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Ovid Therapeutics Inc (OVID)
NASDAQ:OVID
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Ovid Therapeutics (OVID) AI Stock Analysis

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OVID

Ovid Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:OVID)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▲(0.67% Upside)
The overall stock score of 52 reflects significant financial challenges, including inconsistent revenue and ongoing losses, which weigh heavily on the company's outlook. Despite positive technical indicators suggesting short-term bullish momentum, the negative valuation metrics highlight concerns about profitability and long-term sustainability. Strategic improvements in financial management are essential to enhance the company's prospects.
Positive Factors
Pipeline Development
Positive Phase 1 results for OV329 indicate progress in drug development for drug-resistant epilepsies, enhancing long-term growth potential.
Financial Stability
The $175M PIPE financing strengthens Ovid's financial position, supporting R&D and operations, potentially extending cash runway into 2028.
Industry Focus
Ovid's focus on rare neurological disorders addresses significant unmet needs, positioning it well in a niche market with high barriers to entry.
Negative Factors
Revenue Volatility
Significant revenue decline indicates instability in revenue generation, posing challenges for sustainable growth and financial planning.
Profitability Challenges
Persistent losses and negative margins highlight difficulties in achieving profitability, which could hinder long-term financial health.
Cash Flow Concerns
Negative operating cash flow suggests reliance on external financing, which may not be sustainable, impacting long-term operational stability.

Ovid Therapeutics (OVID) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ovid Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOvid Therapeutics Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing innovative therapies for patients with rare neurological disorders. The company is dedicated to addressing significant unmet medical needs in conditions such as epilepsy, fragile X syndrome, and other neurodevelopmental disorders by leveraging its deep expertise in neuroscience and drug development. Ovid's core products include its pipeline of drug candidates, with a focus on developing treatments that can improve patient outcomes and quality of life.
How the Company Makes MoneyOvid Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through a combination of pharmaceutical product sales, collaborations, and research grants. The company focuses on advancing its drug candidates through various stages of clinical development, with the potential for significant revenue upon successful commercialization. Key revenue streams may include milestone payments from partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies, royalties on sales of any approved products, and potential licensing agreements. Additionally, Ovid may benefit from grants and funding aimed at supporting research and development in the fields of neurology and rare diseases, enhancing its financial stability and growth potential.

Ovid Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ovid Therapeutics faces challenges with revenue consistency and profitability, evidenced by significant fluctuations in income and continued losses. Despite low debt levels, declining equity and persistent cash flow deficits highlight financial sustainability concerns. While there are signs of improvement in reducing net losses, the overall financial health remains precarious, requiring strategic adjustments to enhance revenue generation and cash management.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Ovid Therapeutics has experienced significant revenue volatility, with a decline from $208M in 2021 to $566K in 2024, indicating unstable revenue generation. The gross profit margin is consistently low, and negative EBIT and net income margins indicate ongoing losses. Recent improvements in reducing losses are positive, but profitability remains a challenge.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is low, reflecting modest leverage, which is a positive indicator of financial stability. However, the declining stockholders' equity and total assets over recent years raise concerns about the company's ability to sustain its operations long-term. The equity ratio suggests a fair proportion of equity financing, but high liabilities relative to assets pose risks.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Operating cash flow remains negative, reflecting ongoing cash burn, although there has been a slight improvement in free cash flow in 2024. The company has relied on financing activities to support cash flow, which could indicate difficulties in generating sufficient cash from operations. Continued negative free cash flow is a concern for long-term sustainability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.65M566.00K391.69K1.50M208.38M12.62M
Gross Profit6.55M566.00K392.00K1.50M208.38M12.62M
EBITDA-41.30M-57.77M-57.01M-54.17M124.40M-81.12M
Net Income-38.18M-26.43M-52.34M-54.17M122.83M-81.04M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets77.43M92.17M144.03M155.27M194.54M75.93M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments38.35M53.08M105.83M129.00M187.80M72.03M
Total Debt1.38M14.76M16.00M16.54M0.000.00
Total Liabilities21.64M23.94M56.23M22.99M14.80M32.29M
Stockholders Equity55.79M68.23M87.80M132.27M179.75M43.63M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-40.06M-56.03M-45.92M-56.65M118.42M-51.97M
Operating Cash Flow-40.07M-55.96M-45.78M-55.23M118.61M-51.58M
Investing Cash Flow38.74M54.59M-2.58M-87.88M-1.82M34.65M
Financing Cash Flow51.00K622.00K30.54M180.66K904.08K47.07M

Ovid Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.49
Price Trends
50DMA
1.39
Positive
100DMA
0.93
Positive
200DMA
0.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Positive
RSI
48.64
Neutral
STOCH
36.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OVID, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.49 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.62, above the 50-day MA of 1.39, and above the 200-day MA of 0.69, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for OVID.

