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Babcock & Wilcox Company (BW)
NYSE:BW

Babcock & Wilcox Company (BW) AI Stock Analysis

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BW

Babcock & Wilcox Company

(NYSE:BW)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$11.00
▲(4.66% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/14/26
The score is held back most by weak financial performance (negative equity and persistent negative operating/free cash flow). This is partially offset by a strong earnings-call outlook (improving profitability metrics, expanding backlog, and upbeat 2026 EBITDA guidance) and a moderately constructive technical setup, while valuation support is limited due to ongoing losses and no stated common dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Large AI data‑center projects & backlog expansion
Securing a multi‑billion-dollar design‑build with Applied Digital and lifting backlog to ~$2.8B materially deepens multi‑year revenue visibility. Large, long‑duration projects create steady execution work, spare‑parts and services follow‑on demand and reduce near‑term revenue volatility.
Improving EBITDA and 2026 guidance
Sustained adjusted EBITDA improvement and explicit 2026 EBITDA guidance indicate operational leverage returning. Higher recurring margins across parts, services and project execution support margin sustainability and provide a clearer path to rebuild equity and free cash generation over the medium term.
Stronger liquidity posture and debt reduction
Meaningful debt paydowns plus a credit amendment extending maturity to 2028 and increased availability ease near‑term refinancing risk. Longer maturities and improved lender flexibility support execution of large projects and reduce the immediacy of liquidity pressures while management executes deleveraging.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative equity
Negative equity reflects cumulative losses and constrains financial flexibility; it distorts leverage metrics and increases insolvency risk. Until retained earnings rebuild, the company remains vulnerable to adverse swings, limiting strategic options like acquisitions or major capital spending.
Chronic operating and free cash burn
Consistent negative operating and free cash flow forces reliance on asset sales, equity raises or debt to fund operations. Even with EBITDA improvement, persistent cash burn reduces flexibility for capex, working capital and pension obligations, raising execution risk on large projects.
Choppy revenue and recurring losses
Irregular revenue trends and repeated net losses show the company has not yet established consistent earnings power. This undermines credibility of sustained profitability, complicates recovery of equity, and heightens sensitivity to project timing or contract execution setbacks.

Babcock & Wilcox Company (BW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Babcock & Wilcox Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBabcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides energy and emissions control solutions to a range of industrial, electrical utility, municipal, and other customers worldwide. It operates through three segments: Babcock & Wilcox Renewable; Babcock & Wilcox Environmental; and Babcock & Wilcox Thermal. The Babcock & Wilcox Renewable segment offers technologies for waste-to-energy, solar construction and installation, and biomass energy systems, as well as black liquor systems for the pulp and paper industry. This segment provides technologies support solutions for diverting waste from landfills to use for power generation and replacing fossil fuels while recovering metals and reducing emissions. The Babcock & Wilcox Environmental segment offers a range of emissions control and environmental technology solutions for utility, waste to energy, biomass, carbon black, and industrial steam generation applications. This segment provides systems for cooling, ash handling, particulate control, nitrogen oxides and sulfur dioxides removal, chemical looping for carbon control, and mercury control. The Babcock & Wilcox Thermal segment offers steam generation equipment; aftermarket parts; and construction, maintenance, and field services for plants in the power generation, oil and gas, and industrial sectors. This segment has an installed equipment for utilities and general industrial applications, including refining, petrochemical, food processing, metals, and others. The company was founded in 1867 and is headquartered in Akron, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyB&W makes money primarily by selling engineered equipment, technology solutions, and related services to utilities and industrial customers. Key revenue streams generally include: (1) Projects and equipment sales—revenue from designing, engineering, manufacturing, and installing steam generation/boiler systems and other power or environmental equipment, typically recognized based on contract terms and project progress; (2) Aftermarket and service revenue—higher-frequency, recurring revenue from maintenance, inspections, field services, component replacements, parts, and performance upgrades for customer plants and for B&W’s installed base; (3) Environmental and emissions-control solutions—revenue from supplying and servicing systems intended to reduce or manage pollutants (e.g., retrofits and compliance-related upgrades), often driven by regulatory requirements and plant modernization needs. Factors that commonly influence earnings include the size and activity level of the installed base, timing and execution of large project contracts, customer capital spending cycles, and demand for compliance and reliability upgrades. Specific significant partnerships contributing to earnings: null.

