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Berry Petroleum Corp (BRY)
NASDAQ:BRY
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Berry Petroleum (BRY) AI Stock Analysis

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BRY

Berry Petroleum

(NASDAQ:BRY)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▲(6.71% Upside)
Berry Petroleum's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance challenges, including declining revenue and profitability. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, while valuation is mixed with a negative P/E ratio but a reasonable dividend yield. The earnings call provided some positive insights, such as debt reduction and operational efficiencies, which slightly offset the negative financial trends.

Berry Petroleum (BRY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Berry Petroleum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBerry Petroleum Company, LLC (NASDAQ: BRY) is a leading independent oil and natural gas exploration and production company based in the United States. The company primarily operates in the onshore regions of California and Utah, focusing on the acquisition, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas. Berry Petroleum utilizes advanced technologies and operational efficiencies to optimize production from its diverse asset portfolio, which includes both conventional and unconventional resources.
How the Company Makes MoneyBerry Petroleum generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). The company’s revenue model is largely dependent on the pricing of these commodities, which can fluctuate based on market conditions. Key revenue streams include direct sales of produced hydrocarbons to refiners and marketers, as well as potential hedging activities to mitigate price volatility. Additionally, Berry Petroleum may engage in joint ventures and partnerships with other companies to enhance its operational capabilities and expand its asset base, which can further contribute to its earnings. The company’s focus on efficient production techniques and cost management also plays a vital role in maintaining profitability in a competitive market.

Berry Petroleum Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Berry Corporation reported strong financial performance with a solid hedge position, significant debt reduction, and operational cost savings. Positive regulatory movements in California could provide additional opportunities, although there is some dependency on the outcomes. Despite higher capital expenditures in Utah, the company's ability to generate free cash flow and maintain a strong safety record are notable positives.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Hedge Position and Free Cash Flow Generation
Berry has 71% of its expected oil production hedged for 2025 at approximately $75 per barrel of Brent, providing visibility and protection for their production outlook. They are on track to generate meaningful free cash flow for the year.
Debt Reduction and Financial Strength
The company paid down $11 million of debt during the quarter, bringing the year-to-date debt reduction to $23 million. They are on track to pay down at least $45 million for the year.
Cost Savings in Utah Operations
Berry achieved meaningful cost savings of approximately $500,000 per well in Utah, supported by fuel cost advantages and the use of dual fuel fleets in drilling and fracking activities.
Positive Regulatory Developments in California
The Kern County Board of Supervisors approved a new oil and gas ordinance and certified a revised environmental impact review, with a court decision expected by year-end which could streamline future development projects.
Operational Safety Record
Berry reported another quarter of zero recordable incidents and zero lost time incidents in their E&P operations, highlighting their commitment to HSE excellence.
Negative Updates
High Capital Expenditures
Capital expenditures were $54 million for the quarter, which was elevated compared to the prior quarter due to accelerated drilling and completion activity in Utah.
Dependency on Regulatory Outcomes
While Berry is optimistic about the regulatory developments in California, the outcome is still pending court approval, which could impact future development projects.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter 2025 earnings call, Berry Corporation reaffirmed its 2025 guidance, highlighting stability amidst macro volatility. The company aims to maintain balance sheet strength, focusing on high-return projects and operational efficiencies. Berry has hedged 71% of its expected oil production at $75 per barrel of Brent for the remainder of the year, with 63% hedged at $70 per barrel for 2026. In California, 16 wells were drilled in Q2, and production is expected to increase in the second half of the year. In Utah, cost savings of approximately $500,000 per well were achieved, with current costs at $680 per lateral foot, 20% lower than previous wells. The company reduced debt by $11 million in Q2 and expects a total reduction of $45 million for the year, while declaring a dividend yield of 4% annually. Berry's strategy continues to focus on generating free cash flow, reducing debt, and capitalizing on a deep inventory of high-return projects.

Berry Petroleum Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Berry Petroleum faces challenges with declining revenue and profitability, as evidenced by negative margins and revenue contraction. The balance sheet remains stable with low leverage, but the negative return on equity indicates inefficiencies. Cash flow generation has weakened, with significant declines in free cash flow. Overall, the company needs to address operational inefficiencies and improve cash flow management to enhance financial performance.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Berry Petroleum's income statement shows a declining trend in revenue and profitability. The TTM data indicates a negative net profit margin of -13.45%, reflecting significant losses. The gross profit margin has decreased to 29.41% from previous years, indicating pressure on cost management. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, with EBIT margin turning negative, highlighting operational challenges. Revenue growth has been negative, showing a contraction in sales.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a relatively stable financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07 in the TTM period, indicating low leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -13.63%, suggesting inefficiencies in generating returns on shareholders' equity. The equity ratio remains healthy, showing a strong equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a significant decline in free cash flow growth, down by 59.09% in the TTM period, which is concerning. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is close to 1, indicating that operating cash flows are almost covering net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive but low, suggesting limited cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue680.16M783.84M863.45M1.06B701.35M406.05M
Gross Profit235.57M272.77M237.34M431.62M269.32M63.92M
EBITDA39.69M239.12M251.38M401.10M163.58M-96.64M
Net Income-90.85M19.25M37.40M250.17M-15.54M-262.89M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.39B1.52B1.59B1.63B1.46B1.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.36M15.34M4.83M46.25M15.28M80.56M
Total Debt45.00M435.18M436.06M397.40M394.57M393.48M
Total Liabilities748.02M787.05M836.18M830.54M763.83M705.77M
Stockholders Equity638.98M730.64M757.98M800.49M692.65M714.04M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow23.96M107.87M117.59M222.31M-10.63M102.73M
Operating Cash Flow171.28M210.22M198.66M360.94M122.49M196.53M
Investing Cash Flow-121.04M-105.56M-175.27M-164.55M-168.79M-93.62M
Financing Cash Flow-46.10M-79.46M-64.80M-165.42M-18.98M-22.35M

