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Babcock & Wilcox Company (BW)
NYSE:BW

Babcock & Wilcox Company (BW) AI Stock Analysis

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BW

Babcock & Wilcox Company

(NYSE:BW)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$8.00
▼(-2.68% Downside)
The score balances very weak financial fundamentals (losses, negative equity, and negative cash flows) against strong technical momentum and a constructive earnings outlook driven by rising backlog and optimistic 2026 EBITDA guidance. Valuation remains constrained by ongoing losses and the lack of a stated common dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Backlog Growth
A 56% QoQ backlog increase to $393M provides multi-quarter revenue visibility and supports capacity planning. Durable backlog inflows reduce near-term demand volatility, help smooth utilization, and underpin a sustainable revenue recovery trajectory if project execution remains on schedule.
AI Data Center Contract & Pipeline
Securing a large Applied Digital AI data center project and $3–5B pipeline expands BW's addressable market into high-growth, infrastructure-intensive AI deployments. This leverages core thermal and steam expertise, creates multi-year parts & services annuities, and diversifies revenue beyond legacy power markets.
Improving Adjusted EBITDA and Operating Income
Sharp YoY gains in adjusted EBITDA (+58%) and operating income (+315%) signal operational leverage and improving project margins. If sustained, these dynamics can accelerate cash generation, support deleveraging plans, and justify continued reinvestment into higher-margin service and technology offerings.
Negative Factors
Negative Equity & High Leverage
Negative equity and a debt-to-equity near -2 indicate prior losses have eroded book capital, constraining financial flexibility. This structure increases refinancing and covenant risk, likely necessitating further asset sales, equity raises, or costly financings that can dilute shareholders and limit strategic optionality.
Persistent Negative Cash Flows
Ongoing negative operating and free cash flows, with FCF contraction, undermine the firm's ability to fund capital expenditures and working capital internally. Reliance on external capital increases vulnerability to market conditions and could impede consistent execution on backlog and long-term projects.
Revenue Decline & Negative Margins
A persistent revenue decline alongside deeply negative net and operating margins suggests structural demand or pricing pressure in parts of the business. Until top-line stabilization and margin recovery occur, sustainable profitability and balance sheet repair remain uncertain despite recent operational improvements.

Babcock & Wilcox Company (BW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Babcock & Wilcox Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBabcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides energy and emissions control solutions to a range of industrial, electrical utility, municipal, and other customers worldwide. It operates through three segments: Babcock & Wilcox Renewable; Babcock & Wilcox Environmental; and Babcock & Wilcox Thermal. The Babcock & Wilcox Renewable segment offers technologies for waste-to-energy, solar construction and installation, and biomass energy systems, as well as black liquor systems for the pulp and paper industry. This segment provides technologies support solutions for diverting waste from landfills to use for power generation and replacing fossil fuels while recovering metals and reducing emissions. The Babcock & Wilcox Environmental segment offers a range of emissions control and environmental technology solutions for utility, waste to energy, biomass, carbon black, and industrial steam generation applications. This segment provides systems for cooling, ash handling, particulate control, nitrogen oxides and sulfur dioxides removal, chemical looping for carbon control, and mercury control. The Babcock & Wilcox Thermal segment offers steam generation equipment; aftermarket parts; and construction, maintenance, and field services for plants in the power generation, oil and gas, and industrial sectors. This segment has an installed equipment for utilities and general industrial applications, including refining, petrochemical, food processing, metals, and others. The company was founded in 1867 and is headquartered in Akron, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyBabcock & Wilcox generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of equipment and systems related to power generation and environmental technologies. Key revenue streams include the design, engineering, and manufacturing of boiler systems, emissions control systems, and renewable energy solutions. Additionally, BW earns income through service contracts that involve the maintenance and upgrading of existing systems. The company benefits from strategic partnerships with major energy producers and utility companies, which not only enhance its market reach but also provide opportunities for long-term contracts and collaborative projects that contribute significantly to its earnings. Market demand for cleaner energy solutions and regulatory requirements for emissions reduction further support BW's revenue potential in a transitioning energy landscape.

