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Georg Fischer AG (CH:GF)
:GF

Georg Fischer AG (GF) AI Stock Analysis

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CH:GF

Georg Fischer AG

(GF)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
CHF52.00
▼(-4.76% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:11/07/25
The overall stock score of 54 reflects significant challenges in financial performance, particularly in revenue growth and balance sheet stability. Technical analysis indicates a bearish trend with oversold conditions, while valuation metrics are relatively favorable. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events limits further insights.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Management
Effective cash flow management indicates operational strength and the ability to fund operations and investments, supporting long-term stability.
Profitability Metrics
Strong profitability metrics suggest efficient cost management and the ability to maintain competitive pricing, supporting sustainable earnings.
Revenue Diversification
Diversified revenue streams reduce dependency on a single market, enhancing resilience against sector-specific downturns and supporting growth.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Declining revenue indicates challenges in market demand or competitive pressures, necessitating strategic adjustments to regain growth momentum.
High Leverage
High leverage can strain financial flexibility, increasing risk during economic downturns and limiting the ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Balance Sheet Weakness
Weak balance sheet with negative equity highlights financial instability, potentially impacting creditworthiness and investment capacity.

Georg Fischer AG (GF) vs. iShares MSCI Switzerland ETF (EWL)

Georg Fischer AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGeorg Fischer AG provides piping systems, and casting and machining solutions in Europe, the Americas, Asia, and internationally. The company offers plastic and metal piping systems for the transportation of water, abrasive and aggressive liquids, and gases, as well as corresponding services for industry, utilities, and building services sectors; and fittings, valves, pipes, automation, and jointing technologies for various water cycle applications. It also provides lightweight components for mobility and energy industries. In addition, the company offers machines, system solutions, and customer services for manufacturing molds, tools, and parts in the aerospace, information and communication technology, electronic, medical, and automotive industries. Further, it provides milling, wire-cutting, and die-sinking services; spindles; electro discharge machining (EDM), laser texturing, laser micromachining, and additive manufacturing machines; and tooling and automation services, as well as digitalization solutions. The company was founded in 1802 and is headquartered in Schaffhausen, Switzerland.
How the Company Makes MoneyGeorg Fischer AG generates revenue through several key streams across its three divisions. The GF Piping Systems segment earns money by supplying a wide range of products such as pipes, fittings, and valves, primarily used in water and gas applications. This sector benefits from ongoing infrastructure investments and environmental regulations favoring sustainable solutions. GF Casting Solutions generates revenue by producing lightweight and high-strength cast components, primarily for the automotive industry, capitalizing on the trend towards electric vehicles and more efficient manufacturing processes. GF Machining Solutions provides high-precision machines and services, generating income through equipment sales, maintenance contracts, and tooling solutions. Additionally, strategic partnerships with technology providers and industry leaders enhance GF's market reach and innovation capabilities, contributing positively to its overall earnings.

