tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
BT Brands (BTBD)
NASDAQ:BTBD
US Market

BT Brands (BTBD) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
39 Followers

Top Page

BTBD

BT Brands

(NASDAQ:BTBD)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-33.77% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/21/26
The score is primarily held down by weak financial performance (declining revenue, negative profitability, and negative operating/free cash flow). Technical indicators are largely neutral and do not offset the fundamentals, valuation is pressured by losses (negative P/E), and the Nasdaq deficiency notice adds incremental regulatory/compliance risk.
Positive Factors
Improved leverage
An improved debt-to-equity ratio meaningfully reduces refinancing and liquidity risk over the medium term. Better leverage provides financial flexibility to support operations, invest in unit-level improvements or pursue the Aero Velocity transaction without immediate solvency pressure.
Access to capital via ATM
A larger ATM equity facility creates a durable option to raise capital opportunistically, supporting cash needs, potential closing costs for the Aero Velocity merger, or working capital. Structurally this reduces short-term liquidity constraints versus reliance solely on operations.
Established QSR brand portfolio
Operating recognizable franchised QSR brands provides steady, baseline demand and proven unit economics. Brand recognition and franchise relationships support unit-level sales resilience and offer pathways (refranchising/licensing) to improve returns over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue
Sustained revenue decline erodes scale and reduces ability to cover fixed costs at restaurant level. Over months this weakens margins, limits reinvestment in operations or remodeling, and makes achieving a stable, cash-generative base more difficult without clear traffic or pricing recovery.
Negative operating and free cash flow
Persistent cash burn forces reliance on external financing or equity issuance to fund operations and growth. Over a multi-month horizon this increases dilution risk, restricts capital allocation to unit maintenance or expansion, and complicates execution of strategic transactions.
Negative profitability and ROE
Ongoing negative margins and ROE indicate structural operational and profitability issues. Without sustained margin improvement, the company will struggle to convert sales into shareholder value, hampering ability to self-fund turnaround initiatives or support longer-term growth.

BT Brands (BTBD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

BT Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBT Brands, Inc. owns and operates fast-food restaurants in the north central region of United States. The company operates nine Burger Time restaurants located in Minnesota, North Dakota, and South Dakota; and a Dairy Queen franchise in Ham Lake, Minnesota. Its Burger Time restaurants provide various burgers and other food products, such as chicken sandwiches, pulled pork sandwiches, side dishes, and soft drinks; and Dairy Queen restaurant offers burgers, chicken, sides, ice cream and other desserts, and various beverages. The company was founded in 1987 and is based in West Fargo, North Dakota.
How the Company Makes MoneyBT Brands generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from franchise fees, royalties, and direct sales from company-owned locations. Franchise fees are collected from new franchisees who pay for the right to use the BT Brands' trademarks and business model. Additionally, BT Brands earns ongoing royalty payments based on a percentage of the franchisee's sales. The company's direct sales from its own outlets also contribute significantly to its revenue. Strategic partnerships with suppliers and distributors enable cost-effective procurement and inventory management, further enhancing profitability. Overall, BT Brands' revenue model is built on a combination of franchising, direct retail sales, and collaborative partnerships that ensure a steady income flow.

BT Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 28, 2024
(Q4-2023)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a challenging year for BT Brands with a significant net loss. However, there are positive signs of growth and potential improvements in various segments like Keegan's and Burger Time locations. The company remains optimistic about future performance based on its strong financial position and strategic plans.
Q4-2023 Updates
Positive Updates
Sales Growth Despite Challenges
BT Brands reported a 15% increase in sales, reaching $14 million, despite not making any new acquisitions during the year.
Strong Financial Position
The company holds $6.9 million in cash, mostly in treasury bills, with an additional $1 million at Bagger Dave's.
Positive Trends at Keegan's
Keegan's performance has improved, with recent weekly sales around $80,000, nearing capacity, and expectations for $3.2 million annual sales in 2024.
Burger Time Locations Show Promise
Double-digit sales growth reported at Burger Time locations in early 2024, attributed partly to favorable weather conditions.
Successful Pie in the Sky Acquisition
The acquisition has been highly successful, with a return on investment achieved in just over a year.
Negative Updates
Net Loss for the Year
BT Brands reported a net loss of $887,368 for the year, with significant losses attributed to Bagger Dave's and nonrecurring expenses.
Challenges with Bagger Dave's
Bagger Dave's contributed a $347,000 loss, representing 35% of the total company loss before tax.
Struggles at Village Bier Garten
Village Bier Garten remains unprofitable, requiring average weekly sales of $30,000 to break even, with only recent weeks showing potential profitability.
High Labor Costs Impact
Higher labor costs have affected profitability, with some locations struggling to maintain consistent management and effective staffing.
Dairy Queen Franchise Exit
BT Brands plans to exit the Dairy Queen franchise, as it doesn't align with their business model and has been an unsatisfactory relationship.
Company Guidance
During the BT Brands earnings call for Q4 2023, Kenneth Brimmer outlined the company's financial performance and future strategy. The company reported a net loss of $887,368 on $14 million in sales, marking a 15% sales increase compared to the previous year. Brimmer attributed 35% of the loss to Bagger Dave's, with costs of $347,000. Additionally, legal and professional expenses tied to Noble Roman's board efforts amounted to over $100,000. Despite these setbacks, BT Brands holds $6.9 million in cash and aims to revamp its operations by divesting its Dairy Queen franchise and rebranding Bagger Dave's, projecting potential revenue growth to $12 million with an EBITDA margin target of 15%. Keegan's, another venture, aims to achieve $3.2 million in annual sales with 10% profitability, while the Village Bier Garten needs to surpass $30,000 weekly to maintain profitability. Overall, Brimmer expressed optimism for future profitability and growth through potential acquisitions and operational improvements.

