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Core Natural Resources (CNR)
NYSE:CNR
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Core Natural Resources (CNR) AI Stock Analysis

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CNR

Core Natural Resources

(NYSE:CNR)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$76.00
▼(-2.21% Downside)
Core Natural Resources' overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial instability, including negative equity and profitability issues. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and valuation metrics are weak due to a negative P/E ratio. While the earnings call provided some positive insights, operational challenges and cost increases remain significant concerns.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth suggests expanding market presence and demand for CNR's products, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Rare Earth Elements Discovery
Discovery of rare earth elements could provide new revenue streams and competitive advantages, enhancing future growth prospects.
Contracting Progress
Securing forward contracts ensures revenue visibility and stability, reducing market volatility impact and supporting long-term planning.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can strain financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting CNR's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Operational Challenges
Operational delays at key sites can disrupt production schedules and revenue, affecting short- and long-term operational efficiency.
Profitability Issues
Persistent profitability challenges can hinder reinvestment and growth, impacting CNR's ability to compete effectively in the market.

Core Natural Resources (CNR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Core Natural Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCore Natural Resources, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells bituminous coal in the United States and internationally. It operates through two segments, Pennsylvania Mining Complex (PAMC) and CONSOL Marine Terminal. The company's PAMC segment engages in the mining, preparing, and marketing of bituminous coal to power generators, industrial end-users, and metallurgical end-users. This segment includes the Bailey Mine, the Enlow Fork Mine, the Harvey Mine, and the central preparation plant. Its CONSOL Marine Terminal segment provides coal export terminal services through the Port of Baltimore. The company also develops and operates the Itmann Mining Complex located in Wyoming County, West Virginia; and Greenfield Reserves and Resources located in the Northern Appalachian, Central Appalachian, and Illinois basins. The company was formerly known as CONSOL Energy Inc. and changed its name to Core Natural Resources, Inc. in January 2025. Core Natural Resources, Inc. was founded in 1864 and is headquartered in Canonsburg, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyCore Natural Resources generates revenue through multiple channels, primarily by selling extracted natural resources to various industries, including construction, manufacturing, and energy production. The company profits from the sale of minerals and fossil fuels, which are essential commodities in the global market. Additionally, CNR has established strategic partnerships with energy companies and industrial manufacturers, allowing for bulk sales agreements and long-term contracts that stabilize revenue streams. CNR also earns income through consulting services that advise clients on sustainable practices and resource management, further diversifying its revenue model.

Core Natural Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of achievements and challenges. While the company demonstrated strong cash flow management and shareholder returns, operational setbacks and increased costs in certain segments presented hurdles. The discovery of rare earth elements offers a potential positive outlook, but immediate challenges such as operational delays at Leer South and elevated costs require attention.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive Free Cash Flow Generation
Core Natural Resources generated free cash flow despite weak commodity prices and returned more than 60% of Q3 '25 free cash flow to shareholders. The company deployed $19 million towards share repurchases and an additional $5 million to dividends.
Record Shareholder Returns
Year-to-date, the company has returned $218 million to shareholders, approximately 100% of free cash flow generation through effective capital return strategies.
Discovery of Rare Earth Elements
The company verified the presence of noteworthy levels of rare earth elements and critical minerals at its flagship operations in both the Eastern and Western United States.
Operational Synergies and Cost Management
The company executed best practices across operations, such as standardized production schedules and leveraging scale with suppliers, to realize synergies and reduce costs.
Robust Contracting Progress
Core Natural Resources expanded its contract book for 2026, securing nearly 26 million tons of forward contracts, providing significant revenue visibility.
Negative Updates
Operational Challenges at Leer South
The Leer South mine faced delays due to government shutdowns affecting MSHA personnel availability, impacting longwall equipment recovery and repositioning plans.
High CV Thermal Segment Production Decline
Coal production in the High CV Thermal segment decreased from 8 million tons in Q2 to 7.6 million tons in Q3 '25. Cash costs were elevated due to operational challenges at the West Elk mine.
Metallurgical Segment Cost Increase
The metallurgical segment incurred $18 million of costs related to the Leer South fire and idle-related expenses, impacting cash margins.
Weak Benchmark Prices
Despite managing costs, the company faced depressed cash margins due to weak benchmark prices.
Company Guidance
During the Core Natural Resources, Inc. Third Quarter Earnings Call, guidance was provided for the upcoming financial period. The company expects to maintain High CV Thermal coal sales volumes but has adjusted the expected price range to $60-$61 per ton, with cash costs anticipated to rise to $39-$41 per ton due to operational challenges. For the metallurgical segment, sales volume guidance was reduced to 7.4-7.8 million tons, with cash costs projected at $93-$97 per ton. The Powder River Basin segment sales volume guidance increased to 47-49 million tons, with a committed and priced position of 48 million tons at a realized coal revenue of $14.46 per ton. Capital expenditure guidance was lowered to $260-$290 million due to attractive equipment financing. Moreover, the company successfully returned more than 60% of its Q3 2025 free cash flow to shareholders and aims to utilize 75% of its free cash flow for share buybacks and dividends, adjusting based on market conditions.

