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VAT Group AG (CH:VACN)
:VACN

VAT Group AG (VACN) AI Stock Analysis

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CH:VACN

VAT Group AG

(VACN)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
CHF556.00
▲(11.51% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid financial health (notably the debt-free balance sheet and steady growth) and strong technical uptrend signals. These positives are tempered by expensive valuation (high P/E) and signs of overheated momentum (very high RSI/Stoch), plus a recent EBIT margin drop that warrants monitoring.
Positive Factors
Debt-free balance sheet
Zero total debt provides durable financial flexibility: it lowers default and refinancing risk, enables funding of R&D, capex, or strategic M&A from equity or cash, and helps the firm withstand cyclical downturns without pressure from interest expenses or covenant constraints.
Steady revenue growth and strong gross margins
Sustained revenue expansion paired with robust gross margins indicates durable demand and cost control in core products. This supports long-term cash generation, funds reinvestment into product development and services, and underpins competitive pricing power in capital equipment markets.
Market leadership and secular industry exposure
A leading position in vacuum technology and essential role in semiconductor and solar manufacturing create structural advantage: entrenched customer relationships, aftermarket service revenues, and exposure to long-term secular growth in chips and advanced manufacturing that support sustainable demand.
Negative Factors
Recent collapse in EBIT margin
An EBIT margin decline to zero is a significant deterioration in core profitability. If persistent, it undermines operating leverage, reduces retained earnings and reinvestment capacity, and raises questions about pricing, cost control, or adverse product-mix shifts that could impair long-term returns.
Weakening cash conversion and FCF growth
Slowing free-cash-flow growth and weaker cash conversion reduce financial optionality: they constrain organic investment, limit ability to sustain dividends or buybacks, and increase sensitivity to working-capital swings, elevating funding risk during cyclical downturns.
End-market cyclicality and concentration risk
Heavy reliance on semiconductor and solar markets exposes VAT to volatile capital spending cycles and customer concentration. Structural downturns or slowdowns in these sectors can materially reduce equipment orders and spare-parts/service revenue, amplifying earnings and cash-flow volatility.

VAT Group AG (VACN) vs. iShares MSCI Switzerland ETF (EWL)

VAT Group AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVAT Group AG, together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and supplies vacuum valves in Switzerland, rest of Europe, the United States, Japan, Korea, Singapore, China, rest of Asia, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Valves and Global Service. The Valves segment offers vacuum valves for the semiconductor, displays, photovoltaics, and vacuum coating industries, as well as for the industrial and research sectors. The Global Service segment provides spare parts, repairs, and upgrades, as well as support services. It also offers gas inlet valves, multi valve modules, vacuum chambers with integrated valves, motion and mechanical components, and edge-welded metal bellows. VAT Group AG was founded in 1965 is headquartered in Sennwald, Switzerland.
How the Company Makes MoneyVAT Group AG generates revenue primarily through the sale of its vacuum valves and related products to customers in the semiconductor and industrial manufacturing sectors. The company has a diversified revenue model that includes direct sales to end-users, as well as sales through distributors and partners. Key revenue streams include the sale of new equipment, aftermarket services, and maintenance contracts, which provide ongoing revenue from existing customers. Additionally, VAT Group AG benefits from strategic partnerships with major players in the semiconductor industry, which help enhance its market position and drive sales. The company's focus on research and development enables it to introduce innovative products that meet the evolving needs of its customers, further supporting its revenue growth.

VAT Group AG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 04, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive sentiment overall, with significant growth and strategic achievements in the semiconductor market, strong financial metrics, and an increased market share. These highlights outweigh the challenges faced in the non-semi segment, geopolitical risks, and ERP implementation hurdles. The company's readiness for future growth and its record spec wins further bolster the positive outlook.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Return to Growth in 2024
VAT experienced a growth year in the semiconductor market, with orders up 84% and sales up 22%. This growth was achieved despite an unfavorable shift in wafer fab equipment spend.
Strong Financial Performance
VAT delivered a gross profit margin of over 66% and an EBITDA margin of 31.2%, even with continued investments in infrastructure and record levels of R&D.
Record Spec Wins
In 2024, VAT achieved 132 spec wins, a new record, demonstrating customer centricity and innovation. These wins will turn into sales over the next three to five years.
Market Share Increase
VAT increased its market share in the semiconductor segment by 2 percentage points, reaching 77%.
Expansion and Readiness for Growth
VAT's 1B plant in Malaysia is operational with a run rate near CHF 500 million, and a new facility in Romania is underway, indicating readiness for additional growth.
Negative Updates
Challenges in the Non-Semiconductor Segment
Advanced Industrial (ADV) segment experienced slowed performance, especially in the solar market, which was close to zero last year.
Geopolitical and Market Volatility
The market and political environment remains uncertain, requiring VAT to stay flexible in servicing customers amid geopolitical tensions and market volatility.
ERP Implementation Challenges
The ERP implementation in Switzerland required significant effort and led to a temporary production stoppage, although it has now been successfully completed.
Company Guidance
During the call, VAT Group provided guidance for fiscal year 2025, emphasizing significant revenue growth driven by a 22% increase in semiconductor sales and an 84% rise in orders. The company achieved a gross profit margin of over 66% and an EBITDA margin of 31.2%, despite record R&D investments. VAT Group highlighted a return to growth in 2024 and expects continued expansion, supported by a strong market position and strategic investments in infrastructure, including a new facility in Romania and an innovation center set to open in May. The company anticipates a robust 2025, with sales expected between CHF 275 million and CHF 295 million for the first quarter. VAT Group remains optimistic about long-term growth, projecting the semiconductor market to reach USD 1 trillion by 2030, with wafer fab equipment growing to USD 150 billion.

