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Abacus Life (ABL)
NASDAQ:ABL
US Market

Abacus Life (ABL) AI Stock Analysis

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ABL

Abacus Life

(NASDAQ:ABL)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$9.50
▲(11.63% Upside)
Abacus Life's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call performance and positive technical indicators, despite challenges in valuation and financial performance. The company's strategic initiatives and revenue growth are significant positives, but high P/E ratio and cash flow issues warrant caution.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, enhancing long-term financial stability.
Strategic Initiatives
These initiatives reflect confidence in the company's financial health and commitment to returning value to shareholders, supporting long-term growth.
Securitization Milestone
This milestone opens new institutional channels, validating demand and enhancing Abacus's funding capabilities for sustained growth.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Negative profit margins indicate ongoing challenges in converting revenue into profit, which could hinder long-term financial health.
Cash Flow Issues
Negative cash flow growth suggests difficulties in generating cash from operations, potentially impacting future investment and growth.
Increased Operating Expenses
Rising expenses could pressure margins, affecting profitability and financial flexibility if not managed effectively over the long term.

Abacus Life (ABL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Abacus Life Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAbacus Life (ABL) is a financial services company specializing in the purchase and management of life insurance policies. Operating in the life settlements sector, ABL focuses on providing liquidity solutions for policyholders looking to sell their life insurance policies for a cash value. The company offers a range of services, including policy appraisals, funding solutions, and ongoing management of acquired policies, catering to both individual clients and institutional investors.
How the Company Makes MoneyAbacus Life generates revenue primarily through the acquisition of life insurance policies at a discount to their face value. The company earns money by collecting the death benefits upon the policyholder's passing, which typically exceeds the initial purchase price. Key revenue streams include the premiums paid on acquired policies, the appreciation in policy value, and potential investment income from the capital used to purchase these policies. Additionally, ABL may engage in partnerships with financial institutions and brokers that facilitate policy acquisitions, further enhancing its revenue potential through commission structures and referral fees.

Abacus Life Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call for Abacus Global Management highlighted strong financial performance and strategic advancements, such as substantial revenue growth, profitability, and the introduction of dividends and share buybacks. However, challenges include below-expected capital deployment and increased operating expenses. Despite these lowlights, the overall sentiment leans positive due to the significant achievements and strategic initiatives underscored during the call.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue Growth
Abacus Global Management reported a total revenue increase of 124% year-over-year to $63 million, marking their 10th consecutive quarter of beating consensus projections.
Adjusted Net Income and EBITDA Growth
Adjusted net income rose 60% to $23.6 million, and adjusted EBITDA increased 127% to $37.9 million, reflecting strong profitability and operational efficiency.
Initiation of Dividend and Share Repurchase Program
Abacus announced the initiation of an annual dividend of $0.20 per share and a $10 million share repurchase program, demonstrating confidence in their strategy and financial stability.
Securitization Milestone
Abacus completed a $50 million above investment-grade securitization product note backed by life insurance assets, opening a new institutional distribution channel and validating institutional demand for longevity-linked assets.
Asset Management Segment Performance
The asset management segment generated $8.6 million in revenue during Q3, with $102 million of new inflows, showcasing successful strategic M&A activity.
Negative Updates
Capital Deployed Below Expectations
Capital deployed was $102 million in Q3, which was below the second quarter but still resulted in solid life settlements revenues. This reflects strategic deployment but indicates potential capacity constraints.
High Turnover and Holding Period Discrepancies
The annualized turnover ratio was 2x, with policies sold having an average holding period of 363 days compared to 253 days for policies still owned, highlighting potential inefficiencies in portfolio management.
Increase in Operating Expenses
Total operating expenses increased to $32.9 million from $19.4 million in the prior year, due to acquired companies' expenses, increased G&A, depreciation, amortization, and marketing investments, which could pressure future margins.
Company Guidance
During the Abacus Global Management Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, CEO Jay Jackson highlighted that the company achieved a record quarter, marking their tenth consecutive quarter of surpassing consensus projections. Total revenue for Q3 2025 increased 124% year-over-year, reaching $63 million, while adjusted net income rose 60% to $23.6 million. Adjusted EBITDA also saw a significant increase of 127%, amounting to $37.9 million. As a result of these strong financial performances, Abacus raised its 2025 guidance to $80 million to $84 million, representing a year-over-year growth of 72% to 81%. The company also introduced an annual dividend of $0.20 per share and announced a $10 million share repurchase program to enhance shareholder value. Key strategic moves, such as the recent acquisition of AccuQuote, are expected to further drive growth and strengthen Abacus' competitive position.

