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Ovid Therapeutics (OVID)
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Ovid Therapeutics (OVID) AI Stock Analysis

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OVID

Ovid Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:OVID)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$0.50
▼(-56.90% Downside)
Ovid Therapeutics' stock score is primarily influenced by its financial performance challenges, including revenue volatility and ongoing losses. The technical analysis indicates strong upward momentum, but the high beta suggests volatility. Valuation remains a concern with a negative P/E ratio and no dividend yield. Positive corporate events, such as the Nasdaq transfer and financial agreements, provide some stability and potential for future growth.
Positive Factors
Financial Stability
The company's cash reserves provide a buffer for operational expenses, ensuring financial stability and allowing focus on strategic growth initiatives.
Strategic Partnerships
The royalty monetization agreement provides non-dilutive funding, enhancing financial flexibility and supporting ongoing development projects.
Regulatory Compliance
The transfer to Nasdaq Capital Market offers additional time to meet listing requirements, supporting long-term market presence and investor confidence.
Negative Factors
Revenue Volatility
Significant revenue fluctuations indicate challenges in consistent income generation, impacting financial predictability and planning.
Negative Cash Flow
Persistent negative cash flow suggests difficulties in sustaining operations without external financing, posing risks to long-term viability.
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing losses and low profit margins highlight the need for strategic adjustments to achieve sustainable profitability and business growth.

Ovid Therapeutics (OVID) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ovid Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOvid Therapeutics Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing innovative therapies for patients with rare neurological disorders. The company is dedicated to addressing significant unmet medical needs in conditions such as epilepsy, fragile X syndrome, and other neurodevelopmental disorders by leveraging its deep expertise in neuroscience and drug development. Ovid's core products include its pipeline of drug candidates, with a focus on developing treatments that can improve patient outcomes and quality of life.
How the Company Makes MoneyOvid Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through a combination of pharmaceutical product sales, collaborations, and research grants. The company focuses on advancing its drug candidates through various stages of clinical development, with the potential for significant revenue upon successful commercialization. Key revenue streams may include milestone payments from partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies, royalties on sales of any approved products, and potential licensing agreements. Additionally, Ovid may benefit from grants and funding aimed at supporting research and development in the fields of neurology and rare diseases, enhancing its financial stability and growth potential.

Ovid Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ovid Therapeutics faces challenges with revenue consistency and profitability, evidenced by significant fluctuations in income and continued losses. Despite low debt levels, declining equity and persistent cash flow deficits highlight financial sustainability concerns. While there are signs of improvement in reducing net losses, the overall financial health remains precarious, requiring strategic adjustments to enhance revenue generation and cash management.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Ovid Therapeutics has experienced significant revenue volatility, with a decline from $208M in 2021 to $566K in 2024, indicating unstable revenue generation. The gross profit margin is consistently low, and negative EBIT and net income margins indicate ongoing losses. Recent improvements in reducing losses are positive, but profitability remains a challenge.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is low, reflecting modest leverage, which is a positive indicator of financial stability. However, the declining stockholders' equity and total assets over recent years raise concerns about the company's ability to sustain its operations long-term. The equity ratio suggests a fair proportion of equity financing, but high liabilities relative to assets pose risks.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Operating cash flow remains negative, reflecting ongoing cash burn, although there has been a slight improvement in free cash flow in 2024. The company has relied on financing activities to support cash flow, which could indicate difficulties in generating sufficient cash from operations. Continued negative free cash flow is a concern for long-term sustainability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.65M566.00K391.69K1.50M208.38M12.62M
Gross Profit6.55M566.00K392.00K1.50M208.38M12.62M
EBITDA-41.30M-57.77M-57.01M-54.17M124.40M-81.12M
Net Income-38.18M-26.43M-52.34M-54.17M122.83M-81.04M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets77.43M92.17M144.03M155.27M194.54M75.93M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments38.35M53.08M105.83M129.00M187.80M72.03M
Total Debt1.38M14.76M16.00M16.54M0.000.00
Total Liabilities21.64M23.94M56.23M22.99M14.80M32.29M
Stockholders Equity55.79M68.23M87.80M132.27M179.75M43.63M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-40.06M-56.03M-45.92M-56.65M118.42M-51.97M
Operating Cash Flow-40.07M-55.96M-45.78M-55.23M118.61M-51.58M
Investing Cash Flow38.74M54.59M-2.58M-87.88M-1.82M34.65M
Financing Cash Flow51.00K622.00K30.54M180.66K904.08K47.07M

Ovid Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.16
Price Trends
50DMA
0.83
Positive
100DMA
0.57
Positive
200DMA
0.61
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Positive
RSI
57.45
Neutral
STOCH
24.84
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OVID, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.20, above the 50-day MA of 0.83, and above the 200-day MA of 0.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for OVID.

Ovid Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Ovid Therapeutics disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ovid Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ovid Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
54
Neutral
$82.49M-52.77%1071.91%-27.61%
53
Neutral
17.86M-2.250.00%-96.76%26.87%
50
Neutral
71.54M-2.55-127.97%-9.61%20.36%
39
Underperform
44.71M-2.010.00%0.00%15.19%
36
Underperform
28.52M-6.770.00%0.00%95.87%
27
Underperform
70.58M-0.900.00%0.00%42.29%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OVID
Ovid Therapeutics
1.16
-0.01
-0.85%
CVM
Cel-Sci
8.83
-24.17
-73.24%
TENX
Tenax Therapeutics
6.25
2.63
72.65%
PULM
Pulmatrix
4.89
2.69
122.27%
HYFT
MindWalk Holdings
1.55
0.87
127.94%
CALC
CalciMedica
3.20
-0.94
-22.71%

Ovid Therapeutics Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ovid Therapeutics Transfers Stock to Nasdaq Capital Market
Positive
Aug 13, 2025

Ovid Therapeutics received approval to transfer its common stock to the Nasdaq Capital Market, providing an additional 180 days to meet the minimum bid price requirement. The company is progressing with its clinical trials, including the OV329 Phase 1 study, and has signed a $7 million royalty monetization agreement to strengthen its financial position. Ovid’s cash reserves are expected to support operations into the second half of 2026, as it continues to explore strategic options to accelerate development and manage costs.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsStock Split
Ovid Therapeutics Approves Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jul 10, 2025

On July 9, 2025, Ovid Therapeutics held its annual stockholders meeting, where several key proposals were voted on. Stockholders elected directors for a three-year term, approved executive compensation, ratified KPMG LLP as the accounting firm, and authorized a potential reverse stock split, indicating strategic financial adjustments.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ovid Therapeutics Sells Ganaxolone Royalties to Immedica
Neutral
Jun 25, 2025

On June 23, 2025, Ovid Therapeutics entered into an agreement with Immedica Pharma AB to sell its future royalties related to ganaxolone, a medicine used for treating CDKL5 deficiency disorder, for $7.0 million. This transaction provides Ovid with non-dilutive funding to support its operations, while Immedica gains control over ganaxolone’s intellectual property rights, enhancing its focus on rare diseases.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 16, 2025