Babcock & Wilcox Company Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Babcock & Wilcox Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance in terms of adjusted EBITDA, operating income, and backlog growth. The company has effectively reduced its debt and secured a major project in the AI data center space, indicating promising future opportunities. Despite a net loss from continuing operations, the overall outlook is positive with significant growth anticipated for 2026.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Increase in Adjusted EBITDA and Operating Income
Adjusted EBITDA was 58% higher compared to the third quarter of 2024, while operating income increased by 315% from the same period in 2024.
Record Backlog Growth
Backlog rose 56% quarter-over-quarter to over $393 million, driven by increased demand for power generation projects.
Successful Debt Reduction Strategy
Through asset dispositions and equity raises, B&W has significantly reduced its debt, including plans to pay down February 2026 notes by the end of 2025.
Major AI Data Center Project
Signed a limited notice to proceed with Applied Digital for a $1.5 billion AI data center project, expected to add $3 billion to $5 billion in pipeline opportunities.
Positive Outlook for 2026
Projected 2026 adjusted EBITDA of $70 million to $85 million, representing 80% growth year-over-year from 2025.
Negative Updates
Net Loss from Continuing Operations
The company reported a loss from continuing operations of $2.3 million in the third quarter of 2025.
Company Guidance
During the Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Third Quarter 2025 Conference Call, significant improvements were reported in financial performance metrics. Adjusted EBITDA outperformed expectations, increasing by 58% compared to the third quarter of 2024, and operating income rose by 315%. The Global Parts & Services segment achieved record quarterly bookings and revenue, contributing to a 56% quarter-over-quarter rise in backlog, totaling over $393 million. The company also announced plans to pay down February 2026 notes by year-end 2025 and start addressing December 2026 bonds. Looking ahead to 2026, B&W projects core business EBITDA to range between $70 million and $85 million, marking an 80% year-over-year growth from 2025. The company is also entering the AI data center market, announcing a project with Applied Digital valued at over $1.5 billion, expected to add $3 billion to $5 billion in AI data center opportunities to their pipeline.

Babcock & Wilcox Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Babcock & Wilcox Company is facing significant financial challenges. The income statement shows declining revenues and substantial losses, with a negative net profit margin. The balance sheet is highly leveraged with negative equity, indicating financial instability. Cash flows are negative, although there is some efficiency in free cash flow conversion.
Income Statement
The income statement shows a declining trend in revenue with a negative revenue growth rate of -10.12% in the TTM period. Gross profit margin has slightly improved to 26.76%, but the net profit margin is significantly negative at -20.07%, indicating substantial losses. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational challenges. Overall, the company faces profitability issues with declining revenues.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of -1.996, indicating a leveraged position with negative equity. The return on equity is negative, reflecting losses. The equity ratio is not favorable due to negative equity, suggesting financial instability. The company is heavily reliant on debt financing, posing a risk to financial health.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis shows negative operating and free cash flows, with a free cash flow growth rate of -25.10% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is above 1, suggesting some efficiency in converting net income to free cash flow despite losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue540.53M717.33M727.32M609.44M710.87M566.32M
Gross Profit144.68M177.03M176.70M145.13M175.05M165.85M
EBITDA-20.84M2.06M-2.41M58.67M79.15M56.21M
Net Income-108.47M-59.91M-197.21M-22.86M30.89M-10.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets657.90M726.99M775.70M941.69M913.26M599.08M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments189.90M23.40M39.86M76.24M224.87M57.34M
Total Debt463.50M537.93M434.23M410.27M402.74M389.23M
Total Liabilities890.10M1.01B976.05M943.78M854.64M930.05M
Stockholders Equity-232.20M-283.76M-200.96M-2.57M33.15M-332.08M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-102.05M-129.94M-52.07M-43.88M-117.88M-49.00M
Operating Cash Flow-88.38M-118.73M-42.27M-30.64M-111.20M-40.80M
Investing Cash Flow204.37M109.96M-7.94M-68.80M-33.54M2.20M
Financing Cash Flow-38.48M69.73M8.56M-11.16M302.81M44.10M

Babcock & Wilcox Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.22
Price Trends
50DMA
5.99
Positive
100DMA
4.45
Positive
200DMA
2.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.62
Negative
RSI
73.85
Negative
STOCH
95.25
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.22 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.07, above the 50-day MA of 5.99, and above the 200-day MA of 2.65, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.62 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.85 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.25 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BW.

