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BRC (BRCC) AI Stock Analysis

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BRCC

BRC

(NYSE:BRCC)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▲(5.63% Upside)
The overall score reflects significant financial challenges, including high leverage and negative profitability, which are partially offset by strong sales growth and strategic initiatives highlighted in the earnings call. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and valuation metrics indicate ongoing losses.
Positive Factors
Sales Growth Outperformance
The company's ability to significantly outpace the U.S. coffee category's growth indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, which are crucial for long-term revenue expansion.
Energy Drink Expansion
The successful expansion into energy drinks demonstrates product diversification and new revenue streams, enhancing the company's market position and growth potential.
Wholesale Segment Growth
Strong growth in the wholesale segment indicates robust demand and effective distribution partnerships, supporting sustained revenue growth and market penetration.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can constrain financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic downturns.
Gross Margin Decline
The decline in gross margins due to cost pressures suggests challenges in maintaining profitability, which could affect long-term financial health and competitive positioning.
Tariff-Related Cost Pressures
Tariff-related costs can erode profit margins, increasing operational expenses and potentially leading to higher prices or reduced competitiveness in the market.

BRC (BRCC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

BRC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBRC Inc., through its subsidiaries, purchases, roasts, and sells coffee, coffee accessories, and branded apparel. The company also produces media content; podcasts; and digital and print journals, as well as sells coffee brewing equipment, and outdoor and lifestyle gear. It supports active military, veterans, and first responders. The company offers its products through convenience, grocery, drug, and mass merchandise stores; outdoor, do it yourself, and lifestyle retailers; and company operated and franchised Black Rifle Coffee retail coffee shop locations, as well as through e-commerce. BRC Inc. was founded in 2014 and is based in Salt Lake City, Utah.
How the Company Makes MoneyBRC generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily by selling its coffee products directly to consumers via its e-commerce platform and through retail partnerships. The company offers subscriptions for regular deliveries, which provides a steady income stream. Additionally, BRC has established partnerships with various military organizations and events, allowing for promotional collaborations that further enhance brand visibility and sales. The brand's focus on community engagement and veteran support also fosters customer loyalty, driving repeat purchases and enhancing overall revenue.

BRC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong sales growth outperformance across various segments, effective cost management strategies, and successful new product launches. However, these positive aspects were tempered by significant gross margin pressure, tariff-related costs, and potential challenges in achieving the upper range of revenue guidance. Despite these challenges, the company's strategic focus on growth opportunities and operational efficiencies provides a balanced outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Sales Growth Outperformance
Black Rifle Coffee Company achieved a 32% sales growth on a 29% increase in unit volume, outperforming the U.S. coffee category's 9.6% sales growth and 1% decline in units.
Direct-to-Consumer Channel Stabilization
Despite a 7.8% decrease in year-over-year direct-to-consumer revenue, adjusted sales showed slight positive growth after accounting for a $2.4 million loyalty reserve benefit from the prior year.
Ready-to-Drink Coffee Segment Success
The company delivered 7% sales growth in its ready-to-drink coffee segment, outperforming a category that declined by 4%. Unit volume was up 9% against a 6% decline in category units.
Energy Drink Expansion
Black Rifle Energy reached distribution in over 15,000 retail locations with a 23% ACV since launching in January, showing strong momentum in a competitive category.
Wholesale Segment Growth
The wholesale segment grew 14% year-over-year, and after adjusting for $3 million in nonrecurring revenue, sales increased by 21% in the second quarter.
Operational Cost Efficiency
Headcount was reduced by approximately 20% year-over-year, resulting in lower salaries, wages, and benefits, which were reinvested into marketing.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Decline
Gross margin fell to 33.9%, a 790 basis point reduction compared to the prior year, primarily due to green coffee inflation, trade and pricing impacts, and loyalty rewards.
Tariff-Related Cost Pressures
Recently implemented import duties are expected to have at least a 100 basis point margin impact in the second half of the year.
Potential Revenue Guidance Challenge
The company may finish towards the lower end of its full-year revenue guidance due to a $30.4 million headwind from prior year non-recurring revenue.
Legal Costs and Depreciation Impact
General and administrative expenses increased by 31%, primarily due to legal costs and higher depreciation tied to capitalized software.
Company Guidance
During Black Rifle Coffee Company's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the management provided guidance reflecting a positive outlook for the remainder of the fiscal year and beyond. The company maintained its full-year revenue guidance of $395 million to $425 million, expecting a sequential step-up in revenue due to ongoing distribution gains in packaged coffee and energy drinks. Despite a challenging macro cost environment, Black Rifle delivered a 32% sales growth on a 29% increase in unit volume, significantly outpacing the U.S. coffee category's growth. The company also reported a 7% increase in net revenue year-over-year, driven primarily by a 14% growth in the wholesale segment. Gross margins were expected to range between 35% and 37% for the year, with adjusted EBITDA anticipated to be between $20 million and $30 million. The management highlighted a strategic focus on expanding the retail footprint, particularly in grocery and mass merchandise channels, and improving direct-to-consumer sales, which showed signs of stabilization and growth. The launch of Black Rifle Energy, now available in over 15,000 retail locations, and the favorable performance of ready-to-drink coffee further underscore the company's strategic initiatives to drive long-term growth.

