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Seer (SEER)
NASDAQ:SEER
US Market

Seer (SEER) AI Stock Analysis

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SEER

Seer

(NASDAQ:SEER)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▼(-3.85% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:11/07/25
Seer's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its financial performance, which shows strong revenue growth but significant profitability challenges. Technical analysis suggests a potential upward trend, but valuation concerns due to ongoing losses weigh heavily. The earnings call provided mixed signals, with strong demand offset by minimal growth and external challenges.
Positive Factors
Validated Proteograph demand
Strong, repeated instrument shipments and recorded customer uptake demonstrate product-market fit for the Proteograph platform. Durable demand and adoption reduce commercialization risk, supporting recurring instrument and reagent revenue streams and enabling scale benefits across multi-year large cohort studies.
Robust top-line growth (TTM)
Sustained high revenue growth indicates expanding commercial traction and addressable market penetration. If growth persists, it can support operating leverage, investment in R&D and ecosystem partnerships, and provide a base to improve margins as fixed costs spread over larger revenue.
Strong liquidity and capital actions
A substantial cash position and active share repurchase program signal strong liquidity and financial flexibility to fund R&D, operations, and strategic initiatives. Cash reserves reduce short-term financing risk and can finance commercialization of Proteograph or strategic partnerships without dilutive capital raises.
Negative Factors
Severe negative profitability
Extremely wide negative margins reflect structural operating losses and high fixed or variable costs relative to revenue. Persistent deep unprofitability can deplete cash reserves over time, restrict reinvestment capacity, and require sustainable margin improvement before equity returns can be realized.
Negative return on equity
A materially negative ROE indicates the company is destroying shareholder capital rather than creating it. Without sustained profit recovery or meaningful margin expansion, negative returns constrain long-term investor value creation and raise questions about operational efficiency and capital allocation.
Weakened cash generation trends
Declining free cash flow and negative operating cash conversion suggest operations are not yet self-sustaining. Continued weak cash generation increases reliance on existing cash reserves and may limit spending on commercialization, slowing the path to break-even and heightening financing risk if losses persist.

Seer (SEER) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Seer Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSeer, Inc., a life sciences company, engages in developing and commercializing products to decode the secrets of the proteome. It develops Proteograph Product Suite, an integrated solution that comprises consumables, an automation instrumentation, and software that allows researchers to conduct proteomic studies in therapeutic and diagnostic research, and clinical trials. The company intends to sell its products for research purposes, which cover academic institutions, life sciences, and research laboratories, as well as biopharmaceutical and biotechnology companies for non-diagnostic and non-clinical purposes. It has a collaboration agreement with Discovery Life Sciences, LLC. and the Salk Institute for Biological Studies. The company was formerly known as Seer Biosciences, Inc. and changed its name to Seer, Inc. in July 2018. Seer, Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Redwood City, California.
How the Company Makes MoneySeer generates revenue primarily through the sale of its proteomic analysis platforms and related consumables to research institutions and pharmaceutical companies. Additionally, the company may earn revenue through service contracts where it conducts custom proteomic analyses for clients. Key partnerships with academic institutions and collaborations with pharmaceutical companies enhance its market presence and provide opportunities for joint research projects, which can also contribute to its earnings. Furthermore, grants and funding from governmental and private entities aimed at advancing proteomic research can serve as additional revenue sources.

