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Citizens (CIA)
NYSE:CIA

Citizens (CIA) AI Stock Analysis

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CIA

Citizens

(NYSE:CIA)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▼(-8.42% Downside)
The score is driven primarily by solid financial positioning—especially strong recent revenue growth and very low leverage—tempered by thin/uneven profitability and softer cash-flow conversion. Technical indicators are notably weak (below key moving averages with negative MACD), which materially pressures the overall score, while valuation appears only moderate and corporate developments are mildly positive.
Positive Factors
Strong Equity Position
A strong equity position with no debt indicates financial stability and reduces leverage risk, supporting long-term resilience.
Strategic Corporate Developments
Strategic board appointments and expansion in agents enhance governance and market reach, supporting sustainable growth.
Revenue Stability
Stable revenue trends indicate consistent demand and effective business operations, contributing to long-term financial health.
Negative Factors
Declining Profitability
Declining profitability margins can impact the company's ability to reinvest in growth and maintain competitive positioning.
Weak Cash Flow Generation
Weak cash flow generation limits the company's ability to fund operations and investments, potentially affecting future growth.
Decreased Asset Base
A decrease in assets and equity can signal potential challenges in maintaining financial strength and supporting business expansion.

Citizens (CIA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Citizens Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCitizens, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides life insurance products in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, Life Insurance and Home Service Insurance. The Life Insurance segment issues ordinary whole life insurance and endowment policies in the United States dollar-denominated amounts to non-U.S. residents in through independent marketing agencies and consultants. The Home Service Insurance segment offers final expense life insurance and property insurance policies to middle-and lower-income households, as well as whole life products in Louisiana, Mississippi, and Arkansas. This segment provides its products and services through funeral homes and independent agents. The company also provides health insurance policies. Citizens, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyCitizens generates revenue through various key streams, including interest income from loans provided to personal and commercial clients, as well as fees from services such as account maintenance, transactions, and advisory services. The bank also earns revenue from its mortgage lending operations and investment management services, where it charges management fees. Significant partnerships with fintech companies and other financial services providers enhance its product offerings, contributing to its earnings by expanding customer access and streamlining operations. Additionally, Citizens may benefit from investment income derived from its securities portfolio.

Citizens Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong TTM revenue growth (+43.8%) and a conservatively positioned balance sheet with very low leverage support resilience. Offsetting this, profitability is modest (net margin ~4.4%, EBIT margin ~3.6%), earnings have been uneven across years, and cash flow has softened versus 2024 with weaker alignment to reported earnings in the TTM dataset.
Income Statement
62
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue accelerated sharply (+43.8%), but profitability is modest with a ~4.4% net margin and ~3.6% EBIT margin. Annual results show volatility: net margin improved from losses in 2020–2022 to positive in 2023–2024, yet the TTM period reflects some margin compression versus 2024 and 2023. Overall, growth is a strength, while the low and uneven earnings profile is the key drawback.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet looks conservatively positioned with very low leverage (debt-to-equity near zero in TTM and ~0.04–0.05 in 2023–2024) and equity building over time (from ~$172M in 2023 to ~$226M TTM). Returns on equity have cooled to ~4.9% in TTM from stronger 2023–2024 levels, and there is a notable historical inconsistency in leverage/returns (e.g., extreme ratios in 2022), which adds some quality-of-data/volatility risk. Still, the current capital structure appears strong.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash generation is positive, with TTM operating cash flow of ~$19.7M and free cash flow of ~$19.3M, but both are down meaningfully versus 2024 (free cash flow declined ~19.7% TTM). While prior years generally showed free cash flow tracking net income closely, the TTM data indicates weak conversion versus reported earnings (free cash flow to net income is negative in the dataset), signaling potential working-capital timing or one-off movements. The main strengths are continued positive cash flow; the main weakness is the recent downturn and inconsistency versus earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue247.02M245.00M240.68M232.52M250.53M238.85M
Gross Profit101.32M121.72M240.68M114.79M128.13M46.93M
EBITDA14.13M15.60M27.29M27.91M31.64M-10.89M
Net Income10.87M14.91M24.44M26.01M72.71M-10.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.74B1.69B1.67B1.59B1.85B1.84B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments53.48M29.27M27.00M1.20B1.50B1.52B
Total Debt0.007.79M9.07M0.000.000.00
Total Liabilities1.52B1.47B1.50B1.46B1.53B1.54B
Stockholders Equity225.60M210.35M172.13M127.79M320.57M300.94M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow19.27M31.25M21.61M56.82M39.45M48.61M
Operating Cash Flow19.72M31.92M22.06M56.92M40.45M48.83M
Investing Cash Flow-25.00M-27.17M-14.50M-60.74M-41.08M-61.81M
Financing Cash Flow-3.97M-2.47M-3.54M-499.00K-6.21M904.00K

Citizens Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.46
Price Trends
50DMA
5.34
Positive
100DMA
5.45
Positive
200DMA
4.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Negative
RSI
56.33
Neutral
STOCH
85.40
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CIA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.46 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.14, above the 50-day MA of 5.34, and above the 200-day MA of 4.75, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.40 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CIA.

Citizens Risk Analysis

Citizens disclosed 12 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Citizens reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Citizens Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$3.67B4.3716.27%27.71%
71
Outperform
$3.88B14.5011.12%1.54%-1.61%15.79%
68
Neutral
$55.28M12.024.75%0.74%11.99%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$3.25B15.412.86%1.41%150.35%
59
Neutral
$277.64M25.845.02%-0.55%-51.14%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CIA
Citizens
5.52
0.83
17.70%
AAME
Atlantic American
2.71
1.22
81.88%
CNO
CNO Financial
40.68
2.48
6.49%
GNW
Genworth Financial
8.14
1.12
15.95%
BHF
Brighthouse Financial
64.11
13.43
26.50%

Citizens Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Citizens Elects Michael Harwood to Board of Directors
Positive
Nov 7, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Citizens, Inc. announced the election of Michael Harwood, a seasoned life insurance actuarial professional, to its Board of Directors. Harwood’s extensive experience in the insurance industry is expected to provide valuable oversight as the company continues its global expansion. In its third-quarter 2025 financial results, Citizens reported a record number of agents and the highest-ever total direct insurance in force of $5.38 billion. The company achieved total revenues of $62.8 million, a slight increase from the previous year, and adjusted net income of $3.4 million, marking a 70% increase from the prior year. Citizens’ strategic initiatives focus on sustainable growth and capital management, positioning the company for long-term value creation for customers and shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (CIA) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Citizens stock, see the CIA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026