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Agenus Inc. (AGEN)
:AGEN

Agenus (AGEN) AI Stock Analysis

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AG

Agenus

(NASDAQ:AGEN)

Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▲(6.38%Upside)
Agenus shows strong technical momentum and strategic partnerships that may bolster future growth. However, significant financial challenges, including persistent losses and cash flow issues, pose substantial risks. The stock's valuation remains unattractive, further tempering optimism.
Positive Factors
Capital Infusion
The partnership agreement with Zydus Lifesciences provides a significant cash infusion for Agenus, relieving near-term capital constraints.
Regulatory Progress
Agenus plans to re-engage with the FDA on potential pathway for approval of bot/bal in metastatic microsatellite stable colorectal cancer, aiming for a quicker path to market.
Strategic Collaboration
The strategic collaboration with Zydus is valued at up to $141M and aims to accelerate the clinical development of botensilimab and balstilimab while securing scaled manufacturing.
Negative Factors
Analyst Sentiment
Analyst remains Neutral until updates are provided on path to market and a better sense of if the FDA's advice has changed since last year.
Regulatory Challenges
At last year’s meeting, the FDA recommended against accelerated approval filing and requested additional data to show that BOT/BAL could lead to a survival benefit.
Uncertainty in Development Strategy
Agenus has not yet provided a strategy forward in neoadjuvant solid tumor development beyond ongoing ISTs, indicating a lack of clear future direction.

Agenus (AGEN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Agenus Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAgenus Inc. (AGEN) is a biotechnology company focused on the discovery and development of therapies that harness the body's immune system to combat cancer. The company operates in the healthcare sector, specifically in immuno-oncology, and offers a range of therapeutic antibodies, vaccines, and adjuvants designed to enhance immune response against tumors. Agenus is committed to developing innovative treatments that address unmet medical needs in oncology.
How the Company Makes MoneyAgenus makes money primarily through the development and commercialization of its immuno-oncology products. The company's revenue streams include collaboration agreements, licensing deals, and milestone payments from partnerships with other pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies. Agenus often enters into strategic alliances to co-develop and commercialize its products, receiving upfront payments and potential royalties on sales. Additionally, the company may earn revenue from the sale of proprietary adjuvants and other immune-modulatory agents. These partnerships and licensing agreements are significant contributors to Agenus' earnings, as they provide both immediate financial support and long-term revenue potential from successful product commercialization.

Agenus Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 61.51%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented significant advancements in leadership, operational efficiency, and promising clinical data for BOT/BAL, despite ongoing financial losses and cash balance concerns. The strategic transactions and new data provide optimism for future growth and regulatory success. However, past regulatory challenges and financial constraints remain points of concern.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
New Leadership and Strategic Hire
Dr. Richard Goldberg, a world-renowned GI-Oncology expert, has joined as the Chief Development Officer to steer regulatory paths for new therapies.
Operational Efficiency and Financial Strategy
Operational cash burn is on track to be cut below $50 million annualized in the second half of 2025. Four formal transaction proposals received, including a significant equity investment at a premium and licensing deals to strengthen the balance sheet.
Positive BOT/BAL Study Results
Consistent and compelling data across different lines of treatment in multiple cold tumors, with presentations at AACR 2025 showing durable responses.
Increased Phase 1 and Phase 2 Follow-Up
Phase 1 trial median follow-up is now 18 months with 123 patients, and Phase 2 trial median follow-up is over 12 months, with substantial data maturity.
Negative Updates
Continued Net Loss
Net loss of $26.4 million or $1.03 per share for Q1 2025, although improved from a loss of $63.5 million in Q1 2024.
Cash Balance Decline
The consolidated cash balance decreased to $18.5 million from $40.4 million at the end of 2024.
Regulatory Uncertainty
Past negative FDA response due to an erroneous judgment based on a publication, which may impact future approvals.
Company Guidance
During Agenus Inc.'s First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company outlined several key priorities and metrics. They discussed the latest BOT/BAL data showcasing durable responses in cold tumors, emphasized operational efficiencies aimed at reducing operational cash burn to below $50 million annually by the second half of 2025, and mentioned four formal transaction proposals received, including an Emeryville facility sale and two BOT/BAL licensing deals. The company ended Q1 2025 with a cash balance of $18.5 million, down from $40.4 million at the end of 2024, with cash used in operations reduced to $25.6 million from $38.2 million year-over-year. Agenus recognized Q1 2025 revenue of $24.1 million and reported a net loss of $26.4 million, compared to Q1 2024's revenue of $28 million and net loss of $63.5 million. The company is focused on regulatory interactions, having requested a Type B meeting with the FDA, and is optimistic about the potentially favorable new FDA policies that could expedite approval of their therapies.

