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Biomea Fusion (BMEA)
NASDAQ:BMEA
US Market

Biomea Fusion (BMEA) AI Stock Analysis

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BMEA

Biomea Fusion

(NASDAQ:BMEA)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▼(-7.41% Downside)
The score is primarily held back by weak financial performance (no revenue, large losses, and significant cash burn with a shrinking equity base). Offsetting this are improving technical momentum and a supportive, positive pipeline update from the recent JPM conference event, while valuation remains difficult to assess due to ongoing losses and no dividend.
Positive Factors
Leadership Change
The appointment of a new interim CEO can bring fresh strategic direction, potentially enhancing the company's focus on advancing its treatment pipeline.
Drug Discovery Platform
Biomea's proprietary platform targeting genetic mutations in cancer cells represents a strong competitive advantage in developing innovative treatments.
Low Debt Levels
Low debt levels provide Biomea with financial flexibility and reduce risk, allowing focus on R&D and strategic initiatives without heavy debt burdens.
Negative Factors
Revenue Generation Challenges
The lack of revenue generation is a significant concern, impacting profitability and the ability to sustain operations without external funding.
Negative Cash Flows
Persistent negative cash flows indicate potential liquidity issues, limiting Biomea's ability to invest in growth and development without additional capital.
Declining Equity
Declining equity suggests weakening financial stability, potentially affecting investor confidence and the ability to secure future funding.

Biomea Fusion (BMEA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Biomea Fusion Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBiomea Fusion, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery and development of covalent small molecule drugs to treat patients with genetically defined cancers and metabolic diseases. Its lead product candidate is BMF-219, an orally bioavailable, potent, and selective covalent inhibitor of menin, a transcriptional regulator in oncogenic signaling in multiple cancers. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Redwood City, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyBiomea Fusion makes money through the development and eventual commercialization of its proprietary small molecule drug candidates. The company invests in research and development to advance its drugs through clinical trials. Revenue generation is primarily expected to occur upon successful commercialization of these drugs, either directly or through partnerships and licensing agreements with larger pharmaceutical companies. Additionally, Biomea may engage in strategic collaborations to co-develop treatments, which can provide milestone payments and royalties contingent upon the success of the drug candidates.

Biomea Fusion Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Biomea Fusion is facing significant challenges in financial performance, primarily due to its inability to generate revenue. The company's financial health is concerning, with increasing net losses and negative cash flows. The balance sheet offers some relief with low debt levels, but declining equity and negative operating cash flows pose substantial risks. The company needs to focus on revenue generation and cash flow management to improve its financial standing.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Biomea Fusion has struggled with consistent revenue generation, as evidenced by zero revenue across the years. The company's net losses have increased significantly, with the most recent annual report showing a net income of -$138 million. The absence of revenue highlights a critical challenge for the company, affecting profitability margins such as gross profit, EBIT, and EBITDA, all of which are negative.
Balance Sheet
28
Negative
The balance sheet indicates a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio, thanks to a modest amount of total debt compared to equity. However, the significant decline in equity from $169 million in 2023 to $51 million in 2024 raises concerns. High cash reserves compared to total debt suggest good liquidity, yet with shrinking equity, the financial stability is weakening.
Cash Flow
16
Very Negative
Operating cash flows have been deeply negative, with no signs of improvement. The free cash flow remains negative, but the drop in operating cash flow in 2024 to zero indicates a potential cash crunch. The inability to generate positive cash flow from operations is a key risk for the company's financial health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-500.00K0.000.000.000.00-132.00K
EBITDA-95.07M-142.32M-124.62M-82.94M-41.42M-5.19M
Net Income-95.71M-138.43M-117.25M-81.83M-41.57M-5.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets55.19M79.94M199.93M129.31M185.71M62.53M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments46.64M58.28M176.87M113.05M173.52M61.70M
Total Debt6.88M8.77M10.30M2.29M2.85M259.00K
Total Liabilities39.57M28.36M30.69M20.77M6.92M57.36M
Stockholders Equity15.62M51.57M169.24M108.54M178.78M5.17M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-87.14M-120.26M-99.96M-63.45M-38.61M-4.51M
Operating Cash Flow-87.06M-119.89M-96.59M-62.42M-35.44M-4.46M
Investing Cash Flow-82.00K-362.00K-2.22M27.34M-33.35M-51.00K
Financing Cash Flow45.83M1.67M163.80M1.24M153.19M65.97M

Biomea Fusion Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.62
Price Trends
50DMA
1.28
Positive
100DMA
1.54
Negative
200DMA
1.70
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
52.50
Neutral
STOCH
74.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BMEA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.35, above the 50-day MA of 1.28, and below the 200-day MA of 1.70, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BMEA.

Biomea Fusion Risk Analysis

Biomea Fusion disclosed 91 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Biomea Fusion reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Biomea Fusion Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
54
Neutral
$107.11M-1.40-25.74%13.77%-4.76%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$117.50M-3.11-60.06%946.61%-11.30%
50
Neutral
$114.54M-0.58-209.00%40.22%
46
Neutral
$112.67M-0.61-328.45%-10.36%42.36%
45
Neutral
$77.76M-2.47-48.89%-9.42%
41
Neutral
$159.16M-1.73-33.41%81.19%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BMEA
Biomea Fusion
1.40
-2.66
-65.64%
AGEN
Agenus
3.68
0.53
16.83%
INO
Inovio Pharmaceuticals
1.58
-0.33
-17.28%
ATOS
Atossa Therapeutics
0.58
-0.27
-31.76%
OVID
Ovid Therapeutics
1.59
0.86
117.81%
SEER
Seer
1.91
-0.40
-17.32%

Biomea Fusion Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Biomea Fusion Highlights Diabetes Pipeline at JPM Conference
Positive
Jan 14, 2026

On January 14, 2026, Biomea Fusion presented updated data on its diabetes and obesity pipeline at the 44th Annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference in San Francisco and concurrently refreshed its corporate presentation for ongoing use with investors and analysts. The company highlighted clinical and preclinical results for its lead candidate icovamenib, showing that a 12-week dosing regimen in severe insulin-deficient type 2 diabetes patients produced durable reductions in HbA1c and increased insulin secretion measured by C-peptide index up to nine months after treatment ended, alongside evidence of enhanced beta-cell mass and function and improved GLP-1 receptor and insulin transcript levels in human islets, with a generally favorable safety profile and low rates of serious adverse events, underscoring its bid to differentiate in a crowded diabetes market by targeting disease progression rather than symptoms.

The most recent analyst rating on (BMEA) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Biomea Fusion stock, see the BMEA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 15, 2026