CPH Group AG Class A (CPHN) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: CHF403.17M
• Dividend Yield: 2.98%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.00K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 13.2
• Beta (1Y): 0.39
• Revenue Growth: -45.71%
• EPS Growth: 215.99%
• Country: CH
• Employees: 959
• Sector: Services
• Sector Strength: N/A
• Industry: Paper, Lumber & Forest Products
• EPS (TTM): 2.86
• Shares Outstanding: 6,000,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 835
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,003
• PEG Ratio: -1.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 2.10
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.98
• P/FCF Ratio: 19.40
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): 5.6
• Revenue Forecast (FY): CHF340.70M

• Rating: 54 Neutral
• Price Target: CHF73.00 ▲(8.63% Upside)

The overall stock score of 54 reflects significant challenges in financial performance, with declining revenue and net income impacting profitability. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, while valuation metrics suggest moderate attractiveness with a reasonable P/E ratio and dividend yield. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events limits further insights.

Positive Factors

Cash Flow Management

Positive free cash flow indicates strong cash management, enabling the company to fund operations and investments without relying on external financing, which is crucial for long-term sustainability.

Low Leverage

Low leverage reduces financial risk and interest obligations, providing the company with greater flexibility to navigate economic fluctuations and invest in growth opportunities.

Strong Equity Ratio

A strong equity ratio suggests a solid financial foundation, enhancing the company's ability to withstand economic downturns and invest in long-term strategic initiatives.

Negative Factors

Declining Revenue

A consistent decline in revenue indicates challenges in market demand or competitive positioning, which could impact the company's ability to sustain growth and profitability over time.

Net Income Decline

Falling net income reflects potential operational inefficiencies or market pressures, which may hinder the company's capacity to reinvest in business development and innovation.

Equity Reduction

A reduction in equity can weaken the company's financial position, limiting its ability to secure favorable financing terms and invest in future growth opportunities.

CPH Group AG Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

CPH Chemie + Papier Holding AG, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the developing, manufacturing, and distributing chemicals, printing paper, and pharmaceutical packaging films. The Chemistry division manufactures and distributes molecular, chromatography gels, and deuterated products under the Zeochem brand. The Paper division manufactures newsprint and magazine paper products under the Perlen Papier brand; and recycles domestically recovered paper. The Packaging division provides a range of PVC mono films and coated PVdC high-barrier films for pharmaceutical industry under the Perlen Packaging brand name. It operates in Switzerland, rest of Europe, the Americas, Asia, and internationally. The company was founded in 1818 and is headquartered in Root, Switzerland.

How the Company Makes Money

CPH Group AG generates revenue through the sale of its specialty chemicals and materials to a wide range of industries. The company's revenue model is based on direct sales to customers, as well as through strategic partnerships and collaborations with other firms in the manufacturing and industrial sectors. Key revenue streams include the production and sale of high-performance resins, adhesives, and coatings, which are essential for various applications. Additionally, CPHN benefits from long-term contracts with major clients that provide a stable income stream, while ongoing investments in research and development help to innovate and expand its product offerings, ultimately driving growth and profitability.

CPH Group AG Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary

CPH Group AG Class A faces challenges with declining revenue and net income, indicating pressure on profitability. The balance sheet shows low leverage but a significant drop in equity, posing a risk. Cash flow management is robust with positive free cash flow, but declining operational cash generation could affect future growth.

Income Statement

The income statement shows a concerning trend with declining total revenue from 2022 to 2024, coupled with a significant drop in net income. The gross profit margin has been erratic, with a negative margin in 2021, indicating potential operational inefficiencies. Recent margins are low, with a gross profit margin of 36.24% and a net profit margin of 1.04% in 2024, suggesting limited profitability. Revenue growth has stagnated lately, posing a risk to income stability. However, the company managed to maintain positive EBIT and EBITDA margins, which are critical for future profitability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet indicates a moderately stable financial structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09 in 2024, showcasing low leverage. However, stockholders' equity has decreased significantly from 2022, reflecting a weakened financial position. The equity ratio remains strong at 62.98%, indicating substantial shareholder equity relative to total assets. Despite these strengths, the decline in total assets and stockholders' equity raises concerns about the company's long-term financial health.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement reveals a decrease in operating cash flow from 2022 to 2024. The free cash flow to net income ratio has dropped, indicating less cash being generated relative to net income. However, the company has consistently maintained positive free cash flow, which is crucial for funding operations and investments without relying on external financing. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 9.83 in 2024, suggesting efficient cash management despite reduced profitability.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	322.34M	447.86M	623.98M	725.35M	496.69M	445.19M
Gross Profit	105.81M	162.31M	224.67M	125.21M	-2.92M	43.77M
EBITDA	54.35M	30.90M	113.06M	131.09M	-117.87M	72.03M
Net Income	30.43M	4.65M	78.89M	100.95M	-151.56M	46.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	364.91M	332.61M	598.19M	666.19M	560.40M	704.23M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	25.61M	31.60M	107.64M	143.61M	95.12M	116.28M
Total Debt	55.87M	18.94M	723.00K	98.85M	109.82M	117.83M
Total Liabilities	166.65M	123.16M	161.92M	266.62M	249.90M	232.37M
Stockholders Equity	198.26M	209.45M	436.27M	398.21M	309.13M	470.72M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	8.01M	22.69M	75.22M	63.72M	-8.76M	36.18M
Operating Cash Flow	26.65M	45.68M	109.86M	97.63M	15.83M	54.96M
Investing Cash Flow	-34.96M	-46.74M	-18.00M	-29.62M	-19.22M	-15.28M
Financing Cash Flow	6.07M	-75.52M	-125.66M	-18.99M	-17.98M	-15.62M

CPH Group AG Class A Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 67.20
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CH:CPHN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 67.2 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 67.81, below the 50-day MA of 68.76, and below the 200-day MA of 70.31, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.95 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.02 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CH:CPHN.

CPH Group AG Class A Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
COTN	72 Outperform	CHF1.72B	44.07	―	0.68%	27.24%	122.39%
VILN	60 Neutral	CHF59.51M	24.05	―	1.40%	-4.53%	43.42%
Sector *	55 Neutral	$13.29B	17.42	10.03%	0.93%	7.13%	-12.93%
CPHN	54 Neutral	CHF403.17M	13.24	―	2.98%	-45.71%	215.99%
ZWM	52 Neutral	CHF10.04M	-1.21	―	―	-13.04%	-1151.20%
AEVS	44 Neutral	CHF1.15B	550.61	―	―	9.72%	―

CPH Group AG Class A Corporate Events

CPH Group Adjusts 2025 Earnings Forecast Amid Market Challenges

CPH Group AG has adjusted its earnings forecast for 2025, anticipating an EBITDA of CHF 50 million, lower EBIT, and a reduced net result due to challenges in the global pharmaceutical packaging market, unfavorable exchange rates, and increased costs. Despite these challenges, the company expects revenue to remain above the previous year and continues to focus on cost reductions and process optimizations to improve profitability. The company remains optimistic about its medium-term growth prospects, driven by trends in health, demographics, and energy, and expects stable business development and positive earnings in 2026.