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Cimpress NV (CMPR)
NASDAQ:CMPR
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Cimpress (CMPR) AI Stock Analysis

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CMPR

Cimpress

(NASDAQ:CMPR)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$63.00
▲(0.30% Upside)
Cimpress' overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and positive earnings call guidance. However, financial stability concerns and high valuation metrics weigh down the score. The company's strategic initiatives offer future potential, but current financial challenges need addressing.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Q4/25 results exceeded expectations with revenue ahead of estimates despite a challenging tariff and trade environment.
Market Expansion
The transition to elevated product categories is positioning Vista to tap into a larger market opportunity, covering about three-quarters of a $100 billion-plus market.
Product Strategy
Strong performance in Vista's elevated product categories, such as promotional products and packaging, contributed significantly to overall revenue.
Negative Factors
Gross Margin
Adjusted EBITDA declined by 3.7% YOY, with a decrease in gross profit and a contraction in gross margin partly due to the growth in complex product categories.
Legacy Products
Revenue from Vista's legacy product category, including business cards and stationery, declined by 6%.
Market Guidance
The company withdrew guidance for fiscal year 2025 and beyond due to uncertainty in the tariff environment, with potential cost impacts especially in promotional products, apparel, and gifts sourced from China.

Cimpress (CMPR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cimpress Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCimpress plc provides various mass customization of printing and related products in North America, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Vistaprint, PrintBrothers, The Print Group, National Pen, and All Other Businesses. It offers printed and digital marketing products; internet-based canvas-print wall décor, business signage, and other printed products; business cards; and marketing materials, such as flyers and postcards, digital and marketing services, writing instruments, decorated apparel, promotional products and gifts, packaging, design services, textiles, and magazines and catalogs. The company also manufactures and markets custom writing instruments and promotional products, apparels, and gifts; and provides professional desktop publishing skill sets for local printers, print resellers, graphic artists, advertising agencies, and other customers. In addition, it offers graphic design services, do-it-yourself (DIY) design services, website services, and corporate solutions under the VistaPrint, VistaCreate, 99designs by Vista, Vista Corporate Solutions, and Vista x Wix brand names; and online printing solutions. Further, the company provides promotional and packaging products, logo apparel, books and magazines, wall decors, photo merchandise, invitations and announcements, and other categories; and website design and hosting, and email marketing services, as well as order referral and other third-party offerings. The company serves various businesses, graphic designers, resellers, and printers, as well as teams, associations, groups, consumers, and families. Cimpress plc was founded in 1994 and is based in Dundalk, Ireland.
How the Company Makes MoneyCimpress generates revenue through various channels, primarily by selling customized print products to small and medium-sized businesses as well as individual consumers. The company's core revenue streams include direct sales from its own websites, franchise operations, and partnerships with other businesses that utilize Cimpress's technology and production capabilities. Additionally, Cimpress benefits from a subscription model in some of its offerings, allowing customers to access ongoing services at a set fee. Significant partnerships with e-commerce platforms and integrations with third-party services also contribute to its revenue, enhancing its reach and operational efficiency. The company's focus on scalability and cost-effective production allows it to maintain competitive pricing while driving profitability.

Cimpress Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted Cimpress' strong growth in elevated product categories and improved operational efficiencies, particularly in advertising. However, challenges such as declining demand for legacy products and tariff impacts were notable. The company is focused on long-term investments to drive future profitability but faces current headwinds, particularly in its legacy product lines and increased CapEx. Overall, the positives and negatives are balanced, with strategic initiatives offering future potential amidst current challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Growth in Elevated Product Categories
Cimpress saw significant growth in promotional products, apparel, and gifts, with an 18% increase in revenue for these categories, now exceeding $300 million, and a 27% growth in variable gross profit.
Improved Advertising Efficiency
The company reported a 120 basis-point reduction in advertising as a percentage of revenue to 11.3%, leading to a 5% growth in contribution profit.
Positive Currency Impact
Currency fluctuations had a $3.6 million benefit to adjusted EBITDA during the quarter, notably due to the strengthening of the euro.
Commitment to Long-term Investments
Investments in manufacturing and new product introductions are expected to deliver $70 million to $80 million of incremental annualized adjusted EBITDA improvements by fiscal '27.
Free Cash Flow and Share Repurchase Strategy
Cimpress plans to use share repurchases to take advantage of the price-to-value gap, supported by a focus on delivering revenue and profit growth.
Negative Updates
Decline in Legacy Product Demand
Business cards, a legacy product, experienced a 6% decline during Q4, with ongoing challenges in stationery and holiday cards.
Impact of Tariffs
A $3 million impact from tariffs was noted, primarily affecting the National Pen business, although the impact was mitigated through pricing and sourcing adjustments.
Adjusted EBITDA Decrease
Adjusted EBITDA declined by $35.5 million for the full year, largely due to one-time negative items and earlier fiscal performance issues.
Increased Maintenance CapEx
Maintenance CapEx, including capitalized software, increased, contributing to lower free cash flow conversion in fiscal '25 and '26.
Company Guidance
During the Cimpress Q4 Fiscal Year 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance for fiscal year 2026, projecting revenue growth of 5% to 6%, or 2% to 3% on an organic constant currency basis. Net income is expected to be at least $72 million, with adjusted EBITDA anticipated to reach at least $450 million. The guidance incorporates ongoing investments above maintenance levels, with capital expenditures projected at approximately $100 million and capitalized software at about $70 million. Cimpress is also targeting operating cash flow of $310 million and adjusted free cash flow of approximately $140 million. The company expects net leverage to decrease slightly over the fiscal year, while maintaining a commitment to a leverage target of 2.5x trailing 12-month EBITDA. Additionally, Cimpress anticipates currency fluctuations to have a slightly favorable impact on EBITDA.

