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Berry Petroleum Corp (BRY)
NASDAQ:BRY

Berry Petroleum (BRY) AI Stock Analysis

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Berry Petroleum

(NASDAQ:BRY)

Rating:70Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▼(-1.96%Downside)
Berry Petroleum's overall score is influenced by its strong earnings call performance, which highlights operational successes and strategic financial management. However, financial performance concerns, particularly profitability and revenue fluctuations, weigh on the score. Technical analysis and valuation present mixed signals, with a negative P/E ratio but a decent dividend yield.

Berry Petroleum (BRY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Berry Petroleum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBerry Petroleum Company, LLC (BRY) is an independent upstream energy company focused on the development and production of oil and natural gas reserves. The company primarily operates in the western United States, with significant operations in California. Berry Petroleum's core activities include the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas, leveraging its expertise in thermal enhanced oil recovery methods to efficiently extract reserves from its assets.
How the Company Makes MoneyBerry Petroleum makes money through the exploration, production, and sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. The company's revenue model is primarily driven by the sale of these commodities, with crude oil accounting for the majority of its revenues. Prices for these commodities are influenced by market conditions, which can fluctuate due to various factors such as supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical events, and regulatory changes. Berry Petroleum also engages in hedging activities to mitigate the risks associated with volatile commodity prices. Additionally, the company may engage in strategic partnerships or joint ventures to optimize its operational efficiencies and enhance its revenue-generating capabilities.

Berry Petroleum Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 29.11%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Berry Corporation reported a strong start to 2025 with significant achievements in financial performance, operational efficiency, and regulatory advancements. Despite minor production setbacks, the company's robust hedging strategy and high-return development projects position it well for future growth.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start to 2025
Berry Corporation reaffirmed its full-year guidance, strengthened its balance sheet by paying down $11 million of debt, and returned $2 million in cash to shareholders. Liquidity increased to $120 million, and the leverage ratio improved to 1.37 times.
High-Return Development Projects
The company generated $17 million of free cash flow in Q1 due to cost improvements and stable production. Most projects in the thermal diatomite reservoir generate a rate of return in excess of 100%.
Successful Drilling Operations
In California, Berry drilled twice as many wells compared to Q4 2024 and completed a four-well horizontal pad in the Uinta asset ahead of schedule and on budget, reducing fuel costs by 25% and completion costs by $500,000 per well.
Strong Environmental and Safety Record
Zero recordable incidents, zero lost time incidents, and no reportable spills during Q1. Published updated performance metrics and plans to publish a full report with 2024 emissions data.
Regulatory Advances in California
Governor Newsom's directive to engage with the oil and gas industry reflects a constructive shift, potentially allowing for increased in-state production and collaboration.
Robust Hedging Strategy
73% of oil production is hedged at $75 per barrel for 2025. The average floor price was raised by $6 per barrel on 2,300 barrels per day of production for 2026 and 2027.
Negative Updates
Production Slightly Below Prior Quarter
Production for Q1 averaged 24,700 barrels per day, slightly below the prior quarter due to planned downtime.
Company Guidance
In the Berry Corporation Q1 2025 earnings call, the company reaffirmed its full-year guidance, emphasizing strong financial metrics and operational achievements. Berry reported $148 million in oil and gas sales, with a realized oil price at 93% of Brent, and generated $17 million in free cash flow. The company strengthened its balance sheet by reducing debt by $11 million, returning $2 million to shareholders, and increasing liquidity to $120 million. Berry's leverage ratio improved to 1.37 times. The firm highlighted its hedging strategy, with 73% of 2025 oil production hedged at $74.69 per barrel. Operationally, Berry drilled twice as many wells in California compared to Q4 2024 and achieved a 9% reduction in hedge energy lease operating expenses (LOE). The company's California thermal diatomite projects boast returns exceeding 100%, while its Uinta Basin wells are on track for production in Q3, with cost efficiencies anticipated to save $500,000 per well. The company remains focused on generating sustainable free cash flow, reducing debt, and evaluating growth opportunities.

