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Cimpress NV (CMPR)
NASDAQ:CMPR

Cimpress (CMPR) AI Stock Analysis

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Cimpress

(NASDAQ:CMPR)

Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
Cimpress's stock score reflects strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, countered by significant financial leverage risks. While undervalued, bearish technical indicators and tariff-related uncertainties temper the outlook. Strategic growth in new categories and regions adds potential upside, but challenges in legacy products and guidance withdrawal highlight near-term risks.
Positive Factors
Customer Retention
Vista continued its track record of attracting and retaining higher-value customers, with first-order gross profit per new customer reaching a record high.
Revenue Growth
Vista segment revenue increased 4% in constant currency, with strong performance in complex small business product categories leading to double-digit growth driven by increased volume and higher average order values.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Adjusted EBITDA declined by 3.7% YOY, with a decrease in gross profit and a contraction in gross margin partly due to the growth in complex product categories.
Revenue Shortfall
The revenue shortfall was driven by lower-than-expected consumer products revenue in the company’s largest business segment, Vista, particularly in the United States.

Cimpress (CMPR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cimpress Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCimpress (CMPR) is a global leader in mass customization and web-to-print services, primarily serving small and medium-sized businesses. The company operates through several brands, the most prominent being Vistaprint, which offers customized marketing materials, signage, and promotional products. Cimpress leverages its technology and supply chain expertise to deliver personalized products at scale, catering to a wide range of industries and customer needs.
How the Company Makes MoneyCimpress makes money through the sale of customized print and marketing products, primarily via its online platforms. The company generates revenue by facilitating the design, customization, and purchase of printed products such as business cards, brochures, and banners. Its revenue model is largely driven by direct-to-consumer sales through its Vistaprint brand. Additionally, Cimpress utilizes a mass customization model, allowing it to efficiently produce highly personalized products at a lower cost. Key partnerships with suppliers and technology providers enhance its production capabilities and distribution network, contributing to its earnings by optimizing cost efficiency and expanding its market reach.

Cimpress Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cimpress demonstrates solid revenue growth and operational efficiency improvements. However, the balance sheet reflects high leverage and negative equity, posing financial risks. Cash flow remains strong, underpinning the company's operational stability amidst financial leverage concerns.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Cimpress has shown significant revenue growth of 16.5% over the past two years, with TTM revenue reaching $3.37 billion. Gross profit margin has remained stable around 47.5%, indicating consistent cost management. However, net profit margin has been volatile, with TTM net income at $155.3 million, reflecting a 4.6% margin. EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved, indicating better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
Cimpress's balance sheet is heavily leveraged with a negative stockholders' equity of $557.5 million and a high debt-to-equity ratio due to significant total debt of $1.67 billion. Return on equity is not applicable due to negative equity. The equity ratio is negative, indicating high financial instability and risk.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
The company has maintained a positive free cash flow of $220.7 million in TTM, with a moderate free cash flow to net income ratio. Operating cash flow is strong at $313.7 million, indicating a healthy cash-generating capability, despite fluctuations in capital expenditure.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.93B3.29B3.08B2.89B2.59B2.48B
Gross Profit
1.37B1.60B1.44B1.39B1.28B1.23B
EBIT
-11.11M247.35M57.31M63.97M123.51M170.35M
EBITDA
201.80M400.03M245.00M284.44M229.03M246.79M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-265.04M173.68M-185.98M-50.57M-74.94M83.36M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
291.45M208.28M168.85M327.00M335.27M45.02M
Total Assets
1.95B1.89B1.85B2.17B2.18B1.82B
Total Debt
1.72B1.72B1.76B1.79B1.89B1.63B
Net Debt
1.45B1.52B1.63B1.52B1.70B1.59B
Total Liabilities
2.48B2.41B2.47B2.53B2.56B2.15B
Stockholders Equity
-552.54M-550.15M-623.14M-494.92M-449.37M-407.48M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-20.90M237.49M18.73M100.20M165.76M243.99M
Operating Cash Flow
95.50M350.72M130.29M219.54M265.22M338.44M
Investing Cash Flow
-33.28M-54.61M-103.72M-4.00M-354.32M-66.86M
Financing Cash Flow
-169.93M-222.55M-177.11M-106.57M224.13M-258.25M

Cimpress Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price42.23
Price Trends
50DMA
43.20
Negative
100DMA
51.47
Negative
200DMA
66.73
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.12
Negative
RSI
44.23
Neutral
STOCH
10.57
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMPR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 42.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.88, below the 50-day MA of 43.20, and below the 200-day MA of 66.73, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.57 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CMPR.

