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Crescent Biopharma (CBIO)
NASDAQ:CBIO

Crescent Biopharma (CBIO) AI Stock Analysis

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CBIO

Crescent Biopharma

(NASDAQ:CBIO)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$12.50
▲(20.77% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/27/26
The score is held back primarily by very weak financial performance (no revenue, widening losses, and substantial cash burn). Offsetting this are improved balance-sheet strength and a significant financing event extending operating runway, while technicals are moderately constructive but not fully positive given the stock remains below its 200-day average and momentum indicators are somewhat extended.
Positive Factors
Stronger capitalization and low leverage
A materially stronger equity base and minimal debt materially improve financial flexibility over the medium term. This reduces short-term liquidity pressure and lowers bankruptcy/default risk, enabling sustained R&D investment and strategic optionality without immediate reliance on dilutive financing.
Substantial cash runway from financing
Having over $200M of cash expected to fund operations into 2028 materially lowers near-term funding risk. This runway supports multi-year clinical programs, reduces the need for urgent capital raises, and gives management time to progress milestones that create durable value.
Strategic partnership and global licensing
Region-specific licensing spreads development and commercialization risk while unlocking local expertise and funding. The deal accelerates access to Greater China markets, supports combination development, and leverages a partner's commercialization capabilities—structural benefits for pipeline de‑risking.
Negative Factors
Widening operating losses
Large, growing operating losses reflect heavy R&D and operating spend without meaningful commercial revenues. Persistently negative profitability depresses return on capital, forces reliance on external financing, and risks dilution if losses continue absent clear path to revenue.
High ongoing cash burn and negative FCF
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow is a structural vulnerability: ongoing burn necessitates future capital raises or partner funding, increasing dilution risk and constraining strategic options if clinical progress slows or markets tighten for biotech financing.
Early-stage clinical risk and long timelines
Key assets remain in early clinical stages, making near-to-medium term value highly binary. Long timelines to pivotal readouts increase execution risk, require sustained funding, and mean commercial returns are uncertain until positive efficacy/safety data are demonstrated.

Crescent Biopharma (CBIO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Crescent Biopharma Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCrescent Biopharma, Inc., a biotechnology company, researches and develops cancer therapy candidates. Its pipeline includes CR-001, a proprietary anti-PD-1/anti-VEGF bispecific antibody to treat solid tumors; and CR-002, and CR-003. The company has a strategic partnership with Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharmaceutical Co., Ltd. for the development and commercialization of oncology therapeutics, including novel combinations. The company is headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyGlycoMimetics generates revenue primarily through research and development collaborations, milestone payments, and licensing agreements with larger pharmaceutical companies. These partnerships provide funding and resources for the development of its drug candidates. The company may also receive royalties from the commercial sales of any successfully developed products. As GlycoMimetics is a clinical-stage company, it does not yet have products on the market and thus does not generate revenue from direct product sales. Instead, its financial performance depends heavily on its ability to secure and maintain strategic partnerships to advance its drug pipeline toward commercialization.

Crescent Biopharma Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2024
(Q1-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call revealed challenges with the Phase III trial not meeting its primary endpoint, leading to financial and strategic reassessments. However, there is a commitment to further analyze the rich data collected and ongoing trials continue to explore the potential of uproleselan in AML treatment.
Q1-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Low Discontinuation Rate
The study had a low discontinuation rate of 3%, indicating good patient retention and adherence to the trial protocol.
Rich Data Set for Future Analysis
The study involved 388 patients with an unprecedented follow-up of over 3 years, providing a rich data set for further analysis and potential insights into AML treatment.
Commitment to Further Research
Despite the trial's primary endpoint not being met, GlycoMimetics remains committed to exploring uproleselan's potential in AML and plans to conduct a rigorous analysis of the data.
Ongoing Trials and Future Plans
The National Cancer Institute is sponsoring an ongoing Phase II/III trial evaluating uproleselan in newly diagnosed older patients with AML, and results will be shared when available.
Negative Updates
Phase III Study Did Not Meet Primary Endpoint
The pivotal Phase III study of uproleselan did not achieve a statistically significant improvement in overall survival in the intent-to-treat population.
Unprecedented Control Group Survival
The control group showed a median overall survival of 12.3 months, which is unprecedented in relapsed/refractory AML trials, potentially affecting the study's outcomes.
Financial and Budgetary Concerns
The company is evaluating ways to reduce cash burn and is expected to report back to investors with a revised budget.
Company Guidance
During the Q1 2024 earnings call for GlycoMimetics, the management provided updates on the Phase III study of their lead drug candidate, uproleselan, which unfortunately did not achieve a statistically significant improvement in overall survival for patients with relapsed/refractory acute myeloid leukemia (AML). The trial involved 388 patients across 70 sites in 9 countries, with a median overall survival of 13 months for the uproleselan arm and 12.3 months for the placebo arm. Despite not meeting its primary endpoint, the study's unexpected control group survival rate of over one year is considered unprecedented in this setting. The company plans to conduct a comprehensive analysis of the data in collaboration with medical, statistical, and regulatory experts and intends to present findings at a future medical meeting. Additionally, GlycoMimetics highlighted ongoing studies, including a National Cancer Institute-sponsored Phase II/III trial, and mentioned efforts to manage cash burn and revise budget plans as they proceed with further analyses and discussions with the FDA.