Georg Fischer AG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presents a mixed picture: strategic transformation milestones (pure‑play focus, VAG acquisition, Uponor integration), clear sustainability achievements, initial traction in attractive growth areas (data center cooling) and concrete cost/synergy programs are positive. However, 2025 financials were pressured by divestments, a weak semiconductor cycle (‑16%), FX and tariff headwinds, impairments and one‑offs, low free cash flow in 2025 and elevated net debt/elevated tax rate that weigh on near‑term reported results. Management provided a recovery‑oriented 2026 guide (low single‑digit organic growth, higher EBITDA margin and strong free cash flow guidance) but significant near‑term accounting and cash impacts remain.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Industry & Infrastructure Momentum
I&I Flow Solutions delivered 1.9% organic sales growth (H2 organic 2.2% vs H1 1.6%), with strong infrastructure momentum and growth in U.S. gas distribution; Americas grew 3.5% organically and is nearly a CHF 1 billion business.
Data Center Cooling Traction
Data center / liquid cooling sales tripled to ~CHF 30 million in 2025; pipeline includes 7 pilot projects, >30 proof‑of‑concepts and >20 advanced discussions; target to grow data center business to CHF 300 million over 5–6 years.
Run‑rate Synergies and Cost Program
Achieved CHF 29 million run‑rate synergies from Uponor integration in 2025 and launched Fit for Growth to remove CHF 40 million of costs in 2026 (majority to be secured by end of Q1).
Sustainability Milestones
Expanded products with social/environmental benefits to 77% of portfolio, reduced Scope 1 & 2 CO2e emissions by 51% vs 2019 baseline, increased carbon‑neutral sites to 12 and exceeded accident reduction targets.
Capacities and Investments
Opened a new 15,000 m2 facility in Shawnee, Oklahoma (doubling capacity) for U.S. natural gas sector; upgraded Seewis plant to world‑class production for ball valves and actuators.
Order Intake Trends
Order intake for I&I grew about 2% organically for the year; Building Flow Solutions order intake declined ~2.5% organically.
2026 Financial Guidance
Management expects low single‑digit organic sales growth for 2026 and a comparable EBITDA margin of 14%–16% (corresponding to ~10.5%–12.5% at EBIT), plus Flow Solutions free cash flow guidance CHF 175–200 million for 2026.
Shareholder Return
Proposed dividend of CHF 1.35 per share, maintained at prior year level (subject to shareholder approval).
Transformation to Pure‑play Flow Solutions
Completed divestment of Casting Solutions and Machining Solutions to become a pure‑play Flow Solutions company; acquisition of VAG and ongoing Uponor integration positioning GF as a one‑stop Flow Solutions provider across Buildings, Industry and Infrastructure.
Flow Solutions Sales and Organic Growth
Flow Solutions sales of CHF 3.0 billion in 2025 with 0.6% organic growth for the segment (core Flow Solutions 0.6% organically for the year; 1.2% organic in H2).
Profitability (Comparable Metrics)
Comparable EBIT margin for Flow Solutions was 10% (excluding items affecting comparability); comparable EBITDA margin for Flow Solutions was 13.4%.
Negative Updates
Group Sales Decline and Deconsolidation Impact
Group net sales fell to CHF 4.1 billion from CHF 4.8 billion, primarily due to deconsolidation of Machining Solutions; organic group sales down 1.7%.
Semiconductor‑Related Weakness
Semiconductor‑related sales declined 16% organically in 2025 due to persistent project delays (U.S., Europe, China), causing an unfavorable product mix and pressuring margins.
Building Flow Solutions Decline
Building Flow Solutions organic sales declined 2.7% (adjusted decline 1.8% after discontinued product lines); Europe down ~2.1% organically and U.S. construction market weakened in H2.
Adverse Currency and Tariff Effects
Foreign exchange reduced group sales by ~CHF 153 million and negatively impacted EBIT (~CHF 29 million); tariffs estimated between CHF 5 million and CHF 10 million impacted U.S. industrial business.
Items Affecting Comparability and Impairments
One‑offs included CHF 44 million restructuring/other at EBITDA level, CHF 143 million book gain on Machining Solutions, and impairments/value adjustments of CHF 83 million + CHF 83 million (total CHF 166 million) related to Casting Solutions; net result effect and one‑offs depressed reported net profit.
Reported Profitability and Adjustments
Group comparable EBIT margin declined to 7.6%; reported group EBIT margin 7.9%; adjusted net profit ~CHF 147 million after removing divestment and impairment items, while net profit to shareholders (including items) was CHF 103 million.
Weak Free Cash Flow and Elevated Net Debt
Free cash flow excluding M&A declined to CHF 21 million in 2025; cash & cash equivalents fell to CHF 569 million; net debt ~CHF 1.7 billion (or ~CHF 1.4 billion after certain proceeds), with net debt/EBITDA ~3x and equity reduced to CHF 41 million (equity ratio ~1.1%).
Employee Reductions and Restructuring Impact
Fit for Growth will affect ~600 employees (~5% of workforce), with ~10% of those roles located in Switzerland; restructuring and severance charges and the human impact are material.
Elevated Tax Rate and 2026 Accounting Effects
Corporate tax rate temporarily elevated to ~40% in 2025 due to nonrecurring taxes; management expects elevated tax rate to persist into 2026 and normalize by 2027 (~26%); additionally, divestment‑related noncash effects (~CHF 180 million) will negatively impact 2026 reported EBIT/EBITDA.
Profitability Pressure from Product Mix
I&I comparable EBIT margin declined to 10.9% primarily due to unfavorable product mix (lower semiconductor sales), FX and tariffs, weighing on group margins.
Company Guidance
Management guided for 2026 to deliver low single‑digit organic sales growth with a comparable EBITDA margin of 14–16% (implying comparable EBIT of 10.5–12.5%) and free cash flow for Flow Solutions of CHF 175–200m; to support this they are implementing the Fit for Growth program to remove CHF 40m of costs in 2026 (majority secured by end‑Q1), impacting ~600 roles and with CHF 5–10m of the savings to be reinvested in sales/customer‑facing resources, plus a net‑working‑capital push targeting ~5% inventory reduction; management expects end‑2026 leverage below 3x net‑debt/EBITDA (versus ~3x at 2025 year‑end) but cautioned 2026 will include a divestment‑related non‑cash charge of ~CHF 180m and a temporarily elevated tax rate (~40%) before normalizing to ~26% in 2027; they reiterated medium‑term objectives of CHF 40–50m run‑rate synergies by 2027 (CHF 29m achieved in 2025), CHF 300m data‑center sales by 2030 (data‑center sales were ~CHF 30m in 2025), and see semiconductor‑related demand rising roughly 15% in 2026.