Babcock & Wilcox Company Risk Analysis

Babcock & Wilcox Company disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Babcock & Wilcox Company reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Babcock & Wilcox Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$382.38M27.067.14%3.70%3.36%57.40%
67
Neutral
$322.73M10.828.13%2.32%-3.90%61.80%
65
Neutral
$85.15M17.918.20%-1.47%52.65%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
$883.25M-3.96-38.45%-148.99%
41
Neutral
$3.80M-0.62-82.18%-57.40%52.85%
35
Underperform
$83.70M-0.16-98.20%93.77%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BW
Babcock & Wilcox Company
8.49
7.03
481.51%
BWEN
Broadwind Energy
4.00
2.21
123.46%
PKOH
Park-Ohio Holdings
23.00
-1.15
-4.76%
LXFR
Luxfer
14.72
2.45
19.97%
CETY
Clean Energy Technologies
0.77
-6.43
-89.29%
BURU
Nuburu
0.18
-0.29
-62.34%

Babcock & Wilcox Company Corporate Events

Dividends
Babcock & Wilcox Announces Preferred Stock Dividend
Positive
Dec 9, 2025

On December 9, 2025, Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc. announced that its board of directors approved a dividend of $0.4843750 per share for its 7.75% Series A Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, with the record date set for December 19, 2025, and payment scheduled for December 31, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing shareholder value and may enhance its attractiveness to investors, potentially impacting its market positioning positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (BW) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Babcock & Wilcox Company stock, see the BW Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Babcock & Wilcox Director Henry Bartoli Retires
Neutral
Nov 21, 2025

On November 21, 2025, Henry E. Bartoli announced his immediate retirement from the Board of Directors of Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc. for personal reasons, with no disagreements with the company. In conjunction with his retirement, the company terminated his consulting agreement and entered into a retirement agreement, ensuring Mr. Bartoli receives his December consulting fee, an additional payment of $28,000, and accelerated vesting of his restricted stock units.

The most recent analyst rating on (BW) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Babcock & Wilcox Company stock, see the BW Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Babcock & Wilcox Highlights Strategic Growth in Energy
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises posted an investor presentation on its website, highlighting its strategic focus on growth and innovation in the energy sector. The company emphasized its commitment to advancing technologies for reducing greenhouse gases and meeting global energy demands. The presentation outlined potential growth opportunities through its extensive installed base and proven technologies, positioning B&W as a key player in the energy industry. The company’s focus on expanding its pipeline and backlog indicates a strong outlook for future revenue and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (BW) stock is a Hold with a $5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Babcock & Wilcox Company stock, see the BW Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Babcock & Wilcox Raises $67.5 Million in Equity Offering
Positive
Nov 7, 2025

On November 7, 2025, Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc. announced it had successfully raised $67.5 million through its at-the-market equity offering, with $50 million coming from a single global institutional investor. This capital raise, combined with recent major contract wins, positions the company to capitalize on the growing demand for energy solutions in AI data centers and the global energy transition, enhancing its financial position and strategic growth trajectory.

The most recent analyst rating on (BW) stock is a Hold with a $5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Babcock & Wilcox Company stock, see the BW Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Babcock & Wilcox Enters $200 Million Sales Agreement
Neutral
Nov 5, 2025

On November 4, 2025, Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc. entered into a sales agreement with B. Riley Securities, Inc. and Lake Street Capital Markets, LLC for the sale of up to $200 million in common stock. The shares will be offered over time, with the agents acting as sales agents and receiving a 3% commission on gross proceeds. The actual proceeds will depend on the amount of shares sold, and there is no minimum offering amount required.

The most recent analyst rating on (BW) stock is a Hold with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Babcock & Wilcox Company stock, see the BW Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Babcock & Wilcox Sells Ash Handling Business for $29M
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

On October 31, 2025, Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc. completed the sale of its ash handling business, Allen-Sherman-Hoff, to Andritz AG for approximately $29 million. The sale includes a non-compete agreement and positions Babcock & Wilcox as a sales representative for the ASH business. Additionally, the company announced a significant contract with Applied Digital to provide natural gas technology for an AI data center, marking a strategic expansion into the AI sector. The company also reported strong third-quarter financial results, with a 315% increase in operating income and a 56% increase in backlog, driven by growing demand for its services in the energy sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (BW) stock is a Hold with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Babcock & Wilcox Company stock, see the BW Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026