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Civitas Resources (CIVI)
NYSE:CIVI
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Civitas Resources (CIVI) AI Stock Analysis

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CIVI

Civitas Resources

(NYSE:CIVI)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$30.00
▲(4.46% Upside)
Civitas Resources' strong valuation and strategic initiatives from the earnings call are significant positives, offsetting concerns about technical weakness and financial leverage. Leadership changes and market performance challenges are notable risks.
Positive Factors
Operational Efficiency
Civitas's focus on operational efficiencies, reducing well costs by up to 7%, strengthens its competitive edge and profitability.
Cash Flow Management
Robust cash flow growth enhances financial stability and provides capital for reinvestment, supporting long-term strategic initiatives.
Capital Return Program
The substantial buyback program signals confidence in future performance and enhances shareholder value through capital returns.
Negative Factors
Leadership Changes
Leadership transitions can create strategic uncertainty, potentially impacting execution and long-term strategic consistency.
Revenue Decline
Declining revenue growth may indicate market or operational challenges, impacting long-term growth prospects and financial performance.
Increased Leverage
Higher leverage can constrain financial flexibility, increasing risk and potentially affecting future investment and growth opportunities.

Civitas Resources (CIVI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Civitas Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCivitas Resources, Inc., an exploration and production company, focuses on the acquisition, development, and production of oil and natural gas in the Rocky Mountain region, primarily in the Wattenberg Field of the Denver-Julesburg Basin of Colorado. As of December 31,2021, it had proved reserves 397.7 MMBoe comprising 143.6 MMbbls of crude oil, 106.0 MMbbls of natural gas liquids, and 888.5 Bcf of natural gas. The company was formerly known as Bonanza Creek Energy, Inc. Civitas Resources, Inc. was founded in 1999 and is based in Denver, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyCivitas Resources generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids extracted from its production sites. The company employs a revenue model that includes selling its products directly to refiners, marketers, and other end-users in the energy market. Key revenue streams consist of the sales of oil and gas at prevailing market prices, which can be influenced by factors such as global oil prices, demand fluctuations, and regional supply dynamics. Additionally, Civitas may enter into long-term contracts or spot market transactions to optimize pricing. The company also benefits from operational efficiencies and technological advancements that reduce extraction costs and enhance production rates. Strategic partnerships with midstream companies for transportation and processing services further bolster its earnings by ensuring that produced resources are delivered to market effectively. Overall, Civitas's financial performance is closely tied to commodity price trends and operational excellence in its drilling and production activities.

Civitas Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant operational achievements and financial strategies that aim to improve shareholder value, including aggressive capital returns and efficiency gains. However, challenges such as leadership changes and concerns regarding market performance are noted.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Enhanced Capital Return Program
Civitas Resources announced a reinstated and aggressive capital returns plan with a buyback authorization exceeding 25% of its market cap.
Operational Efficiency Gains
Drilling and completion efficiencies realized in each basin resulted in reduced well costs, with reductions of 7% in Delaware, 5% in Midland, and 3% in DJ.
Strong Second Quarter Results
Oil volumes grew 6% quarter-over-quarter, cash operating expenses fell by more than 10%, and the company generated nearly $750 million in adjusted EBITDA and over $120 million in adjusted free cash flow.
Asset Divestitures
Civitas significantly exceeded its target for non-core asset sales with agreements to divest $435 million in non-core DJ Basin assets, achieving a 4x multiple on 2026 cash flow.
Increased Hedging for Risk Reduction
The company increased its hedges to approximately 60% on oil for the remainder of the year, which is about double the usual levels.
Negative Updates
CEO Transition
The departure of the former CEO, Chris Doyle, and the appointment of an interim CEO, indicating potential leadership instability.
Challenges in Market Performance
Concerns about the current share price and the company's focus on improving its report card as seen in the stock value, reflecting market challenges.
Company Guidance
During the Civitas Resources second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company outlined several key metrics and strategic initiatives. They emphasized their commitment to maximizing free cash flow, with a target to achieve $4.5 billion in net debt by year's end, supported by a 60% hedge on oil for the remainder of the year. The company also highlighted a $750 million share repurchase authorization, representing about 28% of their market cap, and plans to allocate 50% of free cash flow after the base dividend to share buybacks. Operationally, Civitas reported oil volume growth of 6% quarter-over-quarter, with cash operating expenses down by more than 10% on a unit basis. They achieved nearly $750 million in adjusted EBITDA and over $120 million in adjusted free cash flow for the quarter. Additionally, they have executed asset divestitures worth $435 million, exceeding their target, and are on track with $100 million in cost optimization initiatives. The call also introduced Wouter van Kempen as the interim CEO following Chris Doyle's departure, emphasizing a focus on execution, performance, and cost leadership.