Georg Fischer AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Georg Fischer AG faces challenges in revenue growth and balance sheet stability, with high leverage impacting financial flexibility. However, effective cash flow management reflects operational strengths. The company needs to focus on improving profitability and reducing debt to enhance financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The revenue of Georg Fischer AG experienced a decrease from CHF 4.026 billion in 2023 to CHF 3.892 billion in 2024. Key profitability metrics include a gross profit margin of 41.56% and a net profit margin of 5.50% in 2024. The EBIT margin stands at 8.73% and EBITDA margin at 13.10%, indicating moderate operating efficiency. The decline in revenue and net income signals a need for improvement in growth strategies.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
Georg Fischer AG displays a weak balance sheet with negative stockholders' equity of CHF 44 million in 2023, improving slightly to CHF 109 million in 2024. The debt-to-equity ratio is concerning due to high debt levels. Despite a higher equity ratio of 2.54% in 2024, the overall leverage remains high, presenting significant financial risk.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The company shows strong cash flow management with an increase in operating cash flow from CHF 338 million in 2023 to CHF 393 million in 2024. Free cash flow improved by 33.83% to CHF 178 million, highlighting effective capital expenditure control. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio suggests room for better cash conversion efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.74B3.89B4.03B4.00B3.72B3.18B
Gross Profit1.31B1.62B899.00M899.00M748.00M597.00M
EBITDA576.00M510.00M467.00M513.00M414.00M302.00M
Net Income277.00M214.00M235.00M276.00M214.00M116.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.53B4.28B4.12B3.73B3.81B3.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments488.00M682.00M566.00M894.00M944.00M841.00M
Total Debt2.06B2.57B2.44B735.00M999.00M958.00M
Total Liabilities3.30B4.12B4.10B2.08B2.31B2.11B
Stockholders Equity178.00M109.00M-44.00M1.60B1.47B1.35B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow148.00M178.00M133.00M165.00M146.00M201.00M
Operating Cash Flow378.00M393.00M338.00M331.00M291.00M346.00M
Investing Cash Flow257.00M-281.00M-2.12B-123.00M-168.00M-110.00M
Financing Cash Flow-722.00M-4.00M1.50B-236.00M-35.00M94.00M

Georg Fischer AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price54.60
Price Trends
50DMA
53.27
Positive
100DMA
54.74
Negative
200DMA
59.34
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.37
Positive
RSI
55.43
Neutral
STOCH
56.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CH:GF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 54.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 53.78, above the 50-day MA of 53.27, and below the 200-day MA of 59.34, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.37 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CH:GF.

Georg Fischer AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$5.97B21.7223.37%2.90%5.79%13.20%
74
Outperform
CHF2.04B27.412.17%11.43%6.46%
71
Outperform
CHF15.90B70.1032.09%1.63%19.22%11.62%
65
Neutral
CHF3.96B17.352.99%-11.64%-24.17%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
59
Neutral
CHF1.62B27.221.46%-3.67%-12.95%
54
Neutral
CHF4.48B15.912.53%-24.42%32.48%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CH:GF
Georg Fischer AG
51.35
-19.17
-27.18%
CH:KARN
Kardex AG
260.00
-0.16
-0.06%
CH:INRN
Interroll Holding AG
1,940.00
-278.66
-12.56%
CH:BUCN
Bucher Industries AG
381.50
11.79
3.19%
CH:SUN
Sulzer AG
178.20
36.88
26.10%
CH:VACN
VAT Group AG
549.00
202.62
58.49%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025