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Banco do Brasil S.A. (BDORY)
OTHER OTC:BDORY

Banco do Brasil SA (BDORY) AI Stock Analysis

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BDORY

Banco do Brasil SA

(OTC:BDORY)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
â–²(29.20% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/13/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance—2025 profitability and revenue weakened meaningfully despite improved leverage and strong free cash flow conversion. Valuation is a clear positive with a low P/E and healthy dividend yield, while technicals are moderate due to near-term weakness (below the 20-DMA and RSI in the low 40s) despite longer-term moving averages remaining supportive.
Positive Factors
Improving leverage
The decline in debt-to-equity to about 0.86 indicates materially lower financial leverage versus prior years. That structurally reduces solvency risk, increases capacity for lending or buybacks, and provides a steadier capital base to absorb cyclical credit or market shocks over the next several quarters.
High free cash flow conversion
FCF converting at roughly 95% of net income demonstrates durable cash generation from operations. Strong conversion supports sustainable dividends, organic investment, and shock absorption even if accounting earnings fluctuate, underpinning long-term financial flexibility and capital allocation.
Diversified domestic franchise
A wide product mix and an extensive domestic distribution network create structural advantages: diversified fee and interest streams, cross-sell opportunities, stable deposit funding from retail and government-linked clients, and resilience to single-market shocks over a multi-quarter horizon.
Negative Factors
Profitability deterioration
A sharp decline in net margin more than halves prior profitability levels, signaling pressure on core interest spreads or rising costs/impairments. Persistently lower margins weaken return on equity and limit internal capital generation, constraining reinvestment and payout capacity over coming quarters.
Revenue decline in 2025
The reversal from revenue growth to decline indicates inconsistent top-line momentum, which undermines scale economics in lending and fee businesses. If structural, this trend reduces the bank’s ability to offset margin pressure and may reflect weaker loan demand or competitive fee compression across segments.
Earnings and cash generation volatility
Material negative EPS growth and a history of operating cash-flow swings point to earnings volatility from credit cycles or market exposures. Such variability complicates capital planning and raises execution risk for multi-quarter strategies like credit expansion or sustained dividend policies.

Banco do Brasil SA (BDORY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Banco do Brasil SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBanco do Brasil S.A., together with its subsidiaries, provides banking products and services for individuals, companies, and public sectors in Brazil and internationally. The company operates through Banking, Investments, Fund Management, Insurance (Insurance, Pension, and Capitalization), Payment Methods, and Other segments. The Banking segment offers various products and services, including deposits, loans, and other services to retail, wholesale, and public sector markets, as well as to micro-entrepreneurs. The Investments segment engages in the structuring and distribution of debts and equity instruments in primary and secondary markets; and provision of financial services. The Fund Management segment is involved in the purchase, sale, and custody of securities, as well as the management of portfolios, and investment funds and clubs. The Insurance, Pension and Capitalization segment provides life, property, and automobile insurance products, as well as private pension and capitalization plans. The Payment Methods segment is involved in the capturing, transmission, processing, and financial settlement of for electronic payment transactions. The Other segment engages in the provision of credit recovery and consortium management services; development, manufacturing, sale, rental, and integration of digital electronic systems, peripherals, programs, inputs, and computing supplies; sale of airline tickets; and lodging and organization of events. Banco do Brasil S.A. was incorporated in 1808 and is headquartered in Brasília, Brazil.
How the Company Makes MoneyBanco do Brasil primarily makes money by earning interest income and fees from a broad set of financial products and services. The largest driver is net interest income: it lends to customers (including individuals, small and medium enterprises, large corporations, and agribusiness clients) and invests in interest-earning assets, generating interest revenue; it funds these assets largely with customer deposits and other funding sources and pays interest on that funding, with the spread (after funding costs) forming a core earnings stream. It also generates non-interest income through service fees and commissions, such as account maintenance and service charges, payment processing, acquiring and other payments-related fees, card-related fees, loan origination and other credit-related fees, and fees linked to cash management and other corporate banking services. Additional earnings come from insurance, pension, and capitalization-bond-related activities and asset management/distribution, where the bank and its affiliates earn premiums, commissions, and management/administration fees (where applicable). Trading and treasury activities can contribute via results from the management of the securities portfolio, derivatives, foreign exchange, and other market-related activities, though these are typically more sensitive to market conditions. Profitability is influenced by Brazil’s interest-rate environment, credit demand (notably in agribusiness), funding mix (share of low-cost deposits), credit quality and loan-loss provisions, and the scale of its distribution network and digital channels.