Seer Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a balanced picture: strong commercial and scientific momentum (notably 67% installed base growth, ~69% consumable growth, doubling of publications, product launches, and a solid cash runway of ~$241M) alongside persistent headwinds from customer funding uncertainty, elongated sales cycles, modest 2026 guidance (~3% midpoint growth) and continued sizable net losses. Management emphasized innovation and long-term upside from large population studies and product roadmap milestones, while taking a conservative near-term view given NIH-related and macro funding risks.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Full Year Revenue Growth
Total revenue for 2025 was $16.6 million, representing 17% year-over-year growth versus $14.2 million in 2024; when excluding related party revenue, total revenue growth was approximately 33% year-over-year.
Quarterly Revenue and Product Mix
Q4 2025 revenue was $4.2 million, up 5% year-over-year from $4.0 million in Q4 2024; Q4 product revenue was $2.8 million and service revenue was $1.2 million. Excluding related party revenue, Q4 revenue grew ~16% YoY.
Strong Installed Base Expansion
Installed base increased to 82 instruments at year-end 2025, a 67% increase from 49 instruments at year-end 2024; approximately 60% of 2025 installs were under the Strategic Instrument Placement Program (SIPP).
Meaningful Consumable Volume Growth
Consumable kit volume increased approximately 69% year-over-year in 2025, demonstrating higher utilization of the Proteograph platform; calculated consumable pull-through per instrument was approximately $113,000 (noting methodological caveats).
Expanding Scientific Validation and Publications
Cumulative peer-reviewed publications nearly doubled from 36 at the end of 2024 to 70 at the end of 2025 (≈94% increase), including high-profile papers in Nature and Nature Genetics and multiple presentations/posters at HUPO 2025.
Commercial Milestone via Customer Launch
Customer PrognomIQ commercially launched ProVue Lung, a proteomics-based LDT for early lung cancer detection in November 2025; Seer holds approximately a 20% fully diluted interest in PrognomIQ.
Product and R&D Progress
Launched Proteograph ONE (3rd-generation assay) and SP200 (2nd-generation automation instrument) in June 2025 enabling throughput >1,000 samples/week (nearly 10x vs 112 samples/week in 2021); roadmap includes PAS v4 with AI/LLM interface in 2026 and a proteoform profiling assay planned for 2027.
Improved Financial Discipline and Cash Position
Operating expenses and stock-based compensation declined (total operating expenses down 19% YoY to $86.5M in 2025); net loss improved to $73.6M in 2025 from $86.6M in 2024. Free cash flow loss improved to ~$45.6M (2025) from $49.4M (2024). Cash, cash equivalents and investments were approximately $241M at year-end 2025.
Share Repurchases and Capital Allocation
Repurchased ~5.3 million Class A shares in 2025 for ≈$10.2M; total repurchases ~11.7M shares (≈$22M) since program inception, reducing shares outstanding by ~13%; Board authorized an additional $25M repurchase program.
Large-Scale Study Selections
Proteograph was selected for multiple population-scale studies in 2025, including a 20,000-sample study with Korea University and a 10,000-sample project with Discovery Life Sciences, demonstrating scalability for large cohorts.
Negative Updates
Revenue Lumpy and Binary Upside
Management highlighted that a small number of large opportunities (population-scale studies) can materially move reported revenue between quarters, making results volatile and dependent on a few binary deal outcomes.
Q4 Shortfall and Funding Delays
Q4 results fell short of expectations primarily due to budgetary pressures and delayed NIH funding that caused customer purchase deferrals; management cited specific NIH-related project payments pushed into 2026.
Conservative 2026 Revenue Guidance
2026 revenue guidance is $16M–$18M (midpoint ≈$17M), representing only ~3% growth at the midpoint over 2025, reflecting ongoing customer caution and funding uncertainty—guidance excludes potential upside from new population-scale study wins.
Continued Net Loss and Large Operating Spend
Despite improvement, net loss remained substantial at $73.6M for 2025; total operating expenses were $86.5M in 2025, indicating continued high spend while the business scales.
Dependence on External Funding Environment
Sales cycles remain elongated and instrument placements constrained by pressure on customers' CapEx and uncertainty around NIH and government funding, creating lumpy revenue and making near-term forecasting challenging.
Decline in Related Party Revenue
Related party revenue declined to $761,000 in 2025 from $2.3M in 2024 as a customer (PrognomIQ) shifted from discovery work toward commercialization, removing a modest near-term revenue source.
Temporary Pull-Through Decline
Pull-through per instrument was ~ $113,000 based on year-end installed base, but management noted a decline in pull-through due to many new instrument installs and initial stocking orders—indicating near-term consumable revenue per instrument may be depressed.
Company Guidance
Seer guided 2026 revenue of $16–18 million (midpoint ~3% growth versus 2025), noting the range assumes continued pressure on instrument placements and customer funding (NIH uncertainty) and excludes upside from any additional population‑scale studies; management expects to further reduce free cash‑flow loss in 2026 and believes its cash position (~$241 million) and NOLs (~$262 million) provide sufficient capital to reach cash‑flow breakeven. Key 2025 metrics referenced alongside the guidance: full‑year revenue $16.6M (+17% YoY; ~+33% excluding related‑party revenue), Q4 revenue $4.2M, full‑year gross margin ~51% (Q4 52%), installed base 82 instruments (+67% YoY), consumable kit volume +69% YoY with pull‑through per instrument ≈$113k (year‑end basis), FY net loss $73.6M, and free‑cash‑flow loss ≈$45.6M (improved from $49.4M in 2024). Management also reiterated a long‑term gross margin target of 70–75% and highlighted ongoing capital actions including repurchasing 5.3M shares in 2025 (~$10.2M) and a total of 11.7M shares bought at a VWAP of $1.87 (~$22M used of a $25M program) with an additional $25M repurchase authorization.

