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Agenus (AGEN)
NASDAQ:AGEN

Agenus (AGEN) AI Stock Analysis

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AGEN

Agenus

(NASDAQ:AGEN)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▼(-3.85% Downside)
The score is primarily pressured by weak financial performance (losses, negative equity, and negative cash flows). Technicals are supportive in trend terms but show overbought conditions and high volatility, while valuation remains constrained by unprofitable earnings and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Clinical progress - BOT+BAL data
Publication of durable Phase 1b ovarian cohort results demonstrating objective responses and nearly 10‑month median duration materially de‑rises the BOT+BAL program. Durable efficacy in refractory tumors strengthens the Phase 3 rationale, supports regulatory discussions, and improves partner/license interest over the medium term.
Strengthened medical leadership
Adding experienced medical affairs leadership ahead of Phase 3 and early‑access activities improves regulatory engagement, investigator relations and commercialization planning. This enhances the company’s long‑term execution capability to shepherd late‑stage trials, payer dialogue and launch readiness once approvals are secured.
Improved operational flexibility from Ligand amendment
Releasing liens on encumbered assets is a structural improvement that increases strategic optionality: assets can be monetized, used as collateral, or leveraged in partnerships. Over months this can materially ease fundraising or dealmaking constraints and improve operational flexibility.
Negative Factors
Negative equity / weak balance sheet
Negative stockholders’ equity and elevated leverage are durable governance and financing constraints. They limit access to non‑dilutive capital, raise counterparty and covenant risk, and increase probability of restrictive financing terms or asset sales that can hinder multi‑year clinical development and commercialization plans.
Poor cash generation
Persistent negative operating and free cash flows mean the company cannot self‑fund R&D and launches, forcing reliance on external financing or partnerships. Over time this increases dilution risk, can delay programs if funding is constrained, and limits flexibility to scale commercial operations post‑approval.
Material dilution risk from warrant amendment
Lowering the warrant exercise price materially increases the likelihood of exercise and consequent equity issuance. This is a structural capital‑structure change that can dilute existing shareholders, depress per‑share economics from future revenues, and make subsequent fundraising more dilutive over the medium term.

Agenus (AGEN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Agenus Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAgenus Inc., a clinical-stage immuno-oncology company, discovers and develops immuno-oncology products in the United States and internationally. The company offers Retrocyte Display, an antibody expression platform for the identification of fully human and humanized monoclonal antibodies; and display technologies. It develops vaccine programs comprising Prophage vaccine candidate; and QS-21 Stimulon adjuvant, a saponin-based vaccine adjuvant. The company also develops Balstilimab, an anti-PD-1 antagonist that has completed Phase II clinical trial to treat second line cervical cancer; AGEN1181, an anti-CTLA-4 monospecific antibody that is in Phase 1/2 clinical trial; AGEN2373, an anti-CD137 monospecific antibody that is in Phase 1 clinical trial; AGEN1423, a tumor microenvironment conditioning anti-CD73/TGFß TRAP bi-functional antibody that has completed Phase 1 clinical trial; AGEN1777, an anti-TIGIT bispecific antibodies; and AGEN1327, a human monoclonal antibody. In addition, the company develops INCAGN1876, an anti-GITR monospecific antibody; INCAGN1949, an anti-OX40 monospecific antibody; INCAGN2390, an anti-TIM-3 monospecific antibody; INCAGN2385, an anti-LAG-3 monospecific antibody; MK-4830, a monospecific antibody targeting ILT4; AGENT 797, an iNKT cells that is in Phase 1 clinical trial for solid tumors, multiple myeloma, and viral ARDS, as well as in clinical stage to treat hematological malignancies and multiple myeloma/B cells; and AGEN1884, a first-generation anti-CTLA-4 monospecific antibody. Agenus Inc. operates under ASV, Agenus, AutoSynVax, EVAMPLIX, MiNK, PSV, PhosPhoSynVax, Prophage, Retrocyte Display, and Stimulon trademarks. It has collaborations with Incyte Corporation, Merck Sharpe & Dohme, Recepta Biopharma SA, and Gilead Sciences, Inc. The company was formerly known as Antigenics Inc. and changed its name to Agenus Inc. in January 2011. Agenus Inc. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Lexington, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyAgenus generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from collaborations and partnerships with pharmaceutical companies, licensing agreements, and potential milestone payments associated with its drug development programs. The company often enters into partnerships to co-develop its therapies, which can provide upfront payments, research funding, and royalties on future sales. Additionally, Agenus may receive milestone payments as its products progress through clinical trials and regulatory approvals. The company also seeks to monetize its proprietary technologies by licensing them to other biotech and pharmaceutical companies, further contributing to its revenue.