Berry Petroleum Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Berry Petroleum shows strong operational efficiency and cash flow management, but faces profitability challenges due to a net loss. The balance sheet is stable, with manageable leverage, yet profitability concerns persist.
Income Statement
67
Positive
The company's income statement shows a mixed performance. The gross profit margin for TTM is exceptionally high, indicating efficient cost management, but the net profit margin is negative due to a net loss, signaling profitability issues. Revenue has experienced fluctuations, with a decline in the latest TTM period compared to the previous year. EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively strong, showing operational efficiency despite revenue challenges.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
The balance sheet appears stable with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a balanced approach to leverage. The equity ratio suggests a strong capital structure with a substantial portion of assets financed by equity. However, the return on equity is negative in the TTM period due to the net loss, highlighting profitability concerns.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trend in free cash flow, showing improvement in cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, indicating strong cash flow relative to reported earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is affected by the negative net income, reflecting challenges in translating profits into cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue751.37M776.50M863.45M1.06B701.35M406.05M
Gross Profit767.26M776.50M237.34M431.62M269.32M63.92M
EBITDA52.93M161.05M251.38M401.10M163.58M-96.64M
Net Income-37.34M19.25M37.40M250.17M-15.54M-262.89M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.40B1.52B1.59B1.63B1.46B1.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments39.00M15.34M4.83M46.25M15.28M80.56M
Total Debt376.41M386.67M436.06M397.40M394.57M393.48M
Total Liabilities772.87M787.05M836.18M830.54M763.83M705.77M
Stockholders Equity631.47M730.64M757.98M800.49M692.65M714.04M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow120.86M107.87M117.59M222.31M-10.63M102.73M
Operating Cash Flow228.82M210.22M198.66M360.94M122.49M196.53M
Investing Cash Flow-106.67M-105.56M-175.27M-164.55M-168.79M-93.62M
Financing Cash Flow-86.35M-79.46M-64.80M-165.42M-18.98M-22.35M

Berry Petroleum Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.06
Price Trends
50DMA
2.72
Positive
100DMA
3.04
Positive
200DMA
3.81
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Positive
RSI
57.42
Neutral
STOCH
30.18
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BRY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.92, above the 50-day MA of 2.72, and below the 200-day MA of 3.81, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.42 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BRY.

Berry Petroleum Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
NCNC
75
Outperform
$313.78M9.128.62%2.40%14.70%
BRBRY
70
Neutral
$237.44M9.56-5.66%3.92%-31.28%-1265.13%
REREI
69
Neutral
$167.45M2.298.52%-4.51%-10.09%
FEFET
58
Neutral
$240.96M-32.34%7.31%-326.94%
WTWTI
54
Neutral
$249.53M203.83%2.22%-5.05%-383.38%
52
Neutral
C$2.91B-0.93-3.26%6.13%2.20%-43.43%
TBTBN
39
Underperform
$246.67M-10.70%57.82%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BRY
Berry Petroleum
3.06
-3.02
-49.67%
FET
Forum Energy Tech
19.48
4.00
25.84%
NC
NACCO Industries
42.16
14.66
53.31%
WTI
W&T Offshore
1.80
-0.38
-17.43%
REI
Ring Energy
0.81
-0.85
-51.20%
TBN
Tamboran Resources Corporation
20.00
-3.88
-16.25%

Berry Petroleum Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Berry Petroleum Updates Hedging Program and Liquidity
Positive
Apr 23, 2025

On April 23, 2025, Berry Corporation announced updates to its hedging program and liquidity position, highlighting its financial strength amidst market volatility. The company has increased its average hedged price for 2026 and 2027 by $6 per barrel and reported a liquidity position of $120 million as of March 31, 2025. Berry’s oil volumes are significantly hedged for the remainder of 2025 and into 2026, ensuring stable cash flow and continued debt reduction. Additionally, Berry’s executives will participate in upcoming investor conferences, further engaging with stakeholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 02, 2025