Babcock & Wilcox Company Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Babcock & Wilcox Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials remain weak: revenue has been choppy, profitability is still negative (losses in four of the last five years), equity is negative (elevated solvency risk), and operating/free cash flow are consistently negative, indicating ongoing cash burn. Debt coming down is a positive, but not enough to offset the stressed balance sheet and weak cash generation.
Income Statement
32
Negative
Revenue has been choppy, declining in 2024 and 2025 after a strong 2023 rebound, and profitability remains the key issue. Net results have been negative in four of the last five years (including a sizable loss in 2023), and 2025 still shows an ~8.7% net loss margin despite modest EBITDA margin (~3.5%). A positive sign is that losses narrowed versus 2023–2024, but the company has not demonstrated consistent earnings power.
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
The balance sheet is stressed by persistent negative equity (2022–2025), which indicates accumulated losses and limits financial flexibility. Debt levels are meaningful, and leverage metrics are distorted by the negative equity position—still, the trend shows debt coming down in 2025 versus 2024, which is constructive. Overall solvency risk remains elevated until equity and profitability are rebuilt.
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
Cash generation is weak: operating cash flow has been negative every year shown (2020–2025), and free cash flow is also consistently negative, with further deterioration in 2025 versus 2024. While losses have at times been accompanied by free cash flow that is not worse than net income, the core issue is ongoing cash burn, which increases reliance on external financing or asset actions.
BreakdownDec 2025Mar 2025Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue587.70M717.33M727.32M609.44M710.87M
Gross Profit143.90M177.03M176.70M145.13M175.05M
EBITDA33.00M2.06M-2.41M58.67M79.15M
Net Income-36.10M-59.91M-197.21M-22.86M30.89M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets662.90M726.99M775.70M941.69M913.26M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments89.50M23.40M39.86M76.24M224.87M
Total Debt368.70M537.93M434.23M410.27M402.74M
Total Liabilities794.50M1.01B976.05M943.78M854.64M
Stockholders Equity-131.60M-283.76M-200.96M-2.57M33.15M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-85.70M-129.94M-52.07M-43.88M-117.88M
Operating Cash Flow-68.90M-118.73M-42.27M-30.64M-111.20M
Investing Cash Flow197.00M109.96M-7.94M-68.80M-33.54M
Financing Cash Flow-58.70M69.73M8.56M-11.16M302.81M

Babcock & Wilcox Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price10.51
Price Trends
50DMA
9.49
Positive
100DMA
7.41
Positive
200DMA
4.60
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.06
Negative
RSI
48.89
Neutral
STOCH
69.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BW, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 10.51 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.65, above the 50-day MA of 9.49, and above the 200-day MA of 4.60, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BW.

Babcock & Wilcox Company Risk Analysis

Babcock & Wilcox Company disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Babcock & Wilcox Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Babcock & Wilcox Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
$351.63M72.248.13%2.32%-3.90%61.80%
60
Neutral
$309.03M11.5613.57%3.70%3.36%57.40%
55
Neutral
$1.17B-18.51-38.45%-148.99%
54
Neutral
$51.05M12.358.34%-1.47%52.65%
41
Neutral
$4.38M-2.28-82.18%-57.40%52.85%
35
Underperform
$27.82M-0.91-98.20%93.77%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BW
Babcock & Wilcox Company
10.51
9.56
1006.32%
BWEN
Broadwind Energy
2.19
0.75
52.08%
PKOH
Park-Ohio Holdings
24.42
3.21
15.13%
LXFR
Luxfer
11.60
-0.04
-0.31%
CETY
Clean Energy Technologies
0.84
-9.51
-91.85%
BURU
Nuburu
0.23
-0.97
-81.04%

Babcock & Wilcox Company Corporate Events

Dividends
Babcock & Wilcox Declares Dividend on Series A Preferred
Positive
Mar 12, 2026

On March 11, 2026, Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc. declared a cash dividend of $0.4843750 per share on its 7.75% Series A Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, with a record date of March 21, 2026 and payment scheduled for March 31, 2026. The move underscores the company’s continued commitment to meeting its obligations to preferred shareholders and may signal confidence in its ability to maintain preferred distributions despite broader market and industry pressures.