Core Natural Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Core Natural Resources faces significant financial challenges. Despite strong revenue growth, the company struggles with profitability and cash flow issues. High leverage and declining return on equity indicate financial instability, and negative net income is a major concern.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Core Natural Resources shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM data indicates a significant revenue growth rate of 35.86%, which is a positive sign. However, the company is currently experiencing a negative net income, resulting in a negative net profit margin. The gross profit margin has decreased compared to previous periods, indicating potential cost management issues. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also lower than in previous years, reflecting reduced operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a concerning financial structure with a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage. The return on equity has drastically decreased in the TTM period, suggesting reduced profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio is low, highlighting potential financial instability. These factors suggest a need for improved capital management and risk mitigation strategies.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows a sharp decline in free cash flow growth, with a negative growth rate of -97.71% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is relatively low, indicating potential cash flow issues. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some ability to generate cash relative to net income. Overall, cash flow management appears to be a challenge for the company.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.69B2.15B2.51B2.28B1.26B879.46M
Gross Profit506.44M1.65B1.97B1.87B932.63M628.71M
EBITDA443.30M576.37M1.05B847.96M323.33M262.70M
Net Income-43.41M286.40M655.89M466.98M34.11M-9.76M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.54B2.88B2.68B2.70B2.57B2.52B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments181.94M460.23M281.30M273.07M149.91M50.85M
Total Debt5.53B213.74M212.33M404.18M673.94M712.80M
Total Liabilities6.86B1.31B1.33B1.54B1.90B1.97B
Stockholders Equity-327.23M1.57B1.34B1.17B672.81M553.52M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow75.61M298.40M690.16M479.48M172.82M43.33M
Operating Cash Flow319.75M476.39M857.95M650.99M305.57M129.33M
Investing Cash Flow101.27M-165.03M-259.43M-142.18M-127.36M-76.33M
Financing Cash Flow-179.06M-107.08M-682.20M-380.07M-30.85M-82.44M

Core Natural Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price77.72
Price Trends
50DMA
84.34
Negative
100DMA
79.16
Negative
200DMA
75.90
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.59
Positive
RSI
41.62
Neutral
STOCH
6.47
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CNR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 77.72 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 81.43, below the 50-day MA of 84.34, and above the 200-day MA of 75.90, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.59 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.47 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CNR.

Core Natural Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$3.03B12.4613.07%11.03%-9.45%-46.37%
69
Neutral
$3.95B112.431.67%0.43%-23.25%-90.78%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
57
Neutral
$2.02B-2.87%-32.53%-112.77%
53
Neutral
$3.21B-0.87%1.14%-7.21%-106.39%
48
Neutral
$1.02B-27.70-7.40%2.96%-16.99%-184.02%
42
Neutral
$3.98B-1.64%0.39%64.05%-103.03%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CNR
Core Natural Resources
77.72
-55.06
-41.47%
ARLP
Alliance Resource
23.57
-2.31
-8.93%
AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources
157.06
-91.66
-36.85%
METC
Ramaco Resources
16.15
4.73
41.42%
HCC
Warrior Met Coal
75.07
4.57
6.48%
BTU
Peabody Energy Comm
26.36
0.79
3.09%

Core Natural Resources Corporate Events

Consol Energy’s Earnings Call: Balancing Achievements and Challenges
Nov 8, 2025

The recent earnings call for Consol Energy highlighted a balanced mix of achievements and challenges. The company showcased its strong cash flow management and commitment to shareholder returns, but also faced operational setbacks and increased costs in certain segments. The discovery of rare earth elements offers a promising outlook, yet immediate challenges such as operational delays at Leer South and elevated costs remain pressing issues.

Core Natural Resources Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 7, 2025

Core Natural Resources, Inc., a prominent player in the coal industry, specializes in producing high-quality metallurgical and thermal coals for global markets, with operations spanning several large-scale, low-cost mines. The company has reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings, highlighting a net income of $31.6 million and revenues totaling $1,002.5 million. Core also generated $87.9 million in net cash from operating activities and $38.9 million in free cash flow during the quarter.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Core Natural Resources Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

In the third quarter of 2025, Core Natural Resources reported a net income of $31.6 million and adjusted EBITDA of $141.2 million, despite challenges such as the Leer South fire. The company increased its liquidity and returned $24.6 million to stockholders through share buybacks and dividends. Core is transitioning to a more advantageous reserve area at the West Elk mine and has locked in significant sales commitments for 2026. The company is also exploring potential opportunities in rare earth elements and critical minerals, with plans for an expanded drilling program.

The most recent analyst rating on (CNR) stock is a Buy with a $158.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Natural Resources stock, see the CNR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Core Natural Resources Appoints James Brock as CEO
Positive
Oct 8, 2025

On October 6, 2025, Core Natural Resources appointed James A. Brock as its new CEO, succeeding Paul A. Lang, who will transition to a consultant role until the end of the year. This leadership change is part of Core’s strategic focus on innovation and growth, with Brock emphasizing operational excellence and industry-leading stockholder returns. Brock, who has been with the company since its formation through a merger in January 2025, brings over 40 years of industry experience and aims to leverage Core’s world-class operating portfolio and strategic logistical network for future success.

The most recent analyst rating on (CNR) stock is a Buy with a $89.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Core Natural Resources stock, see the CNR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 18, 2025