Ovid Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Ovid Therapeutics disclosed 60 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ovid Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ovid Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$105.95M-2.77-52.77%1071.91%-27.61%
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
$107.48M-49.55%-33.76%17.10%
$114.76M-1.42-97.49%-100.00%62.82%
$115.62M-1.10-200.57%-6.25%-226.01%
$117.84M-0.99-130.27%35.81%
$106.76M-170.53%22.35%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OVID
Ovid Therapeutics
1.49
0.34
29.57%
IRD
Opus Genetics
1.93
0.68
54.40%
ZNTL
Zentalis Pharmaceuticals
1.71
-0.99
-36.67%
IKT
Inhibikase Therapeutics
1.47
-1.30
-46.93%
SRZN
Surrozen
13.73
2.64
23.81%
BMEA
Biomea Fusion
1.38
-8.96
-86.65%

Ovid Therapeutics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Ovid Therapeutics Secures $175.1M in Private Placement
Positive
Oct 3, 2025

On October 2, 2025, Ovid Therapeutics entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement to issue and sell Series B convertible preferred stock and warrants in a private placement, potentially raising up to $175.1 million. The proceeds will be used for research and development, corporate expenses, and working capital. Additionally, Ovid announced positive results from a Phase 1 study of OV329, a GABA-aminotransferase inhibitor for drug-resistant epilepsies, showing strong inhibitory activity and a favorable safety profile, with plans to advance to Phase 2a trials.

The most recent analyst rating on (OVID) stock is a Buy with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ovid Therapeutics stock, see the OVID Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Ovid Therapeutics Regains Nasdaq Compliance
Positive
Sep 16, 2025

On September 11, 2025, Ovid Therapeutics Inc. announced that it has regained compliance with Nasdaq’s listing requirements, specifically maintaining a minimum bid price of at least $1.00 per share. This development closes the matter with Nasdaq, potentially stabilizing the company’s market position and reassuring stakeholders regarding its stock market standing.

The most recent analyst rating on (OVID) stock is a Buy with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ovid Therapeutics stock, see the OVID Stock Forecast page.

Ovid Therapeutics Navigates FDA Disruptions and Government Challenges
Aug 14, 2025

Ovid Therapeutics faces significant business risks due to potential disruptions at the FDA and other government agencies. Factors such as layoffs, funding shortages, and global health concerns could impede the FDA’s ability to review clinical trials or approve new products. These disruptions may lead to delays in product development and approval processes, adversely affecting Ovid’s business operations. The unpredictability of government funding and policy changes further exacerbates these risks, posing a challenge to the company’s strategic planning and execution.

Ovid Therapeutics Reports Increased Revenue Amid Challenges
Aug 14, 2025

Ovid Therapeutics Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company focused on developing small molecule medicines for brain conditions with significant unmet needs. In its latest earnings report for the quarter ending June 30, 2025, Ovid Therapeutics reported a total revenue of $6.3 million, a significant increase from $169,000 in the same period last year. Despite this revenue growth, the company faced a net loss of $4.7 million for the quarter, compared to a net income of $8.5 million in the previous year. The increase in revenue was primarily attributed to license and other revenue, while operating expenses decreased significantly from the previous year. The company continues to face challenges, including a need for additional funding to sustain operations beyond the next 12 months. Management is exploring strategic alternatives such as partnerships, collaborations, or licensing agreements to secure additional capital. Looking forward, Ovid Therapeutics remains committed to its strategic plans and is focused on overcoming financial challenges to continue its development programs.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
Ovid Therapeutics Transfers Stock to Nasdaq Capital Market
Positive
Aug 13, 2025

Ovid Therapeutics received approval to transfer its common stock to the Nasdaq Capital Market, providing an additional 180 days to meet the minimum bid price requirement. The company is progressing with its clinical trials, including the OV329 Phase 1 study, and has signed a $7 million royalty monetization agreement to strengthen its financial position. Ovid’s cash reserves are expected to support operations into the second half of 2026, as it continues to explore strategic options to accelerate development and manage costs.

The most recent analyst rating on (OVID) stock is a Buy with a $4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ovid Therapeutics stock, see the OVID Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025