Seer Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Seer shows strong revenue growth but faces significant profitability and cash flow challenges. The low leverage is positive, but negative returns on equity and cash flow issues highlight the need for operational improvements.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Seer's income statement shows a significant revenue growth of 54.8% in the TTM period, indicating strong top-line expansion. However, the company is facing substantial profitability challenges with a negative net profit margin of -510.57% and negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. These figures highlight ongoing operational inefficiencies and high expenses relative to revenue.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a conservative financial structure with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.086, suggesting limited leverage and financial risk. However, the return on equity is negative at -25.93%, indicating that the company is not generating positive returns on shareholders' equity, which is a concern for investors.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Seer's cash flow statement shows a decline in free cash flow growth by -15.53% in the TTM period, which is concerning. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting cash flow challenges. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly positive at 1.06, suggesting some ability to cover net losses with free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.33M13.95M15.18M14.69M6.39M656.00K
Gross Profit6.65M6.83M1.45M384.00K-374.00K-950.00K
EBITDA-71.41M-93.92M-80.70M-87.06M-67.61M-31.17M
Net Income-79.35M-86.60M-86.28M-92.97M-71.17M-32.77M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets308.61M366.60M436.27M487.93M539.14M442.32M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments199.24M236.41M316.22M421.24M400.07M431.86M
Total Debt24.25M25.96M28.26M29.87M23.32M0.00
Total Liabilities36.79M39.03M39.37M40.94M36.22M10.71M
Stockholders Equity271.81M327.57M396.90M446.99M502.92M431.61M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-46.07M-49.69M-66.37M-71.05M-53.27M-25.36M
Operating Cash Flow-45.10M-46.11M-59.06M-60.78M-46.35M-20.83M
Investing Cash Flow64.42M65.86M37.90M-122.72M-170.88M-34.56M
Financing Cash Flow-11.97M-11.49M452.00K3.89M116.63M371.49M

Seer Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.08
Price Trends
50DMA
1.89
Positive
100DMA
1.99
Positive
200DMA
2.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Negative
RSI
62.47
Neutral
STOCH
66.96
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SEER, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.93, above the 50-day MA of 1.89, and above the 200-day MA of 2.05, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.96 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SEER.

Seer Risk Analysis

Seer disclosed 67 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Seer reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Seer Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
54
Neutral
$248.60M-3.75-131.71%-100.00%79.01%
54
Neutral
$125.98M-1.53-25.74%13.77%-4.76%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$231.43M-1.24-63.96%-28.50%
49
Neutral
$59.59M-0.99-76.44%-10.03%11.06%
47
Neutral
$91.81M-2.36-109.73%50.39%
44
Neutral
$60.77M-0.75-50.60%1.40%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SEER
Seer
2.08
-0.12
-5.45%
IKT
Inhibikase Therapeutics
2.09
-0.25
-10.68%
SRZN
Surrozen
25.75
13.91
117.48%
TIL
Instil Bio
8.99
-10.33
-53.47%
TCRX
TScan Therapeutics
1.11
-0.91
-45.05%
CGTX
Cognition Therapeutics
1.16
0.70
152.17%

Seer Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Seer Retires Class B Common Stock Shares
Neutral
Dec 12, 2025

On December 12, 2025, Seer Company filed a Certificate of Retirement with the Delaware Secretary of State to retire its Class B Common Stock shares that were issued but not outstanding. This action reduces the company’s authorized shares of capital stock and Class B Common Stock. The Class A Common Stock will continue trading on Nasdaq under the symbol ‘SEER’ with the same CUSIP number.

The most recent analyst rating on (SEER) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Seer stock, see the SEER Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025