Crescent Biopharma Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are weak overall: revenue is effectively $0 and losses widened sharply (net loss about -$150M in 2025 vs. -$71M in 2024), alongside continued heavy cash burn (operating/free cash flow roughly -$72M). The main offset is a materially stronger 2025 balance sheet with higher equity (~$203M) and very low debt (~$1.6M), improving financial runway despite negative ROE.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
CBIO’s income statement is very weak: revenue has effectively collapsed to $0 in 2024–2025 (down 100% in 2025 vs. the prior year), while losses have widened materially (net loss of about -$150M in 2025 vs. -$71M in 2024). The lack of meaningful revenue combined with sharply higher operating losses signals heavy R&D/operating spend without near-term commercial offset; the main positive is that a pre-revenue profile is not unusual in biotechnology, but the year-over-year deterioration in profitability is a clear negative.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a meaningful improvement in capitalization and leverage in 2025: stockholders’ equity rose sharply to ~$203M and debt is very low at ~$1.6M (debt is ~0.8% of equity), indicating limited balance-sheet leverage. The key weakness is profitability/wealth creation: return on equity remains deeply negative in 2025 (reflecting large losses), and the prior year (2024) showed very high leverage (debt far exceeding equity), highlighting that the capital structure has been volatile across periods.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Cash flow remains pressured, with operating cash flow and free cash flow both substantially negative in 2025 (roughly -$72M), implying a high ongoing cash burn. A modest positive is that free cash flow improved versus 2024 (positive growth rate), suggesting burn reduced on a year-over-year basis; however, cash generation is still not self-funding and the company remains dependent on external capital over time if this burn persists.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.84M0.0010.00K75.00K1.16M
Gross Profit10.76M-35.17K10.00K75.00K1.16M
EBITDA-149.67M0.00-39.12M-47.20M-63.18M
Net Income-149.94M-71.47M-36.90M-46.69M-63.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets240.29M35.62M45.32M51.81M94.35M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments213.19M34.77M41.79M47.87M90.25M
Total Debt1.64M37.48M808.40K918.55K1.92M
Total Liabilities37.28M51.10M6.90M8.88M12.74M
Stockholders Equity203.01M5.31M38.41M42.93M81.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-72.45M-31.11M-34.90M-46.54M-57.50M
Operating Cash Flow-71.53M-31.10M-34.88M-46.46M-57.49M
Investing Cash Flow-72.92M20.03K-21.39K-84.19K-14.94K
Financing Cash Flow322.98M5.40K28.82M4.16M10.72M

Crescent Biopharma Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price10.35
Price Trends
50DMA
11.19
Negative
100DMA
12.08
Negative
200DMA
12.94
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Positive
RSI
41.38
Neutral
STOCH
16.31
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CBIO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.70, below the 50-day MA of 11.19, and below the 200-day MA of 12.94, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.31 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CBIO.

Crescent Biopharma Risk Analysis

Crescent Biopharma disclosed 68 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Crescent Biopharma reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Crescent Biopharma Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$199.51M4.0455.68%-88.47%-1658.33%
52
Neutral
$292.65M-8.24-122.12%-100.00%-0.58%
52
Neutral
$271.54M-3,008.78-170.45%6.46%-14.32%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$125.56M-0.86-55.02%-46.92%20.26%
47
Neutral
$59.83M-0.56-3645.22%-96.91%63.11%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CBIO
Crescent Biopharma
10.62
-16.52
-60.87%
CGEN
Compugen
2.11
0.51
31.87%
FATE
Fate Therapeutics
1.08
0.14
15.38%
OBIO
Orchestra BioMed Holdings
4.64
0.29
6.67%
GUTS
Fractyl Health, Inc.
0.44
-0.79
-64.55%
ACTU
Actuate Therapeutics, Inc.
2.50
-4.49
-64.23%

Crescent Biopharma Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Crescent Biopharma Secures $185M Through Private Placement
Positive
Dec 4, 2025

On December 2, 2025, Crescent Biopharma entered into a strategic partnership with Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharmaceutical Co., Ltd., involving two license agreements. Crescent granted Kelun-Biotech exclusive rights to develop and commercialize CR-001, a bispecific antibody, in Greater China, while Crescent received rights to develop SKB105, an integrin beta-6-directed ADC, outside Greater China. This collaboration is expected to enhance Crescent’s oncology pipeline and accelerate the development of combination therapies. Additionally, Crescent announced a private placement agreement on December 4, 2025, to raise approximately $185 million, which will fund its operations into 2028, supporting its strategic initiatives and clinical development programs.

The most recent analyst rating on (CBIO) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Crescent Biopharma stock, see the CBIO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 27, 2026