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Cel-Sci Corp. (CVM)
XASE:CVM

Cel-Sci (CVM) AI Stock Analysis

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CVM

Cel-Sci

(NYSE MKT:CVM)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$5.50
▲(5.97% Upside)
The score is primarily pressured by weak financial performance: ongoing pre-revenue losses, persistent negative cash flow, and major 2025 balance-sheet/cash-flow anomalies that raise uncertainty. Technicals also detract as the stock trades below major moving averages with negative MACD and weak RSI. Valuation provides limited offset given a negative P/E and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Focused clinical-stage program
CEL-SCI’s concentration on a single, well-defined immunotherapy (Multikine) focuses R&D resources and regulatory effort, reducing program dilution. For a small biotech this clarity supports disciplined development strategy and potentially faster decision-making toward pivotal readouts or partnering outcomes.
Cash losses largely cash-based
Free cash flow tracking net losses implies operating shortfalls are mostly cash items rather than opaque non-cash charges. That makes cash needs more predictable, aiding treasury planning and financing decisions over the medium term and reducing the risk of sudden accounting surprises.
Board extended shareholder rights
Extending the shareholder rights agreement through 2030 indicates governance continuity and defensive positioning. For a clinical-stage firm, this can protect a long R&D timetable from short-term activism, providing management a steadier runway to execute trials and seek strategic partnerships.
Negative Factors
Persistent pre-revenue losses
Absent meaningful revenue, recurring multi‑year losses erode equity and necessitate repeated financing or dilution. Without a clear profitability inflection or diversified revenue streams, the business remains dependent on external capital to fund trials, increasing long-term financing risk.
Consistent negative operating cash flow
Sustained operating cash outflows reflect persistent funding needs to advance clinical programs. Historical cash burn requires ongoing access to capital; this structural cash consumption limits strategic flexibility, pressures liquidity, and raises dilution risk absent near-term financing or partnerships.
Major 2025 balance-sheet anomaly & leverage
A large, unexplained 2025 step-change in reported debt/assets and declining equity materially raises balance-sheet uncertainty. Elevated leverage and anomalous figures undermine creditor confidence, complicate fundraising and covenant assessment, and increase execution risk over the medium term.

Cel-Sci (CVM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cel-Sci Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCEL-SCI Corporation engages in the research and development of immunotherapy for the treatment of cancer and infectious diseases. The company's lead investigational immunotherapy is Multikine, which is under phase III clinical trial for the treatment of head and neck cancer. Its Ligand Epitope Antigen Presentation System (LEAPS), a pre-clinical patented T-cell modulation process that stimulates the human immune system to fight bacterial, viral, and parasitic infections, as well as autoimmune diseases, allergies, transplantation rejections, and cancer. The company also develops LEAPS-H1N1-DC; CEL-2000 and CEL-4000 are product candidates for the treatment of rheumatoid arthritis; and LEAPS COV-19, a product candidate to treat COVID-19 coronavirus. CEL-SCI Corporation has a collaboration agreement with the University of Georgia's Center for Vaccines and Immunology to develop LEAPS COVID-19 immunotherapy. The company was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Vienna, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyCEL-SCI Corporation primarily makes money through the development and potential commercialization of its lead product candidate, Multikine. The company aims to generate revenue from the eventual sale of Multikine, contingent upon successful clinical trials and regulatory approval. CEL-SCI may also seek revenue through partnerships, licensing agreements, and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies. These partnerships could involve sharing research, development costs, and profits from Multikine's commercialization. Additionally, CEL-SCI might receive funding through grants, investor funding, or other financing activities to support its research and development efforts.

