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Cimpress NV (CMPR)
NASDAQ:CMPR

Cimpress (CMPR) AI Stock Analysis

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Cimpress

(NASDAQ:CMPR)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$50.00
▲(0.64%Upside)
Cimpress's overall stock score reflects strong growth in new products and strategic expansions, which are tempered by financial risks from high leverage and uncertainties highlighted in the earnings call. Valuation suggests potential upside, while technical analysis indicates moderate momentum. The positive corporate event supports the outlook.
Positive Factors
Customer Retention
Vista continued its track record of attracting and retaining higher-value customers, with first-order gross profit per new customer reaching a record high.
Product Growth
Encouraging growth trends continued within more complex small business product categories into which Vista is expanding, including packaging, labels, apparel, large format signage, promotional products, and catalogs.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Adjusted EBITDA declined by 3.7% YOY, with a decrease in gross profit and a contraction in gross margin partly due to the growth in complex product categories.
Guidance Withdrawal
The company withdrew guidance for fiscal year 2025 and beyond due to uncertainty in the tariff environment, with potential cost impacts especially in promotional products, apparel, and gifts sourced from China.
Revenue Shortfall
The revenue shortfall was driven by lower-than-expected consumer products revenue in the company’s largest business segment, Vista, particularly in the United States.

Cimpress (CMPR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cimpress Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCimpress plc provides various mass customization of printing and related products in North America, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Vistaprint, PrintBrothers, The Print Group, National Pen, and All Other Businesses. It offers printed and digital marketing products; internet-based canvas-print wall décor, business signage, and other printed products; business cards; and marketing materials, such as flyers and postcards, digital and marketing services, writing instruments, decorated apparel, promotional products and gifts, packaging, design services, textiles, and magazines and catalogs. The company also manufactures and markets custom writing instruments and promotional products, apparels, and gifts; and provides professional desktop publishing skill sets for local printers, print resellers, graphic artists, advertising agencies, and other customers. In addition, it offers graphic design services, do-it-yourself (DIY) design services, website services, and corporate solutions under the VistaPrint, VistaCreate, 99designs by Vista, Vista Corporate Solutions, and Vista x Wix brand names; and online printing solutions. Further, the company provides promotional and packaging products, logo apparel, books and magazines, wall decors, photo merchandise, invitations and announcements, and other categories; and website design and hosting, and email marketing services, as well as order referral and other third-party offerings. The company serves various businesses, graphic designers, resellers, and printers, as well as teams, associations, groups, consumers, and families. Cimpress plc was founded in 1994 and is based in Dundalk, Ireland.
How the Company Makes MoneyCimpress makes money through a diversified revenue model focused on mass customization via its suite of e-commerce platforms. The company primarily generates revenue by selling customized print and digital marketing products directly to consumers and businesses through its various brands, with Vistaprint being the largest contributor. Revenue streams include the sale of printed marketing materials, custom apparel, signage, and other personalized products. Cimpress leverages its proprietary technology and mass customization capabilities to efficiently produce and deliver high-quality, personalized products at scale. The company's earnings are further bolstered by strategic partnerships and investments in technology and supply chain optimization, which help reduce costs and enhance customer experience.

Cimpress Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: 18.23%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Cimpress demonstrated strong growth in new product categories and strategic expansions, but faced significant challenges from tariffs, legacy product declines, and search algorithm impacts. The company's confidence in navigating these hurdles is tempered by the current uncertainties in the trade environment.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Growth in Elevated Products
Cimpress reported strong growth in elevated products like promotional products, apparel, signage, packaging, and labels. At Vista, new customer acquisition via signage, packaging, and labels grew over 10% year-over-year.
Cross-Cimpress Fulfillment Expansion
Cross-Cimpress fulfillment is growing rapidly, accelerating new product introductions and lowering costs. Pixartprinting's new U.S. facility is operational and fulfilling for Vista.
Vista's Strong Performance in Europe
Despite macro headwinds, Vista exhibited strong performance in Europe and returned to 5% growth in consumer products category after a previous decline.
U.S. Upload and Print Market Entry
Pixartprinting is set to launch its U.S. website, marking Cimpress' entry into the U.S. Upload and Print market.
Negative Updates
Tariff and Trade Environment Challenges
Significant focus on dealing with tariffs and their implications. Increased tariffs on Chinese-sourced raw materials and the removal of de minimis exemption for Chinese goods are concerns.
Slow Growth in Legacy Products
Headwinds in legacy products and channels are reducing consolidated growth rates, with notable declines in business cards and stationery product categories.
Impact of Organic Search Algorithm Changes
Vista's U.S. revenue and profitability are affected by changes in organic search algorithms, impacting business cards and stationery categories, which declined 3% year-over-year.
National Pen's Low Growth
National Pen showed low growth due to reduced mail order advertising, particularly affecting performance in North America.
Company Guidance
During the Cimpress Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 earnings call, guidance was provided indicating a focus on maintaining strong growth in elevated products like promotional products, apparel, signage, packaging, and labels, with new customer acquisitions via signage, packaging, and labels up over 10% year-over-year at Vista. Cimpress reported a consolidated revenue growth of 1% on a reported basis and 3% on an organic constant currency basis, with Vista showing 3% growth in the same terms. Adjusted EBITDA declined by $3.5 million year-over-year. Tariffs were a significant concern, with efforts underway to mitigate impacts, particularly on Chinese-sourced raw materials, aiming to reduce exposure to less than $20 million annually. Although they withdrew their FY 2025 guidance due to tariff uncertainties, Cimpress anticipates finishing the year with increased liquidity and plans to balance capital deployment between organic growth investments, reducing leverage, and share repurchases.