Civitas Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Civitas Resources maintains a solid financial position with strong profitability and cash flow metrics. However, concerns about revenue decline and increased leverage present potential risks.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Civitas Resources shows strong gross and EBITDA margins, indicating efficient operations and cost management. However, the recent revenue decline of 2.15% in TTM suggests potential challenges in maintaining growth. The net profit margin is healthy, but lower than previous periods, reflecting some pressure on profitability.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased, indicating higher leverage, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. Return on equity has decreased compared to previous years, suggesting reduced efficiency in generating profits from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio remains stable, reflecting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Civitas Resources demonstrates strong cash flow management with a significant increase in free cash flow growth of 78.71% in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, indicating effective conversion of earnings into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, suggesting potential reinvestment or cost pressures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.71B5.20B3.47B3.79B930.61M218.09M
Gross Profit2.06B2.14B1.67B2.48B569.36M160.47M
EBITDA3.26B3.60B2.34B2.50B488.41M177.58M
Net Income638.11M838.72M784.29M1.25B178.92M103.53M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.11B14.94B14.10B7.97B6.74B1.18B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments56.00M75.83M1.12B768.03M254.45M24.74M
Total Debt5.14B4.49B4.96B436.19M551.06M31.82M
Total Liabilities8.43B8.32B7.92B2.60B2.09B137.56M
Stockholders Equity6.68B6.63B6.18B5.37B4.65B1.05B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow933.65M893.36M731.52M1.41B123.10M95.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.74B2.87B2.24B2.48B274.60M158.80M
Investing Cash Flow-2.33B-2.67B-5.24B-1.31B73.55M-63.80M
Financing Cash Flow-396.62M-1.24B3.36B-657.37M-118.44M-81.25M

Civitas Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price28.72
Price Trends
50DMA
30.25
Negative
100DMA
30.81
Negative
200DMA
31.47
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.48
Negative
RSI
48.60
Neutral
STOCH
66.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CIVI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 28.72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.07, below the 50-day MA of 30.25, and below the 200-day MA of 31.47, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.48 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CIVI.

Civitas Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$2.11B2.9116.58%4.19%34.93%-11.85%
72
Outperform
$4.09B11.3511.06%3.32%33.85%-34.08%
71
Outperform
$2.36B4.039.56%7.59%-6.52%-32.26%
71
Outperform
$2.26B0.64%5.06%32.31%-122.30%
68
Neutral
$4.35B31.052.76%4.28%-13.92%-68.34%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
65
Neutral
$2.18B12.597.95%8.64%1.51%-78.38%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CIVI
Civitas Resources
28.42
-20.34
-41.71%
MUR
Murphy Oil
30.38
-1.30
-4.10%
NOG
Northern Oil And Gas
22.13
-17.09
-43.57%
SM
SM Energy
19.04
-24.37
-56.14%
CRC
California Resources Corp
47.55
-8.73
-15.51%
CRGY
Crescent Energy Company Class A
9.01
-5.01
-35.73%

Civitas Resources Corporate Events

Civitas Resources Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 7, 2025

Civitas Resources, Inc. is an independent exploration and production company specializing in crude oil and natural gas, with operations primarily in the Permian Basin and DJ Basin. The company is committed to maximizing shareholder returns through strategic initiatives focused on cash flow generation, balance sheet strength, capital returns, and ESG leadership.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Civitas Resources Merges with SM Energy
Neutral
Nov 3, 2025

On November 2, 2025, Civitas Resources, Inc. and SM Energy Company entered into a merger agreement where Civitas will merge into SM Energy, resulting in Civitas becoming a wholly owned subsidiary of SM Energy. This merger will lead to the conversion of Civitas shares into SM Energy shares at a ratio of 1.45:1, and the combined entity will undergo governance restructuring, including changes to the board of directors and committees. The merger is subject to various conditions, including stockholder approvals and regulatory clearances, and is expected to enhance the operational and strategic positioning of the combined company.

The most recent analyst rating on (CIVI) stock is a Buy with a $47.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Civitas Resources stock, see the CIVI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Civitas Resources and SM Energy Announce Merger Agreement
Positive
Nov 3, 2025

On November 2, 2025, Civitas Resources, Inc. and SM Energy Company announced a merger agreement, forming a combined entity valued at approximately $12.8 billion. This merger, expected to close in the first quarter of 2026, will create a leading independent oil and gas company with a premier portfolio in U.S. shale basins, enhancing free cash flow and stockholder value. The merger is anticipated to generate significant synergies, improve financial metrics, and maintain sustainable dividends, while advancing commitments to sustainability and environmental stewardship.

The most recent analyst rating on (CIVI) stock is a Buy with a $47.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Civitas Resources stock, see the CIVI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2025