The preferred issue remains listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker BW PRA, ensuring liquidity and visibility for investors tracking the income stream tied to this security. The board’s action, executed under the authority of executive vice president and chief financial officer Cameron Frymyer, provides a degree of income predictability for holders of the preferred shares and helps support the company’s credibility in capital markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (BW) stock is a Hold with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Babcock & Wilcox Company stock, see the BW Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Babcock & Wilcox Posts Strong 2025 Earnings, Cuts Debt
Positive
Mar 4, 2026

On February 26, 2026, Babcock & Wilcox, through The Babcock & Wilcox Company, signed a $2.4 billion definitive design-build agreement with Base Electron, an Applied Digital company, to design and install four 300-megawatt natural gas-fired boilers and steam turbine systems to power an AI data center, converting an earlier limited notice to proceed into a full notice and lifting its backlog to $2.8 billion. On March 4, 2026, the company reported that fourth-quarter 2025 operating income rose to $12.2 million with adjusted EBITDA up 53% year over year, full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA more than doubled to $43.7 million while losses from continuing operations narrowed sharply, and debt was significantly reduced, positioning B&W to capitalize on surging baseload power demand from data centers and increased coal utilization while it continues to strengthen its balance sheet.

The most recent analyst rating on (BW) stock is a Hold with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Babcock & Wilcox Company stock, see the BW Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Babcock & Wilcox Amends Credit Facility, Extends Maturity
Positive
Mar 4, 2026

On February 25, 2026, Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc. and its lenders executed a tenth amendment to their January 18, 2024 credit agreement, increasing borrowing availability tied to inventory and receivables and extending the facility’s maturity to January 18, 2028. The amendment also suspends a PBGC Reserve until at least January 1, 2027, relaxes certain deposit account and foreign currency covenants, and releases BRC Group Holdings, Inc. as a specified guarantor, collectively enhancing the company’s liquidity flexibility while slightly reshaping its guarantor structure and pension-related obligations.

These changes may improve the company’s near- to medium-term financial stability by providing greater access to working capital and a longer debt runway, which could support ongoing operations and strategic initiatives. However, the conditional reinstatement of the PBGC Reserve tied to a $3 million installment due by September 15, 2026 maintains pressure on the company to meet its pension-related commitments while balancing its capital structure and lender expectations.

The most recent analyst rating on (BW) stock is a Hold with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Babcock & Wilcox Company stock, see the BW Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Babcock & Wilcox Adds Akbari to Strengthen Board
Positive
Jan 27, 2026

On January 21, 2026, Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc. appointed Dr. Homaira Akbari to its board of directors, effective January 26, 2026, increasing the board to seven members. A seasoned director who has served on more than 25 public and private company boards, including Veolia Group and Banco Santander, and a former member of B&W’s Advisory Board from 2022 through 2025, Dr. Akbari brings extensive international leadership experience in technology, energy and finance, including senior roles at Microsoft, Thales and Liberty Media. B&W’s leadership highlighted her expertise in AI factories and data centers, power generation systems and waste-to-energy technologies as strategically important to advancing the company’s power, carbon capture and environmental solutions offerings, signaling a focus on strengthening its board’s technological and energy-transition capabilities to support both near-term execution and long-term value creation for its customer base and stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (BW) stock is a Buy with a $10.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Babcock & Wilcox Company stock, see the BW Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Babcock & Wilcox Announces Executive Vice President Departure
Neutral
Jan 12, 2026

On January 8, 2026, Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc. announced that Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary John Dziewisz will step down and leave the company after 30 years of service, with his last day set for May 31, 2026. Under a Separation Agreement and Release of Claims, Dziewisz is to receive $500,000 in severance over one year, accelerated vesting of previously awarded restricted stock units and cash retention bonuses, one year of outplacement services, partial COBRA premium support for three months, and eligibility for bonuses and long-term cash incentives earned on 2025 performance, while granting the company a general release of claims and agreeing to a consulting arrangement, signaling an orderly leadership transition in the company’s legal function.

The most recent analyst rating on (BW) stock is a Buy with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Babcock & Wilcox Company stock, see the BW Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 14, 2026