VAT Group AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid overall fundamentals supported by a strong balance sheet (zero debt, healthy equity ratio, strong ROE) and steady revenue growth. Offsetting factors include EBIT margin dropping to zero in the most recent period and some deterioration in cash conversion/free-cash-flow momentum.
Income Statement
75
Positive
VAT Group AG has shown steady revenue growth over the years, with significant improvements in income metrics. The Gross Profit Margin has been strong, indicating efficient cost management. However, EBIT Margin dropped to zero in the most recent period, raising concerns about operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company presents a solid balance sheet with zero total debt in the latest period, indicating financial stability. The Equity Ratio is healthy, and Return on Equity is strong, reflecting effective use of shareholder funds. Overall, the balance sheet shows low leverage and high equity, minimizing financial risks.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals robust operating cash flow, with positive Free Cash Flow in recent years. However, there is a decline in Free Cash Flow growth rate, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio has decreased, highlighting potential cash conversion issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.05B942.20M885.32M1.15B901.16M692.43M
Gross Profit547.83M634.15M299.64M469.65M336.00M224.26M
EBITDA324.48M303.15M255.99M402.28M306.86M200.98M
Net Income223.37M211.80M190.31M306.78M217.44M127.94M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.36B1.29B1.17B1.28B1.07B993.96M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments148.28M158.15M144.15M174.40M127.19M137.90M
Total Debt410.12M241.79M207.31M214.33M206.94M266.34M
Total Liabilities663.12M540.87M411.30M496.58M435.13M449.39M
Stockholders Equity694.32M753.88M757.16M780.32M634.37M544.57M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow216.72M184.97M187.17M223.50M192.00M141.79M
Operating Cash Flow266.52M240.64M256.41M289.74M234.97M161.08M
Investing Cash Flow-62.09M-57.39M-67.65M-66.22M-44.23M-19.22M
Financing Cash Flow-160.25M-172.50M-205.58M-172.58M-201.76M-111.75M

VAT Group AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price498.60
Price Trends
50DMA
408.32
Positive
100DMA
370.46
Positive
200DMA
337.73
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
31.49
Positive
RSI
65.13
Neutral
STOCH
54.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CH:VACN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 498.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 473.87, above the 50-day MA of 408.32, and above the 200-day MA of 337.73, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 31.49 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 65.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CH:VACN.

VAT Group AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
CHF5.68B20.8323.37%2.90%5.79%13.20%
71
Outperform
CHF15.22B68.1132.09%1.63%19.22%11.62%
66
Neutral
CHF1.16B-1,141.946.26%-17.75%83.94%
65
Neutral
CHF3.65B16.182.99%-11.64%-24.17%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
59
Neutral
CHF1.67B28.131.46%-3.67%-12.95%
54
Neutral
CHF4.25B15.342.53%-24.42%32.48%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CH:VACN
VAT Group AG
498.60
152.71
44.15%
CH:OERL
OC Oerlikon Corporation AG
3.54
0.05
1.35%
CH:INRN
Interroll Holding AG
1,850.00
-255.52
-12.14%
CH:BUCN
Bucher Industries AG
362.50
6.34
1.78%
CH:GF
Georg Fischer AG
51.35
-19.17
-27.18%
CH:SUN
Sulzer AG
167.00
22.78
15.79%

VAT Group AG Corporate Events

VAT Group Ends 2025 with Strong Orders on AI-Led Chip Demand and Solid Margin Performance
Jan 15, 2026

VAT Group AG reported a strong finish to 2025, with fourth-quarter order intake rising 28% quarter-on-quarter to around CHF 305 million and exceeding the prior year, supported by technology transitions in semiconductors, robust AI-related demand and continued strength from Chinese customers, though part of the surge reflects CHF 30–35 million of orders pulled forward ahead of 2026 price increases. Fourth-quarter sales were roughly flat sequentially at CHF 257 million but still above guidance, while for the full year 2025 net sales climbed about 14% to CHF 1.07 billion and the company sustained a solid EBITDA margin of around 30% and free cash flow above CHF 225 million; management highlighted that capex for AI data centers and fully utilized HBM/DRAM capacity underpin its view that the structural growth path toward a USD 1 trillion semiconductor market remains intact, reinforcing VAT’s positioning as a key beneficiary of next-generation chip investments despite currency headwinds and a lower year-end order backlog.

The most recent analyst rating on (CH:VACN) stock is a Sell with a CHF325.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on VAT Group AG stock, see the CH:VACN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 16, 2026