Cimpress Risk Analysis

Cimpress disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cimpress reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cimpress Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
IAIAS
74
Outperform
$1.29B27.614.80%13.84%1494.51%
DLDLX
71
Outperform
$624.57M11.209.10%8.60%-2.69%61.73%
EEEEX
69
Neutral
$886.91M277.021.62%1.01%4.87%
62
Neutral
$869.09M-0.29%88.81%99.16%
61
Neutral
$1.07B6.99-27.42%3.64%86.92%
60
Neutral
$14.12B6.43-3.57%3.69%2.49%-35.43%
31
Underperform
$7.13M-157.27%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CMPR
Cimpress
42.23
-39.52
-48.34%
DLX
Deluxe
13.64
-7.14
-34.36%
QNST
Quinstreet
14.92
-3.38
-18.47%
EEX
Emerald Expositions Events
4.48
-1.39
-23.68%
IAS
Integral Ad Science
7.84
-1.99
-20.24%
VSME
VS Media Holdings Limited Class A
0.75
-1.63
-68.49%

Cimpress Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.50%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Cimpress demonstrated strong growth in new product categories and strategic expansions, but faced significant challenges from tariffs, legacy product declines, and search algorithm impacts. The company's confidence in navigating these hurdles is tempered by the current uncertainties in the trade environment.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Growth in Elevated Products
Cimpress reported strong growth in elevated products like promotional products, apparel, signage, packaging, and labels. At Vista, new customer acquisition via signage, packaging, and labels grew over 10% year-over-year.
Cross-Cimpress Fulfillment Expansion
Cross-Cimpress fulfillment is growing rapidly, accelerating new product introductions and lowering costs. Pixartprinting's new U.S. facility is operational and fulfilling for Vista.
Vista's Strong Performance in Europe
Despite macro headwinds, Vista exhibited strong performance in Europe and returned to 5% growth in consumer products category after a previous decline.
U.S. Upload and Print Market Entry
Pixartprinting is set to launch its U.S. website, marking Cimpress' entry into the U.S. Upload and Print market.
Negative Updates
Tariff and Trade Environment Challenges
Significant focus on dealing with tariffs and their implications. Increased tariffs on Chinese-sourced raw materials and the removal of de minimis exemption for Chinese goods are concerns.
Slow Growth in Legacy Products
Headwinds in legacy products and channels are reducing consolidated growth rates, with notable declines in business cards and stationery product categories.
Impact of Organic Search Algorithm Changes
Vista's U.S. revenue and profitability are affected by changes in organic search algorithms, impacting business cards and stationery categories, which declined 3% year-over-year.
National Pen's Low Growth
National Pen showed low growth due to reduced mail order advertising, particularly affecting performance in North America.
Company Guidance
During the Cimpress Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 earnings call, guidance was provided indicating a focus on maintaining strong growth in elevated products like promotional products, apparel, signage, packaging, and labels, with new customer acquisitions via signage, packaging, and labels up over 10% year-over-year at Vista. Cimpress reported a consolidated revenue growth of 1% on a reported basis and 3% on an organic constant currency basis, with Vista showing 3% growth in the same terms. Adjusted EBITDA declined by $3.5 million year-over-year. Tariffs were a significant concern, with efforts underway to mitigate impacts, particularly on Chinese-sourced raw materials, aiming to reduce exposure to less than $20 million annually. Although they withdrew their FY 2025 guidance due to tariff uncertainties, Cimpress anticipates finishing the year with increased liquidity and plans to balance capital deployment between organic growth investments, reducing leverage, and share repurchases.

Cimpress Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Cimpress Shareholders Approve Key Proposals at AGM
Neutral
Nov 25, 2024

At Cimpress plc’s Annual General Meeting on November 20, 2024, shareholders voted on several key proposals, including reappointing Dessislava Temperley to the Board of Directors, approving executive compensation, and amending the 2020 Equity Incentive Plan. They also renewed the Board’s authority to issue shares and opt out of preemption rights. PricewaterhouseCoopers Ireland was reappointed as the statutory auditor, and the Board or Audit Committee was authorized to set its remuneration.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.