Cimpress Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cimpress shows positive revenue growth and operational efficiency with strong EBITDA margins. However, negative equity and significant debt levels raise financial stability concerns, partially offset by strong cash flow management.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Cimpress has shown a steady increase in revenue over the years, with a revenue growth rate of 3.38% in the latest year. The gross profit margin stands at a solid 47.37% for 2025. However, the net profit margin is low at 0.44%, indicating challenges in controlling costs or high interest expenses. EBITDA margin is strong at 20.87%, reflecting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company has a negative equity of -$583.49 million, leading to a high debt-to-equity ratio, which is concerning. Total debt remains significant, posing financial risk. Despite these issues, the company has maintained a stable asset base. The equity ratio is negative due to the negative equity, highlighting financial instability.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cimpress has demonstrated strong cash flow management with a positive operating cash flow of $298.07 million in 2025. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, indicating a decline compared to the previous year. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, showing strong cash generation relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.40B3.40B3.29B3.08B2.89B2.58B
Gross Profit1.61B1.61B1.60B1.44B1.39B1.28B
EBITDA710.20M710.20M400.03M245.00M284.44M229.03M
Net Income14.95M14.95M173.68M-185.98M-54.33M-85.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.97B1.97B1.89B1.85B2.17B2.18B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments233.98M233.98M208.28M168.85M327.00M335.27M
Total Debt1.60B1.60B1.72B1.76B1.79B1.89B
Total Liabilities2.53B2.53B2.41B2.47B2.53B2.56B
Stockholders Equity-583.49M-583.49M-550.15M-623.14M-494.92M-449.37M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow209.05M209.05M295.79M18.73M100.20M165.76M
Operating Cash Flow298.07M298.07M350.72M130.29M219.54M265.22M
Investing Cash Flow-140.76M-140.76M-54.61M-103.72M-4.00M-354.32M
Financing Cash Flow-135.92M-135.92M-222.55M-177.11M-106.57M224.13M

Cimpress Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price62.81
Price Trends
50DMA
53.62
Positive
100DMA
48.55
Positive
200DMA
55.26
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.52
Positive
RSI
64.01
Neutral
STOCH
41.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMPR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 62.81 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 60.49, above the 50-day MA of 53.62, and above the 200-day MA of 55.26, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.52 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 64.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CMPR.

Cimpress Risk Analysis

Cimpress disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cimpress reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cimpress Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$1.45B26.025.52%14.39%1946.11%
71
Outperform
$876.16M15.209.20%6.15%-1.92%49.63%
66
Neutral
$919.93M203.442.04%78.27%
64
Neutral
$1.54B106.22-27.42%3.38%-91.24%
64
Neutral
$10.73B15.747.60%2.01%2.75%-15.09%
64
Neutral
$1.02B129.071.98%1.17%9.96%
31
Underperform
$119.45M-157.27%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CMPR
Cimpress
62.81
-21.58
-25.57%
DLX
Deluxe
19.52
1.84
10.41%
QNST
Quinstreet
15.95
-4.05
-20.25%
EEX
Emerald Expositions Events
5.15
-1.24
-19.41%
IAS
Integral Ad Science
8.72
-2.24
-20.44%
VSME
VS Media Holdings Limited Class A
2.41
1.48
159.14%

Cimpress Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Cimpress Appoints Wayne Ting to Board of Directors
Positive
May 28, 2025

On May 27, 2025, Cimpress plc announced the appointment of Wayne Ting, CEO of Lime, to its Board of Directors. Ting, who has extensive experience in building teams and business models, will serve until 2027 and participate in the company’s non-employee director compensation program. His appointment is expected to bring valuable insights into customer value creation and operational excellence, aligning with Cimpress’ long-term innovation goals in the print industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025