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Clover Health Investments (CLOV)
NASDAQ:CLOV

Clover Health Investments (CLOV) AI Stock Analysis

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CLOV

Clover Health Investments

(NASDAQ:CLOV)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▼(-1.48% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/01/26
The score is held back primarily by weak technicals and middling financial quality (ongoing GAAP losses and a 2025 reversal to negative operating/free cash flow), despite a strong balance sheet. Offsetting these, management’s 2026 guidance and earnings-call tone point to meaningful improvement in growth and profitability, while valuation remains constrained by negative earnings and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Rapid Membership & Revenue Growth
Sustained, high single-digit-to-double-digit membership growth materially expands the company’s recurring capitation revenue base and creates scale for underwriting and SG&A leverage. If membership and revenue guidance hold, this supports durable top-line expansion and operating leverage over the 2–6 month horizon and beyond.
Negative Factors
Operating Cash Flow Weakness
Negative operating and free cash flow reduces the company’s internal funding capacity for marketing, claims timing and platform expansion. Persistent cash deficits would force reliance on capital markets or drawdowns, which can constrain strategic flexibility and increase execution risk over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Rapid Membership & Revenue Growth
Sustained, high single-digit-to-double-digit membership growth materially expands the company’s recurring capitation revenue base and creates scale for underwriting and SG&A leverage. If membership and revenue guidance hold, this supports durable top-line expansion and operating leverage over the 2–6 month horizon and beyond.
Read all positive factors

Clover Health Investments (CLOV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Clover Health Investments Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Clover Health Investments, Corp. operates as a medicare advantage insurer in the United States. The company through its Clover Assistant, a software platform that provides preferred provider organization and health maintenance organization health ...
How the Company Makes Money
Clover Health primarily generates revenue in two ways: (1) Insurance revenue from its Medicare Advantage plans and (2) SaaS/technology services revenue from licensing its Clover Assistant platform. 1) Medicare Advantage (Insurance) revenue - Per-...

Clover Health Investments Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Shows how revenue is distributed across different business areas, highlighting which segments drive growth and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsNon‑insurance revenue has effectively disappeared since early 2024, turning Clover into a nearly pure premiums business where membership-driven premium growth now explains most top‑line gains. That mix increases sensitivity to medical utilization and member onboarding economics—management cut EBITDA guidance citing loss-making new members and higher benefit ratios—so revenue momentum masks margin risk; profitability will depend on retaining profitable cohorts, improving new‑member economics, and delivering the SG&A leverage management expects.
Data provided by:The Fly

Clover Health Investments Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized significant positive momentum: robust membership and revenue growth, adjusted EBITDA profitability in 2025, strong retention and technology adoption, and guidance targeting the company’s first full year of GAAP net income in 2026. Key risks highlighted include first-year new-member dilution (reflected in a higher BER and $145 PMPM new member contribution loss), outpatient and Part D cost pressures, abnormal dental/DME activity that required remediation, and near-term operating cash use. Management presented clear plans and structural drivers (cohort maturation, Clover/Counterpart Assistant expansion, 4-star payment tailwind, and SG&A leverage) to improve margins and convert growth into sustainable GAAP profitability.
Positive Updates
Adjusted EBITDA Profitability in 2025
Delivered full year adjusted EBITDA profitability of $22 million and adjusted net income of $20 million for 2025, demonstrating profitability while scaling membership.
Negative Updates
Insurance Segment BER Deterioration
Insurance segment medical loss ratio (BER) was 90.9% for 2025, up 970 basis points year-over-year; after normalizing for prior period development, BER increased ~700 basis points YoY, primarily driven by new member dilution and incremental quality investments.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Adjusted EBITDA Profitability in 2025
Delivered full year adjusted EBITDA profitability of $22 million and adjusted net income of $20 million for 2025, demonstrating profitability while scaling membership.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Clover guided 2026 toward continued market-leading growth and profitability, forecasting average Medicare Advantage membership of 154,000–158,000 (≈46% YoY at the midpoint), total revenue of $2.81–$2.92B (≈49% YoY), and consolidated gross profit of $470M–$510M (vs. $356M in 2025); they expect adjusted EBITDA of $50M–$70M and their first full year of GAAP net income of breakeven to $20M, plan to reduce adjusted SG&A as a percentage of revenue by ~100–150 bps, and cite drivers including >95% AEP retention, a 4‑star payment year (≈97% in the wide‑network PPO), deeper Clover Assistant penetration (≈2/3 of members in 2025), Part D optimizations, and targeted remediation actions — building on 2025 metrics such as $1.9B insurance revenue, $22M adjusted EBITDA, $20M adjusted net income, BER 90.9%, and ~5% medical cost trend ex‑pharmacy.

