in gross-to-nets and overall financial performance.

Aytu BioScience Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Aytu BioScience exhibits strong gross profit margins but struggles with profitability and cash flow. The balance sheet shows low leverage, yet asset efficiency and cash management need improvement. Revenue growth and operational cash management are essential for better financial standing.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement reveals fluctuating revenues and profitability challenges. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is approximately 68.58%, indicating strong cost management. However, the net profit margin is weak at 2.37%, reflecting ongoing profitability struggles. Revenue decreased significantly in the latest TTM compared to the previous year, impacting the overall financial health.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a modest debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05, indicating low financial leverage. The equity ratio stands at 28.09%, suggesting a balanced capital structure. However, the return on equity (ROE) is low at 4.70%, highlighting limited profitability relative to shareholder equity. While the company maintains a strong cash position, overall asset efficiency needs improvement.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The cash flow analysis highlights negative free cash flow, reflecting cash burn and operational challenges. The TTM operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating difficulties in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, reinforcing concerns about cash generation capabilities. The company needs to improve cash flow management to support future growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue69.22M81.00M107.40M96.67M65.63M27.63M
Gross Profit47.48M49.37M66.63M46.44M29.20M20.08M
EBITDA3.16M-1.01M-3.27M-98.74M-29.04M-12.21M
Net Income1.64M-15.84M-17.05M-108.78M-58.29M-13.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets124.20M118.09M136.46M137.62M265.67M152.84M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.17M20.01M22.98M19.36M49.65M48.08M
Total Debt1.86M16.42M18.45M18.19M28.35M2.01M
Total Liabilities89.30M90.38M97.11M93.31M128.10M57.82M
Stockholders Equity34.90M27.72M39.36M44.31M137.57M95.02M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.74M-1.39M-5.13M-28.82M-28.30M-28.37M
Operating Cash Flow-5.53M-1.39M-5.13M-28.82M-25.96M-28.37M
Investing Cash Flow423.00K-329.00K-117.00K-3.25M-2.78M-5.66M
Financing Cash Flow3.52M-1.26M8.87M1.53M30.31M71.07M

Aytu BioScience Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2.25
Price Trends
50DMA
2.33
Negative
100DMA
1.97
Positive
200DMA
1.71
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
45.93
Neutral
STOCH
42.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AYTU, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.25 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.26, below the 50-day MA of 2.33, and above the 200-day MA of 1.71, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AYTU.

Aytu BioScience Risk Analysis

Aytu BioScience disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Aytu BioScience reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Aytu BioScience Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$13.88M3.29%-26.17%
51
Neutral
$7.95B-0.40-41.67%2.21%22.29%-1.85%
47
Neutral
$12.50M-1.98%156.93%92.75%
46
Neutral
$19.61M-52.69%
45
Neutral
$59.31M-291.74%-62.57%11.60%
39
Underperform
$12.68M-230.73%-24.10%38.17%
$9.06M
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AYTU
Aytu BioScience
2.25
-0.18
-7.41%
DRRX
Durect
1.91
0.45
30.82%
TXMD
TherapeuticsMD
1.08
-0.71
-39.66%
COSM
Cosmos Holdings
0.65
-0.45
-40.91%
FLGC
Flora Growth
22.50
-15.33
-40.52%
GELS
Gelteq Limited
1.56
-0.81
-34.18%

Aytu BioScience Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsPrivate Placements and Financing
Aytu BioScience Expands Lending Agreement for EXXUA Launch
Positive
Jun 23, 2025

On June 20, 2025, Aytu BioPharma, Inc. expanded and extended its lending agreement with Eclipse Business Capital LLC to provide added working capital flexibility in anticipation of the commercial launch of EXXUA™ in late 2025. This agreement includes extending the term loan maturity to June 2029, increasing the principal balance to $13.0 million, and expanding the revolving credit facility by $1.5 million. EXXUA, a novel antidepressant, is expected to enter the over $22 billion U.S. prescription MDD market, addressing significant unmet needs due to its favorable side effect profile demonstrated in clinical trials.

The most recent analyst rating on (AYTU) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aytu BioScience stock, see the AYTU Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsPrivate Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aytu BioPharma Closes $16.6M Stock Offering for EXXUA
Positive
Jun 9, 2025

On June 9, 2025, Aytu BioPharma announced the closing of an upsized at-the-market public offering of common stock, raising gross proceeds of $16.6 million. The funds are intended to support the commercialization of EXXUA™, a novel FDA-approved treatment for major depressive disorder, which is expected to launch in the fourth quarter of 2025. This strategic move positions Aytu to enter the $22 billion U.S. prescription MDD market, with EXXUA expected to be a significant growth driver due to its unique mechanism and favorable side effect profile.

The most recent analyst rating on (AYTU) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aytu BioScience stock, see the AYTU Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aytu BioScience Signs Exclusive Agreement for EXXUA
Positive
Jun 6, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Aytu BioPharma entered an Exclusive Commercialization Agreement with Fabre-Kramer Holdings to commercialize EXXUA™ (gepirone) extended-release tablets in the United States. EXXUA, an FDA-approved treatment for major depressive disorder (MDD), is expected to launch in the fourth quarter of 2025. The agreement involves a series of financial commitments, including upfront and milestone payments, royalties, and a supply price based on net sales. EXXUA is anticipated to be a significant growth catalyst for Aytu, addressing unmet needs in the $22 billion US prescription MDD market. The product is distinguished by its novel mechanism and lack of sexual dysfunction side effects, positioning it as a transformative option for over 21 million Americans affected by MDD.

The most recent analyst rating on (AYTU) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aytu BioScience stock, see the AYTU Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aytu BioPharma Announces $12.9M Public Offering
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Aytu BioPharma announced an underwriting agreement with Lake Street Capital Markets for a public offering of common stock and prefunded warrants, aiming to raise approximately $12.9 million. The proceeds will be used for general corporate purposes and to commercialize EXXUA™ (gepirone) extended-release tablets. The offering, expected to close around June 9, 2025, is part of Aytu’s strategy to strengthen its market position in novel therapeutics for major depressive disorder.

The most recent analyst rating on (AYTU) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aytu BioScience stock, see the AYTU Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Aytu BioScience Holds 2025 Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 21, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Aytu BioScience held its 2025 Annual Meeting, where approximately 70% of the company’s common stockholders participated. During the meeting, all incumbent directors were reelected, an amendment to increase shares under the 2023 Equity Incentive Plan was approved, Grant Thornton LLP was ratified as the independent accounting firm, and executive compensation was endorsed through a non-binding advisory vote.

The most recent analyst rating on (AYTU) stock is a Buy with a $8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aytu BioScience stock, see the AYTU Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 23, 2025