Berry Petroleum Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.28
Price Trends
50DMA
3.54
Negative
100DMA
3.27
Positive
200DMA
3.21
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
37.82
Neutral
STOCH
20.51
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BRY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.28 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.37, below the 50-day MA of 3.54, and above the 200-day MA of 3.21, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BRY.

Berry Petroleum Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
62
Neutral
$219.86M9.2518.75%22.97%-19.37%
61
Neutral
$279.65M-6.27%-99.72%-101.28%
54
Neutral
$256.88M-13.25%3.63%-15.69%-207.52%
49
Neutral
$289.26M2.05%-6.92%-126.24%
43
Neutral
$107.38M-30.24%-10.49%17.74%
39
Underperform
$472.41M
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BRY
Berry Petroleum
3.28
-1.10
-25.11%
PNRG
Primeenergy
137.58
-47.34
-25.60%
WTI
W&T Offshore
2.04
-0.06
-2.86%
SJT
San Juan Basin Royalty
6.02
2.00
49.75%
EP
Empire Petroleum
3.16
-3.08
-49.36%
TBN
Tamboran Resources Corporation
25.13
6.03
31.57%

Berry Petroleum Corporate Events

Berry Corporation Announces Merger with California Resources Corporation
Nov 4, 2025

Berry Corporation announced a proposed merger with California Resources Corporation (CRC), with the agreement signed on September 14, 2025. The merger will result in Berry becoming a wholly-owned subsidiary of CRC. Berry stockholders are invited to a virtual special meeting on December 15, 2025, to vote on the merger agreement and related proposals. The merger consideration involves Berry stockholders receiving CRC shares, with the value subject to market fluctuations. The Berry Board has unanimously recommended approval of the merger, citing it as fair and in the best interests of the company and its shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (BRY) stock is a Hold with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Berry Petroleum stock, see the BRY Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
Berry Petroleum Merges with California Resources
Neutral
Sep 16, 2025

On September 14, 2025, Berry Corporation entered into a merger agreement with California Resources Corporation and Dornoch Merger Sub, LLC, which will result in Berry becoming a wholly-owned subsidiary of California Resources. The merger, which involves an exchange of shares and cash payments for fractional shares, has been deemed advisable and in the best interests of Berry’s stockholders by its board of directors. The completion of the merger is subject to various conditions, including stockholder approval and regulatory clearances. The agreement includes provisions for the treatment of equity awards and retention agreements for key employees, and outlines potential termination scenarios and associated fees.

The most recent analyst rating on (BRY) stock is a Hold with a $4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Berry Petroleum stock, see the BRY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Berry Petroleum Announces Merger with California Resources
Positive
Sep 15, 2025

On September 14, 2025, Berry Corporation announced a merger agreement with California Resources Corporation, creating a stronger entity in the California energy market. The all-stock transaction values Berry at approximately $717 million, with CRC shareholders expected to own 94% of the combined company. The merger is anticipated to enhance financial metrics, achieve significant synergies, and maintain a strong balance sheet, positioning the company for long-term growth and operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (BRY) stock is a Buy with a $7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Berry Petroleum stock, see the BRY Stock Forecast page.

Berry Corporation’s Earnings Call Highlights Positive Outlook
Aug 13, 2025

Berry Corporation’s recent earnings call exuded a positive sentiment, underscored by robust free cash flow projections, substantial cost savings, and encouraging regulatory developments. The company emphasized its dedication to safety and enhancing shareholder value through debt reduction and dividends. Despite some concerns regarding elevated capital expenditures and reliance on regulatory outcomes, the overall outlook remains optimistic.

Berry Corporation Reports Q2 2025 Earnings and Debt Reduction
Aug 8, 2025

Berry Corporation, a publicly traded independent upstream energy company, operates primarily in the exploration and production of oil and gas reserves in the western United States, with a focus on California and Utah. The company also provides well servicing and abandonment services.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025