Banco do Brasil SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted Banco do Brasil's resilience and strategic focus on personal loans and technological advancements. However, significant challenges persist in the agribusiness segment, particularly with high delinquency rates and increased provisions impacting profitability.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Net Profit Amid Challenges
Banco do Brasil achieved a net profit of approximately BRL 20 billion, showcasing resilience despite challenges in the agribusiness sector.
Successful Renegotiation Program
The BB Regulariza Agro program has processed BRL 11.4 billion in loans, with BRL 5.4 billion approved, demonstrating proactive management of agribusiness loan challenges.
Strategic Focus on Personal Loans
Banco do Brasil is focusing on growing its personal loans segment, aiming for a 20% market share, as part of its strategy to improve portfolio returns.
Technological Advancements in Risk Management
The bank is leveraging AI and historical data for better risk management and to prevent future defaults in the agribusiness sector.
Negative Updates
High Delinquency Rates in Agribusiness Portfolio
The agribusiness segment faced a significant delinquency rate of 5.3%, a historically high level due to challenges in the sector.
Increased Provisions Affecting Profitability
The need for higher provisions, including BRL 1.3 billion for specific retail cases, has impacted the bank's profitability.
Guidance Revision for 2025
The bank revised its guidance for adjusted profit to between BRL 18 billion and BRL 21 billion due to ongoing challenges in the agribusiness portfolio.
Continued Challenges with Judicial Recovery Cases
An increase in judicial recovery cases within the agribusiness sector continues to pose challenges, requiring additional provisions.
Company Guidance
During the call, Banco do Brasil provided guidance on several key financial metrics. The bank adjusted its forecast for the cost of credit to be between BRL 59 billion and BRL 62 billion and projected adjusted profit to range from BRL 18 billion to BRL 21 billion. The bank also discussed its capital strength, with a principal capital ratio of 11.16%, and an ambition to achieve 20% market participation. Additionally, the bank highlighted its efforts to manage delinquency rates, especially in the agribusiness sector, with provisions for credit risk adjustments and a focus on the renegotiation of loans under the BB Regulariza Agro program, leveraging MP 1314. The bank is targeting BRL 24 billion in renegotiated loans as part of this initiative. The discussion also touched on the bank's strategy to navigate regulatory changes and its commitment to generating shareholder value while maintaining a payout ratio of 30% for dividends.

Banco do Brasil SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: 2025 revenue declined and profitability weakened sharply (net margin ~3.9% vs ~8.5% in 2024). Offsetting that, leverage improved (debt-to-equity down to ~0.86 by 2025) and free cash flow remained strong with high conversion to net income (~95%), though cash flow growth turned negative and historical operating cash flow has been volatile.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Profitability and growth are mixed. Revenue was up in 2024 but declined in 2025, and reported profitability weakened meaningfully in 2025 with net margin falling to ~3.9% (from ~8.5% in 2024). Earlier years showed stronger net margins, but the trajectory is uneven, suggesting higher earnings volatility and less consistent operating performance.
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Balance sheet looks reasonably stable for a regional bank, with moderate leverage: debt-to-equity improved from ~1.53 (2020) to ~0.86 (2025). Equity has also grown over time, supporting the asset base. However, returns on equity have stepped down notably in 2025 versus 2022–2024 levels, indicating profitability is not translating as efficiently into shareholder returns recently.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
Cash generation is generally solid with strong free cash flow in 2024–2025, and free cash flow is closely aligned with net income (about ~95% in both 2024 and 2025). That said, free cash flow growth turned negative in 2025 and operating cash flow has been volatile historically (including a large outflow in 2021), which adds uncertainty around consistency.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue342.86B310.75B125.47B123.25B168.71B
Gross Profit59.72B141.76B125.47B123.11B99.78B
EBITDA1.01B32.82B0.000.0031.12B
Net Income13.43B26.36B29.86B31.11B19.71B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.46T2.40T2.15T2.03T1.93T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments200.87B252.07B194.53B168.68B130.12B
Total Debt163.43B170.14B142.19B155.20B171.95B
Total Liabilities2.26T2.21T1.98T1.87T1.79T
Stockholders Equity189.21B179.62B169.24B160.57B142.00B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow151.89B121.46B11.71B58.10B-51.10B
Operating Cash Flow159.25B127.21B16.74B64.69B-46.19B
Investing Cash Flow-168.39B-93.49B21.64B-17.88B-53.28B
Financing Cash Flow-6.84B-21.36B-34.34B-26.98B-23.78B

Banco do Brasil SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price3.87
Price Trends
50DMA
4.66
Positive
100DMA
4.36
Positive
200DMA
4.12
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Positive
RSI
44.90
Neutral
STOCH
10.71
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BDORY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3.87 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.97, below the 50-day MA of 4.66, and below the 200-day MA of 4.12, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.71 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BDORY.

Banco do Brasil SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$26.61B11.7919.28%4.82%8.72%27.70%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$19.55B14.5621.25%5.56%-11.64%-8.75%
64
Neutral
$35.76B8.3113.55%2.48%5.89%34.68%
62
Neutral
$26.06B9.247.45%6.16%4.66%-43.86%
57
Neutral
$21.73B9.9711.15%4.98%1.13%-11.93%
56
Neutral
$14.95B12.5821.37%4.29%12.43%56.30%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BDORY
Banco do Brasil SA
4.55
-0.40
-8.15%
BBD
Banco Bradesco SA
3.60
1.51
72.58%
BCH
Banco De Chile
38.65
11.63
43.02%
BSBR
Banco Santander Brasil
5.82
1.31
29.02%
BSAC
Banco Santander Chile
31.51
9.49
43.10%
BAP
Credicorp
334.58
152.98
84.24%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 13, 2026