Cimpress Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cimpress demonstrates solid revenue growth and improved operational efficiency with stable gross margins. However, the balance sheet is heavily leveraged with negative equity, posing significant financial risks. Strong cash flows provide some operational stability.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Cimpress has shown significant revenue growth of 16.5% over the past two years, with TTM revenue reaching $3.37 billion. Gross profit margin has remained stable around 47.5%, indicating consistent cost management. However, net profit margin has been volatile, with TTM net income at $155.3 million, reflecting a 4.6% margin. EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved, indicating better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
Cimpress's balance sheet is heavily leveraged with a negative stockholders' equity of $557.5 million and a high debt-to-equity ratio due to significant total debt of $1.67 billion. Return on equity is not applicable due to negative equity. The equity ratio is negative, indicating high financial instability and risk.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
The company has maintained a positive free cash flow of $220.7 million in TTM, with a moderate free cash flow to net income ratio. Operating cash flow is strong at $313.7 million, indicating a healthy cash-generating capability, despite fluctuations in capital expenditure.
BreakdownTTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.37B3.29B3.08B2.89B2.59B2.48B
Gross Profit1.60B1.60B1.44B1.39B1.28B1.23B
EBITDA353.40M400.03M245.00M284.44M229.03M246.79M
Net Income155.27M173.68M-185.98M-50.57M-74.94M83.36M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.88B1.89B1.85B2.17B2.18B1.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments183.00M208.28M168.85M327.00M335.27M45.02M
Total Debt1.70B1.72B1.76B1.79B1.89B1.63B
Total Liabilities2.42B2.41B2.47B2.53B2.56B2.15B
Stockholders Equity-557.51M-550.15M-623.14M-494.92M-449.37M-407.48M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow220.72M237.49M18.73M100.20M165.76M243.99M
Operating Cash Flow313.67M350.72M130.29M219.54M265.22M338.44M
Investing Cash Flow-113.73M-54.61M-103.72M-4.00M-354.32M-66.86M
Financing Cash Flow-171.14M-222.55M-177.11M-106.57M224.13M-258.25M

Cimpress Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price49.68
Price Trends
50DMA
44.02
Positive
100DMA
45.07
Positive
200DMA
61.01
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.10
Negative
RSI
68.02
Neutral
STOCH
86.25
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CMPR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 49.68 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.60, above the 50-day MA of 44.02, and below the 200-day MA of 61.01, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.25 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CMPR.

Cimpress Risk Analysis

Cimpress disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cimpress reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cimpress Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
IAIAS
74
Outperform
$1.39B29.614.80%13.84%1494.51%
DLDLX
71
Outperform
$752.97M13.509.10%7.13%-2.69%61.73%
66
Neutral
$1.24B8.09-27.42%3.64%86.92%
EEEEX
66
Neutral
$1.05B329.191.62%1.18%4.87%
65
Neutral
$930.59M-0.29%88.81%99.16%
61
Neutral
$41.24B-0.79-14.21%3.80%2.39%-73.52%
31
Underperform
$50.55M-157.27%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CMPR
Cimpress
49.68
-39.30
-44.17%
DLX
Deluxe
17.15
-3.39
-16.50%
QNST
Quinstreet
16.54
0.25
1.53%
EEX
Emerald Expositions Events
5.30
0.11
2.12%
IAS
Integral Ad Science
8.53
-1.23
-12.60%
VSME
VS Media Holdings Limited Class A
1.05
-0.72
-40.68%

Cimpress Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Cimpress Appoints Wayne Ting to Board of Directors
Positive
May 28, 2025

On May 27, 2025, Cimpress plc announced the appointment of Wayne Ting, CEO of Lime, to its Board of Directors. Ting, who has extensive experience in building teams and business models, will serve until 2027 and participate in the company’s non-employee director compensation program. His appointment is expected to bring valuable insights into customer value creation and operational excellence, aligning with Cimpress’ long-term innovation goals in the print industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (CMPR) stock is a Buy with a $95.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cimpress stock, see the CMPR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 25, 2025