BRC Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BRCC faces challenges in profitability and leverage, with high debt levels and negative margins. While revenue growth and free cash flow improvements are positive signs, the company needs to address operational inefficiencies and manage its debt to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has experienced revenue growth in recent periods, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.52%. However, profitability remains a concern with negative net profit margins and EBIT margins, indicating ongoing operational challenges. The gross profit margin has decreased from previous periods, suggesting pressure on cost management.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reflects high leverage with a TTM debt-to-equity ratio of 3.26, indicating significant reliance on debt financing. The return on equity is negative, highlighting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is low, suggesting limited equity buffer against liabilities.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals improvement in free cash flow growth, with a significant increase in TTM. However, operating cash flow remains negative, indicating potential liquidity issues. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting efficient cash generation relative to reported losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue388.89M391.49M395.62M301.31M233.10M163.91M
Gross Profit146.38M161.17M125.45M99.18M89.69M69.41M
EBITDA-15.01M13.90M-42.94M-64.11M-9.48M7.02M
Net Income-20.42M-2.95M-16.75M-82.91M-13.85M4.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets225.25M227.38M235.78M225.33M87.08M72.54M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.30M6.81M12.45M38.99M18.33M35.23M
Total Debt32.90M96.70M109.24M70.30M35.00M14.23M
Total Liabilities189.60M177.89M189.27M129.40M236.57M175.42M
Stockholders Equity10.10M13.17M13.27M25.80M-149.49M-102.88M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-9.31M2.64M-52.19M-146.59M-26.98M1.79M
Operating Cash Flow-3.37M11.31M-24.97M-116.19M-7.69M11.55M
Investing Cash Flow-5.88M-7.71M-21.51M-30.40M-19.29M-9.76M
Financing Cash Flow3.60M-10.70M21.40M167.25M9.68M28.81M

BRC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.42
Price Trends
50DMA
1.52
Negative
100DMA
1.55
Negative
200DMA
1.92
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Negative
RSI
43.65
Neutral
STOCH
71.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BRCC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.42 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.44, below the 50-day MA of 1.52, and below the 200-day MA of 1.92, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BRCC.

BRC Risk Analysis

BRC disclosed 59 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. BRC reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

BRC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
58
Neutral
$902.17M2.68-2.25%288.79%
57
Neutral
$23.92M12.997.17%17.92%64.96%
49
Neutral
$345.03M-89.88%-4.59%-19.09%
45
Neutral
$37.79M-2.52-32.58%0.35%-272.31%
43
Neutral
$52.47M-8.34%22.79%74.00%
40
Underperform
$487.75M-27.07%13.05%-72.80%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BRCC
BRC
1.42
-1.88
-56.97%
JVA
Coffee Holding Co
4.22
0.99
30.65%
FARM
Farmer Brothers Company
1.71
-0.13
-7.07%
HLF
Herbalife
8.75
1.84
26.63%
LSF
Laird Superfood
5.00
-2.08
-29.38%
WEST
Westrock Coffee
4.99
-1.84
-26.94%

BRC Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
BRC Expands Board, Appoints Melvin Landis
Neutral
Sep 17, 2025

On September 15, 2025, BRC Inc. expanded its Board of Directors from nine to ten members by appointing Melvin Landis as a Class III director, who will serve until the 2028 annual meeting of stockholders. Mr. Landis’s appointment followed a nomination and recommendation by the Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee, with no special arrangements or material interests disclosed. He will receive an annual cash compensation of $50,000 and was granted restricted stock units under the company’s Omnibus Incentive Plan, with additional future grants contingent on continued service.

The most recent analyst rating on (BRCC) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BRC stock, see the BRCC Stock Forecast page.

Brc Inc.’s Workforce Reduction Plan: Balancing Efficiency Gains with Operational Risks
Aug 6, 2025

Brc Inc.’s recent implementation of its Operational Improvement Plan, starting in the second quarter of fiscal 2025, poses significant risks to its business operations. The plan, which includes an 8.7% workforce reduction, aims to enhance operational efficiencies and align resources with strategic priorities. However, this reduction may lead to a loss of institutional knowledge, strain on remaining employees, and potential delays in executing strategic plans. Additionally, the plan could negatively impact employee morale, hinder the company’s ability to attract and retain talent, and ultimately affect Brc Inc.’s financial condition and growth prospects.

BRC Inc. Reports Revenue Growth Amid Net Loss
Aug 6, 2025

BRC Inc., a Veteran-founded premium beverage company, is known for its mission-driven approach and commitment to supporting military and first responders while delivering high-quality coffee products. In its second quarter of 2025, the company reported a 6.5% increase in revenue compared to the same period in 2024, primarily driven by a significant rise in wholesale revenue. However, the company faced a net loss of $14.5 million, a substantial increase from the previous year’s loss, largely due to coffee inflation and increased marketing expenses.

Brc Inc. Earnings Call: Balanced Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 6, 2025

The recent earnings call for Brc Inc. presented a balanced sentiment, highlighting both significant achievements and notable challenges. The company showcased impressive sales growth, distribution expansion, and successful product launches. However, these successes were tempered by challenges in gross margin and increased operational costs. The company’s ability to outperform the market and expand its footprint was counterbalanced by pressures from costs and legal expenses, resulting in an overall balanced sentiment.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 22, 2025