Abacus Life Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Abacus Life demonstrates strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, but faces challenges in profitability and cash flow management. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, yet the negative return on equity indicates inefficiencies. Overall, the company needs to focus on improving profitability and cash flow generation to enhance financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Abacus Life shows a strong revenue growth rate of 21.54% TTM, indicating a positive trajectory. However, the net profit margin is negative at -0.72% TTM, reflecting profitability challenges. The EBIT margin of 20.03% TTM is healthy, suggesting operational efficiency, but the EBITDA margin of 28.95% TTM indicates room for improvement in managing non-operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.86 TTM is moderate, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. However, the return on equity is negative at -0.30% TTM, highlighting inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio of 47.84% TTM suggests a stable capital structure with a solid equity base.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Abacus Life's free cash flow growth rate is negative at -14.99% TTM, indicating cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.19 TTM suggests limited cash generation from operations. Additionally, the free cash flow to net income ratio of -4.84 TTM highlights significant cash flow management issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue196.55M111.92M66.40M44.71M22.59M1.22M
Gross Profit172.01M100.55M59.91M38.83M8.39M710.01K
EBITDA76.02M6.76M23.78M34.81M1.03M662.02K
Net Income11.04M-23.96M9.52M31.68M997.41K662.02K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets918.94M874.16M331.83M59.09M1.84M3.74M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments86.42M131.94M27.84M30.05M102.42K1.85M
Total Debt124.71M385.91M141.74M28.33M1.05M148.97K
Total Liabilities479.34M450.87M167.76M30.95M1.07M160.70K
Stockholders Equity439.59M424.15M163.93M27.25M915.05K2.08M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-111.14M-209.62M-64.71M10.61M1.12M650.13K
Operating Cash Flow-110.22M-208.81M-64.52M10.69M1.34M650.13K
Investing Cash Flow-17.77M-4.96M2.24M-3.70M-241.53K-1.25M
Financing Cash Flow195.00M320.12M57.82M22.96M-354.58K697.81K

Abacus Life Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.51
Price Trends
50DMA
6.28
Positive
100DMA
6.17
Positive
200DMA
6.45
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.69
Negative
RSI
73.32
Negative
STOCH
84.72
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ABL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.51 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.28, above the 50-day MA of 6.28, and above the 200-day MA of 6.45, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.69 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.32 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.72 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ABL.

Abacus Life Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$3.71B4.4316.27%27.71%
72
Outperform
$4.15B15.2311.12%1.54%-1.61%15.79%
68
Neutral
$831.88M108.963.17%91.78%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
62
Neutral
$65.68M14.294.75%0.62%11.99%
60
Neutral
$299.77M27.905.02%-0.55%-51.14%
60
Neutral
$3.66B17.362.86%1.41%150.35%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ABL
Abacus Life
8.51
0.94
12.42%
AAME
Atlantic American
3.22
1.73
116.11%
CIA
Citizens
5.96
2.13
55.61%
CNO
CNO Financial
43.55
7.21
19.84%
GNW
Genworth Financial
9.17
2.19
31.38%
BHF
Brighthouse Financial
64.91
16.84
35.03%

Abacus Life Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Abacus Life to Transfer Stock Listing to NYSE
Positive
Dec 19, 2025

On December 19, 2025, Abacus Global Management announced it would voluntarily transfer the listings of its common stock and 9.875% Fixed Rate Senior Notes due 2028 from Nasdaq to the New York Stock Exchange, with trading on Nasdaq expected to cease at the close of December 29, 2025 and trading on the NYSE to begin on or about December 30, 2025 under new ticker symbols “ABX” for the common stock and “ABXL” for the notes. Management framed the move as a strategic shift intended to tap the NYSE’s broader institutional investor base, global reach, and deeper liquidity, positioning the company to support its growth strategy and long-term shareholder value, while the NYSE welcomed Abacus as a complementary addition to its roster of issuers.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Abacus Life Announces Inaugural Annual Cash Dividend
Positive
Nov 25, 2025

On November 25, 2025, Abacus Global Management announced the timing of its inaugural annual cash dividend of $0.20 per share, payable on December 17, 2025, to shareholders of record as of December 2, 2025. This dividend reflects the company’s confidence in its business strength and is part of a broader capital allocation strategy to balance growth investments with shareholder returns, aiming to distribute up to 25% of adjusted net income or up to 55% of recurring revenue.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Abacus Life Announces $10M Stock Repurchase Program
Positive
Nov 7, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Abacus Global Management announced a $10 million stock repurchase program and an annual cash dividend of $0.20 per share, reflecting confidence in its long-term business model and capital strength. The initiatives are part of a broader capital allocation strategy aimed at enhancing shareholder value through consistent returns and strategic growth investments, funded by cash on hand and free cash flow.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Abacus Life Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Growth
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Abacus Global Management reported its third-quarter 2025 results, marking the tenth consecutive quarter of earnings growth. The company achieved a record revenue growth of 124% year-over-year, reaching $63.0 million, and increased its adjusted net income by 60% to $23.6 million. Abacus also completed the strategic acquisition of AccuQuote and announced a $50 million securitized asset-backed rated note, enhancing its financial services platform and creating a scalable funding mechanism. These achievements have reinforced the company’s momentum and visibility in the market, with an increased full-year 2025 outlook for adjusted net income growth between 72% and 81%.

Delistings and Listing ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Abacus Life Raises 2025 Outlook Amid Revenue Surge
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

In a letter to shareholders dated September 25, 2025, Abacus Life reported nearly doubling its year-over-year revenue and adjusted net income, driven by strong demand for its investment products. The company raised its full-year 2025 outlook for adjusted net income, expecting growth of 59% to 72%, and announced its inclusion in the Russell 2000 and Russell 3000 indices. Despite a recent short attack, Abacus has maintained confidence among stakeholders and continues to focus on its growth strategy. The company introduced new key performance indicators to enhance transparency and demonstrate its value creation capabilities. Abacus’s business model, which integrates four synergistic verticals, is positioned for substantial market opportunities, aiming for sustainable, profitable growth.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025