Agenus Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted several positive developments, including strategic hires, promising BOT/BAL data, and multiple capital proposals which could strengthen the company's financial position. However, financial metrics such as a decreased cash balance and lower revenue compared to the previous year, alongside ongoing regulatory challenges, present notable challenges. The overall sentiment is cautiously optimistic as the highlights and lowlights are balanced.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Operational Efficiency Goals
Agenus is on track to reduce its operational cash burn to below $50 million annualized in the second half of 2025.
New Leadership and Strategic Hire
Dr. Richard Goldberg, a GI-Oncology expert, joined as Chief Development Officer to advance regulatory filings in metastatic colorectal cancer and other tumor types.
Promising BOT/BAL Data
New BOT/BAL data shows durable responses in cold tumors, including MSS colorectal cancer, with deep and durable disease control demonstrated in heavily pre-treated liver cancer patients.
Strategic Capital Proposals
Agenus received four formal transaction proposals, including the sale of the Emeryville facility, a significant equity investment at a premium, and two licensing deals for BOT/BAL.
Regulatory Environment Shift
Changes in FDA policies may favor rapid approval of transformative therapies, aligning with Agenus' goals for BOT/BAL's accelerated approval.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Cash Balance
The company ended Q1 2025 with a cash balance of $18.5 million, down from $40.4 million at the end of 2024.
Revenue and Net Loss
Revenue for Q1 2025 was $24.1 million, a decrease from $28 million in Q1 2024. The net loss for Q1 2025 was $26.4 million, or $1.03 per share, which is an improvement from a net loss of $63.5 million, or $3.04 per share, in Q1 2024.
Regulatory Challenges
Previous FDA feedback suggested that the BOT/BAL study might not be adequate for approval due to modest response rates, necessitating further data presentation and regulatory discussions.
Company Guidance
During Agenus Inc.'s First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company outlined several strategic priorities, focusing on their innovative BOT/BAL data, operational efficiencies, and impending transactions to enhance financial strength. They aim to reduce operational cash burn to below $50 million annually by the second half of 2025. The company's financials for the first quarter showcased a cash balance of $18.5 million, a reduction from $40.4 million at the end of 2024, with a net loss of $26.4 million or $1.03 per share. Revenue was reported at $24.1 million, primarily from non-cash royalty revenue. Agenus has received four transaction proposals, including a potential Emeryville facility sale and two BOT/BAL licensing deals, aimed to bolster their balance sheet. The call emphasized the wide-reaching potential of BOT/BAL in treating cold tumors, with promising data from recent studies, and discussed the evolving regulatory landscape that could expedite therapy approvals.

Agenus Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Agenus faces significant financial challenges across all verticals. The income statement shows persistent losses and weak margins, while the balance sheet highlights financial instability with negative equity. Cash flow issues further exacerbate the company's financial health, posing risks to its sustainability and growth prospects.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Agenus shows a challenging financial position with consistently negative net profit margins and declining EBIT margins over the years. The revenue growth rate is volatile, with recent TTM data showing a slight improvement. However, the overall profitability remains a concern with negative gross profit margins, indicating cost management issues.
Balance Sheet
25
Negative
The balance sheet reflects significant financial instability, with negative stockholders' equity and a fluctuating debt-to-equity ratio. The negative equity ratio and high return on equity indicate potential financial distress and risk for stakeholders. The company's leverage position is concerning, with liabilities exceeding equity.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals negative operating and free cash flows, with inconsistent growth rates. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is close to 1, suggesting that the company is struggling to generate cash from its operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue106.83M103.46M156.31M98.02M295.67M88.17M
Gross Profit86.00K-52.55M-81.37M-99.23M113.59M-56.80M
EBITDA33.33M-101.30M-145.92M-161.85M43.78M-114.63M
Net Income-35.17M-227.21M-245.76M-220.07M-23.93M-180.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets233.89M226.27M313.91M413.56M465.96M214.51M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.46M40.44M76.11M193.36M306.92M99.87M
Total Debt45.77M94.87M93.19M78.43M58.29M55.73M
Total Liabilities514.76M532.70M462.30M468.46M418.05M426.01M
Stockholders Equity-274.14M-326.38M-160.33M-61.28M34.44M-203.67M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-89.31M-158.89M-234.16M-228.44M-23.67M-142.56M
Operating Cash Flow-89.23M-158.31M-224.20M-175.37M10.14M-139.10M
Investing Cash Flow393.00K27.00K3.40M-33.61M-43.15M-4.44M
Financing Cash Flow45.59M122.84M119.87M95.83M225.26M183.85M

Agenus Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.68
Price Trends
50DMA
3.92
Negative
100DMA
4.07
Negative
200DMA
4.14
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.09
Negative
RSI
47.52
Neutral
STOCH
71.40
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AGEN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.68 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.60, above the 50-day MA of 3.92, and above the 200-day MA of 4.14, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.40 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AGEN.

Agenus Risk Analysis

Agenus disclosed 86 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Agenus reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Agenus Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$141.41M-95.29%-67.38%-1076.54%
46
Neutral
$112.67M-0.61-328.45%-10.36%42.36%
46
Neutral
$45.95M-1.17-418.06%99.21%
44
Neutral
$48.76M-0.62-50.60%1.40%
43
Neutral
$112.99M-3.46-745.66%
41
Neutral
$159.16M-1.73-33.41%81.19%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AGEN
Agenus
3.68
0.53
16.83%
INO
Inovio Pharmaceuticals
1.58
-0.33
-17.28%
ONCY
Oncolytics Biotech
0.97
0.14
16.11%
HURA
TuHURA Biosciences
0.76
-3.97
-83.93%
SPRO
Spero Therapeutics
2.40
1.57
189.16%
TIL
Instil Bio
7.11
-14.31
-66.81%

Agenus Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Agenus amends Ligand agreement, modifies warrant holder rights
Neutral
Jan 8, 2026

On January 3, 2026, Agenus Inc., together with Agenus Royalty Fund, LLC and Agenus Holdings 2024, LLC, entered into an amendment and release agreement with Ligand Pharmaceuticals that altered the terms of an existing purchase and sale agreement and warrant arrangement. Under the amendment, Ligand agreed to release liens on certain Agenus assets in exchange for a substantial reduction in the warrant exercise price from $17.30 per share to $7.50 per share, a move that may improve Agenus’s operational flexibility by freeing encumbered assets while increasing the potential equity dilution for existing shareholders if the lower-priced warrants are exercised.

The most recent analyst rating on (AGEN) stock is a Hold with a $4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Agenus stock, see the AGEN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 14, 2026