Cel-Sci Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement shows a pre-revenue profile with persistent annual net losses (~$25M–$39M) and no clear profitability inflection. Balance sheet risk is elevated due to declining equity and an extreme 2025 step-change in reported debt/assets that increases uncertainty. Cash flow is consistently negative with a highly anomalous 2025 operating/free cash outflow (~-$17B), materially worsening perceived cash-burn risk.
Income Statement
9
Very Negative
Across the annual periods provided, the company is effectively pre-revenue (revenue is $0 from 2021–2025 and minimal in 2020), while losses remain large and persistent (net loss roughly $25M–$39M per year). Profitability trends show no clear inflection: operating losses continue, and the lack of a meaningful revenue base limits visibility into margin normalization. The main positive is a modest improvement in net loss versus 2022–2023, but overall earnings quality remains weak given ongoing negative gross profit and operating results.
Balance Sheet
6
Very Negative
Leverage looks elevated relative to the equity base in most years (debt-to-equity generally around ~0.5x–1.0x), and returns on equity are consistently negative, reflecting a business still funding operations without profitability. Equity has also declined materially versus earlier years, reducing the cushion for continued cash burn. A major red flag appears in the latest annual snapshot (2025) where reported total debt (~$9.4B) and total assets (~$28.2B) are dramatically out of line with prior years, signaling either a significant balance-sheet event or potential data/one-time classification distortion—either way, it increases perceived balance-sheet risk.
Cash Flow
7
Very Negative
Cash generation is consistently negative: operating cash flow is an outflow every year, and free cash flow is also persistently negative, indicating the company is consuming cash to fund operations. Cash burn was generally in the ~$15M–$23M range historically, but the latest year (2025) shows an extremely large reported cash outflow (operating and free cash flow around -$17B), which is a severe anomaly versus prior years and meaningfully heightens cash-flow risk/uncertainty. A partial positive is that free cash flow has tended to track net loss closely (free cash flow to net income near ~1x in multiple years), suggesting losses are largely cash-based rather than driven by large non-cash offsets.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-3.89M-3.89M-3.97M-3.96M-3.88M-499.00K
EBITDA-20.88M-20.88M-22.21M-27.56M-31.74M-34.71M
Net Income-25.41M-25.41M-26.92M-38.27M-39.19M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets28.16B28.16B26.99M30.53M50.52M75.87M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.95B10.95B4.74M4.15M22.67M42.21M
Total Debt9.38B9.38B11.62M13.57M15.30M15.97M
Total Liabilities12.20B12.20B14.12M17.31M18.36M19.34M
Stockholders Equity15.96M15.96M12.87M13.21M32.16M56.53M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-17.16M-17.16B-18.91M-23.22M-18.90M-27.83M
Operating Cash Flow-17.12M-17.12B-18.81M-22.85M-18.24M-18.79M
Investing Cash Flow-38.11K-38.11M-108.09K-372.26K5.49M-15.18M
Financing Cash Flow23.37M23.37B19.51M4.69M-638.43K54.52M

Cel-Sci Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.19
Price Trends
50DMA
5.81
Negative
100DMA
7.17
Negative
200DMA
6.68
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
41.57
Neutral
STOCH
9.89
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CVM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.19 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.59, below the 50-day MA of 5.81, and below the 200-day MA of 6.68, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.89 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CVM.

Cel-Sci Risk Analysis

Cel-Sci disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cel-Sci reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cel-Sci Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
57
Neutral
$114.24M-1.56-49.78%-82.16%14.58%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
44
Neutral
$139.91M-2.00-102.47%66.05%
42
Neutral
$42.13M-0.65-176.32%48.68%
42
Neutral
$72.20M-0.41-64.27%14.19%
41
Neutral
$60.88M-4.21-42.68%63.85%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CVM
Cel-Sci
5.01
-6.96
-58.15%
ATHE
Alterity Therapeutics
3.14
-1.12
-26.24%
XBIT
XBiotech
2.41
-1.01
-29.53%
PLRX
Pliant Therapeutics
1.18
-11.38
-90.64%
RPTX
Repare Therapeutics
2.65
1.33
100.76%
UNCY
Unicycive Therapeutics
6.51
0.26
4.16%

Cel-Sci Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Cel-Sci Extends Shareholder Rights Agreement to 2030
Neutral
Nov 5, 2025

On October 30, 2025, CEL-SCI Corporation’s Board of Directors extended the expiration date of its Shareholder Rights Agreement to October 30, 2030. This amendment reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to manage shareholder interests and could impact its market positioning by providing stability and continuity for stakeholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025