Clover Health Investments Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: solid recent revenue growth and substantially reduced losses, supported by a very low-debt balance sheet. However, the company remains unprofitable on a GAAP basis, 2025 operating/free cash flow turned negative, and margin data shows volatility/one-offs that reduce confidence in sustainability.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
40
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.92B1.37B1.26B1.10B1.47B
Gross Profit355.88M364.80M255.95M103.48M-79.18M
EBITDA-83.86M-44.94M-207.63M-252.03M-569.60M
Net Income-85.55M-43.01M-213.36M-339.57M-587.76M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets541.01M580.74M570.67M808.62M950.80M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments95.35M221.54M242.69M334.76M615.25M
Total Debt0.000.004.66M5.86M27.83M
Total Liabilities232.31M239.60M284.28M451.73M411.49M
Stockholders Equity308.70M341.14M286.39M356.89M535.41M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-68.98M33.29M-116.45M-208.39M-283.05M
Operating Cash Flow-66.93M34.84M-115.87M-203.93M-282.33M
Investing Cash Flow4.08M565.00K140.01M95.13M-435.45M
Financing Cash Flow-53.38M-17.36M-33.86M-4.96M925.39M

Clover Health Investments Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2.03
Price Trends
50DMA
1.98
Positive
100DMA
2.25
Negative
200DMA
2.56
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
61.09
Neutral
STOCH
88.40
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CLOV, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.03 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.86, above the 50-day MA of 1.98, and below the 200-day MA of 2.56, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.40 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CLOV.

Clover Health Investments Risk Analysis

Clover Health Investments disclosed 66 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Clover Health Investments reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Clover Health Investments Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$4.61B-8.51-39.45%37.38%-912.18%
60
Neutral
$4.29B-5,401.41-0.49%47.39%85.35%
54
Neutral
$1.07B-14.21-25.73%15.23%38.79%
54
Neutral
$23.80B25.976.59%1.38%9.87%-5.58%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$18.43B-3.03-27.74%14.92%-286.72%
49
Neutral
$7.81B18.6810.99%13.71%-18.02%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CLOV
Clover Health Investments
2.04
-1.68
-45.16%
CNC
Centene
37.26
-25.02
-40.17%
HUM
Humana
196.21
-86.11
-30.50%
MOH
Molina Healthcare
147.51
-187.99
-56.03%
OSCR
Oscar Health
15.29
2.84
22.81%
ALHC
Alignment Healthcare
21.28
1.85
9.52%

Clover Health Investments Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Clover Health Announces CFO Transition and Reaffirms 2026 Outlook
Positive
Apr 1, 2026
On March 30, 2026, Clover Health’s board approved a planned transition in its finance leadership, with Chief Financial Officer Peter Kuipers stepping down from his roles as CFO, principal financial officer and principal accounting officer, w...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Clover Health Highlights Transparency With Supplemental Earnings Q&A
Positive
Mar 6, 2026
On March 6, 2026, Clover Health Investments, Corp. published written responses to a selection of frequently asked supplemental questions tied to its fourth-quarter 2025 earnings announcement, aiming to deepen engagement with its shareholder base. ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 01, 2026