Agenus Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Agenus faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues, persistent losses, and a strained balance sheet. The company's cash flow issues further compound its financial instability, posing substantial risks for future operations. Improvements in revenue generation, cost management, and balance sheet restructuring are needed to enhance financial health.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Agenus shows significant revenue fluctuations with recent revenue decline in TTM, highlighting volatility. Gross profit margins have been negative in recent years, indicating high cost of goods sold. The net profit margin is negative, showing a lack of profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
25
Negative
The company's balance sheet shows negative stockholders' equity, indicating financial distress. The debt-to-equity ratio is not meaningful due to negative equity, but the high level of liabilities suggests significant leverage. The equity ratio is negative, indicating more liabilities than assets, which poses solvency risks.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Agenus continues to experience negative operating and free cash flows, signaling cash burn. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, reflecting ongoing cash challenges. Operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests inefficient cash generation relative to net losses.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
99.52M103.46M156.31M98.02M295.67M88.17M
Gross Profit
24.18M-52.55M-81.37M-99.23M113.59M-56.80M
EBIT
-100.90M-120.47M-159.55M-179.43M42.28M-117.23M
EBITDA
-84.00M-101.30M-145.92M-161.85M44.02M-114.63M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-190.65M-227.21M-245.76M-271.51M-94.70M-240.13M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
18.49M40.44M76.11M193.36M306.92M99.87M
Total Assets
200.20M226.27M313.91M413.56M465.96M214.51M
Total Debt
53.98M94.87M88.47M78.43M58.29M55.73M
Net Debt
35.49M54.43M12.36M-100.25M-233.64M-44.14M
Total Liabilities
262.29M532.70M462.30M468.46M418.05M426.01M
Stockholders Equity
-62.09M-326.38M-160.33M-61.28M34.44M-203.67M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-145.78M-158.89M-234.16M-228.44M-23.67M-142.56M
Operating Cash Flow
-145.74M-158.31M-224.20M-175.37M10.14M-139.10M
Investing Cash Flow
-145.00K27.00K3.40M-33.61M-43.15M-4.44M
Financing Cash Flow
111.60M122.84M119.87M95.83M225.26M183.85M

Agenus Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.70
Price Trends
50DMA
3.27
Positive
100DMA
3.00
Positive
200DMA
3.53
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.56
Positive
RSI
56.12
Neutral
STOCH
45.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AGEN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.35, above the 50-day MA of 3.27, and above the 200-day MA of 3.53, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.56 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AGEN.

Agenus Risk Analysis

Agenus disclosed 85 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Agenus reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Agenus Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
54
Neutral
$5.37B3.26-45.10%3.30%16.81%0.02%
53
Neutral
$54.70M-181.84%-32.11%88.12%
52
Neutral
$128.86M260.68%-38.34%31.19%
38
Underperform
$9.18M-1949.77%-89.76%80.28%
38
Underperform
$77.99M<0.01%-29.01%
31
Underperform
$65.02M-130.90%-55.81%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AGEN
Agenus
4.70
-9.60
-67.13%
CYCC
Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals
0.41
-25.67
-98.43%
FBIO
Fortress Biotech
1.85
-0.05
-2.63%
OTLK
Outlook Therapeutics
1.82
-5.74
-75.93%
QNCX
Quince Therapeutics
1.43
0.72
101.41%

Agenus Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Agenus Announces Strategic Collaboration with Zydus
Positive
Jun 4, 2025

On June 3, 2025, Agenus Inc. announced a strategic collaboration with Zydus Lifesciences Ltd. involving the sale of its manufacturing operations to Zydus for up to $125 million. This agreement includes an upfront payment of $75 million and contingent payments of up to $50 million, alongside a $16 million equity investment by Zydus in Agenus. The collaboration aims to accelerate the development and commercialization of Agenus’ cancer immunotherapy drugs, botensilimab and balstilimab (BOT/BAL), by leveraging Zydus’ manufacturing capabilities and market presence in India and Sri Lanka. This partnership is expected to enhance Agenus’ operational capacity and market reach, while also establishing Zydus’ BioCDMO business in the U.S.

The most recent analyst rating on (AGEN) stock is a Hold with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Agenus stock, see the AGEN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.