BT Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak financial profile driven by declining revenue trends, persistently negative net/EBIT/EBITDA margins, and negative operating/free cash flow. Balance sheet leverage has improved, but negative ROE and ongoing cash burn keep the overall financial score low.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
BT Brands has experienced declining revenue growth with a negative trajectory in the TTM period. The gross profit margin has improved slightly, but net profit margins remain negative, indicating ongoing profitability challenges. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved in the TTM period, indicating better leverage management. However, return on equity remains negative, highlighting profitability issues. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
BT Brands faces negative operating and free cash flows, with a declining free cash flow growth rate. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some efficiency in converting net income to cash.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Dec 2023Mar 2023Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.04M14.82M14.08M12.60M8.45M8.16M
Gross Profit3.12M3.09M1.71M3.62M2.78M2.73M
EBITDA-218.10K-1.26M-336.22K-178.48K1.21M1.29M
Net Income-935.92K-2.31M-887.37K-562.28K607.85K791.99K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.94M12.00M14.61M16.77M14.51M3.39M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.74M4.27M6.69M8.14M12.39M1.32M
Total Debt5.05M4.05M4.38M5.64M3.00M3.18M
Total Liabilities4.21M5.03M5.42M6.62M3.88M4.09M
Stockholders Equity7.72M6.97M9.19M10.15M10.63M-702.32K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-585.40K-1.22M-747.17K-266.60K606.03K1.24M
Operating Cash Flow-123.60K-723.50K-258.79K211.80K813.96K1.40M
Investing Cash Flow-1.45M-2.18M4.71M-11.04M-207.92K24.58K
Financing Cash Flow-236.91K-440.85K-1.30M590.70K10.46M-358.96K

BT Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.51
Price Trends
50DMA
1.41
Negative
100DMA
1.56
Negative
200DMA
1.54
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Negative
RSI
47.89
Neutral
STOCH
59.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BTBD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.51 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.32, above the 50-day MA of 1.41, and below the 200-day MA of 1.54, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BTBD.

BT Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$44.77M15.9220.05%0.35%9.25%
62
Neutral
$78.74M3.09-1.73%21.20%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
48
Neutral
$12.99M12.513.85%1.84%12.10%
46
Neutral
$25.21M-1.84-29.84%-9.70%-194.23%
46
Neutral
$10.19M-0.6121.10%-18.56%
43
Neutral
$7.90M-8.87-11.53%-4.16%29.52%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BTBD
BT Brands
1.32
-0.38
-22.35%
ARKR
Ark Restaurants
6.85
-4.04
-37.10%
GTIM
Good Times Restaurants
1.21
-1.27
-51.21%
RAVE
Rave Restaurant Group
3.07
0.20
6.97%
REBN
Reborn Coffee, Inc.
1.70
-2.79
-62.14%
CHSN
Chanson International Holding Class A
2.14
-18.71
-89.74%

BT Brands Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
BT Brands Receives Nasdaq Deficiency Notice on Shareholder Meeting
Negative
Jan 20, 2026

On January 14, 2026, BT Brands, Inc. announced it had received a deficiency notice from Nasdaq for failing to hold an annual shareholder meeting for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024, though the notice does not immediately affect the listing or trading of its securities and the company has until March 2, 2026 to submit a compliance plan, with a possible extension to June 29, 2026. The company has already filed a Form S-4 on December 31, 2025 for a special shareholders’ meeting to vote on its planned merger with Aero Velocity, Inc. and elect five directors, and notes that if the required approvals are not obtained by April 30, 2026 and the merger agreement is terminated, it expects to promptly call an annual meeting to elect directors, a process that could affect its timeline to regain Nasdaq compliance and the progression of the Aero transaction.

The most recent analyst rating on (BTBD) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BT Brands stock, see the BTBD Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
BT Brands Expands ATM Offering Program
Neutral
Nov 25, 2025

BT Brands, Inc. announced an amendment to its Equity Distribution Agreement with Maxim Group LLC, initially established on December 13, 2024, to increase the size of its ATM Offering Program from $3,005,000 to $3,565,880. This adjustment, approved by the company’s board of directors and formalized on November 21, 2025, allows BT Brands to sell additional shares of its common stock, potentially impacting its market presence and providing further capital for operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (BTBD) stock is a Hold with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BT Brands stock, see the BTBD Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 21, 2026